← Whale Watch

Sadc2

Predicting since Oct 2025407 markets tradedPolymarket profile ↗

Biggest hit: +$1.3K on Government shutdown on Saturday?.

All-time PnL
+$0
This year
+$0
Last 30 days
+$0
Portfolio value
$0

Deep stats

Bucko Oracle
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Profit over time

What they are betting now

MarketSideStakeEntryNowPnL
Will the State of the Union begin between 9:15PM and 9:30PM ET?PoliticsYesResolved$1021¢0.0¢-$10
Will Keir Starmer say "Reform" 3+ times during the next Prime Minister's Questions?MentionsNoResolved$3523¢0.0¢-$35
Will Abracadabra (Lady Gaga) win Song of the Year at the 68th Annual GRAMMY Awards?CultureYesResolved$35.7¢0.0¢-$3
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from January 19 to January 21, 2026?PoliticsYesResolved$1243¢0.0¢-$12
U.S. anti-cartel strike/operation on foreign soil by January 31, 2026?PoliticsNoResolved$151.0¢0.0¢-$15
Will Israel strike Lebanon on January 13, 2026?PoliticsYesResolved$1030¢0.0¢-$10
Will Morocco win on 2026-01-18?Other sportsYesResolved$4041¢0.0¢-$40
Will Leonardo DiCaprio (One Battle After Another) win Best Actor – Musical or Comedy at the 83rd Golden Globes?CultureYesResolved$1013¢0.0¢-$10
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-06?Champions LeagueYesResolved$8038¢0.0¢-$80
Will Venezuela give the US oil by January 31?PoliticsNoResolved$5029¢0.0¢-$50
Will Michael B. Jordan (Sinners) win Best Actor – Drama at the 83rd Golden Globes?CultureYesResolved$2023¢0.0¢-$20
Supreme Court rules in favor of Trump's tariffs?PoliticsYesResolved$6021¢0.0¢-$60
Will Donald Trump announce a new nominee for Chair of the Federal Reserve on January 24, 2026?PoliticsYesResolved$11.8¢0.0¢-$1
Will Donald Trump announce a new nominee for Chair of the Federal Reserve on January 25, 2026?PoliticsYesResolved$11.9¢0.0¢-$1
Will Donald Trump announce a new nominee for Chair of the Federal Reserve on January 31, 2026?PoliticsYesResolved$32.3¢0.0¢-$3
Will Trump say "Hottest" during the Detroit speech on Tuesday?MentionsNoResolved$720¢0.0¢-$7
Will the highest temperature in London be 11°C on January 15?WeatherYesResolved$514¢0.0¢-$5
Spread: Spurs (-1.5)NBACelticsResolved$1053¢0.0¢-$10
Will Tití Me Preguntó be played at the Super Bowl halftime show?NFLNoResolved$23.4¢0.0¢-$2
US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?PoliticsNoResolved$5776¢0.0¢-$57
Will Trump say "America" or "American" 50+ times during the 2026 State of the Union address?MentionsNoResolved$3024¢0.0¢-$30
Will Trump say "Million" or "Billion" or "Trillion" 30+ times during TPUSA events on April 17?MentionsYesResolved$2938¢0.0¢-$29
US government shutdown Saturday?PoliticsNoResolved$3025¢0.0¢-$30
Will Ryan Coogler (Sinners) win Best Director at the 83rd Golden Globes?CultureYesResolved$107.0¢0.0¢-$10
Will Donald Trump announce a new nominee for Chair of the Federal Reserve on January 26, 2026?PoliticsYesResolved$33.1¢0.0¢-$3
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 46-47°F on January 12?WeatherYesResolved$22.0¢0.0¢-$2
Will Trump say "Million" or "Billion" or "Trillion" 7+ times during NewsNation interview?MentionsNoResolved$2519¢0.0¢-$25
Will Donald Trump announce a new nominee for Chair of the Federal Reserve on January 20, 2026?PoliticsYesResolved$13.9¢0.0¢-$1
Will Trump say "Make America Great Again" this week? (April 19)MentionsNoResolved$5036¢0.0¢-$50
Will the highest temperature in London be 8°C or higher on January 8?WeatherNoResolved$836¢0.0¢-$8
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 46-47°F on January 9?WeatherYesResolved$34.2¢0.0¢-$3
Will three people dissent the January Fed decision?PoliticsYesResolved$613¢0.0¢-$6
ASB Classic, Qualification: Eliot Spizzirri vs Juan Manuel CerundoloTennisCerundoloResolved$1029¢0.0¢-$10
Will Trump say "Eli Lilly" during the 2026 State of the Union address?MentionsYesResolved$3050¢0.0¢-$30
Will Bank of America say "Rate Cut" during earnings call?MentionsNoResolved$827¢0.0¢-$8
Will Trump say "Hell" 4+ times during the announcement on Thursday?MentionsYesResolved$534¢0.0¢-$5
Will Keir Starmer say "Thank you" 10+ times during the next Prime Minister's Questions?MentionsYesResolved$2045¢0.0¢-$20
Will Jamie Dimon be named in newly released Epstein files by March 31?PoliticsNoResolved$1247¢0.0¢-$12
Will Lady Gaga perform during the Super Bowl LX halftime show?NFLNoResolved$1517¢0.0¢-$15
Will the highest temperature in London be 3°C on January 11?WeatherYesResolved$31.0¢0.0¢-$3
Will Jensen Huang say "Bubble" during NVIDIA keynote?MentionsYesResolved$3039¢0.0¢-$30
Will Alex Warren win Best New Artist at the 68th Annual GRAMMY Awards?CultureYesResolved$82.5¢0.0¢-$8
Another US strike on Venezuela on January 5?PoliticsYesResolved$105.5¢0.0¢-$10
New Hampshire Wildcats vs. UMBC RetrieversBasketball (other)New Hampshire WildcatsResolved$546¢0.0¢-$5
Will Drake perform during the Super Bowl LX halftime show?NFLYesResolved$58.3¢0.0¢-$5
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 30-31°F on March 2?WeatherYesResolved$3029¢0.0¢-$30
Will Trump say "The State of the Union is strong" during the 2026 State of the Union address?MentionsYesResolved$3020¢0.0¢-$30
Will Trump say "Colombia" this week? (January 11)MentionsNoResolved$3538¢0.0¢-$35
Will Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from January 12 to January 14, 2026?PoliticsYesResolved$819¢0.0¢-$8
Will Rhamondre Stevenson win the Super Bowl LX MVP?NFLYesResolved$11.8¢0.0¢-$1
Will Donald Trump announce a new nominee for Chair of the Federal Reserve on January 18, 2026?PoliticsYesResolved$15.9¢0.0¢-$1
Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 28°C on March 18?WeatherYesResolved$4038¢0.0¢-$40
Will Israel strike Lebanon on January 22, 2026?PoliticsYesResolved$3042¢0.0¢-$30
Will J Balvin perform during the Super Bowl LX halftime show?NFLYesResolved$1222¢0.0¢-$12
Will Donald Trump announce a new nominee for Chair of the Federal Reserve on January 11, 2026?PoliticsYesResolved$23.9¢0.0¢-$2
Will Keir Starmer say "Ukraine" at the next Prime Minister's Questions?MentionsNoResolved$728¢0.0¢-$7
Will Donald Trump announce a new nominee for Chair of the Federal Reserve on January 22, 2026?PoliticsYesResolved$12.7¢0.0¢-$1
Will Olivia Rodrigo release an album in 2025?CultureYesResolved$10.1¢0.0¢-$1
Will Jacob Elordi (Frankenstein) win Best Supporting Actor – Motion Picture at the 83rd Golden Globes?CultureYesResolved$1024¢0.0¢-$10
Will Trump say "20 Year" or "21 Year" during remarks on January 28?MentionsNoResolved$1016¢0.0¢-$10
Will Donald Trump announce a new nominee for Chair of the Federal Reserve on January 29, 2026?PoliticsYesResolved$411¢0.0¢-$4
Will Wolverhampton Wanderers FC vs. Chelsea FC end in a draw?Premier LeagueYesResolved$623¢0.0¢-$6
Will Donald Trump announce a new nominee for Chair of the Federal Reserve on January 21, 2026?PoliticsYesResolved$18.0¢0.0¢-$1
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 7, 7AM ETCryptoUpResolved$12.0¢0.0¢-$1
Will Addison Rae win Best New Artist at the 68th Annual GRAMMY Awards?CultureYesResolved$58.8¢0.0¢-$5
Will Trump say "Million" or "Billion" or "Trillion" 15+ times during the 2026 State of the Union address?MentionsNoResolved$78.6¢0.0¢-$7
Will António José Seguro win 2nd place in the 1st round of the 2026 Portugal presidential election?PoliticsYesResolved$1226¢0.0¢-$12
Will Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from January 17 to January 19, 2026?PoliticsYesResolved$1025¢0.0¢-$10
Will Elon Musk post 560-579 tweets from December 30 to January 6, 2026?PoliticsYesResolved$417.9¢0.0¢-$41
Will Drake Maye win the Super Bowl LX MVP?NFLYesResolved$526¢0.0¢-$5
Will Cynthia Erivo (Wicked: For Good) win Best Actress – Musical or Comedy at the 83rd Golden Globes?CultureYesResolved$513¢0.0¢-$5
Will "ICE" or "Border Patrol" be said at the Super Bowl?NFLYesResolved$3567¢0.0¢-$35
Will Keir Starmer say "Opportunity" during the next Prime Minister's Questions?MentionsNoResolved$1536¢0.0¢-$15
Will Trump say "Mental institution" this week? (January 18)MentionsNoResolved$2039¢0.0¢-$20
Will the highest temperature in New York City be 48°F or higher on January 9?WeatherNoResolved$34.0¢0.0¢-$3
Will Starmer say "Europe" during the next Prime Minister's Questions?MentionsNoResolved$1344¢0.0¢-$13
Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from February 23 to February 25, 2026?PoliticsYesResolved$4017¢0.0¢-$40
Will João Cotrim Figueiredo win 2nd place in the 1st round of the 2026 Portugal presidential election?PoliticsYesResolved$3030¢0.0¢-$30
Longwood Lancers vs. UNC Asheville BulldogsBasketball (other)Longwood LancersResolved$3543¢0.0¢-$35
Will João Cotrim Figueiredo win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?PoliticsYesResolved$5033¢0.0¢-$50
Will "Venezuela" be said during the next episode of the All-In Podcast?MentionsNoResolved$53.0¢0.0¢-$5
Will Trump say "Hottest" during the 2026 State of the Union address?MentionsNoResolved$1017¢0.0¢-$10
U.S. strike on Somalia by January 31?PoliticsNoResolved$12632¢0.0¢-$126
Will Trump say "Minnesota" this week? (January 18)MentionsNoResolved$2020¢0.0¢-$20
Will Trump say "Peanut" during the 2026 State of the Union address?MentionsYesResolved$1622¢0.0¢-$16
Will Charlton Athletic FC vs. Chelsea FC end in a draw?Soccer (other)YesResolved$1213¢0.0¢-$12
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 78-79°F on March 20?WeatherYesResolved$719¢0.0¢-$7
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 7, 10AM ETCryptoUpResolved$36.0¢0.0¢-$3
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 8°C or higher on January 9?WeatherYesResolved$32.3¢0.0¢-$3
Will the highest temperature in London be 2°C or below on January 11?WeatherYesResolved$20.5¢0.0¢-$2
Will Donald Trump announce a new nominee for Chair of the Federal Reserve on January 17, 2026?PoliticsYesResolved$15.0¢0.0¢-$1
Will Starmer say "Reform" during the next Prime Minister's Questions event?MentionsNoResolved$8035¢0.0¢-$80
Will Starmer say "Iran" during the next Prime Minister's Questions event?MentionsNoResolved$124.5¢0.0¢-$12
Will Trump say "Boeing" during WEF Address on January 21?MentionsYesResolved$328¢0.0¢-$3
Will Keir Starmer say "Labour" 8+ times during the next Prime Minister's Questions?MentionsYesResolved$3019¢0.0¢-$30
Will "Send Help" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 12.5m and 15m?CultureYesResolved$1033¢0.0¢-$10
Will "MONACO" be played first at the Super Bowl halftime show?NFLYesResolved$44.5¢0.0¢-$4
Will Powell say "Stock Market" during January press conference?MentionsYesResolved$1227¢0.0¢-$12
Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from January 12 to January 14, 2026?PoliticsYesResolved$1028¢0.0¢-$10
Will Abracadabra (Lady Gaga) win Record of the Year at the 68th Annual GRAMMY Awards?CultureYesResolved$816¢0.0¢-$8

Where the money comes from

Realized + open PnL by category

Economy+$952
Politics+$772
NFL-$450
Finance-$373
Mentions+$306
NBA+$197
NHL+$118
Culture-$114
Hockey (other)-$100
Champions League-$69
Tech+$52
La Liga-$45
Biggest hit
+$1.3K
Government shutdown on Saturday?
Toughest beat
-$746
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?

Recent moves

  • Sold Yes · Will Faye die in Euphoria: Season 3?$62mo ago
  • Sold Yes · Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026?$392mo ago
  • Sold No · Fed rate cut by June 2026 meeting?$9832mo ago
  • Sold Yes · Starmer out by May 31, 2026?$1072mo ago
  • Bought Yes · Starmer out by May 31, 2026?$1232mo ago
  • Cashed out No · Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?$1182mo ago
  • Cashed out Yes · Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?$2.8K2mo ago
  • Bought Yes · Will Faye die in Euphoria: Season 3?$212mo ago
  • Bought Yes · Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-06?$412mo ago
  • Bought Yes · Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-06?$412mo ago
  • Sold Yes · Israel withdraws from Lebanon by May 31, 2026?$72mo ago
  • Bought Yes · Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on April 26?$103mo ago