 Will Variational launch a token by December 31, 2026?Crypto | Yes | $276 | 84¢ | 81¢ | -$10 |
| Variational FDV above $500M one day after launch?Crypto | Yes | $55 | 53¢ | 84¢ | +$31 |
 Extended FDV above $150M one day after launch?Crypto | Yes | $45 | 71¢ | 61¢ | -$6 |
| Variational FDV above $800M one day after launch?Crypto | Yes | $14 | 43¢ | 68¢ | +$8 |
 Ink FDV above $100M one day after launch?Crypto | Yes | $29 | 59¢ | 45¢ | -$7 |
 Will OpenAI IPO by December 31 2026?Tech | No | $12 | 81¢ | 92¢ | +$1 |
 Will the Democratic Party win the TN-02 House seat?Politics | No | $13 | 95¢ | 95¢ | -$0 |
 Will Liverpool win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?Premier League | No | $12 | 88¢ | 95¢ | +$1 |
 Will Mercedes be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion?Formula 1 | Yes | $10 | 88¢ | 96¢ | +$1 |
 U.S. recognizes Russian sovereignty over Crimea before 2027? Politics | No | $10 | 90¢ | 95¢ | +$1 |
 Will Steve Hilton win the California Governor Election in 2026?Politics | No | $10 | 91¢ | 95¢ | +$0 |
 Will New People (NL) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?Politics | No | $10 | 79¢ | 83¢ | +$0 |
 Iran leadership change by December 31?Politics | No | $9 | 75¢ | 86¢ | +$1 |
 Will Dacian Cioloș be the next Prime Minister of Romania?Politics | No | $10 | 99¢ | 100¢ | +$0 |
 Sports Prediction Markets taxed as gambling?Other sports | No | $7 | 64¢ | 91¢ | +$3 |
 Will Real Madrid win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?Champions League | No | $10 | 87¢ | 88¢ | +$0 |
 Will Greta Thunberg win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?Politics | No | $10 | 97¢ | 99¢ | +$0 |
 Will Ferrari be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion?Formula 1 | No | $9 | 88¢ | 98¢ | +$1 |
 Will Volodymyr Zelenskyy win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?Politics | No | $9 | 90¢ | 97¢ | +$1 |
 Will the Buffalo Bills win the 2027 NFL league championship?NFL | No | $10 | 93¢ | 92¢ | -$0 |
 Anthropic acquired before 2027?Tech | No | $10 | 97¢ | 97¢ | -$0 |
 Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by September 30, 2026?Politics | No | $8 | 82¢ | 99¢ | +$2 |
 Will Michael Olise win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Soccer (other) | No | $9 | 93¢ | 100¢ | +$1 |
 Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?Politics | No | $8 | 84¢ | 94¢ | +$1 |
 US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31?Politics | No | $8 | 82¢ | 95¢ | +$1 |
 Chud the Builder convicted of attempted murder?Politics | No | $9 | 87¢ | 92¢ | +$1 |
 Will the next Prime Minister of Romania be a member of PNL?Politics | No | $9 | 95¢ | 96¢ | +$0 |
 Will the minimum Arctic sea ice extent this summer be between 4.6m & 4.8m square kilometers?Weather | No | $8 | 91¢ | 99¢ | +$1 |
 Will Cincinnati Bengals win the 2027 NFL AFC Championship?NFL | No | $9 | 93¢ | 92¢ | -$0 |
 Abstract FDV above $1.5B one day after launch?Crypto | No | $9 | 91¢ | 89¢ | -$0 |
 Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by December 31, 2026?Politics | No | $8 | 86¢ | 95¢ | +$1 |
 Will Abiy Ahmed be the next Prime Minister of Ethiopia?Politics | Yes | $9 | 97¢ | 97¢ | +$0 |
 StandX FDV above $800M one day after launch?Crypto | No | $3 | 34¢ | 87¢ | +$5 |
| Will OpenAI's public ticker be $OA?Tech | No | $10 | 96¢ | 86¢ | -$1 |
 Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?Politics | Yes | $8 | 79¢ | 85¢ | +$1 |
 Will Jessica Shepard have the highest rebounds per game in the WNBA 2026 regular season?Basketball (other) | No | $7 | 82¢ | 99¢ | +$1 |
 OpenAI vs Meta — higher valuation on December 31?Tech | Meta | $7 | 70¢ | 83¢ | +$1 |
 Celonis IPO before 2027?Tech | No | $8 | 91¢ | 95¢ | +$0 |
 Will North Korea invade South Korea before 2027?Politics | No | $8 | 95¢ | 97¢ | +$0 |
 Will Bobby Witt Jr. hit the most triples in the 2026 MLB regular season?MLB | No | $8 | 98¢ | 100¢ | +$0 |
 Will STRC hit $100 by December 31?Crypto | Yes | $4 | 36¢ | 75¢ | +$4 |
 Will 2026 be the fourth-hottest year on record?Weather | No | $8 | 96¢ | 100¢ | +$0 |
 Will Dominique de Villepin win the 2027 French presidential election?Politics | No | $8 | 97¢ | 99¢ | +$0 |
 Will Darryn Peterson win the 2026-27 NBA Rookie of the Year?NBA | No | $8 | 83¢ | 84¢ | +$0 |
 Iran charges Hormuz fees by October 31?Politics | No | $6 | 66¢ | 88¢ | +$2 |
 Will PayPal be acquired before 2027?Tech | No | $8 | 83¢ | 82¢ | -$0 |
 Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?Politics | Yes | $7 | 72¢ | 78¢ | +$1 |
| Will the Seattle Seahawks win the 2027 NFL league championship?NFL | No | $8 | 94¢ | 93¢ | -$0 |
 Will the Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?Politics | No | $7 | 93¢ | 97¢ | +$0 |
| Iran leadership change by September 30?Politics | No | $7 | 89¢ | 98¢ | +$1 |
 Will New York Knicks win the 2027 NBA Finals?NBA | No | $8 | 92¢ | 89¢ | -$0 |
 Anthropic vs OpenAI - higher valuation on December 31?Tech | Anthropic | $7 | 83¢ | 91¢ | +$1 |
 Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Politics | No | $8 | 95¢ | 94¢ | -$0 |
 Major volcano eruption (VEI ≥6) in 2026?Weather | No | $7 | 89¢ | 92¢ | +$0 |
 Will Gabriel Attal win the 2027 French presidential election?Politics | No | $7 | 94¢ | 99¢ | +$0 |
 Will Freddie Freeman lead the MLB in doubles for the 2026 regular season?MLB | No | $7 | 93¢ | 96¢ | +$0 |
 Mistral AI IPO before 2027?Tech | No | $7 | 88¢ | 93¢ | +$0 |
 Will Kawhi play for the Los Angeles Clippers in 2026-27?NBA | No | $7 | 93¢ | 97¢ | +$0 |
 Will the Republicans win the South Carolina Senate race in 2026?Politics | Yes | $7 | 83¢ | 87¢ | +$0 |
 Israel and Indonesia normalize relations by December 31, 2026?Politics | No | $7 | 92¢ | 94¢ | +$0 |
 Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?Politics | No | $10 | 52¢ | 39¢ | -$3 |
 Will Munetaka Murakami win the 2026 AL Rookie of the Year award?MLB | No | $6 | 84¢ | 99¢ | +$1 |
 2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R HousePolitics | No | $7 | 84¢ | 87¢ | +$0 |
 WHOOP IPO before 2027?Tech | No | $6 | 80¢ | 94¢ | +$1 |
 Will Based Polymarket revenue hit $3M before 2027?Crypto | No | $7 | 97¢ | 94¢ | -$0 |
 Ripple Labs IPO before 2027?Tech | No | $6 | 87¢ | 95¢ | +$1 |
 Will Bitcoin outperform Gold in 2026?Crypto | Yes | $8 | 39¢ | 33¢ | -$1 |
 Will there be 20 or more earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide in 2026?Weather | No | $6 | 86¢ | 94¢ | +$1 |
 Predict.fun FDV above $2B one day after launch?Crypto | No | $8 | 97¢ | 82¢ | -$1 |
 Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Politics | No | $7 | 86¢ | 81¢ | -$0 |
 Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election?Politics | No | $9 | 92¢ | 65¢ | -$3 |
 Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31?Politics | No | $6 | 77¢ | 76¢ | -$0 |
 Will Project Hail Mary be the top grossing movie of 2026?Culture | No | $6 | 99¢ | 100¢ | +$0 |
| Will The Odyssey be the top grossing movie of 2026?Culture | No | $6 | 96¢ | 100¢ | +$0 |
 Sudan civil war ceasefire by December 31, 2026?Politics | No | $6 | 87¢ | 87¢ | -$0 |
 Will Alaska Airlines announce bankruptcy by December 31?Tech | No | $5 | 90¢ | 98¢ | +$0 |
 Will US withdraw from NATO before 2027?Politics | No | $5 | 88¢ | 98¢ | +$1 |
 New Coronavirus Pandemic in 2026?Tech | No | $6 | 92¢ | 96¢ | +$0 |
 Will Anthropic IPO by December 31, 2026?Finance | Yes | $6 | 90¢ | 88¢ | -$0 |
 MLB: Scorigami in 2026?MLB | No | $6 | 94¢ | 95¢ | +$0 |
 Will any Category 4 hurricane make landfall in the US in before 2027?Weather | No | $4 | 65¢ | 95¢ | +$2 |
 European country agrees to give Ukraine security guarantee by December 31?Politics | No | $6 | 95¢ | 91¢ | -$0 |
 New pandemic in 2026?Politics | No | $5 | 89¢ | 94¢ | +$0 |
| Will any Category 5 hurricane make landfall in the US in before 2027?Weather | No | $5 | 90¢ | 93¢ | +$0 |
 Vance announces he won't run for President in 2028 this year?Politics | No | $5 | 82¢ | 93¢ | +$1 |
 Clavicular sentenced to prison?Culture | No | $5 | 88¢ | 93¢ | +$0 |
 Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?Politics | No | $5 | 79¢ | 87¢ | +$0 |
 Will Bangladesh recognize Israel by December 31?Politics | No | $5 | 93¢ | 96¢ | +$0 |
 Will Atlanta Braves win the 2026 NL East title?MLB | Yes | $5 | 84¢ | 87¢ | +$0 |
 Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?Politics | No | $9 | 79¢ | 45¢ | -$4 |
 Will the Democrats win the Colorado Senate race in 2026?Politics | Yes | $5 | 97¢ | 96¢ | -$0 |
 Will India’s 2026 Annual Inflation be less than 0.75%?Economy | No | $5 | 98¢ | 99¢ | +$0 |
 Will Russia capture Lyman by September 30, 2026?Politics | No | $3 | 63¢ | 98¢ | +$2 |
 Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Politics | No | $5 | 84¢ | 84¢ | +$0 |
 Yo FDV above $500M one day after launch?Crypto | No | $4 | 74¢ | 98¢ | +$1 |
 Will XRP dip to $0.20 by December 31, 2026?Crypto | No | $5 | 95¢ | 98¢ | +$0 |
 Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?Politics | No | $5 | 83¢ | 83¢ | -$0 |
 Printr FDV above $1B one day after launch?Crypto | No | $5 | 93¢ | 92¢ | -$0 |
 Will Anthropic be acquired before 2027?Tech | No | $5 | 93¢ | 97¢ | +$0 |
 Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.7% before 2027?Economy | No | $5 | 96¢ | 97¢ | +$0 |
Cashed out Yes · Will there be at least 3000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?$62d ago
Cashed out Yes · Will GPT-6 be released by December 31, 2026?$102d ago
Cashed out No · Will Taylor Fritz win the 2026 Men's US Open?$132d ago
Cashed out No · Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $75 in August?$37d ago
Cashed out Yes · Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of August 2026?$47d ago
Cashed out No · Will Iran target a Arab country on August 27, 2026?$47d ago
Cashed out Yes · Will the total domestic gross for Spider-Man: Brand New Day be between 800m and 900m by August 31?$67d ago
Cashed out Yes · Next Mythos-Class Model released by September 30, 2026?$67d ago
Cashed out No · Iran full airspace closure by August 31?$97d ago
Cashed out No · Will Maxx Crosby play for Dallas Cowboys next?$107d ago