← Whale Watch

olivas

Predicting since Oct 2025824 markets tradedPolymarket profile ↗

Right now: $625 across 3 Politics markets.

All-time PnL
+$0
This year
+$0
Last 30 days
+$0
Portfolio value
$0

Deep stats

Bucko Oracle
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Profit over time

What they are betting now

MarketSideStakeEntryNowPnL
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?PoliticsNo$54491¢95¢+$23
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?PoliticsNo$15050¢87¢+$112
Will Variational launch a token by December 31, 2026?CryptoYes$27684¢45¢-$130
Will the US officially declare war on Iran by December 31, 2026?PoliticsNo$9393¢95¢+$2
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election?PoliticsYes$32550¢12¢-$244
Variational FDV above $500M one day after launch?CryptoYes$5553¢73¢+$21
Extended FDV above $150M one day after launch?CryptoYes$4571¢77¢+$4
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?PoliticsNo$3569¢81¢+$6
Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $3.0T by December 31?TechNo$3891¢95¢+$1
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?PoliticsYes$15050¢13¢-$112
Will Cristiano Ronaldo be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?World CupNoResolved$2095¢100¢+$1
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?PoliticsNo$2092¢92¢-$0
Ink FDV above $100M one day after launch?CryptoYes$2959¢38¢-$10
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?World CupYesResolved$1158¢100¢+$8
Will MSCI (MSCI) beat quarterly earnings?FinanceYesResolved$1591¢100¢+$1
Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?PoliticsNo$1585¢90¢+$1
Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?World CupNoResolved$1594¢100¢+$1
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?World CupNoResolved$1386¢100¢+$2
Will Erling Haaland be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?World CupNoResolved$1492¢100¢+$1
Will Tucker Carlson win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?PoliticsNo$1597¢98¢+$0
Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Soccer (other)No$1484¢89¢+$1
Will the Seattle Mariners win the 2026 World Series?MLBNo$1493¢95¢+$0
Will Jean-Luc Mélenchon win the 2027 French presidential election?PoliticsNo$1489¢88¢-$0
Will the Democratic Party win the TN-02 House seat?PoliticsNo$1395¢94¢-$0
Will Rory McIlroy win the 2026 TOUR Championship?GolfNo$1392¢90¢-$0
Will Julian Alvarez be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?World CupNoResolved$1296¢100¢+$0
Will OpenAI IPO by December 31 2026?TechNo$1281¢81¢+$0
Will Interactive Brokers (IBKR) beat quarterly earnings?FinanceYesResolved$1091¢100¢+$1
Will Europe (UEFA) win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?World CupYesResolved$765¢100¢+$4
Will Steve Hilton win the California Governor Election in 2026?PoliticsNo$1091¢94¢+$0
Will the Reserve Bank of New Zealand decrease the official cash rate after the July decision?PoliticsNoResolved$1097¢100¢+$0
Will Maxx Crosby play for Carolina Panthers next?NFLNo$1097¢100¢+$0
U.S. recognizes Russian sovereignty over Crimea before 2027? PoliticsNo$1090¢92¢+$0
Will Advanced Micro Devices (AMD) beat quarterly earnings?FinanceYes$872¢92¢+$2
Will Dacian Cioloș be the next Prime Minister of Romania?PoliticsNo$1099¢100¢+$0
Will Maxx Crosby play for Dallas Cowboys next?NFLNo$1099¢99¢+$0
Will Greta Thunberg win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?PoliticsNo$1097¢99¢+$0
Will OpenAI's public ticker be $OA?TechNo$1096¢99¢+$0
Will the Buffalo Bills win the 2027 NFL league championship?NFLNo$1093¢93¢-$0
Sports Prediction Markets taxed as gambling?Other sportsNo$764¢90¢+$3
Will Mercedes be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion?Formula 1Yes$1088¢86¢-$0
Anthropic acquired before 2027?TechNo$1097¢97¢-$0
Will Spain win on 2026-07-10?World CupYesResolved$661¢100¢+$4
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?TechNo$993¢100¢+$1
Will Bank of America (BAC) beat quarterly earnings?FinanceYesResolved$993¢100¢+$1
Will Michael Olise win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Soccer (other)No$993¢100¢+$1
Iran leadership change by December 31?PoliticsNo$975¢80¢+$1
Will Goldman Sachs (GS) beat quarterly earnings?FinanceYesResolved$994¢100¢+$1
Will Volodymyr Zelenskyy win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?PoliticsNo$990¢93¢+$0
Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?PoliticsNo$884¢93¢+$1
Will Count Binface win the Clacton by-election?PoliticsNo$992¢96¢+$0
Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by September 30, 2026?PoliticsNo$882¢95¢+$1
Will Taylor Fritz be the 2026 Men’s Wimbledon winner?TennisNoResolved$892¢100¢+$1
Will Yvette Cooper be the next Chancellor of the Exchequer of the UK in 2026?PoliticsNoResolved$893¢100¢+$1
Will Cincinnati Bengals win the 2027 NFL AFC Championship?NFLNo$993¢93¢-$0
Will GPT-6 be released by December 31, 2026?TechYes$884¢89¢+$0
Abstract FDV above $1.5B one day after launch?CryptoNo$991¢89¢-$0
Will Ferrari be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion?Formula 1No$988¢87¢-$0
Will Jude Bellingham win the Golden Ball at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?World CupNoResolved$780¢100¢+$2
Will Abiy Ahmed be the next Prime Minister of Ethiopia?PoliticsYes$997¢95¢-$0
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31?PoliticsNo$882¢88¢+$1
Will Collin Morikawa win the 2026 The Open Championship?GolfNoResolved$893¢100¢+$1
Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by December 31, 2026?PoliticsNo$886¢91¢+$0
OpenAI vs Meta — higher valuation on December 31?TechMeta$770¢83¢+$1
StandX FDV above $800M one day after launch?CryptoNo$334¢83¢+$5
Will North Korea invade South Korea before 2027?PoliticsNo$895¢97¢+$0
Will Bobby Witt Jr. hit the most triples in the 2026 MLB regular season?MLBNo$898¢99¢+$0
Will Qualcomm (QCOM) beat quarterly earnings?FinanceYes$890¢92¢+$0
Will Norway reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?World CupNoResolved$786¢100¢+$1
Will 2026 be the fourth-hottest year on record?WeatherNo$896¢100¢+$0
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?PoliticsYes$879¢79¢+$0
Will Dominique de Villepin win the 2027 French presidential election?PoliticsNo$897¢98¢+$0
Will the Seattle Seahawks win the 2027 NFL league championship?NFLNo$894¢94¢-$0
Will New York Knicks win the 2027 NBA Finals?NBANo$892¢92¢-$0
Will Moody's (MCO) beat quarterly earnings?FinanceYesResolved$788¢100¢+$1
Will the next Prime Minister of Romania be a member of PNL?PoliticsNo$995¢82¢-$1
Will Darryn Peterson win the 2026-27 NBA Rookie of the Year?NBANo$883¢81¢-$0
Will the minimum Arctic sea ice extent this summer be between 4.6m & 4.8m square kilometers?WeatherNo$891¢85¢-$0
Will the Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?PoliticsNo$793¢96¢+$0
Major volcano eruption (VEI ≥6) in 2026?WeatherNo$789¢95¢+$1
Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?PoliticsNo$895¢95¢+$0
Celonis IPO before 2027?TechNo$891¢88¢-$0
France vs. Spain: O/U 1.5World CupOverResolved$678¢100¢+$2
Will Netflix (NFLX) beat quarterly earnings?FinanceYesResolved$678¢100¢+$2
Chud the Builder convicted of attempted murder?PoliticsNo$987¢75¢-$1
Will TSMC (TSM) beat quarterly earnings?FinanceYesResolved$792¢100¢+$1
Over $30M committed to the Credible public sale?CryptoYesResolved$792¢100¢+$1
Will Morocco reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?World CupNoResolved$792¢100¢+$1
Will the Republicans win the South Carolina Senate race in 2026?PoliticsYes$783¢90¢+$1
Will Jessica Pegula be the 2026 Women’s Wimbledon Winner?TennisNoResolved$795¢100¢+$0
Will American Airlines (AAL) beat quarterly earnings?FinanceYesResolved$680¢100¢+$1
Will Gabriel Attal win the 2027 French presidential election?PoliticsNo$794¢97¢+$0
UFC 329: Kai Kamaka III vs. Luke Riley (Featherweight, Prelims)UFC / MMALuke RileyResolved$568¢100¢+$2
Will T-Mobile US (TMUS) beat quarterly earnings?FinanceYesResolved$683¢100¢+$1
Predict.fun FDV above $2B one day after launch?CryptoNo$897¢88¢-$1
Will Meta (META) beat quarterly earnings?FinanceYes$793¢94¢+$0
Will Harry Kane be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?World CupNoResolved$793¢100¢+$0
Will Freddie Freeman lead the MLB in doubles for the 2026 regular season?MLBNo$793¢93¢+$0
Will Lamb Weston (LW) beat quarterly earnings?FinanceYesResolved$684¢100¢+$1
Israel and Indonesia normalize relations by December 31, 2026?PoliticsNo$792¢92¢-$0

Where the money comes from

Realized + open PnL by category

La Liga+$113
Tennis-$106
Other sports-$68
Mentions+$62
Tech-$43
Champions League+$35
Politics+$24
eSports+$23
Crypto-$22
World Cup+$20
NHL-$11
Economy+$11
Biggest hit
+$237
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Toughest beat
-$54
Santa Cruz: Luis Guto Miguel vs Thiago Seyboth Wild

Recent moves

  • Bought Yes · Over $32.5M committed to the RipCars public sale?$522h ago
  • Bought No · Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?$822h ago
  • Bought Yes · US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 31, 2026?$32d ago
  • Bought Yes · Will Caterpillar (CAT) beat quarterly earnings?$62d ago
  • Bought No · Will Nigel Farage win the 2026 Clacton by-election by between 20% and 40%?$63d ago
  • Bought Yes · Will T-Mobile US (TMUS) beat quarterly earnings?$63d ago
  • Bought Yes · Will Advanced Micro Devices (AMD) beat quarterly earnings?$83d ago
  • Bought Yes · Will Tesla (TSLA) beat quarterly earnings?$63d ago
  • Bought No · Fed rate hike in 2026?$34d ago
  • Bought No · Will 2026 be the hottest year on record?$44d ago
  • Bought No · Will OpenAI IPO by December 31 2026?$64d ago
  • Bought No · Iran full airspace closure by August 31?$54d ago