 AI model scores ≥ 90% on FrontierMath Benchmark before 2027?Tech | YesResolved | $5 | 47¢ | 100¢ | +$6 |
 Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?Politics | No | $4 | 84¢ | 98¢ | +$1 |
 Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?Politics | NoResolved | $1 | 94¢ | 100¢ | +$0 |
 Will Santa deliver fewer than 7,900,000,000 gifts for Christmas 2025?Politics | YesResolved | $1 | 0.6¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
 Will xAI have the top AI model on December 31?Tech | YesResolved | $1 | 2.9¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
 Will DraftKings launch a prediction market in 2025? Tech | NoResolved | $1 | 21¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
 Will Anthropic have the best AI model for coding at the end of 2025?Tech | YesResolved | $1 | 19¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
 Will Jake Paul vs. Anthony Joshua have no official winner?Boxing | YesResolved | $1 | 2.9¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
 Will Trump talk to Vladimir Putin in December?Politics | NoResolved | $1 | 78¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
 Will Google have the best AI model for math at the end of 2025?Tech | YesResolved | $1 | 5.8¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
 TikTok sale announced in 2025?Tech | NoResolved | $2 | 14¢ | 0.0¢ | -$2 |
 Will Jensen Huang be richest person on December 31?Tech | YesResolved | $1 | 0.2¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
 Will xAI have the best AI model for math at the end of 2025?Tech | YesResolved | $1 | 1.5¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
 EU agrees use of Russian assets to fund Ukraine by December 19?Politics | YesResolved | $1 | 21¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
 Will Jeff Bezos be richest person on December 31?Tech | YesResolved | $1 | 0.2¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
 Will OpenAI have the top AI model on December 31?Tech | YesResolved | $1 | 1.5¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
 Tesla launches unsupervised full self driving (FSD) by March 31?Tech | NoResolved | $1 | 44¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
 Will Anthropic have the top AI model on December 31?Tech | YesResolved | $1 | 0.6¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
| Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?Politics | YesResolved | $1 | 2.1¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
 Will Larry Ellison/Oracle acquire TikTok?Politics | NoResolved | $1 | 5.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
 S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on December 18?Finance | DownResolved | $1 | 0.9¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
 Will OpenAI have the best AI model for math at the end of 2025?Tech | YesResolved | $1 | 4.2¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
 Will the Moderate Party (M) win the most seats in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary election?Politics | YesResolved | $1 | 3.3¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
 Will Google have the top AI model on December 31?Tech | NoResolved | $1 | 4.8¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
 Will the Gävle Goat burn in 2025?Culture | YesResolved | $6 | 16¢ | 0.0¢ | -$6 |
 Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?Economy | YesResolved | $1 | 10¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
| Will Google have the best AI model for coding at the end of 2025?Tech | YesResolved | $1 | 0.8¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
 Epstein blackmail evidence released in 2025? Politics | NoResolved | $1 | 0.3¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
 Will DeepSeek have the top AI model on December 31?Tech | YesResolved | $1 | 0.2¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
 Gemini 4.0 released by June 30, 2026?Tech | YesResolved | $1 | 31¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
 Will Warren Buffett be richest person on December 31?Tech | YesResolved | $1 | 0.3¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
| EU agrees use of Russian assets to fund Ukraine by December 31?Politics | YesResolved | $1 | 3.2¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
Cashed out No · Will global temperature increase by between 1.00ºC and 1.04ºC in December 2025?$27mo ago
Cashed out Yes · Nothing Ever Happens: AI Edition$08mo ago
Cashed out No · U.S. enacts AI safety bill in 2025?$19mo ago
Cashed out No · Will Grok have a MacOS desktop app live by December 31?$49mo ago
Cashed out No · Will the US confirm that aliens exist in 2025?$59mo ago
Cashed out Yes · Will the Brown University shooter not be arrested in 2025?$109mo ago
Cashed out Yes · Trump announces new drug boat strike by December 31?$29mo ago
Cashed out Yes · S&P 500 all time high by December 31?$39mo ago