kve

Predicting since Dec 202542 markets tradedPolymarket profile ↗

All-time PnL

+$0

This year

+$0

Last 30 days

+$0

Portfolio value

Deep stats

Bucko Oracle

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Profit over time

What they are betting now

Market	Side	Stake	Entry	Now	PnL
AI model scores ≥ 90% on FrontierMath Benchmark before 2027?Tech	Yes	$5	47¢	85¢	+$4
Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?Politics	No	$4	84¢	97¢	+$1
AI bubble burst in 2026?Tech	Yes	$2	32¢	18¢	-$1
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?Politics	NoResolved	$1	94¢	100¢	+$0
Will Santa deliver fewer than 7,900,000,000 gifts for Christmas 2025?Politics	YesResolved	$1	0.6¢	0.0¢	-$1
Will xAI have the top AI model on December 31?Tech	YesResolved	$1	2.9¢	0.0¢	-$1
Will DraftKings launch a prediction market in 2025? Tech	NoResolved	$1	21¢	0.0¢	-$1
Will Anthropic have the best AI model for coding at the end of 2025?Tech	YesResolved	$1	19¢	0.0¢	-$1
Will Jake Paul vs. Anthony Joshua have no official winner?Boxing	YesResolved	$1	2.9¢	0.0¢	-$1
Will Trump talk to Vladimir Putin in December?Politics	NoResolved	$1	78¢	0.0¢	-$1
Will Google have the best AI model for math at the end of 2025?Tech	YesResolved	$1	5.8¢	0.0¢	-$1
TikTok sale announced in 2025?Tech	NoResolved	$2	14¢	0.0¢	-$2
Will Jensen Huang be richest person on December 31?Tech	YesResolved	$1	0.2¢	0.0¢	-$1
Will xAI have the best AI model for math at the end of 2025?Tech	YesResolved	$1	1.5¢	0.0¢	-$1
EU agrees use of Russian assets to fund Ukraine by December 19?Politics	YesResolved	$1	21¢	0.0¢	-$1
Will Jeff Bezos be richest person on December 31?Tech	YesResolved	$1	0.2¢	0.0¢	-$1
Will OpenAI have the top AI model on December 31?Tech	YesResolved	$1	1.5¢	0.0¢	-$1
Tesla launches unsupervised full self driving (FSD) by March 31?Tech	NoResolved	$1	44¢	0.0¢	-$1
Will Anthropic have the top AI model on December 31?Tech	YesResolved	$1	0.6¢	0.0¢	-$1
Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?Politics	YesResolved	$1	2.1¢	0.0¢	-$1
Will Larry Ellison/Oracle acquire TikTok?Politics	NoResolved	$1	5.0¢	0.0¢	-$1
S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on December 18?Finance	DownResolved	$1	0.9¢	0.0¢	-$1
Will OpenAI have the best AI model for math at the end of 2025?Tech	YesResolved	$1	4.2¢	0.0¢	-$1
Will Google have the top AI model on December 31?Tech	NoResolved	$1	4.8¢	0.0¢	-$1
Will the Gävle Goat burn in 2025?Culture	YesResolved	$6	16¢	0.0¢	-$6
Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?Economy	YesResolved	$1	10¢	0.0¢	-$1
Will Google have the best AI model for coding at the end of 2025?Tech	YesResolved	$1	0.8¢	0.0¢	-$1
Epstein blackmail evidence released in 2025? Politics	NoResolved	$1	0.3¢	0.0¢	-$1
Will DeepSeek have the top AI model on December 31?Tech	YesResolved	$1	0.2¢	0.0¢	-$1
Gemini 4.0 released by June 30, 2026?Tech	YesResolved	$1	31¢	0.0¢	-$1
Will Warren Buffett be richest person on December 31?Tech	YesResolved	$1	0.3¢	0.0¢	-$1
EU agrees use of Russian assets to fund Ukraine by December 31?Politics	YesResolved	$1	3.2¢	0.0¢	-$1

Where the money comes from

Realized + open PnL by category

Tech-$16

Culture-$6

Politics-$5

Weather+$1

Boxing-$1

Finance-$1

Economy+$1

Biggest hit

+$2

S&P 500 all time high by December 31?

Toughest beat

-$1

Nothing Ever Happens: AI Edition

Recent moves

Cashed out No · Will global temperature increase by between 1.00ºC and 1.04ºC in December 2025?$25mo ago
Cashed out Yes · Epstein blackmail evidence released by March 31?$45mo ago
Cashed out Yes · Nothing Ever Happens: AI Edition$06mo ago
Cashed out No · U.S. enacts AI safety bill in 2025?$16mo ago
Cashed out No · Will Grok have a MacOS desktop app live by December 31?$46mo ago
Cashed out No · Will the US confirm that aliens exist in 2025?$56mo ago
Cashed out Yes · Will the Brown University shooter not be arrested in 2025?$106mo ago
Cashed out Yes · Trump announces new drug boat strike by December 31?$26mo ago
Bought Yes · Trump announces new drug boat strike by December 31?$27mo ago
Bought Yes · Epstein blackmail evidence released by March 31?$37mo ago
Bought No · Epstein blackmail evidence released in 2025? $17mo ago
Cashed out Yes · S&P 500 all time high by December 31?$37mo ago