← Whale Watch

Aristocracy

Predicting since Jul 202539 markets tradedPolymarket profile ↗

Down $24K on Politics markets since Jul 2025.

Right now: $3.9K riding on Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?.

Biggest hit: +$7.5K on Will Trump meet with Vladimir Putin in August?.

All-time PnL
+$0
This year
+$0
Last 30 days
+$0
Portfolio value
$0

Deep stats

Bucko Oracle
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Profit over time

What they are betting now

MarketSideStakeEntryNowPnL
Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?PoliticsYes$3.9K17¢7.5¢-$2.1K
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?PoliticsNo$8989¢80¢-$10
US x Iran meeting by February 6, 2026?PoliticsNoResolved$9009.0¢0.0¢-$900
Will Trump visit Greenland by March 31?PoliticsYesResolved$52211¢0.0¢-$522
Will Elon Musk post 110-119 tweets from January 5 to January 7, 2026?PoliticsYesResolved$618¢0.0¢-$6
Will Elon Musk post 130-139 tweets from January 5 to January 7, 2026?PoliticsYesResolved$13222¢0.0¢-$132
Will Elon Musk post 120-129 tweets from January 5 to January 7, 2026?PoliticsYesResolved$12525¢0.0¢-$125
Will Elon Musk post 500-519 tweets from December 30 to January 6, 2026?PoliticsYesResolved$10012¢0.0¢-$100
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire before October?PoliticsYesResolved$100019¢0.0¢-$1000
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?PoliticsYesResolved$90045¢0.0¢-$900
Will any Minnesota politician be charged with fraud by March 31?PoliticsYesResolved$8919¢0.0¢-$89

Where the money comes from

Realized + open PnL by category

Politics-$24K
Tech+$1.5K
Crypto-$155
Mentions+$80
Biggest hit
+$7.5K
Will Trump meet with Vladimir Putin in August?
Toughest beat
-$10K
Trump, Putin, and Zelensky meet together by August 31?

Recent moves

  • Sold Yes · Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?$6251mo ago
  • Sold Yes · Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?$121mo ago
  • Sold Yes · Will Trump recognize Somaliland before 2027?$331mo ago
  • Cashed out Yes · US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?$1221mo ago
  • Bought Yes · Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?$1.0K1mo ago
  • Bought Yes · Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?$9001mo ago
  • Bought Yes · Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?$10001mo ago
  • Bought No · Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?$891mo ago
  • Bought Yes · US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?$1001mo ago
  • Bought Yes · Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?$81mo ago
  • Bought Yes · Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?$181mo ago
  • Bought Yes · Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?$11mo ago