← Whale Watch

0x37EA8cD1e66025E4f78301124F995E793d1dF395-1760018986718

Predicting since Oct 2025837 markets tradedPolymarket profile ↗

Down $1.4K on Politics markets since Oct 2025.

All-time PnL
+$0
This year
+$0
Last 30 days
+$0
Portfolio value
$0

Deep stats

Bucko Oracle
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Profit over time

What they are betting now

MarketSideStakeEntryNowPnL
Will Israel strike 6 countries in 2026?PoliticsYes$652.7¢8.8¢+$149
10.0 or above earthquake before 2027?WeatherYes$401.2¢1.8¢+$18
Will Israel strike 4 countries in 2026?PoliticsNo$4141¢56¢+$15
Will Israel strike 8 countries in 2026?PoliticsYes$381.0¢1.3¢+$11
Will Israel strike 7 countries in 2026?PoliticsYes$311.6¢2.3¢+$14
9.0 or above earthquake before 2027?WeatherYes$142.9¢7.6¢+$23
Will Israel strike 9 countries in 2026?PoliticsYes$330.8¢0.9¢+$3
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $7,000 by end of December?FinanceYes$365.9¢5.5¢-$3
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $8,000 by end of December?FinanceYes$424.9¢3.8¢-$10
Will Israel annex any territory by December 31?PoliticsYes$255.9¢7.5¢+$7
New pandemic in 2026?PoliticsYes$449.0¢6.5¢-$12
Will Israel annex West Bank territory before 2027?PoliticsYes$309.4¢7.5¢-$6
Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by September 30?PoliticsYes$174.8¢6.8¢+$7
Will Israel strike 11 countries in 2026?PoliticsYes$150.4¢0.7¢+$9
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $6,000 by end of December?FinanceYes$157.4¢9.5¢+$4
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by August 31?PoliticsYes$3113¢8.0¢-$12
Iran full airspace closure by July 31?PoliticsYes$166.7¢6.5¢-$1
Will Trump meet with Netanyahu by July 31, 2026?PoliticsNo$143.4¢3.3¢-$1
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in July?FinanceNo$1560¢55¢-$1
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in July?FinanceYes$2914¢6.1¢-$16
Will fewer than 220 ships transit the Bab el-Mandeb Strait between July 20-July 26?PoliticsYes$14.8¢64¢+$10
Israel closes its airspace by July 31?PoliticsYes$96.8¢7.5¢+$1
Will there be 8 or fewer earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwide from July 20 - July 26?WeatherNo$881¢99¢+$2
Joseph Aoun out as President of Lebanon by December 31?PoliticsYes$74.7¢5.5¢+$1
Will Israel strike 13 countries in 2026?PoliticsYes$50.1¢0.1¢+$1
Will there be exactly 14 earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwide from July 20 - July 26?WeatherYes$94.2¢2.7¢-$3
Will Israel strike 12 countries in 2026?PoliticsYes$80.3¢0.2¢-$2
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in July?FinanceNo$1625¢9.0¢-$10
Megaquake by July 31?WeatherYes$93.4¢2.0¢-$4
Will Israel strike 10 countries in 2026?PoliticsYes$50.4¢0.4¢+$0
Will there be Houthi military action against Israel by July 31, 2026?PoliticsYes$43.5¢3.7¢+$0
Will there be exactly 12 earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwide from July 20 - July 26?WeatherYes$24.0¢7.2¢+$2
Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 31?PoliticsYes$72.8¢1.7¢-$3
Will there be exactly 13 earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwide from July 20 - July 26?WeatherYes$75.5¢3.3¢-$3
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $95 in July?FinanceYes$16.4¢17¢+$2
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 31?PoliticsNo$211¢13¢+$0
Iran full airspace closure by July 27?PoliticsYes$89.3¢2.5¢-$6
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 26?PoliticsNo$95.0¢1.1¢-$7
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by July 31?PoliticsYes$82.3¢0.5¢-$6
Will US crude oil reserves fall to 270M by August 31?PoliticsYes$116¢33¢+$1
Will 250 to 279 tornadoes occur in the United States in July 2026?WeatherYes$23.0¢2.0¢-$1
Will Germany recognize Palestine before 2027?PoliticsYes$12.8¢5.7¢+$1
Will there be more than 14 earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwide from July 20 - July 26?WeatherYes$87.9¢1.3¢-$7
Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by May 31, 2026?PoliticsNoResolved$102.2¢0.0¢-$10
Israel closes its airspace by May 31?PoliticsYesResolved$84.0¢0.0¢-$8
Will US announce location or date of US and Iran deal signing by June 13, 2026?PoliticsNoResolved$162.3¢0.0¢-$16
Will the 7-day moving average of Strait of Hormuz transits be less than 4 on April 19, 2026?PoliticsYesResolved$83.3¢0.0¢-$8
Israel enacts military exemption for Yeshiva students by Sep 30?PoliticsNoResolved$31.6¢0.0¢-$3
Will there be exactly 0 major space weather events this week?WeatherNoResolved$08.0¢0.0¢-$0
Will there be exactly 11 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide by June 30?WeatherYesResolved$10.6¢0.0¢-$1
Will US announce location or date of US and Iran deal signing by June 15, 2026?PoliticsNoResolved$162.3¢0.0¢-$16
Will Gold (GC) hit (LOW) $4,400 by end of June?FinanceNoResolved$10.3¢0.0¢-$1
Israel closes its airspace by June 15?PoliticsYesResolved$222.2¢0.0¢-$22
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 7?PoliticsNoResolved$1024.1¢0.0¢-$102
Iran full airspace closure by July 24?PoliticsYesResolved$202.7¢0.0¢-$20
US bank failure by May 31?EconomyYesResolved$454.2¢0.0¢-$45
Will there be exactly 4 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from April 6 - 12?WeatherYesResolved$10.6¢0.0¢-$1
Israel closes its airspace by May 24?PoliticsYesResolved$10.8¢0.0¢-$1
Israel closes its airspace by July 15?PoliticsYesResolved$161.6¢0.0¢-$16
Will there be exactly 1 earthquake of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from July 14 - July 19?WeatherNoResolved$12.4¢0.0¢-$1
Will there be exactly 3 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from May 18 - 24?WeatherYesResolved$20.4¢0.0¢-$2
Will US announce location or date of US and Iran deal signing by June 14, 2026? PoliticsNoResolved$162.3¢0.0¢-$16
Will Israel strike 3 countries in April 2026?PoliticsYesResolved$64.4¢0.0¢-$6
Will Lionel Messi be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?World CupYesResolved$40.7¢0.0¢-$4
Will there be exactly 3 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from May 4 - 10?WeatherYesResolved$53.7¢0.0¢-$5
Will Trump say "Kharg Island" this week? (April 12)MentionsYesResolved$011¢0.0¢-$0
Will there be exactly 1 earthquake of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from April 20 - 26?WeatherNoResolved$82.6¢0.0¢-$8
Will there be exactly 4 earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwide by April 5?WeatherYesResolved$24.3¢0.0¢-$2
Will Iran strike Safaniya Field by April 30?PoliticsYesResolved$83.1¢0.0¢-$8
Will there be exactly 9 earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwide from May 25 - 31?WeatherYesResolved$00.1¢0.0¢-$0
U.S. evacuates Beirut Embassy by June 30?PoliticsYesResolved$10.5¢0.0¢-$1
Another 7.0 or above earthquake by April 30, 2026?WeatherYesResolved$41.5¢0.0¢-$4
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $5,700 by end of June?FinanceYesResolved$52.6¢0.0¢-$5
Will there be exactly 7 earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwide from April 13 - April 19?WeatherYesResolved$45.8¢0.0¢-$4
Megaquake by June 30?WeatherYesResolved$181.4¢0.0¢-$18
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 Week of April 13 2026?FinanceYesResolved$94.4¢0.0¢-$9
Will there be more than 5 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from June 22 - 28?WeatherYesResolved$00.1¢0.0¢-$0
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $90 in April?FinanceNoResolved$183.6¢0.0¢-$18
Congress passes Iran war powers resolution by April 30?PoliticsYesResolved$21.0¢0.0¢-$2
Will there be exactly 2 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from June 8 - 14?WeatherYesResolved$42.7¢0.0¢-$4
Will Iran strike Ras Tanura by April 30?PoliticsYesResolved$125.8¢0.0¢-$12
Israel military action on Damascus by June 30, 2026?PoliticsYesResolved$423.2¢0.0¢-$42
Will Iran strike Habshan Field or any Processing Plants of the Habshan Complex by April 30?PoliticsYesResolved$124.9¢0.0¢-$12
Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 7?PoliticsYesResolved$20.3¢0.0¢-$2
Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by June 30?PoliticsYesResolved$10.4¢0.0¢-$1
Will Iran strike Khurais Field by April 30?PoliticsYesResolved$65.0¢0.0¢-$6
Will there be exactly 9 earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwide from June 1 - 7?WeatherYesResolved$10.6¢0.0¢-$1
Will there be exactly 3 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from April 27 - May 3?WeatherYesResolved$10.8¢0.0¢-$1
Will Israel annex any territory by June 30?PoliticsYesResolved$61.2¢0.0¢-$6
Will there be exactly 12 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide by June 30?WeatherYesResolved$10.3¢0.0¢-$1
Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by June 30?PoliticsYesResolved$94.3¢0.0¢-$9
Will there be exactly 2 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from June 29 - July 5?WeatherYesResolved$33.9¢0.0¢-$3
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $115 Week of April 13 2026?FinanceYesResolved$76.5¢0.0¢-$7
Will there be more than 5 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from June 29 - July 5?WeatherYesResolved$10.3¢0.0¢-$1
Another 7.0 or above earthquake by May 30, 2026?WeatherYesResolved$107.8¢0.0¢-$10
Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 17?PoliticsYesResolved$23.7¢0.0¢-$2
Military action against Iran ends by April 14, 2026?PoliticsNoResolved$60.8¢0.0¢-$6
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 Week of April 13 2026?FinanceYesResolved$144.8¢0.0¢-$14
Will Natural Gas (NG) hit (HIGH) $3.40 in April?FinanceYesResolved$313¢0.0¢-$3
Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 24?PoliticsYesResolved$111.5¢0.0¢-$11

Where the money comes from

Realized + open PnL by category · still crunching older history, totals will deepen

Politics-$1.4K
Finance-$405
Mentions+$124
Weather-$55
Crypto-$52
Economy-$45
Tech-$36
Other+$34
World Cup-$7
NFL+$5
Biggest hit
+$292
Will there be 18–20 inches of snow in NYC this weekend?
Toughest beat
-$101
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by March 31?

Recent moves

  • Bought Yes · Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in July?$040m ago
  • Bought Yes · Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by August 15?$13h ago
  • Bought Yes · Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in July?$33h ago
  • Bought Yes · Iran full airspace closure by July 31?$34h ago
  • Bought Yes · Iran full airspace closure by July 31?$34h ago
  • Bought No · Will Trump meet with Netanyahu by July 31, 2026?$34h ago
  • Bought Yes · Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 31?$35h ago
  • Bought Yes · Israel closes its airspace by July 31?$15h ago
  • Bought Yes · Will Israel strike 10 countries in 2026?$05h ago
  • Bought Yes · Will Israel strike 11 countries in 2026?$05h ago
  • Bought Yes · Iran full airspace closure by July 31?$05h ago
  • Bought Yes · Iran full airspace closure by July 31?$15h ago