← Whale Watch

Aurelius7

Predicting since Jul 2024524 markets tradedPolymarket profile ↗

Down $7.0K on NFL markets since Jul 2024.

Right now: $2.7K riding on Fordow nuclear facility destroyed before July?.

Biggest hit: +$4.9K on US military action against Iran before July?.

All-time PnL
+$0
This year
+$0
Last 30 days
+$0
Portfolio value
$0

Deep stats

Bucko Oracle
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Profit over time

What they are betting now

MarketSideStakeEntryNowPnL
Will Karen Bass win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?PoliticsYes$30360¢64¢+$18
Will Parti Québécois win the most seats in the 2026 Quebec general election?PoliticsYes$26460¢71¢+$45
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?PoliticsYes$14464¢79¢+$34
Will the Republicans win the Iowa Senate race in 2026?PoliticsYes$17562¢59¢-$10
Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?PoliticsYes$505.4¢16¢+$94
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D HousePoliticsYes$10037¢42¢+$12
Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?PoliticsYes$1005.1¢5.1¢-$0
Will the Republicans win the Maine Senate race in 2026?PoliticsYes$10037¢33¢-$12
Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?PoliticsYes$10067¢56¢-$16
Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?PoliticsYes$5039¢53¢+$17
Cuban regime falls in 2026?PoliticsNo$5066¢85¢+$14
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?PoliticsYes$10039¢24¢-$39
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?PoliticsYes$5018¢20¢+$7
Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026?PoliticsYes$5061¢56¢-$4
Will Mark Kelly win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?PoliticsYes$402.7¢2.1¢-$8
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?EconomyYes$2461¢57¢-$1
Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?PoliticsNo$2081¢88¢+$2
Will the Republicans win the Vermont governor race in 2026?PoliticsYes$2080¢83¢+$1
Don Lemon sentenced to prison?PoliticsYes$4013¢6.2¢-$21
Will Jordan Bardella win the 2027 French presidential election?PoliticsYes$13026¢3.4¢-$113
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?PoliticsYes$2035¢20¢-$9
Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?PoliticsYes$6559¢9.5¢-$54
Will Josh Hawley win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?PoliticsYes$251.4¢0.4¢-$19
Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?PoliticsYes$13028¢0.4¢-$128
Israel withdraws from Lebanon by July 31, 2026?PoliticsYes$4014¢0.5¢-$38
Will Alphabet be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on February 28?EconomyYesResolved$10078¢0.0¢-$100
UFC Fight Night: Geoff Neal vs. Uros Medic (Welterweight, Prelims)UFC / MMAGeoff NealResolved$10066¢0.0¢-$100
Will Jason Miyares win the 2025 Virginia Attorney General election?PoliticsYesResolved$21563¢0.0¢-$215
Will Zelenskyy wear a suit before July?CultureYesResolved$23016¢0.0¢-$230
Will "Sentimental Value" win Best Motion Picture - Non-English Language at the 83rd Golden Globes?CultureYesResolved$3029¢0.0¢-$30
Monad market cap (FDV) >$6B one day after launch?CryptoYesResolved$3076¢0.0¢-$30
Supreme Court rules in favor of Trump's tariffs?PoliticsYesResolved$15032¢0.0¢-$150
Spain vs. Belgium: O/U 2.5World CupUnderResolved$20047¢0.0¢-$200
Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by May 31?PoliticsNoResolved$5045¢0.0¢-$50
Spread: Patriots (-7.5)NFLTitansResolved$17057¢0.0¢-$170
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?World CupYesResolved$20035¢0.0¢-$200
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by March 31st?PoliticsYesResolved$20046¢0.0¢-$200
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 1, 10AM ETCryptoDownResolved$2550¢0.0¢-$25
US-Iran nuclear deal by April 30?PoliticsYesResolved$5013¢0.0¢-$50
Will MEXC be accused of insider trading?CryptoYesResolved$12511¢0.0¢-$125
49ers vs. RamsNFLRamsResolved$40071¢0.0¢-$400
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by March 31?PoliticsYesResolved$20020¢0.0¢-$200
Will the Houston Texans win Super Bowl 2026?NFLYesResolved$40015¢0.0¢-$400
Spread: Chiefs (-3.5)NFLChiefsResolved$25052¢0.0¢-$250
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 9, 12:05AM-12:10AM ETCryptoUpResolved$9853¢0.0¢-$98
Will Trump agree to withdraw troops from the Iranian region by June 30?PoliticsNoResolved$18077¢0.0¢-$180
Will Gemini 3.0 be released by October 31?TechYesResolved$20051¢0.0¢-$200
Will another company be accused of insider trading?CryptoYesResolved$10016¢0.0¢-$100
Will UP win the most seats in the Chamber of Deputies following the 2025 Argentina election?PoliticsYesResolved$2035¢0.0¢-$20
UFC 329: Max Holloway vs. Conor McGregor (Welterweight, Main Card)UFC / MMAConor McGregorResolved$8030¢0.0¢-$80
Will Aryna Sabalenka be the 2026 Women’s Wimbledon Winner?TennisYesResolved$20016¢0.0¢-$200
Will Trump nominate Rick Rieder as the next Fed chair?PoliticsYesResolved$30049¢0.0¢-$300
Will Jannik Sinner win the 2026 Men's French Open?TennisYesResolved$20074¢0.0¢-$200
Packers vs. BearsNFLPackersResolved$43055¢0.0¢-$430
Monad market cap (FDV) >$8B one day after launch?CryptoYesResolved$2556¢0.0¢-$25
Spread: Packers (-2.5)NFLLionsResolved$8054¢0.0¢-$80
Madrid Open: Mirra Andreeva vs Marta KostyukTennisMirra AndreevaResolved$12540¢0.0¢-$125
Will Novak Djokovic win the 2026 Men's French Open?TennisYesResolved$10020¢0.0¢-$100
Fordow nuclear facility destroyed before July?PoliticsNoResolved$2.7K60¢0.0¢-$2.7K
Spread: Bears (-6.5)NFLSaintsResolved$20060¢0.0¢-$200
Patriots vs. BuccaneersNFLBuccaneersResolved$15059¢0.0¢-$150
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?PoliticsNoResolved$1.3K18¢0.0¢-$1.3K
US strikes Iran by February 22, 2026?PoliticsYesResolved$5012¢0.0¢-$50
Roland Garros ATP: Casper Ruud vs Joao FonsecaTennisCasper RuudResolved$15063¢0.0¢-$150
Will Robinhood be accused of insider trading?CryptoYesResolved$157.2¢0.0¢-$15
Will France win on 2026-07-14?World CupYesResolved$45043¢0.0¢-$450
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?CryptoYesResolved$50.7¢0.0¢-$5
UFC Freedom 250: Ciryl Gane vs. Alex Pereira (Heavyweight, Main Card)UFC / MMAAlex PereiraResolved$44551¢0.0¢-$445
Will France win on 2026-07-18?World CupYesResolved$34153¢0.0¢-$341
Spain vs. Belgium: 1st Half O/U 0.5World CupUnderResolved$10031¢0.0¢-$100
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 1, 9AM ETCryptoDownResolved$524¢0.0¢-$5
Cowboys vs. Jets: O/U 50.5NFLUnderResolved$8060¢0.0¢-$80
Spread: Jaguars (-2.5)NFLCardinalsResolved$27952¢0.0¢-$279
Spread: Rams (-7.5)NFLRavensResolved$12556¢0.0¢-$125
Will Wintermute be accused of insider trading?CryptoYesResolved$101.8¢0.0¢-$10
Will Carlos Alcaraz win the 2026 Roland Garros Men's Singles?Other sportsYesResolved$4928¢0.0¢-$49
Spread: Buccaneers (-2.5)NFLBuccaneersResolved$25053¢0.0¢-$250
Spread: Patriots (-3.5)NFLTexansResolved$33953¢0.0¢-$339
Steelers vs. BrownsNFLSteelersResolved$206.4¢0.0¢-$20
Will Tisza win at least 130 seats?PoliticsNoResolved$40069¢0.0¢-$400
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?PoliticsNoResolved$25039¢0.0¢-$250
Spain vs. Argentina: Spain O/U 1.5World CupOverResolved$61040¢0.0¢-$610
Rolex Monte Carlo Masters: Cameron Norrie vs Miomir KecmanovicTennisMiomir KecmanovicResolved$4933¢0.0¢-$49
United States vs. Belgium: Team to AdvanceWorld CupUnited StatesResolved$10053¢0.0¢-$100
Spread: Broncos (-1.5)NFLBillsResolved$15056¢0.0¢-$150
Ilhan Omar town hall attack staged?PoliticsYesResolved$204.3¢0.0¢-$20
Bills vs. FalconsNFLBillsResolved$15048¢0.0¢-$150
Will Jannik Sinner win the 2026 Australian Open?TennisYesResolved$1550¢0.0¢-$15
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 9, 12:10AM-12:15AM ETCryptoUpResolved$3939¢0.0¢-$39
Spread: Chiefs (-4.5)NFLChiefsResolved$10056¢0.0¢-$100
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?PoliticsNoResolved$503.1¢0.0¢-$50
Roland Garros ATP: Alejandro Davidovich Fokina vs Thiago Agustin TiranteTennisAlejandro Davidovich FokinaResolved$4042¢0.0¢-$40
Eagles vs. ChargersNFLEaglesResolved$24151¢0.0¢-$241
Will Sanae Takaichi be the Prime Minister of Japan as a result of the 2026 snap election?PoliticsNoResolved$251.7¢0.0¢-$25
Will Kylian Mbappe be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?World CupNoResolved$5076¢0.0¢-$50
Ravens vs. PackersNFLPackersResolved$31056¢0.0¢-$310
Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?PoliticsYesResolved$507.9¢0.0¢-$50
Mariners vs. Blue JaysMLBBlue JaysResolved$7555¢0.0¢-$75
Jacob Elordi announced as next James Bond?CultureYesResolved$204.8¢0.0¢-$20
Spread: 49ers (-3.5)NFLBearsResolved$15051¢0.0¢-$150

Where the money comes from

Realized + open PnL by category

NFL-$7.0K
World Cup-$967
UFC / MMA-$852
Hockey (other)-$748
Crypto-$634
NBA+$463
Politics+$303
Culture-$213
MLB+$150
NHL+$133
Boxing-$125
Tech+$102
Biggest hit
+$4.9K
US military action against Iran before July?
Toughest beat
-$5.4K
Super Bowl LIX Winner

Recent moves

  • Bought Over · Spain vs. Argentina: Spain O/U 1.5$1657d ago
  • Bought Over · Spain vs. Argentina: Spain O/U 1.5$1557d ago
  • Bought Over · Spain vs. Argentina: Spain O/U 1.5$3097d ago
  • Sold No · Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Gaza by December 31?$1917d ago
  • Sold Yes · Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?$1767d ago
  • Sold Argentina · Spain vs. Argentina: Team to Advance$1467d ago
  • Sold Yes · Will Lionel Messi be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$2987d ago
  • Bought Yes · Will Lionel Messi be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$3447d ago
  • Bought Spain vs. Argentina: Team to Advance AND France vs. England: Team to Win$1608d ago
  • Bought Argentina · Spain vs. Argentina: Team to Advance$1548d ago
  • Bought France · France vs. England: Team to Win$8138d ago