← Whale Watch

guanda1990

Predicting since Oct 2024413 markets tradedPolymarket profile ↗

Down $1.3K on Crypto markets since Oct 2024.

All-time PnL
+$0
This year
+$0
Last 30 days
+$0
Portfolio value
$0

Deep stats

Bucko Oracle
Loading…

Profit over time

What they are betting now

MarketSideStakeEntryNowPnL
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?PoliticsNo$28294¢96¢+$7
China x Japan military clash before 2027?PoliticsNo$23193¢93¢-$0
Israel withdraws from Lebanon by July 31, 2026?PoliticsNo$18492¢99¢+$15
Iran leadership change by July 31?PoliticsNo$18497¢99¢+$4
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?PoliticsNo$18492¢92¢-$1
Cuban regime falls in 2026?PoliticsNo$14673¢82¢+$18
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?PoliticsNo$16080¢80¢-$1
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by July 31?PoliticsNo$13690¢99¢+$14
IAEA visits Isfahan, Fordow, or Natanz nuclear site by July 31?PoliticsNo$14198¢100¢+$2
US strike on Cuba by December 31?PoliticsNo$11256¢68¢+$23
Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?PoliticsNo$11092¢96¢+$5
Will Count Binface win the Clacton by-election?PoliticsNo$9696¢96¢+$0
Will Anthropic IPO by September 30, 2026?FinanceNo$9191¢94¢+$3
Will OpenSea launch a token by December 31, 2026?CryptoNo$7676¢80¢+$5
Will Petr Yan fight Merab Dvalishvili next?UFC / MMAYes$8282¢68¢-$14
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by December 31, 2026?PoliticsNo$7171¢68¢-$3
Extended FDV above $3B one day after launch?CryptoNo$5999¢99¢-$0
Will Ousmane Dembélé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Soccer (other)No$4489¢99¢+$5
Will GPT-6 be released by August 31, 2026?TechNo$4468¢73¢+$3
Will Donald Trump visit India in 2026?PoliticsNo$4080¢91¢+$6
Will Mercedes be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion?Formula 1Yes$4487¢86¢-$1
Will there be a safety car during the 2026 F1 Hungarian Grand Prix?Formula 1No$2141¢78¢+$19
Will HYPE flip SOL by December 31?CryptoNo$3792¢93¢+$0
Will Jean-Luc Mélenchon win the 2027 French presidential election?PoliticsNo$2791¢88¢-$1
Will OpenSea launch a token by September 30, 2026?CryptoNo$2493¢97¢+$1
Will Romeu Zema win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?PoliticsNo$1891¢99¢+$2
Will SpaceX have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?TechYes$1889¢86¢-$1
Will Hyperliquid reach $80 by December 31, 2026?CryptoNo$2378¢54¢-$7
Will Sarah Knafo win the 2027 French presidential election?PoliticsNo$1098¢99¢+$0
Will Raphaël Glucksmann win the 2027 French presidential election?PoliticsNo$1098¢98¢+$0
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?PoliticsYes$421¢27¢+$1
Will Elon Musk post 1120-1159 tweets in April 2026?PoliticsYesResolved$1224¢0.0¢-$12
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from April 28 to May 5, 2026?PoliticsYesResolved$1919¢0.0¢-$19
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026?PoliticsYesResolved$1019¢0.0¢-$10
Will Hyperliquid reach $66 by December 31, 2026?CryptoNoResolved$4487¢0.0¢-$44
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?World CupYesResolved$13524¢0.0¢-$135
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from April 30 to May 2, 2026?PoliticsYesResolved$2424¢0.0¢-$24
Will 60 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?PoliticsYesResolved$3162¢0.0¢-$31
Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from April 10 to April 17, 2026?PoliticsYesResolved$2324¢0.0¢-$23
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026?PoliticsYesResolved$22142¢0.0¢-$221
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from April 17 to April 24, 2026?PoliticsYesResolved$4322¢0.0¢-$43
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026?PoliticsYesResolved$4832¢0.0¢-$48
Will Elon Musk post 620-639 tweets in May 2026?PoliticsYesResolved$15.8¢0.0¢-$1
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from April 24 to May 1, 2026?PoliticsYesResolved$1919¢0.0¢-$19
Will Bitcoin dip to $58,000 June 1-7?CryptoYesResolved$4239¢0.0¢-$42
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from May 1 to May 8, 2026?PoliticsYesResolved$6032¢0.0¢-$60
Will Chong Won-oh win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral ElectionPoliticsYesResolved$987¢0.0¢-$9
Will Alibaba have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?PoliticsYesResolved$4488¢0.0¢-$44
Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from April 17 to April 24, 2026?PoliticsYesResolved$1414¢0.0¢-$14
Will Ethereum dip to $1,450 on June 5?CryptoYesResolved$113.7¢0.0¢-$11
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?PoliticsYesResolved$5656¢0.0¢-$56
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?CryptoYesResolved$400.8¢0.0¢-$40
Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?World CupYesResolved$606.5¢0.0¢-$60
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from May 26 to June 2, 2026?PoliticsYesResolved$6950¢0.0¢-$69
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from April 21 to April 28, 2026?PoliticsYesResolved$3221¢0.0¢-$32
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from April 24 to May 1, 2026?PoliticsYesResolved$3030¢0.0¢-$30
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026?PoliticsNoResolved$2832¢0.0¢-$28
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026?PoliticsYesResolved$21966¢0.0¢-$219
Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?MentionsYesResolved$2479¢0.0¢-$24
Will Hyperliquid reach $70 by December 31, 2026?CryptoNoResolved$3470¢0.0¢-$34
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from May 26 to June 2, 2026?PoliticsNoResolved$13295¢0.0¢-$132
Will Tamilaga Vettri Kazhagam (TVK) win the most seats in the 2026 Tamil Nadu Legislative Assembly election?PoliticsNoResolved$2789¢0.0¢-$27
UFC Freedom 250: Justin Gaethje vs. Ilia Topuria (Lightweight, Main Card)UFC / MMAIlia TopuriaResolved$5083¢0.0¢-$50
Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from April 10 to April 17, 2026?PoliticsYesResolved$1112¢0.0¢-$11
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from May 14 to May 16, 2026?PoliticsNoResolved$2893¢0.0¢-$28
Will Bitcoin dip to $59,000 on June 5?CryptoYesResolved$7228¢0.0¢-$72
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from April 21 to April 28, 2026?PoliticsYesResolved$1212¢0.0¢-$12
Will Elon Musk post 600-619 tweets in May 2026?PoliticsYesResolved$14.8¢0.0¢-$1
Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?World CupYesResolved$884.4¢0.0¢-$88
Spain vs. Argentina: Team to AdvanceWorld CupArgentinaResolved$1030¢0.0¢-$10
Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?World CupYesResolved$442.2¢0.0¢-$44
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from May 22 to May 29, 2026?PoliticsYesResolved$6860¢0.0¢-$68
Will Trump say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" during events with Xi Jinping?MentionsYesResolved$3876¢0.0¢-$38
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026?PoliticsYesResolved$3737¢0.0¢-$37
Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from May 8 to May 15, 2026?PoliticsYesResolved$7336¢0.0¢-$73
Will Hyperliquid reach $52 in May?CryptoNoResolved$681¢0.0¢-$6
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from May 2 to May 4, 2026?PoliticsYesResolved$4545¢0.0¢-$45
Will a Claude Mythos model be released by June 15, 2026?TechNoResolved$18492¢0.0¢-$184
Will Elon Musk post 1080-1119 tweets in April 2026?PoliticsYesResolved$2653¢0.0¢-$26
Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from April 28 to May 5, 2026?PoliticsYesResolved$4422¢0.0¢-$44
Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from May 8 to May 15, 2026?PoliticsYesResolved$8141¢0.0¢-$81
Will Trump say "Tariff" during events with Xi Jinping?MentionsYesResolved$1364¢0.0¢-$13
Will Taylor Fritz be the 2026 Men’s Wimbledon winner?TennisYesResolved$29.3¢0.0¢-$2
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from April 28 to May 5, 2026?PoliticsYesResolved$5829¢0.0¢-$58
Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 Champions League?Champions LeagueYesResolved$10319¢0.0¢-$103
Will Bitcoin dip to $58,000 on June 5?CryptoYesResolved$199.6¢0.0¢-$19
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from April 23 to April 25, 2026?PoliticsYesResolved$3977¢0.0¢-$39
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from April 10 to April 17, 2026?PoliticsYesResolved$2122¢0.0¢-$21
Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?World CupYesResolved$1045.2¢0.0¢-$104
Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from April 28 to May 5, 2026?PoliticsYesResolved$1919¢0.0¢-$19
Will Anthropic have the best Math AI model at the end of April 2026?TechNoResolved$6075¢0.0¢-$60
Will Bitcoin dip to $56,000 on June 5?CryptoYesResolved$303.0¢0.0¢-$30
Will Bayern Munich win the 2025–26 Champions League?Champions LeagueYesResolved$17417¢0.0¢-$174

Where the money comes from

Realized + open PnL by category

Crypto-$1.3K
Tech-$605
World Cup-$275
Mentions-$74
UFC / MMA-$64
NFL+$50
Boxing+$39
Politics+$38
Finance+$38
Formula 1+$26
Champions League+$25
La Liga-$20
Biggest hit
+$484
Another critical Cloudflare incident by March 31?
Toughest beat
-$515
Backpack FDV above $1B one day after launch?

Recent moves

  • Bought No · Will there be a safety car during the 2026 F1 Hungarian Grand Prix?$216h ago
  • Cashed out No · Will Angela Rayner be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?$1006d ago
  • Cashed out No · World Cup: Most Player Goals Record Broken?$506d ago
  • Cashed out No · World Cup: Goalkeeper to Score?$1006d ago
  • Cashed out Yes · President Trump to Attend World Cup Final?$1006d ago
  • Cashed out Yes · Will Spain vs. Argentina end in a draw?$206d ago
  • Bought Argentina · Spain vs. Argentina: Team to Advance$106d ago
  • Bought Yes · Will Spain vs. Argentina end in a draw?$86d ago
  • Cashed out No · Will Max Verstappen win the 2026 F1 Belgian Grand Prix?$806d ago
  • Cashed out No · Will Charles Leclerc win the 2026 F1 Belgian Grand Prix?$506d ago
  • Bought No · Will GPT-6 be released by August 31, 2026?$416d ago
  • Bought No · Will GPT-6 be released by August 31, 2026?$36d ago