friendlyreward

Predicting since Jul 20262,517 markets tradedPolymarket profile ↗

All-time PnL

+$0

This year

+$0

Last 30 days

+$0

Portfolio value

Deep stats

Bucko Oracle

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Profit over time

What they are betting now

Market	Side	Stake	Entry	Now	PnL
Will Boeing say "Guidance" during earnings call?Mentions	Yes	$21	69¢	48¢	-$6
Will Opendoor Technologies (OPEN) beat quarterly earnings?Finance	Yes	$33	66¢	26¢	-$20
Will ConocoPhillips (COP) beat quarterly earnings?Finance	No	$10	52¢	28¢	-$5
Will Trump say "Forever" during tribute to Lindsey Graham?Mentions	No	$10	50¢	26¢	-$5
Will Gary Cordery win the 2026 Hawaii Governor Republican primary election?Politics	No	$11	57¢	19¢	-$8
Will Coinbase Global, Inc. (COIN) hit (LOW) $135 in July?Finance	Yes	$4	19¢	17¢	-$0
Will Expedia Group (EXPE) beat quarterly earnings?Finance	No	$11	53¢	17¢	-$7
Will Ralph Lauren (RL) beat quarterly earnings?Finance	No	$11	53¢	17¢	-$7
Will Frontdoor (FTDR) beat quarterly earnings?Finance	No	$8	42¢	17¢	-$5
Will Dropbox (DBX) beat quarterly earnings?Finance	No	$8	40¢	16¢	-$5
Will ON Semiconductor (ON) beat quarterly earnings?Finance	No	$5	34¢	19¢	-$2
Will there be exactly 10 earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwide from July 20 - July 26?Weather	Yes	$3	34¢	18¢	-$2
Who will win the gold medal in Men's Skateboard Street at X Games New Orleans 2026?Other sports	YesResolved	$2	18¢	0.0¢	-$2
Will MrBeast say "Cheat" or "Cheater" during his next YouTube video?Mentions	YesResolved	$6	14¢	0.0¢	-$6
Will Team Dallas/Detroit win the 2026 Shooting Stars at WNBA All-Star?Basketball (other)	YesResolved	$11	21¢	0.0¢	-$11
Will "Alignment" be said during the next episode of the All-In Podcast?Mentions	YesResolved	$3	17¢	0.0¢	-$3
Who will win the gold medal in Women's Skateboard Vert at X Games New Orleans 2026?Other sports	YesResolved	$3	56¢	0.0¢	-$3
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 82-83°F on July 24?Weather	YesResolved	$0	23¢	0.0¢	-$0

Where the money comes from

Realized + open PnL by category · still crunching older history, totals will deepen

Politics-$186

Weather-$183

Finance-$171

Culture-$93

World Cup-$81

Mentions-$74

Economy-$67

Tech-$49

Golf-$35

eSports-$34

MLB-$18

Basketball (other)-$11

Biggest hit

+$0

Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 32°C on July 14?

Toughest beat

-$14

Will Apple (AAPL) Q3 Greater China revenue be above $19B?

Recent moves

Sold Yes · Will Ted Cruz post 100-119 posts from July 24 to July 31, 2026?$62m ago
Bought Yes · Will Ted Cruz post 100-119 posts from July 24 to July 31, 2026?$72m ago
Sold No · Will Lyft (LYFT) Q2 rides be above 265M?$103m ago
Bought No · Will Lyft (LYFT) Q2 rides be above 265M?$143m ago
Sold No · Will Micron Technology, Inc. (MU) hit (LOW) $900 Week of July 27 2026?$68m ago
Bought No · Will Micron Technology, Inc. (MU) hit (LOW) $900 Week of July 27 2026?$68m ago
Sold Yes · Will Tobias Bey win the next Salzgitter mayoral election?$48m ago
Bought Yes · Will Tobias Bey win the next Salzgitter mayoral election?$810m ago
Sold No · WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $86 on July 27?$1316m ago
Bought No · WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $86 on July 27?$1316m ago
Sold No · Will Oliver Junk win the next Hannover Region presidential election?$1029m ago
Bought No · Will Oliver Junk win the next Hannover Region presidential election?$1429m ago