← Whale Watch

horiz0n

Predicting since Jul 2025173 markets tradedPolymarket profile ↗

Down $224K on Politics markets since Jul 2025.

Right now: $172K across 6 Politics markets.

Biggest hit: +$35K on MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?.

All-time PnL
+$0
This year
+$0
Last 30 days
+$0
Portfolio value
$0

Deep stats

Bucko Oracle
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Profit over time

What they are betting now

MarketSideStakeEntryNowPnL
Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?PoliticsNo$1.2K50¢45¢-$135
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?EconomyNo$1.8K60¢15¢-$1.4K
Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?PoliticsNo$18693¢84¢-$18
Trump out as President before 2027?PoliticsYes$39216¢6.5¢-$233
Will Donald Trump Jr. win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?PoliticsYes$1002.5¢1.1¢-$54
Will Fernando Haddad win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?PoliticsYes$373.0¢0.4¢-$33
Dan Bongino out as Deputy Director of the FBI by July 31?PoliticsYesResolved$22018¢0.0¢-$220
Will Trump and Zelenskyy shake hands for less than 2 seconds?PoliticsYesResolved$6911¢0.0¢-$69
Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in April?CryptoYesResolved$20.1¢0.0¢-$2
Will Trump release more Epstein files by August 31?PoliticsNoResolved$71319¢0.0¢-$713
Chirayu Rana apologizes for sexual harassment allegations?PoliticsYesResolved$4387.6¢0.0¢-$438
Blue Jays vs. OriolesMLBBlue JaysResolved$73.0¢0.0¢-$7
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $115 in April?FinanceYesResolved$1.4K10¢0.0¢-$1.4K
Phillies vs. RedsMLBPhilliesResolved$13K52¢0.0¢-$13K
Boxing: Canelo Álvarez vs. Terence Crawford BoxingCaneloResolved$24K57¢0.0¢-$24K
Will Elon Musk unfollow Donald Trump before August?PoliticsYesResolved$2073.1¢0.0¢-$207
Netanyahu out by June 30?PoliticsYesResolved$505.0¢0.0¢-$50
Will GPT-5 be released by August 10?TechNoResolved$3.7K22¢0.0¢-$3.7K
Will Ken Paxton win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?PoliticsNoResolved$77942¢0.0¢-$779
Will Pump.fun perform an airdrop by August 31? CryptoYesResolved$3.7K22¢0.0¢-$3.7K
Astronomer Divorce ParlayCultureYesResolved$9696.5¢0.0¢-$969
Will Taylor Swift x Travis Kelce podcast get between 10-15m views on day 1?CultureNoResolved$62827¢0.0¢-$628
Israel x Hamas ceasefire by September 30?PoliticsYesResolved$1.9K3.8¢0.0¢-$1.9K
Will Choo Kyung-ho win the 2026 Daegu mayoral election?PoliticsNoResolved$98912¢0.0¢-$989
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?PoliticsYesResolved$7.8K11¢0.0¢-$7.8K
Will Israel strike Yemen on September 10 ET?PoliticsNoResolved$14K27¢0.0¢-$14K
Trump out as President by June 30?PoliticsYesResolved$4004.0¢0.0¢-$400
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 11, 2026?PoliticsYesResolved$3.3K3.2¢0.0¢-$3.3K
Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in April?CryptoYesResolved$15317¢0.0¢-$153
Israel x Hamas ceasefire by August 31?PoliticsYesResolved$2.4K9.5¢0.0¢-$2.4K
Will Kanye tweet "$YZY" by Thursday? CryptoYesResolved$17527¢0.0¢-$175
Israel x Hamas ceasefire before August?PoliticsYesResolved$2.6K6.6¢0.0¢-$2.6K
Will Trump pardon Changpeng Zhao in 2025?PoliticsNoResolved$13K51¢0.0¢-$13K
Lynx vs SkyOther sportsSkyResolved$25917¢0.0¢-$259
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $70 in May?FinanceYesResolved$1.1K7.0¢0.0¢-$1.1K
WLFI >$20B market cap (FDV) one day after launch?CryptoNoResolved$11K33¢0.0¢-$11K
Rangers vs. RoyalsMLBRoyalsResolved$5153¢0.0¢-$51
Pump.fun market cap (FDV) >$8B one day after launch?CryptoYesResolved$380.8¢0.0¢-$38
MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$1.5B one day after launch?CryptoNoResolved$12K31¢0.0¢-$12K
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?PoliticsYesResolved$16K57¢0.0¢-$16K
Will Taylor Swift x Travis Kelce podcast get more than 15m views on day 1?CultureYesResolved$12030¢0.0¢-$120
UFC Fight Night: Saint Denis vs. Ruffy UFC / MMARuffy Resolved$5.9K59¢0.0¢-$5.9K
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 8, 2026?PoliticsYesResolved$90.5¢0.0¢-$9
Chirayu Rana sued?FinanceNoResolved$7.6K25¢0.0¢-$7.6K
New arrests in Charlie Kirk shooting by September 30?PoliticsYesResolved$1.5K18¢0.0¢-$1.5K
Will Kim Boo-kyum win the 2026 Daegu mayoral election?PoliticsYesResolved$1.6K11¢0.0¢-$1.6K
Will Andrew Cuomo run as a non-Democrat in the general election? PoliticsNoResolved$4.1K68¢0.0¢-$4.1K
Starmer out by April 30, 2026?PoliticsYesResolved$00.2¢0.0¢-$0
Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in April?CryptoYesResolved$2111.1¢0.0¢-$211
Pump.fun >$4B market cap (FDV) one day after launch?OtherNoResolved$300.9¢0.0¢-$30
Will anyone say "GPT" 15+ times during the OpenAI livestream on August 7?MentionsNoResolved$2168.4¢0.0¢-$216
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026?PoliticsYesResolved$7.0K22¢0.0¢-$7.0K
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?PoliticsYesResolved$58K22¢0.0¢-$58K
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?PoliticsYesResolved$89K39¢0.0¢-$89K
Will GPT-5 be released by July 31?TechYesResolved$8392.8¢0.0¢-$839
Hayden Davis confirmed behind $YZY?CryptoYesResolved$35815¢0.0¢-$358
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?PoliticsYesResolved$40K29¢0.0¢-$40K
Will GPT-5 be released by August 15?TechNoResolved$1.7K14¢0.0¢-$1.7K
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 15, 2026?PoliticsYesResolved$7.5K17¢0.0¢-$7.5K
Israel x Hamas ceasefire by September 15?PoliticsYesResolved$16718¢0.0¢-$167
Spurs vs. TimberwolvesNBATimberwolvesResolved$3006.0¢0.0¢-$300
Will Trump meet with Putin by August 15?PoliticsNoResolved$2.1K13¢0.0¢-$2.1K
Will Putin meet with Trump by September 30?PoliticsNoResolved$5005.0¢0.0¢-$500
Iran leadership change by May 31?PoliticsYesResolved$1.1K14¢0.0¢-$1.1K
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $80 by end of June?FinanceNoResolved$14944¢0.0¢-$149
Will Eric Adams drop out?PoliticsNoResolved$31K56¢0.0¢-$31K
Will xAI have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?TechYesResolved$281.6¢0.0¢-$28
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?PoliticsYesResolved$14K12¢0.0¢-$14K
North Korea missile test by September 15?PoliticsYesResolved$69414¢0.0¢-$694
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?PoliticsYesResolved$4.2K4.2¢0.0¢-$4.2K
Over $8M committed to the Printr public sale?CryptoYesResolved$2828¢0.0¢-$28
Chiefs vs. Cardinals NFLChiefsResolved$382.0¢0.0¢-$38
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?PoliticsYesResolved$17.0¢0.0¢-$1

Where the money comes from

Realized + open PnL by category

Politics-$224K
Crypto+$74K
Finance+$43K
Boxing-$24K
MLB-$13K
Culture+$11K
NFL+$7.1K
eSports-$6.0K
NBA+$5.7K
UFC / MMA+$3.6K
Tech-$2.3K
Economy-$1.4K
Biggest hit
+$35K
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?
Toughest beat
-$35K
Lord Miles completes 40-day water fast in the desert?

Recent moves

  • Sold No · Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?$2706d ago
  • Cashed out No · Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?$1006d ago
  • Cashed out Yes · Will the Iranian regime survive U.S. military strikes?$1216d ago
  • Cashed out Yes · Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?$11K6d ago