← Whale Watch

kekkone

Predicting since Aug 20241,669 markets tradedPolymarket profile ↗

Up $27K on Politics markets since Aug 2024.

Right now: $15K riding on Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?.

Biggest hit: +$2.1K on Yoon out as president of South Korea before May?.

All-time PnL
+$0
This year
+$0
Last 30 days
+$0
Portfolio value
$0

Deep stats

Bucko Oracle
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Profit over time

What they are betting now

MarketSideStakeEntryNowPnL
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?PoliticsNo$15K70¢81¢+$2.4K
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?PoliticsNo$9.3K67¢92¢+$3.4K
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31?PoliticsNo$4.5K79¢95¢+$848
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?PoliticsYes$3.9K81¢79¢-$89
US recognizes Reza Pahlavi as leader of Iran in 2026?PoliticsNo$2.5K74¢95¢+$718
US strike on Cuba by December 31?PoliticsNo$2.8K62¢68¢+$228
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 31?PoliticsYes$2.2K69¢88¢+$582
Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?PoliticsYes$2.6K69¢56¢-$480
Iran full airspace closure by July 31?PoliticsNo$1.3K66¢94¢+$560
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?PoliticsYes$1.5K75¢83¢+$151
Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?PoliticsYes$1.1K62¢82¢+$331
Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?PoliticsNo$1.2K78¢88¢+$147
Iran full airspace closure by August 31?PoliticsNo$82853¢69¢+$247
Israel withdraws from Lebanon by July 31, 2026?PoliticsNo$79881¢99¢+$184
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 15?PoliticsYes$65549¢69¢+$266
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by July 31, 2026?PoliticsNo$85192¢99¢+$64
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 24?PoliticsYes$66835¢44¢+$153
Nothing Ever Happens: 2026PoliticsYes$74368¢74¢+$62
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 31?PoliticsYes$54943¢63¢+$250
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?PoliticsNo$70559¢65¢+$70
Israel and Lebanon normalize relations before 2027?PoliticsNo$63877¢88¢+$85
Mykhailo Fedorov reinstated as Ukrainian Defense Minister by July 31, 2026?PoliticsNo$58389¢98¢+$60
Will OpenAI not IPO by December 31, 2026?TechYes$41955¢81¢+$199
Israel and Syria normalize relations by December 31, 2026?PoliticsNo$49082¢86¢+$21
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?PoliticsYes$66117¢13¢-$181
OpenAI IPO before 2027?TechNo$33656¢80¢+$141
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D HousePoliticsYes$41443¢44¢+$0
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31?PoliticsNo$31077¢88¢+$40
Any country withdraws from EU before 2027?PoliticsNo$16683¢97¢+$27
Israel withdraws from Lebanon by December 31, 2026?PoliticsNo$16884¢89¢+$9
Israel x Turkey military clash before 2027?PoliticsNo$8585¢86¢+$1
Will 2026 be the second-hottest year on record?WeatherYes$4459¢55¢-$3

Where the money comes from

Realized + open PnL by category · still crunching older history, totals will deepen

Politics+$27K
Mentions+$3.6K
Culture+$2.3K
Tech+$1.7K
Crypto-$809
Weather+$423
NFL+$282
Other+$179
Economy+$124
Boxing-$44
UFC / MMA+$37
Other sports-$20
Biggest hit
+$2.1K
Yoon out as president of South Korea before May?
Toughest beat
-$4.8K
Israel military action against Iran before July?

Recent moves

  • Sold Yes · US-Iran 60 day negotiation period extended?$1161h ago
  • Bought Yes · Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?$784h ago
  • Bought Yes · US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 24?$5285h ago
  • Bought Yes · US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 24?$1405h ago
  • Bought No · Israel x Turkey military clash before 2027?$856h ago
  • Sold Yes · Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31?$238h ago
  • Bought Yes · Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 15?$1289h ago
  • Bought Yes · Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31?$2310h ago
  • Bought Yes · Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 31?$11011h ago
  • Bought No · US strike on Cuba by December 31?$68011h ago
  • Bought Yes · US-Iran 60 day negotiation period extended?$10414h ago
  • Bought Yes · Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 31?$13017h ago