← Whale Watch

Realdonaldtrump1

Predicting since Jan 202653 markets tradedPolymarket profile ↗

Down $13K on Politics markets since Jan 2026.

Right now: $5.0K across 9 Politics markets.

All-time PnL
+$0
This year
+$0
Last 30 days
+$0
Portfolio value
$0

Deep stats

Bucko Oracle
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Profit over time

What they are betting now

MarketSideStakeEntryNowPnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 25, 10:40AM-10:45AM ETCryptoDownResolved$13831¢0.0¢-$138
Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from January 13 to January 20, 2026?PoliticsYesResolved$2840.2¢0.0¢-$284
Will Keir Starmer say "International" during the next Prime Minister's Questions?MentionsNoResolved$80.6¢0.0¢-$8
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $98,000 on January 24?CryptoYesResolved$1000.3¢0.0¢-$100
Will Bitcoin reach $115,000 in February?CryptoYesResolved$4080.3¢0.0¢-$408
Will Elon Musk post 520-539 tweets from January 16 to January 23, 2026?PoliticsYesResolved$1002.5¢0.0¢-$100
Will Elon Musk post 500-519 tweets from January 13 to January 20, 2026?PoliticsYesResolved$10028¢0.0¢-$100
Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from January 27 to February 3, 2026?PoliticsYesResolved$1502.7¢0.0¢-$150
Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after January 2026 meeting?PoliticsYesResolved$5100.1¢0.0¢-$510
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $92,000 on January 24?CryptoYesResolved$106.8¢0.0¢-$10
Will the total domestic gross for Avatar: Fire and Ash be between 480m and 520m by January 31?CultureYesResolved$370.2¢0.0¢-$37
Will 2025 be the hottest year on record?WeatherYesResolved$2770.5¢0.0¢-$277
Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from January 16 to January 23, 2026?PoliticsYesResolved$2300.5¢0.0¢-$230
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 22, 6:45PM-6:50PM ETCryptoDownResolved$1401.0¢0.0¢-$140
Will Elon Musk post 600-619 tweets from January 20 to January 27, 2026?PoliticsYesResolved$11.3¢0.0¢-$1
Will Elon Musk post 460-479 tweets from January 13 to January 20, 2026?PoliticsYesResolved$5431.7¢0.0¢-$543
Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from January 16 to January 23, 2026?PoliticsYesResolved$8562.2¢0.0¢-$856
Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from January 13 to January 20, 2026?PoliticsYesResolved$3590.1¢0.0¢-$359
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $94,000 on January 23?CryptoYesResolved$1202.7¢0.0¢-$120
Will Elon Musk post 580-599 tweets from January 16 to January 23, 2026?PoliticsYesResolved$690.1¢0.0¢-$69
Will Elon Musk post 500-519 tweets from January 16 to January 23, 2026?PoliticsYesResolved$1.4K5.0¢0.0¢-$1.4K
Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from January 16 to January 23, 2026?PoliticsYesResolved$1.3K5.9¢0.0¢-$1.3K
Will Keir Starmer say "Denmark" or "Greenland" during the next Prime Minister's Questions?MentionsNoResolved$100.2¢0.0¢-$10
Will Elon Musk post 560-579 tweets from January 16 to January 23, 2026?PoliticsYesResolved$1370.4¢0.0¢-$137
Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from January 16 to January 23, 2026?PoliticsYesResolved$67212¢0.0¢-$672
Will Alex Honnold not complete a free solo of Taipei 101 by January 31?Other sportsYesResolved$8308.6¢0.0¢-$830
Sentient FDV above $400M one day after launch?CryptoNoResolved$370.3¢0.0¢-$37
US strikes Iran by February 1, 2026?PoliticsYesResolved$3.0K7.8¢0.0¢-$3.0K
Will Elon Musk post 560-579 tweets from January 20 to January 27, 2026?PoliticsYesResolved$6003.8¢0.0¢-$600
Will Elon Musk post 540-559 tweets from January 16 to January 23, 2026?PoliticsYesResolved$1571.3¢0.0¢-$157
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $92,000 on January 23?CryptoYesResolved$6000.2¢0.0¢-$600
Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from January 13 to January 20, 2026?PoliticsYesResolved$1350.1¢0.0¢-$135
Will Trump say "Great Shape" this week? (January 25)MentionsNoResolved$728.3¢0.0¢-$72
Sentient FDV above $200M one day after launch?CryptoNoResolved$340.1¢0.0¢-$34
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $102,000 on January 23?CryptoYesResolved$450.1¢0.0¢-$45
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $98,000 on January 23?CryptoYesResolved$800.1¢0.0¢-$80
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after January 2026 meeting?PoliticsYesResolved$24.4¢0.0¢-$2
Will Elon Musk post 420-439 tweets from January 13 to January 20, 2026?PoliticsYesResolved$5660.1¢0.0¢-$566
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $96,000 on January 23?CryptoYesResolved$550.6¢0.0¢-$55
US x Iran meeting by February 28, 2026?PoliticsNoResolved$5905.1¢0.0¢-$590
US strikes Iran by January 23, 2026?PoliticsYesResolved$6003.5¢0.0¢-$600
Will Elon Musk post 440-459 tweets from January 13 to January 20, 2026?PoliticsYesResolved$7770.6¢0.0¢-$777
Will Elon Musk post 0-19 tweets from January 13 to January 20, 2026?PoliticsYesResolved$540.7¢0.0¢-$54
Will December 2025 be the 2nd hottest on record?WeatherYesResolved$1271.5¢0.0¢-$127
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $104,000 on January 23?CryptoYesResolved$940.1¢0.0¢-$94
Will December 2025 be the 3rd hottest on record?WeatherYesResolved$2172.8¢0.0¢-$217

Where the money comes from

Realized + open PnL by category

Politics-$13K
Crypto-$1.9K
Other sports-$830
Weather-$621
Culture-$129
Mentions-$90
Toughest beat
-$84
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after January 2026 meeting?

Recent moves

  • Bought Down · Bitcoin Up or Down - March 25, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET$1404mo ago
  • Bought Down · Bitcoin Up or Down - February 22, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET$705mo ago
  • Bought Down · Bitcoin Up or Down - February 22, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET$705mo ago
  • Bought Yes · Will Bitcoin reach $115,000 in February?$4085mo ago
  • Bought No · US x Iran meeting by February 28, 2026?$3205mo ago
  • Bought No · US x Iran meeting by February 28, 2026?$205mo ago
  • Bought No · US x Iran meeting by February 28, 2026?$2505mo ago
  • Bought Yes · Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from January 27 to February 3, 2026?$1505mo ago
  • Bought Yes · US strikes Iran by February 1, 2026?$3.0K5mo ago
  • Bought Yes · Will the price of Bitcoin be above $92,000 on January 24?$16mo ago
  • Bought Yes · Will the price of Bitcoin be above $98,000 on January 24?$1006mo ago
  • Bought Yes · Will the price of Bitcoin be above $92,000 on January 24?$96mo ago