aerlyon

Predicting since Jul 202431 markets tradedPolymarket profile ↗

Down $1.1K on Politics markets since Jul 2024.

All-time PnL

+$0

This year

+$0

Last 30 days

+$0

Portfolio value

Deep stats

Bucko Oracle

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Profit over time

What they are betting now

Market	Side	Stake	Entry	Now	PnL
2024 presidential election: Democrats win by 215+Politics	YesResolved	$8	4.5¢	0.0¢	-$8
Trump affair with Laura Loomer?Politics	YesResolved	$2	2.5¢	0.0¢	-$2
Will a Democrat win Florida US Senate Election?Politics	YesResolved	$8	17¢	0.0¢	-$8
Will Trump win 2 swing states?Politics	YesResolved	$20	11¢	0.0¢	-$20
Will Trump win 3 swing states?Politics	YesResolved	$50	11¢	0.0¢	-$50
Will a Democrat win Texas in the 2024 US Presidential Election?Politics	YesResolved	$20	7.0¢	0.0¢	-$20
Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?Politics	NoResolved	$110	39¢	0.0¢	-$110
2024 presidential election: Democrats win by 155-214Politics	YesResolved	$55	4.4¢	0.0¢	-$55
Will the Democratic candidate win Pennsylvania by 1.5%-2.0%?Politics	YesResolved	$23	4.8¢	0.0¢	-$23
2024 presidential election: Democrats win by 35-64Politics	YesResolved	$30	12¢	0.0¢	-$30
Will the Democratic candidate win Pennsylvania by 2.0%-2.5%?Politics	YesResolved	$7	4.5¢	0.0¢	-$7
Will the Democratic candidate win Pennsylvania by 1.0%-1.5%?Politics	YesResolved	$30	7.2¢	0.0¢	-$30
Will a Democrat win Michigan Presidential Election?Politics	YesResolved	$21	54¢	0.0¢	-$21
Will Kamala Harris win the 2024 US Presidential Election?Politics	YesResolved	$192	43¢	0.0¢	-$192
Will Texas be the closest state?Politics	YesResolved	$1	1.4¢	0.0¢	-$1
Will Kamala Harris win all 6 swing states?Politics	YesResolved	$50	18¢	0.0¢	-$50
Will the Democratic candidate win Pennsylvania by 0%-0.5%?Politics	YesResolved	$1	9.0¢	0.0¢	-$1
2024 presidential election: Democrats win by 65-104Politics	YesResolved	$220	13¢	0.0¢	-$220
Will a Democrat win Texas US Senate Election?Politics	YesResolved	$7	18¢	0.0¢	-$7
Will the Democratic candidate win Pennsylvania by 0.5%-1%?Politics	YesResolved	$2	9.0¢	0.0¢	-$2

Where the money comes from

Realized + open PnL by category

Politics-$1.1K

Mentions-$11

Biggest hit

+$19

Will Tim Walz be the 2024 Democratic VP nominee?

Toughest beat

-$218

Will Andy Beshear be the 2024 Democratic VP nominee?

Recent moves

Bought Yes · 2024 presidential election: Democrats win by 215+$21y ago
Bought Yes · Will a Democrat win Texas in the 2024 US Presidential Election?$201y ago
Sold No · Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?$221y ago
Bought Yes · Will Texas be the closest state?$11y ago
Bought Yes · Will the Democratic candidate win Pennsylvania by 2.0%-2.5%?$51y ago
Bought Yes · Will the Democratic candidate win Pennsylvania by 1.5%-2.0%?$151y ago
Bought Yes · Will the Democratic candidate win Pennsylvania by 1.0%-1.5%?$151y ago
Bought Yes · 2024 presidential election: Democrats win by 65-104$501y ago
Bought Yes · Will Trump win 2 swing states?$201y ago
Bought No · Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?$1001y ago
Bought Yes · 2024 presidential election: Democrats win by 155-214$51y ago
Bought Yes · 2024 presidential election: Democrats win by 65-104$401y ago