 Will María Teresa Guerra Ochoa win the 2027 Sinaloa Governor Election?Politics | Yes | $1 | 1.2¢ | 4.3¢ | +$3 |
 Will Ronaldo Caiado finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Politics | Yes | $1 | 5.0¢ | 16¢ | +$2 |
 Will the Democratic Party win the PA-06 House seat?Politics | No | $2 | 4.0¢ | 5.3¢ | +$1 |
 Will Japan's core-core CPI increase by between 2.5 and 2.9% in 2026?Economy | Yes | $0 | 0.5¢ | 8.5¢ | +$2 |
 Will Patricia Mair win the next Salzgitter mayoral election?Politics | Yes | $1 | 2.0¢ | 3.8¢ | +$1 |
 Will Zelenskyy and Putin not meet before 2027?Politics | No | $1 | 4.0¢ | 7.0¢ | +$1 |
 Will any presidential candidate win outright in the first round of the Brazil election?Politics | Yes | $1 | 4.8¢ | 8.1¢ | +$1 |
 Will there be at least 10000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?Weather | Yes | $1 | 4.2¢ | 6.9¢ | +$1 |
 Will OpenAI have the best AI Agent at the end of September 2026?Tech | Yes | $1 | 4.0¢ | 6.3¢ | +$1 |
 Opensea FDV above $3B one day after launch?Crypto | Yes | $1 | 3.4¢ | 6.0¢ | +$1 |
 Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026?Politics | Yes | $1 | 5.0¢ | 7.5¢ | +$1 |
 Bank of England increases interest rates by 25 bps after September 2026 meeting?Economy | Yes | $1 | 3.9¢ | 5.4¢ | +$0 |
 Will Avigdor Lieberman be the next Prime Minister of Israel?Politics | Yes | $1 | 3.9¢ | 5.0¢ | +$0 |
 Will Delcy Rodríguez be the de facto leader of Venezuela at the end of 2026?Politics | No | $1 | 5.0¢ | 6.0¢ | +$0 |
 Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 VA-03 House election by 15%-25%?Politics | Yes | $2 | 4.4¢ | 2.6¢ | -$1 |
 Tom Hardy announced as next James Bond?Culture | Yes | $1 | 0.3¢ | 0.4¢ | +$0 |
 Will A Knight of the Seven Kingdoms be the #1 searched TV show on Google this year?Tech | Yes | $0 | 2.2¢ | 5.6¢ | +$1 |
 Will Ventuals launch a token by December 31 2026?Crypto | Yes | $0 | 2.3¢ | 4.8¢ | +$1 |
 Will "I Will Find You: Limited Series" be the #2 US Netflix show this week?Culture | YesResolved | $1 | 3.1¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
 Will the Senate pass a reconciliation bill by July 30?Politics | YesResolved | $0 | 3.2¢ | 0.0¢ | -$0 |
 Will GRVT launch a token by September 30, 2026?Crypto | NoResolved | $0 | 0.4¢ | 0.0¢ | -$0 |
 Will "Wildchild" - Alex Warren first week album sales be less than 50k?Culture | YesResolved | $0 | 0.2¢ | 0.0¢ | -$0 |
 Will "DAS GETRÄUMTE ABENTEUER by Valeska GRISEBACH" win Palme d'Or at the 2026 Cannes Film Festival?Culture | YesResolved | $1 | 1.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
 Will Cyndi Munson win the 2026 Oklahoma Governor Democratic primary election?Politics | NoResolved | $0 | 3.4¢ | 0.0¢ | -$0 |
 Will the next model released by OpenAI debut at a score of at least 1450?Tech | NoResolved | $0 | 3.6¢ | 0.0¢ | -$0 |
 Will Debbie Wasserman Schultz be the Democratic nominee for FL-20?Politics | NoResolved | $1 | 5.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
 Will SpaceX's market cap be between $1.0T and $1.2T at market close on IPO day?Tech | YesResolved | $1 | 0.4¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
 Will Alibaba be the third-best Chinese AI company at the end of August 2026?Politics | YesResolved | $1 | 0.2¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
 Will Anthropic remove paid plan access for Fable 5 by July 31, 2026?Tech | YesResolved | $1 | 1.3¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
 Over $70M committed to the Credible public sale?Crypto | YesResolved | $1 | 2.2¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
 Will Steve Witkoff visit Ukraine by December 31, 2026?Politics | NoResolved | $1 | 0.3¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
 Will Steve Witkoff have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by June 30?Politics | NoResolved | $1 | 1.1¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
 Will "The Idaho Murders: College Nightmare" be the top US Netflix show this week?Culture | NoResolved | $1 | 1.9¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
 Squid FDV above $75M one day after launchCrypto | NoResolved | $1 | 4.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
 Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $700 in June?Finance | YesResolved | $1 | 1.5¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
 Will Donald Trump publicly insult Barack Obama by July 31, 2026?Politics | NoResolved | $1 | 2.3¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
 Will China GDP growth in Q2 2026 be between 5.8% and 6.1%?Politics | YesResolved | $1 | 2.4¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
 Will Polymarket mindshare hit 80% by June 30?Tech | NoResolved | $1 | 0.8¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
 Mitch McConnell votes in the Senate by August 31?Politics | YesResolved | $0 | 0.5¢ | 0.0¢ | -$0 |
 GPT-5.6 released by July 13, 2026?Tech | NoResolved | $0 | 5.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$0 |
 Over $60M committed to the Printr public sale?Crypto | YesResolved | $0 | 0.6¢ | 0.0¢ | -$0 |
 Will "Avatar: The Last Airbender: Season 2" be the #2 global Netflix show this week?Culture | NoResolved | $1 | 2.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
 Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?Tech | NoResolved | $1 | 0.2¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
 Will Caley McDonald win the 2026 Cornwall-Meadowbank PEI Legislative Assembly by-election?Politics | YesResolved | $1 | 3.2¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
 Will Moonshot AI’s Kimi K3 model be released by July 31, 2026?Tech | NoResolved | $1 | 3.7¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
 Will Hong Kong have between 550-575mm of precipitation in July?Weather | YesResolved | $1 | 0.4¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
 Will Trump speak to Volodymyr Zelenskyy in May?Politics | YesResolved | $0 | 1.1¢ | 0.0¢ | -$0 |
 Will annual inflation be 4.2% in June?Economy | YesResolved | $1 | 0.3¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
 Will Ollie Watkins be the top goal scorer in the 2025–26 English Premier League season?Premier League | YesResolved | $0 | 0.4¢ | 0.0¢ | -$0 |
 Will "The Witness" be the #2 US Netflix show this week?Culture | NoResolved | $1 | 1.2¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
 Will Blake Bracht be the AZ-05 Democratic nominee?Politics | YesResolved | $0 | 0.3¢ | 0.0¢ | -$0 |
 Will Trump meet with Mohammed bin Salman in May 2026?Politics | YesResolved | $0 | 0.3¢ | 0.0¢ | -$0 |
 Will Claude 5 be released by June 30, 2026?Tech | NoResolved | $0 | 3.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$0 |
 Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Pakistan?Politics | YesResolved | $1 | 0.3¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
| Will J.D. Vance have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by June 30?Politics | NoResolved | $0 | 3.2¢ | 0.0¢ | -$0 |
 Will Elsa Pinto win the 2026 São Tomé and Príncipe presidential elections?Politics | YesResolved | $0 | 1.3¢ | 0.0¢ | -$0 |
| Will the next Claude Opus model be released on July 26, 2026?Tech | YesResolved | $1 | 4.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
 Will Meta be the #2 AI lab at the end of August 2026?Tech | NoResolved | $1 | 4.3¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
 Israeli parliament dissolved by July 31?Politics | NoResolved | $1 | 2.9¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
 Will Tencent be the second-best Chinese AI company at the end of August 2026?Politics | YesResolved | $0 | 4.2¢ | 0.0¢ | -$0 |
 Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?Politics | YesResolved | $0 | 3.4¢ | 0.0¢ | -$0 |
 Israel enacts military exemption for Yeshiva students by Sep 30?Politics | NoResolved | $1 | 1.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
 Will Kang Seung-kyu win the 2026 Chungcheongnam Province gubernatorial election?Politics | YesResolved | $1 | 0.3¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
 Will Alibaba have the best Math AI model at the end of May 2026?Tech | YesResolved | $1 | 0.3¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
 Will Anthropic be the second-best AI lab at the end of August 2026?Tech | YesResolved | $0 | 1.4¢ | 0.0¢ | -$0 |
 US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by July 31?Politics | NoResolved | $1 | 2.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
| Will J.D. Vance attend the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting?Politics | NoResolved | $1 | 1.8¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
 Will Natural Gas (NG) hit (LOW) $3.00 in July?Finance | NoResolved | $1 | 4.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
 Cap FDV above $250M one day after launch?Crypto | NoResolved | $1 | 2.1¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
 Will XRP dip to $1.00 in July?Crypto | YesResolved | $0 | 4.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$0 |
 Will "GOAT" be the top US Netflix movie this week?Culture | YesResolved | $0 | 0.7¢ | 0.0¢ | -$0 |
 Will "Iceman" - Drake debut week album sales be at least 600k?Culture | YesResolved | $0 | 1.3¢ | 0.0¢ | -$0 |
| Will the next model released by OpenAI debut at a score of at least 1470?Tech | YesResolved | $1 | 0.3¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
 Will Robert Lebovics be the Republican nominee for Senate in New Jersey?Politics | YesResolved | $0 | 0.2¢ | 0.0¢ | -$0 |
 Will SpaceX have fewer than 11 launches in June 2026?Tech | YesResolved | $1 | 1.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
 RipCars FDV above $2.5M one day after launch?Crypto | YesResolved | $1 | 2.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
 Will Brandon Jones advance from the 2026 California Governor primary election?Politics | YesResolved | $1 | 1.9¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
| Will Vinnie Brand be the Republican nominee for Senate in New Jersey?Politics | YesResolved | $0 | 0.2¢ | 0.0¢ | -$0 |
 Will Kweisi Mfume be the Democratic nominee for MD-07?Politics | NoResolved | $1 | 0.6¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
 Bank of Japan increases interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?Politics | YesResolved | $1 | 0.3¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
 Will Gold (GC) settle at $5,400-$5,800 in June?Finance | YesResolved | $1 | 0.3¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
 Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.5T by July 31?Tech | YesResolved | $1 | 2.2¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
 Will NYC have between 2 and 3 inches of precipitation in July?Weather | YesResolved | $1 | 0.3¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
 Will "Voicemails for Isabelle" be the top US Netflix movie this week?Culture | YesResolved | $0 | 4.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$0 |
 Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (HIGH) $70 in July?Finance | YesResolved | $1 | 0.7¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
 Will Ken Paxton drop out?Politics | YesResolved | $1 | 1.8¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
 SCOTUS lets Trump fire FTC commissioners in Trump v. Slaughter?Politics | NoResolved | $1 | 0.2¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
 Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.1T by December 31?Tech | NoResolved | $1 | 2.6¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
| Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $4,000 in August?Finance | YesResolved | $0 | 1.4¢ | 0.0¢ | -$0 |
 Will Micron Q3 DRAM revenue be above $26B?Tech | NoResolved | $1 | 3.3¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
 Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 meeting?Politics | YesResolved | $1 | 0.2¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
 Will Donald Trump publicly insult Nicolás Maduro by August 31, 2026?Politics | NoResolved | $1 | 2.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
 Will the total domestic gross for The Odyssey be between 490m and 510m by August 31?Culture | YesResolved | $0 | 1.8¢ | 0.0¢ | -$0 |
 Will Discord’s market cap be less than $15B at market close on IPO day?Tech | YesResolved | $0 | 0.4¢ | 0.0¢ | -$0 |
| Will Core CPI MoM be 0.4% in August?Economy | YesResolved | $0 | 2.6¢ | 0.0¢ | -$0 |
 Will "The Boroughs" be the top US Netflix show this week?Culture | YesResolved | $1 | 5.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
 Will "The Mandalorian and Grogu" 4-day Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 92m?Culture | YesResolved | $1 | 0.3¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
 Greece x Turkey military engagement by June 30?Politics | YesResolved | $0 | 1.6¢ | 0.0¢ | -$0 |
 Will Cho Eun-hee win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral ElectionPolitics | YesResolved | $1 | 0.3¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
 Will "hate that i made you love me - Ariana Grande" be the Billboard Hot 100 #2 song for the week of August 15?Culture | NoResolved | $1 | 2.1¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
Sold Yes · Will the total domestic gross for Spider-Man: Brand New Day be between 960m and 970m by September 30?$019h ago
Sold Yes · Will the Swedish Social Democratic Party (S) win the second most seats in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary election?$12d ago
Sold Yes · Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting?$12d ago
Sold Yes · Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by September 30, 2026?$12d ago
Sold Yes · Russia Elections: Yabloko Clears Duma Threshold?$13d ago
Sold Yes · Will Yoaz Hendel be the next Prime Minister of Israel?$03d ago
Sold Yes · Will the Fed Pause–Pause–Cut in the next three decisions (Jul–Sep–Oct)?$13d ago