← Whale Watch

20251021

Predicting since Oct 202525,376 markets tradedPolymarket profile ↗

Down $17K on Culture markets since Oct 2025.

Right now: $582 riding on Will the U.S. invade Greenland in 2026?.

Biggest hit: +$14K on Will the government shutdown end November 13?.

All-time PnL
+$0
This year
+$0
Last 30 days
+$0
Portfolio value
$0

Deep stats

Bucko Oracle
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Profit over time

What they are betting now

MarketSideStakeEntryNowPnL
Will the U.S. invade Greenland in 2026?PoliticsNo$58290¢97¢+$40
Will the Republicans win the Ohio governor race in 2026?PoliticsNo$38334¢43¢+$93
Will Lee Zeldin leave the Trump administration before 2027?PoliticsNo$52193¢76¢-$98
Will Jesus Christ return before GTA VI?PoliticsNo$38852¢51¢-$11
Will Paramount close Warner Bros. acquisition by end of 2026?TechNo$31386¢71¢-$53
Will Jay Feely be the Republican nominee for AZ-05?PoliticsNoResolved$5795¢100¢+$3
Anthropic IPO before 2027?TechYes$2638¢68¢+$21
Will Haley Stevens win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary?PoliticsYes$728¢35¢+$2
Will Gavin Newsom announce a Presidential run by December 31, 2026?PoliticsYes$5657¢6.5¢-$49
Will Parti Québécois win the most seats in the 2026 Quebec general election?PoliticsYes$367¢71¢+$0
Will Stripe acquire Paypal in 2026?EconomyNo$483¢70¢-$1
Will Christy Davis be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Kansas?PoliticsYes$4439¢2.4¢-$41
Will bitcoin hit $1m before GTA VI?PoliticsYes$245¢50¢+$0
Will María Corina Machado be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?PoliticsYes$1316¢2.6¢-$11
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?PoliticsYes$330¢20¢-$1
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?PoliticsNo$321¢14¢-$1
Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?PoliticsYes$321¢14¢-$1
Will Max Verstappen be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?Formula 1No$180¢98¢+$0
Spread: Spurs (-4.5)NBAClippersResolved$166¢0.0¢-$1
Will CA Tigre vs. CS Independiente Rivadavia end in a draw?Soccer (other)YesResolved$526¢0.0¢-$5
SSC Napoli vs. AC Milan: O/U 1.5Soccer (other)OverResolved$170¢0.0¢-$1
Getafe CF vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5La LigaOverResolved$6228¢0.0¢-$62
Will SpaceX’s IPO valuation be between 2.00T and 2.25T?TechYesResolved$214¢0.0¢-$2
Will Toulouse FC win on 2026-04-03?Soccer (other)YesResolved$38.0¢0.0¢-$3
Will VfL Wolfsburg win on 2026-04-04?BundesligaYesResolved$113¢0.0¢-$1
Spread: Sydney FC (-2.5)Soccer (other)Sydney FCResolved$011¢0.0¢-$0
Asuncion: Gianluca Cadenasso vs Luciano Emanuel AmbrogiTennisLuciano Emanuel AmbrogiResolved$030¢0.0¢-$0
Will Henan FC win on 2026-04-04?Soccer (other)YesResolved$255¢0.0¢-$2
Will Red Bull Bragantino win on 2026-04-02?Soccer (other)NoResolved$574¢0.0¢-$5
Club Atlético de Madrid vs. FC Barcelona: O/U 2.5La LigaUnderResolved$3034¢0.0¢-$30
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Elche CF: O/U 3.5La LigaOverResolved$227¢0.0¢-$2
Will BV Borussia 09 Dortmund win on 2026-04-04?BundesligaNoResolved$1764¢0.0¢-$17
Bruins vs. PanthersNHLBruinsResolved$534¢0.0¢-$5
Will Trump and Putin not meet?PoliticsNoResolved$4160¢0.0¢-$41
Shenzhen Leopards vs. Liaoning Flying LeopardsBasketball (other)Shenzhen LeopardsResolved$173¢0.0¢-$1
Aaron Taylor-Johnson announced as next James Bond?CultureYesResolved$75.0¢0.0¢-$7
Spread: Hawks (-11.5)NBAGrizzliesResolved$014¢0.0¢-$0
Will a Gulf State carry out military action against Iran by April 30, 2026?PoliticsYesResolved$221¢0.0¢-$2
Spread: SC Freiburg (-2.5)BundesligaSC FreiburgResolved$010.0¢0.0¢-$0
JD Vance diplomatic meeting with Iran by April 10?PoliticsYesResolved$09.0¢0.0¢-$0
Spread: Paris Saint-Germain FC (-1.5)Soccer (other)Toulouse FCResolved$148¢0.0¢-$1
Will 1. FSV Mainz 05 win on 2026-04-04?BundesligaNoResolved$280¢0.0¢-$2
Pelicans vs. Trail BlazersNBAPelicansResolved$1830¢0.0¢-$18
Spread: Hellas Verona FC (-2.5)Soccer (other)Hellas Verona FCResolved$11.9¢0.0¢-$1
Spread: Hornets (-6.5)NBASunsResolved$671¢0.0¢-$6
Will CS Independiente Rivadavia win on 2026-04-02?Soccer (other)NoResolved$1130¢0.0¢-$11
Lakers vs. ThunderNBALakersResolved$4916¢0.0¢-$49
Will CA Talleres win on 2026-04-02?Soccer (other)YesResolved$1416¢0.0¢-$14
Will Real Madrid CF vs. FC Bayern München end in a draw?Champions LeagueYesResolved$323¢0.0¢-$3
SV Werder Bremen vs. RB Leipzig: O/U 3.5BundesligaOverResolved$3141¢0.0¢-$31
Will SpaceX IPO by June 30, 2026?TechNoResolved$031¢0.0¢-$0
Club Atlético de Madrid vs. FC Barcelona: O/U 1.5La LigaUnderResolved$117¢0.0¢-$1
Will Trump endorse Ken Paxton for TX-Sen by Nov 2 2026 ET?PoliticsNoResolved$6384¢0.0¢-$63
Will Adelaide United FC win on 2026-04-03?Soccer (other)YesResolved$534¢0.0¢-$5
Canadiens vs. RangersNHLRangersResolved$243¢0.0¢-$2
Will CA Mineiro win on 2026-04-02?Soccer (other)NoResolved$93.1¢0.0¢-$9
Red Wings vs. FlyersNHLFlyersResolved$25012¢0.0¢-$250
XRP Up or Down - April 2, 9:10PM-9:15PM ETCryptoDownResolved$8164¢0.0¢-$81
Will Queens Park Rangers FC win on 2026-04-03?Soccer (other)NoResolved$463¢0.0¢-$4
Chongqing Tonglianglong FC vs. Chengdu Rongcheng FC: Both Teams to ScoreSoccer (other)NoResolved$155¢0.0¢-$1
Will Eintracht Frankfurt win on 2026-04-05?BundesligaYesResolved$145¢0.0¢-$1
Will SE Palmeiras vs. Grêmio FBPA end in a draw?Soccer (other)YesResolved$325¢0.0¢-$3
Colorado Rockies vs. Miami Marlins: O/U 7.5MLBOverResolved$022¢0.0¢-$0
Will SpaceX IPO by May 31, 2026?TechYesResolved$1110¢0.0¢-$11
Will CR Flamengo win on 2026-04-02?Soccer (other)YesResolved$9145¢0.0¢-$91
Will Blackburn Rovers FC win on 2026-04-03?Soccer (other)NoResolved$479¢0.0¢-$4
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-04-07?Champions LeagueNoResolved$955¢0.0¢-$9
Will 1. FC Köln win on 2026-04-05?BundesligaYesResolved$1927¢0.0¢-$19
Will Grêmio FBPA win on 2026-04-02?Soccer (other)YesResolved$115¢0.0¢-$1
Santos FC vs. Clube do Remo: O/U 1.5Soccer (other)UnderResolved$251¢0.0¢-$2
Timberwolves vs. Pistons: O/U 223.5NBAOverResolved$948¢0.0¢-$9
Will Operário Ferroviário EC win on 2026-04-02?Soccer (other)NoResolved$471¢0.0¢-$4
Will CD Universidad Católica win on 2026-04-02?Soccer (other)NoResolved$346¢0.0¢-$3
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 2, 10:30PM-10:35PM ETCryptoDownResolved$427¢0.0¢-$4
Will Getafe CF win on 2026-04-05?La LigaNoResolved$570¢0.0¢-$5
Spread: Trail Blazers (-12.5)NBABucksResolved$022¢0.0¢-$0
Will Levante UD win on 2026-04-04?La LigaYesResolved$117¢0.0¢-$1
Dota 2: Tundra Esports vs PARIVISION - Game 1 WinnereSportsPARIVISIONResolved$04.2¢0.0¢-$0
Will Janet Mills be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Maine?PoliticsYesResolved$11639¢0.0¢-$116
Sporting CP vs. Arsenal FC: O/U 2.5Champions LeagueOverResolved$550¢0.0¢-$5
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-04-04?Soccer (other)NoResolved$645¢0.0¢-$6
Canucks vs. WildNHLCanucksResolved$1425¢0.0¢-$14
Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by June 30?PoliticsYesResolved$758¢0.0¢-$7
Will Arsenal finish in 2nd place in the 2025-26 English Premier League?Premier LeagueYesResolved$2320¢0.0¢-$23
Will Red Bull Bragantino vs. CR Flamengo end in a draw?Soccer (other)YesResolved$331¢0.0¢-$3
Cavaliers vs. WarriorsNBAWarriorsResolved$717¢0.0¢-$7
Will Deportivo Alavés win on 2026-04-05?La LigaYesResolved$1039¢0.0¢-$10
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 2, 9:50PM-9:55PM ETCryptoUpResolved$566¢0.0¢-$5
Birmingham City FC vs. Blackburn Rovers FC: Both Teams to ScoreSoccer (other)YesResolved$147¢0.0¢-$1
FC Lorient vs. Paris FC: Both Teams to ScoreSoccer (other)NoResolved$148¢0.0¢-$1
Will RC Strasbourg Alsace win on 2026-04-04?Soccer (other)NoResolved$148¢0.0¢-$1
Barletta: Lukas Neumayer vs Toby SamuelTennisToby SamuelResolved$256¢0.0¢-$2
Ukraine election called by June 30, 2026?PoliticsYesResolved$127¢0.0¢-$1
Stanford Cardinal vs. West Virginia MountaineersBasketball (other)Stanford CardinalResolved$237¢0.0¢-$2
Will Victor Wembanyama win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?NBAYesResolved$427¢0.0¢-$4
Will Jaguares de Córdoba FC win on 2026-04-02?Soccer (other)NoResolved$536¢0.0¢-$5
Exact Score: Olympique Lyonnais 0 - 1 RC Celta de Vigo?Soccer (other)YesResolved$07.0¢0.0¢-$0
Will FC St. Pauli 1910 win on 2026-04-05?BundesligaYesResolved$126¢0.0¢-$1
Will North Macedonia win on 2026-03-26?Soccer (other)YesResolved$07.0¢0.0¢-$0
Will Sheffield United FC win on 2026-04-03?Soccer (other)YesResolved$253¢0.0¢-$2

Where the money comes from

Realized + open PnL by category · still crunching older history, totals will deepen

Culture-$17K
College Football-$16K
Crypto+$11K
Politics+$8.6K
Other+$3.6K
NHL-$3.6K
NFL-$3.3K
Champions League+$3.1K
Premier League+$2.2K
UFC / MMA+$2.0K
Soccer (other)+$1.1K
La Liga+$965
Biggest hit
+$14K
Will the government shutdown end November 13?
Toughest beat
-$5.3K
Will Omar Cooper win the 2025–2026 Biletnikoff Award?

Recent moves

  • Cashed out No · Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by June 30?$024d ago
  • Cashed out Yes · Will Shai Gilgeous-Alexander win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?$024d ago
  • Cashed out No · Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 Champions League?$124d ago
  • Cashed out Yes · Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 15?$124d ago
  • Cashed out No · Tucker Carlson federally charged?$124d ago
  • Cashed out No · Will SpaceX's market cap be between $700B and $800B at market close on IPO day?$224d ago
  • Cashed out Yes · Will SpaceX IPO by September 30, 2026?$23524d ago
  • Cashed out NC Dinos · KBO: Lotte Giants vs. NC Dinos$11mo ago
  • Cashed out No · Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by April 30?$21mo ago
  • Cashed out Yes · MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by December 31, 2026?$311mo ago
  • Cashed out Yes · Tulsi Gabbard out by June 30?$1001mo ago
  • Cashed out Yes · Will a U.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the United States occur by April 30, 2026?$1811mo ago