 Will GPT-6 be released by June 30, 2026?Tech | NoResolved | $50 | 65¢ | 100¢ | +$27 |
 US-Iran nuclear deal before 2027?Politics | YesResolved | $30 | 49¢ | 100¢ | +$31 |
 Will Paul Thomas Anderson win Best Director at the 98th Academy Awards?Culture | YesResolved | $50 | 90¢ | 100¢ | +$5 |
 Grok 5 released by March 31, 2026?Tech | NoResolved | $30 | 88¢ | 100¢ | +$4 |
 Will GPT-6 be released before GTA VI?Politics | NoResolved | $20 | 41¢ | 50¢ | +$4 |
 Will xAI release a dLLM by June 30?Tech | NoResolved | $20 | 84¢ | 100¢ | +$4 |
 Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?Politics | Yes | $50 | 13¢ | 3.1¢ | -$38 |
 Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?Economy | Yes | $50 | 30¢ | 5.5¢ | -$41 |
 Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?Politics | Yes | $30 | 44¢ | 6.5¢ | -$26 |
 Will Donald Trump rank in Google’s Top 5 Most Searched People of 2025?Tech | YesResolved | $47 | 33¢ | 0.0¢ | -$47 |
 Ukraine officially agrees to a US backed ceasefire framework by December 31?Politics | YesResolved | $100 | 19¢ | 0.0¢ | -$100 |
 Will Donald Trump be the #1 searched person on Google this year?Tech | YesResolved | $54 | 10¢ | 0.0¢ | -$54 |
 DeepSeek V4 released by March 31?Politics | YesResolved | $50 | 91¢ | 0.0¢ | -$50 |
 Will Discord not IPO by June 30, 2026?Tech | NoResolved | $30 | 82¢ | 0.0¢ | -$30 |
 Will Google Gemini 3 score at least 40% on the FrontierMath Benchmark?Tech | YesResolved | $40 | 45¢ | 0.0¢ | -$40 |
 Will the US strike Iran next?Politics | YesResolved | $10 | 14¢ | 0.0¢ | -$10 |
 Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by January 31?Politics | YesResolved | $30 | 65¢ | 0.0¢ | -$30 |
 Nothing Ever Happens: JanuaryPolitics | YesResolved | $10 | 79¢ | 0.0¢ | -$10 |
 Will Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia in 2025?Politics | YesResolved | $30 | 9.4¢ | 0.0¢ | -$30 |
 Will Putin meet with Zelenskyy by June 30, 2026?Politics | YesResolved | $10 | 12¢ | 0.0¢ | -$10 |
 Chinese or Russian athlete kicked out of 2026 Winter Games for doping?Olympics | YesResolved | $30 | 37¢ | 0.0¢ | -$30 |
 Will Trump denaturalize any citizen by June 30?Politics | NoResolved | $10 | 25¢ | 0.0¢ | -$10 |
 Will Tesla deliver less than 350000 vehicles in Q1 2026Tech | YesResolved | $30 | 63¢ | 0.0¢ | -$30 |
 Minneapolis Border Patrol Shooter fired/resigns by March 31?Politics | YesResolved | $10 | 20¢ | 0.0¢ | -$10 |
| Will Timothée Chalamet win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?Culture | YesResolved | $30 | 76¢ | 0.0¢ | -$30 |
 Will the government shutdown last 7 days or more?Politics | YesResolved | $10 | 51¢ | 0.0¢ | -$10 |
 Will Trump meet with Zelenskyy by December 5?Politics | YesResolved | $50 | 7.1¢ | 0.0¢ | -$50 |
 Will Google be the first company to have an AI model hit 1500 on Chatbot Arena by June 30 2026?Tech | YesResolved | $50 | 69¢ | 0.0¢ | -$50 |
 Will the price of Bitcoin be above $88,000 on December 1?Crypto | YesResolved | $447 | 96¢ | 0.0¢ | -$447 |
 Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,900 on December 1?Crypto | YesResolved | $500 | 94¢ | 0.0¢ | -$500 |
 Maduro mugshot released by Monday?Politics | YesResolved | $10 | 34¢ | 0.0¢ | -$10 |
 Will Sydney Sweeney be ranked #1 globally in Google’s Year in Search 2025 Actors?Tech | YesResolved | $50 | 40¢ | 0.0¢ | -$50 |
 Iran strike on US military by February 28?Politics | NoResolved | $15 | 75¢ | 0.0¢ | -$15 |
 U.S. forces seize another oil tanker by January 31, 2026?Politics | YesResolved | $20 | 67¢ | 0.0¢ | -$20 |
Sold Yes · SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.2T?$285mo ago
Sold Yes · Will OpenAI have the best AI model for coding on March 31?$365mo ago
Cashed out Yes · Will One Battle After Another win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?$415mo ago
Cashed out Yes · Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran in 2026?$586mo ago
Cashed out Yes · Will the US embassy in Venezuela reopen by March 31?$386mo ago
Sold No · Will Claude 5 be released by March 31, 2026?$756mo ago
Sold No · Will Ukraine join the Board of Peace?$456mo ago
Sold No · Trump-Denmark Greenland deal signed by March 31?$586mo ago
Sold Yes · Will Google say "Gemini 3" during earnings call?$517mo ago