Tom1999

Predicting since Jul 202362 markets tradedPolymarket profile ↗

All-time PnL

+$0

This year

+$0

Last 30 days

+$0

Portfolio value

Deep stats

Bucko Oracle

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Profit over time

What they are betting now

Market	Side	Stake	Entry	Now	PnL
Will the next Claude Opus model be released by September 30, 2026?Tech	Yes	$42	83¢	97¢	+$7
Will the next Claude Opus model be released by December 31, 2026?Tech	Yes	$36	96¢	98¢	+$1
Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?Politics	No	$25	81¢	96¢	+$5
Will the next Claude Opus model be released by October 31, 2026?Tech	Yes	$18	88¢	99¢	+$2
Will Bryan Johnson propose to his co-founder before 2027?Tech	Yes	$5	50¢	13¢	-$4
Will Trump pardon Ghislaine Maxwell by end of 2026?Politics	Yes	$2	8.0¢	4.5¢	-$1
Next Mythos-Class Model released by August 31, 2026?Tech	YesResolved	$3	25¢	0.0¢	-$3
Meta releases Llama 5 in 2025?Tech	YesResolved	$5	23¢	0.0¢	-$5
Will Gemini 3.0 be released by October 31?Tech	YesResolved	$20	67¢	0.0¢	-$20
Will Gemini 3.0 be released by August 31?Tech	YesResolved	$3	16¢	0.0¢	-$3
Will xAI have the best AI model at the end of February 2026?Tech	YesResolved	$1	1.3¢	0.0¢	-$1
AI wins IMO gold medal in 2025?Tech	YesResolved	$3	11¢	0.0¢	-$3
No change in Fed interest rates after September 2025 meeting?Politics	YesResolved	$11	2.4¢	0.0¢	-$11
Will Google Gemini 3 score at least 70% on the FrontierMath Benchmark?Tech	YesResolved	$14	14¢	0.0¢	-$14
Will Anthropic have the top AI model on December 31?Tech	YesResolved	$3	2.6¢	0.0¢	-$3
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by March 31, 2026?Politics	YesResolved	$1	2.8¢	0.0¢	-$1
Will Claude Mythos be released on June 10?Tech	YesResolved	$12	9.0¢	0.0¢	-$12
Will a Claude Mythos model be released by June 9, 2026?Tech	NoResolved	$13	18¢	0.0¢	-$13
Will Diddy be sentenced to less than 5 years in prison?Politics	NoResolved	$6	37¢	0.0¢	-$6
Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?Economy	YesResolved	$5	11¢	0.0¢	-$5
Will Claude 5 be released by March 31, 2026?Tech	YesResolved	$11	88¢	0.0¢	-$11
Will the next Claude Opus model be released by August 31, 2026?Tech	YesResolved	$4	7.0¢	0.0¢	-$4
Will GPT-5 be released by July 31?Tech	YesResolved	$4	23¢	0.0¢	-$4
Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of February 2026?Tech	YesResolved	$1	1.4¢	0.0¢	-$1
Will Claude 5 be released by February 28, 2026?Tech	YesResolved	$21	62¢	0.0¢	-$21

Where the money comes from

Realized + open PnL by category

Politics+$65

Finance-$61

Economy+$53

Tech+$42

Other-$37

Culture-$4

Crypto-$1

Biggest hit

+$147

Will Kamala Harris win the 2024 US Presidential Election?

Toughest beat

-$79

Trump declassifies Epstein list in first 100 days?

Recent moves

Sold Yes · Will the next Claude Opus model be released by August 31, 2026?$1124d ago
Bought Yes · Will the next Claude Opus model be released by September 30, 2026?$4224d ago
Sold Yes · Will the next Claude Opus model be released by August 31, 2026?$326d ago
Sold Yes · Next Mythos-Class Model released by August 31, 2026?$526d ago
Bought Yes · Next Mythos-Class Model released by August 31, 2026?$51mo ago
Bought Yes · Will the next Claude Opus model be released by October 31, 2026?$181mo ago
Bought Yes · Will the next Claude Opus model be released by December 31, 2026?$161mo ago
Bought Yes · Will the next Claude Opus model be released by December 31, 2026?$191mo ago
Bought Yes · Will the next Claude Opus model be released by August 31, 2026?$111mo ago
Bought Yes · Will Claude Mythos be released on June 10?$73mo ago
Bought Yes · Will Claude Mythos be released on June 10?$23mo ago
Bought Yes · Will Claude Mythos be released on June 10?$33mo ago