xLau

Predicting since Dec 202534 markets tradedPolymarket profile ↗

Right now: $531 across 4 Culture markets.

All-time PnL

+$0

This year

+$0

Last 30 days

+$0

Portfolio value

Deep stats

Bucko Oracle

Loading…

Profit over time

What they are betting now

Market	Side	Stake	Entry	Now	PnL
Will OpenAI release a new frontier model on December 11?Tech	NoResolved	$41	3.1¢	0.0¢	-$41
Will Pope Leo XIV be TIME's Person of the Year for 2025?Culture	YesResolved	$1	0.2¢	0.0¢	-$1
Will "Avatar: Fire and Ash" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 101m and 112m?Culture	YesResolved	$100	1.9¢	0.0¢	-$100
Will Dario Amodei be on the Time 2025 person of the year shortlist?Politics	YesResolved	$5	3.6¢	0.0¢	-$5
Will Clair Obscur: Expedition 33 win Game of the Year at the 2025 Game Awards?Tech	NoResolved	$3	5.0¢	0.0¢	-$3
Will "Avatar: Fire and Ash" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 90m and 101m?Culture	YesResolved	$209	17¢	0.0¢	-$209
Will Volodymyr Zelenskyy be TIME's Person of the Year for 2025?Culture	YesResolved	$1	0.1¢	0.0¢	-$1
Will MrBeast hit 462 Million subscribers by January 31?Culture	NoResolved	$10	1.4¢	0.0¢	-$10
Will "Avatar: Fire and Ash" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 123m?Culture	YesResolved	$128	3.9¢	0.0¢	-$128
Will 'Avatar: Fire and Ash' have the best domestic opening weekend in 2025?Culture	YesResolved	$2	1.3¢	0.0¢	-$2
Will Elon Musk be TIME's Person of the Year for 2025?Culture	YesResolved	$1	0.4¢	0.0¢	-$1
Will Sam Altman be TIME's Person of the Year for 2025?Culture	YesResolved	$1	0.8¢	0.0¢	-$1
Will MrBeast hit 463 Million subscribers by January 31?Culture	NoResolved	$12	12¢	0.0¢	-$12
Will Pope Francis be TIME's Person of the Year for 2025?Culture	YesResolved	$1	0.1¢	0.0¢	-$1
Will Time announce Person of the Year on December 11?Culture	NoResolved	$2	1.8¢	0.0¢	-$2
Will Charlie Kirk be TIME's Person of the Year for 2025?Culture	YesResolved	$1	0.2¢	0.0¢	-$1
Will Melania say "Career" during AI talk on Friday?Mentions	YesResolved	$3	0.2¢	0.0¢	-$3
Will "Avatar: Fire and Ash" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 112m and 123m?Culture	YesResolved	$95	4.5¢	0.0¢	-$95
Will Jensen Huang be TIME's Person of the Year for 2025? Culture	YesResolved	$1	0.7¢	0.0¢	-$1
Will OpenAI release a new frontier model by December 13?Tech	NoResolved	$10	9.0¢	0.0¢	-$10
Will 'A Minecraft Movie' have the best domestic opening weekend in 2025?Culture	NoResolved	$12	4.8¢	0.0¢	-$12
Will Zohran Mamdani be TIME's Person of the Year for 2025?Culture	YesResolved	$1	0.2¢	0.0¢	-$1

Where the money comes from

Realized + open PnL by category

Culture-$553

Tech-$76

Politics-$26

Mentions-$3

Biggest hit

+$22

Will Artificial Intelligence be TIME's Person of the Year for 2025?

Toughest beat

-$17

Will OpenAI release a new frontier model by December 31?

Recent moves

Bought Yes · Will Melania say "Career" during AI talk on Friday?$36mo ago
Bought No · Will MrBeast hit 463 Million subscribers by January 31?$126mo ago
Bought No · Will MrBeast hit 462 Million subscribers by January 31?$106mo ago
Bought Yes · Will "Avatar: Fire and Ash" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 90m and 101m?$2097mo ago
Bought Yes · Will "Avatar: Fire and Ash" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 112m and 123m?$27mo ago
Bought Yes · Will "Avatar: Fire and Ash" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 101m and 112m?$1007mo ago
Bought Yes · Will "Avatar: Fire and Ash" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 123m?$37mo ago
Bought Yes · Will "Avatar: Fire and Ash" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 112m and 123m?$467mo ago
Bought Yes · Will "Avatar: Fire and Ash" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 123m?$467mo ago
Bought Yes · Will "Avatar: Fire and Ash" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 112m and 123m?$477mo ago
Bought Yes · Will "Avatar: Fire and Ash" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 123m?$477mo ago
Bought Yes · Will "Avatar: Fire and Ash" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 123m?$187mo ago