Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by September 21?Politics | No | $41 | 67¢ | 93¢ | +$15 |
Will Russia enter Stavky by September 30?Politics | No | $45 | 69¢ | 74¢ | +$3 |
Russia-Ukraine peace talks by October 15, 2026?Politics | No | $45 | 69¢ | 71¢ | +$1 |
Will an AI lab announce another Millennium Prize solution by September 30, 2026?Tech | No | $24 | 55¢ | 81¢ | +$11 |
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?Politics | Yes | $20 | 51¢ | 88¢ | +$14 |
Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by September 30?Politics | Yes | $33 | 62¢ | 46¢ | -$8 |
Will Trump speak to Ursula von der Leyen in September?Politics | Yes | $18 | 48¢ | 61¢ | +$5 |
Will "Resident Evil" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 50m?Culture | No | $14 | 58¢ | 92¢ | +$8 |
Will the total domestic gross for Spider-Man: Brand New Day be between 950m and 960m by September 30?Culture | No | $9 | 30¢ | 64¢ | +$10 |
Will there be between 0 and 5 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on September 30?Politics | No | $8 | 28¢ | 48¢ | +$5 |
Will Ulrich Siegmund be the next Minister-President of Sachsen-Anhalt?Politics | No | $12 | 60¢ | 61¢ | +$0 |
Will Linke win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections?Politics | No | $10 | 34¢ | 34¢ | -$0 |
Will Trump speak to Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva in September?Politics | No | $7 | 25¢ | 37¢ | +$3 |
Will MrBeast Gaming's next video get between 40 and 45 million views in week 1?Culture | No | $15 | 41¢ | 26¢ | -$6 |
Will Z.ai be the second-best Chinese AI company at the end of September 2026?Politics | No | $11 | 35¢ | 30¢ | -$2 |
Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.05% in September?Economy | No | $7 | 25¢ | 35¢ | +$3 |
NATO downs another Russian drone by September 15?Politics | Yes | $2 | 21¢ | 76¢ | +$6 |
Will Trump praise Javier Milei in September?Politics | Yes | $6 | 37¢ | 53¢ | +$3 |
Will no one dissent the September Fed decision?Economy | Yes | $3 | 12¢ | 35¢ | +$5 |
Will Elif Eralp be the next Governing Mayor of Berlin?Politics | No | $9 | 47¢ | 44¢ | -$1 |
Will "Day and Night" - Carly Rae Jepsen first week album sales be less than 30k?Culture | No | $8 | 28¢ | 28¢ | -$0 |
Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by September 30, 2026?Politics | No | $5 | 43¢ | 76¢ | +$3 |
Will the Central Bank of Colombia increase the monetary policy interest rate by 50+ bps at the September meeting?Economy | Yes | $5 | 19¢ | 32¢ | +$3 |
Next White House Press Secretary announced by September 30, 2026?Politics | No | $2 | 24¢ | 84¢ | +$6 |
Will Drake release a new album by September 30?Culture | Yes | $9 | 30¢ | 27¢ | -$1 |
Will STRC hit $100 by September 30?Crypto | Yes | $11 | 34¢ | 22¢ | -$4 |
Will Trump speak to Elon Musk in September?Politics | Yes | $3 | 29¢ | 57¢ | +$3 |
Gemini 4.0 released by October 31, 2026?Tech | No | $8 | 29¢ | 23¢ | -$2 |
Will no Millennium Prize Problem be solved by AI by December 31, 2027?Tech | Yes | $3 | 13¢ | 27¢ | +$3 |
Will the next Claude Opus model debut with a Humanity’s Last Exam score of 55% or higher?Tech | Yes | $11 | 36¢ | 19¢ | -$5 |
Moscow air traffic suspended by September 15?Politics | Yes | $9 | 50¢ | 33¢ | -$3 |
Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by October 31, 2026?Tech | No | $9 | 31¢ | 19¢ | -$4 |
Will DeepSeek IPO by September 30, 2027?Tech | No | $7 | 25¢ | 20¢ | -$1 |
Will the next Claude Opus model be released by September 30, 2026?Tech | No | $7 | 26¢ | 20¢ | -$2 |
Will at least 10 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by September 30, 2026?Politics | No | $2 | 18¢ | 46¢ | +$3 |
Will claude-fable-5.1-max be the best AI model on September 21, 2026?Tech | No | $7 | 26¢ | 19¢ | -$2 |
Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 14 launch by September 26?Tech | No | $5 | 21¢ | 17¢ | -$1 |
Will Donald Trump publicly insult Tucker Carlson by September 30, 2026?Politics | No | $5 | 35¢ | 26¢ | -$1 |
Will CDU win less than 8% of all valid second votes?Politics | No | $11 | 61¢ | 20¢ | -$7 |
Will US crude oil reserves fall to 280M by September 25, 2026?Politics | Yes | $4 | 18¢ | 14¢ | -$1 |
NYPost cover features $Laptop by September 23?Politics | Yes | $4 | 30¢ | 22¢ | -$1 |
Will Elon Musk’s net worth be between $1.00T and $1.10T on September 30?Economy | Yes | $2 | 10¢ | 14¢ | +$1 |
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on September 30?Economy | No | $2 | 5.8¢ | 9.6¢ | +$1 |
Will there be exactly 1 ChatGPT outage in September 2026?Tech | Yes | $3 | 19¢ | 16¢ | -$1 |
Will the Starship for SpaceX Starship Flight Test 14 achieve a successful splashdown?Tech | No | $4 | 39¢ | 14¢ | -$3 |
Will Trump meet with Joseph Aoun in September 2026?Politics | Yes | $1 | 10¢ | 16¢ | +$1 |
No change in Reserve Bank of Australia's interest rates at the September 2026 meeting?Politics | Yes | $2 | 16¢ | 11¢ | -$1 |
Will Grüne win between 5% and 7% of all valid second votes?Politics | YesResolved | $15 | 62¢ | 0.0¢ | -$15 |
GitHub.com critical incident by September 15, 2026?Tech | NoResolved | $1 | 12¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by August 31?Politics | NoResolved | $10 | 42¢ | 0.0¢ | -$10 |
Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by August 31, 2026?Politics | YesResolved | $0 | 6.6¢ | 0.0¢ | -$0 |
Will Meta be the #2 AI lab at the end of August 2026?Tech | NoResolved | $6 | 56¢ | 0.0¢ | -$6 |
Will the Ornn A100 Index be between $1.00 and $1.25 on August 31, 2026?Tech | NoResolved | $3 | 33¢ | 0.0¢ | -$3 |
Trump declassifies new UFO files by September 15?Politics | YesResolved | $9 | 30¢ | 0.0¢ | -$9 |
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 23°C on August 20?Weather | YesResolved | $0 | 5.2¢ | 0.0¢ | -$0 |
Will “Last Week Tonight With John Oliver” win Emmys 2026: Outstanding variety series?Culture | YesResolved | $0 | 3.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$0 |
Will Ethereum reach $2,600 August 31-September 6?Crypto | YesResolved | $4 | 29¢ | 0.0¢ | -$4 |
Will Stephen Root – “Widow’s Bay” win Emmys 2026: Outstanding supporting actor in a comedy series?Culture | NoResolved | $18 | 47¢ | 0.0¢ | -$18 |
Will Enzo Fernandez stay at Chelsea?Soccer (other) | YesResolved | $3 | 31¢ | 0.0¢ | -$3 |
Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 in August?Crypto | YesResolved | $1 | 15¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 23°C on August 19?Weather | YesResolved | $0 | 1.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$0 |
Will Kamu Kirk be evicted in Big Brother season 28 (Week 6)?Culture | NoResolved | $6 | 48¢ | 0.0¢ | -$6 |
Will OpenAI’s Astra model be released by September 15, 2026?Tech | NoResolved | $4 | 36¢ | 0.0¢ | -$4 |
Will the Ornn A100 Index be between $1.25 and $1.50 on August 31, 2026?Tech | YesResolved | $0 | 1.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$0 |
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 22°C on August 19?Weather | YesResolved | $1 | 9.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 36°C on August 19?Weather | NoResolved | $6 | 47¢ | 0.0¢ | -$6 |
Will Bitcoin dip to $62,000 August 17-23?Crypto | YesResolved | $0 | 0.4¢ | 0.0¢ | -$0 |
Will Trump praise Claudia Sheinbaum in September?Politics | NoResolved | $1 | 9.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 34°C on August 23?Weather | NoResolved | $5 | 45¢ | 0.0¢ | -$5 |
Will Meta be the second-best AI lab at the end of August 2026?Tech | YesResolved | $0 | 2.5¢ | 0.0¢ | -$0 |
Will Nvidia say "AI" 20+ times during earnings call?Mentions | NoResolved | $0 | 0.6¢ | 0.0¢ | -$0 |
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 29°C on August 22?Weather | NoResolved | $10 | 56¢ | 0.0¢ | -$10 |
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 28°C on August 24?Weather | YesResolved | $2 | 17¢ | 0.0¢ | -$2 |
Will OpenAI’s Astra model debut on the Arena Leaderboard at a score of at least 1490?Tech | YesResolved | $5 | 35¢ | 0.0¢ | -$5 |
Will Elon Musk’s net worth be between $700B and $800B on August 31?Economy | YesResolved | $1 | 11¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 31°C on August 23?Weather | NoResolved | $7 | 46¢ | 0.0¢ | -$7 |
Will MrBeast's next video get between 80 and 90 million views on week 1?Culture | YesResolved | $0 | 3.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$0 |
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 31°C on August 21?Weather | NoResolved | $6 | 43¢ | 0.0¢ | -$6 |
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 76-77°F on August 22?Weather | NoResolved | $9 | 54¢ | 0.0¢ | -$9 |
Will "Instadocs: The Decoy Plane" be the #2 US Netflix show this week?Culture | NoResolved | $19 | 49¢ | 0.0¢ | -$19 |
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 24°C on August 19?Weather | YesResolved | $1 | 12¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
Will Bitcoin reach $82,000 August 24-30?Crypto | YesResolved | $6 | 41¢ | 0.0¢ | -$6 |
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 32°C on August 21?Weather | YesResolved | $1 | 11¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
Will a dozen eggs cost between $2.10–$2.20 in August?Economy | YesResolved | $2 | 19¢ | 0.0¢ | -$2 |
Will the highest temperature in London be 23°C on August 24?Weather | YesResolved | $1 | 9.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by September 9, 2026?Politics | YesResolved | $1 | 12¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 21°C on August 22?Weather | NoResolved | $1 | 53¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $90 Week of August 17 2026?Finance | YesResolved | $1 | 14¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
Will fewer than 170 ships transit the Bab el-Mandeb Strait between September 7-September 13?Politics | YesResolved | $1 | 16¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 82-83°F on August 23?Weather | NoResolved | $9 | 53¢ | 0.0¢ | -$9 |
Will "Hacks" win 4 or 5 awards at the Emmys?Culture | YesResolved | $0 | 2.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$0 |
Will Trump say "Hundred" or "Thousand" 10+ times during remarks at the Pentagon?Mentions | YesResolved | $17 | 46¢ | 0.0¢ | -$17 |
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 33°C on August 22?Weather | NoResolved | $5 | 37¢ | 0.0¢ | -$5 |
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 31°C on August 19?Weather | NoResolved | $6 | 44¢ | 0.0¢ | -$6 |
GitHub.com critical incident by August 31, 2026?Tech | NoResolved | $5 | 40¢ | 0.0¢ | -$5 |
Will MrBeast's next video get 90 million or more views on week 1?Culture | YesResolved | $0 | 0.9¢ | 0.0¢ | -$0 |
Will OpenAI’s Astra model be released between August 31 and September 6, 2026?Tech | NoResolved | $1 | 13¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
Will Caroline Dubé win the 2026 Chicoutimi—Le Fjord by-election?Politics | YesResolved | $2 | 21¢ | 0.0¢ | -$2 |
Will Weibo (WB) beat quarterly earnings?Finance | NoResolved | $5 | 46¢ | 0.0¢ | -$5 |
Will the highest temperature in London be 24°C on August 23?Weather | NoResolved | $11 | 58¢ | 0.0¢ | -$11 |