Jerome Powell out from Fed Board by May 30?Politics | NoResolved | $146 | 73¢ | 100¢ | +$54 |
Masoud Pezeshkian out by June 30?Politics | NoResolved | $145 | 73¢ | 100¢ | +$54 |
Will a U.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the United States occur by June 30, 2026?Politics | YesResolved | $72 | 39¢ | 100¢ | +$112 |
Another critical Cloudflare incident by April 30, 2026?Politics | YesResolved | $32 | 21¢ | 100¢ | +$119 |
Will France, UK, or Germany strike Iran by June 30?Politics | NoResolved | $95 | 95¢ | 100¢ | +$6 |
Will Vitality win BLAST Rivals Fort Worth 2026?eSports | YesResolved | $67 | 67¢ | 100¢ | +$33 |
Will Green Left be part of the next Government of Denmark?Politics | YesResolved | $80 | 80¢ | 100¢ | +$20 |
Will Google have the #1 AI model at the end of April 2026 (Style Control On)?Tech | NoResolved | $96 | 96¢ | 100¢ | +$4 |
Megaquake by June 30?Weather | NoResolved | $60 | 77¢ | 100¢ | +$18 |
Will Jeffrey Kessler be the Democratic nominee for Senate in West Virginia?Politics | NoResolved | $26 | 37¢ | 100¢ | +$45 |
Will O'Reilly Automotive (ORLY) beat quarterly earnings?Finance | YesResolved | $22 | 44¢ | 100¢ | +$28 |
Another critical Cloudflare incident by June 30, 2026?Politics | YesResolved | $33 | 66¢ | 100¢ | +$17 |
Will Jasmine Clark be the Democratic nominee for GA-13?Politics | YesResolved | $30 | 60¢ | 100¢ | +$20 |
Will Gustavo Petro be charged in the US by April 30?Politics | NoResolved | $48 | 95¢ | 100¢ | +$2 |
Will Russia capture all of Huliaipole by April 30?Politics | NoResolved | $21 | 43¢ | 100¢ | +$28 |
Will the DFM Real Estate Index hit 14,000 in 2026?Finance | No | $13 | 26¢ | 94¢ | +$34 |
Will GitLab be acquired before 2027?Tech | No | $43 | 86¢ | 91¢ | +$3 |
Will Nikolai Denkov win the next Bulgarian presidential election?Politics | No | $34 | 76¢ | 96¢ | +$9 |
Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day be the top grossing movie of 2026?Culture | Yes | $30 | 60¢ | 83¢ | +$11 |
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $7,000 by end of June?Finance | NoResolved | $38 | 96¢ | 100¢ | +$2 |
Will the number of Democratic House members who retire in 2026 be between 20 and 23 inclusive?Politics | No | $48 | 83¢ | 69¢ | -$8 |
Will the minimum Arctic sea ice extent this summer be less than 4m square kilometers?Weather | No | $27 | 55¢ | 78¢ | +$11 |
OpenAI $1T+ valuation in 2026?Tech | Yes | $69 | 69¢ | 36¢ | -$33 |
Nothing Ever Happens: MarchPolitics | NothingResolved | $24 | 67¢ | 100¢ | +$12 |
Will Avengers: Doomsday be the top grossing movie of 2026?Culture | No | $28 | 71¢ | 91¢ | +$8 |
Anthropic IPO before 2027?Tech | Yes | $26 | 52¢ | 68¢ | +$8 |
OpenAI IPO closing market cap above $1.2T?Tech | No | $78 | 86¢ | 37¢ | -$45 |
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?Politics | No | $28 | 55¢ | 67¢ | +$6 |
Will Apple release a touchscreen MacBook in 2026?Tech | Yes | $38 | 68¢ | 59¢ | -$5 |
Will Silver (SI) settle at $100-$115 in June?Finance | NoResolved | $27 | 84¢ | 100¢ | +$5 |
| Will the Democratic Party win the FL-16 House seat?Politics | No | $35 | 89¢ | 78¢ | -$4 |
Will Oprah Winfrey announce a Presidential run before 2027?Politics | No | $27 | 91¢ | 96¢ | +$2 |
Will PayPal be acquired before 2027?Tech | No | $42 | 84¢ | 42¢ | -$21 |
US federally charges ex-Cuba leader Raul Castro?Politics | YesResolved | $6 | 30¢ | 100¢ | +$14 |
Uber # of trips above 3.6B in Q1?Economy | YesResolved | $17 | 85¢ | 100¢ | +$3 |
Uber # of trips above 3.4B in Q1?Economy | YesResolved | $19 | 94¢ | 100¢ | +$1 |
Will MetaMask launch a token by June 30?Crypto | NoResolved | $18 | 90¢ | 100¢ | +$2 |
Ukraine recognizes Russian sovereignty over its territory by December 31, 2026?Politics | No | $17 | 84¢ | 95¢ | +$2 |
Will Iran withdraw from the NPT before 2027?Politics | Yes | $6 | 6.0¢ | 18¢ | +$12 |
Will the Audemars Piguet Index hit $40,250 (LOW) by April 30?Economy | NoResolved | $15 | 83¢ | 100¢ | +$3 |
Will Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia before 2027?Politics | No | $18 | 88¢ | 88¢ | +$0 |
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?Politics | Yes | $20 | 40¢ | 34¢ | -$3 |
No listed company closes Warner Bros acquisition by June 30, 2027Politics | No | $16 | 80¢ | 77¢ | -$1 |
Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?Politics | Yes | $17 | 44¢ | 38¢ | -$3 |
SCOTUS accepts sports event contract case by December 31, 2026?Politics | Yes | $10 | 51¢ | 70¢ | +$4 |
Will Vicente Ada win the 2026 Guam Governor Republican primary election?Politics | No | $26 | 49¢ | 23¢ | -$14 |
Will Bert Mizusawa be the Republican nominee for Senate in Virginia?Politics | No | $41 | 82¢ | 23¢ | -$30 |
Will Half-Life 3 be announced before 2027?Other sports | No | $8 | 60¢ | 80¢ | +$3 |
Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day be the top grossing movie of 2026?Culture | No | $18 | 35¢ | 18¢ | -$9 |
Will the U.S. invade Venezuela by December 31, 2026?Politics | Yes | $20 | 13¢ | 4.5¢ | -$13 |
Will Chuck Schumer be the next Senate Majority Leader?Politics | No | $7 | 61¢ | 61¢ | -$0 |
Jon Favreau as Happy Hogan?Culture | Yes | $12 | 59¢ | 30¢ | -$6 |
OpenAI IPO closing market cap above $1.6T?Tech | Yes | $6 | 31¢ | 19¢ | -$2 |
Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel?Politics | Yes | $21 | 41¢ | 6.5¢ | -$17 |
| Will the Democratic Party win the MA-04 House seat?Politics | No | $3 | 6.0¢ | 5.9¢ | -$0 |
Deel IPO before 2027?Tech | Yes | $14 | 29¢ | 4.5¢ | -$12 |
Will Anthropic or OpenAI IPO first?Tech | OpenAI | $7 | 33¢ | 11¢ | -$4 |
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez announce a Presidential run before 2027?Politics | Yes | $3 | 13¢ | 9.0¢ | -$1 |
Will Chris Coons be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Delaware?Politics | No | $11 | 26¢ | 3.4¢ | -$9 |
FDA approves Retatrutide this year?Tech | Yes | $15 | 30¢ | 2.5¢ | -$14 |
Will Nicolás Maduro be sentenced to no prison time?Politics | No | $1 | 72¢ | 67¢ | -$0 |
Will US withdraw from NATO before 2027?Politics | Yes | $4 | 11¢ | 3.1¢ | -$3 |
Will the number of Republican Senate members who retire in 2026 be less than 5?Politics | Yes | $4 | 5.0¢ | 1.4¢ | -$3 |
Prince Andrew sentenced to prison?Politics | Yes | $4 | 10.0¢ | 2.6¢ | -$3 |
Will Russia enter Dovha Balka by April 30?Politics | NoResolved | $16 | 32¢ | 0.0¢ | -$16 |
Nothing Ever Happens: Israel EditionPolitics | YesResolved | $20 | 60¢ | 0.0¢ | -$20 |
Delcy Rodríguez out as leader of Venezuela by March 31, 2026?Politics | YesResolved | $3 | 2.6¢ | 0.0¢ | -$3 |
GPT-5.5 released by April 30, 2026?Tech | NoResolved | $30 | 19¢ | 0.0¢ | -$30 |
Claude 4.7 released by May 31?Tech | NoResolved | $2 | 4.7¢ | 0.0¢ | -$2 |
Will S&P 500 (SPX) close at $6,800-$6,900 in January?Finance | YesResolved | $0 | 0.2¢ | 0.0¢ | -$0 |
Will Silver (SI) hit (LOW) $85 by end of February?Finance | NoResolved | $39 | 26¢ | 0.0¢ | -$39 |
No change in Bank of Japan’s interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?Politics | NoResolved | $37 | 10¢ | 0.0¢ | -$37 |
Will Iran take military action against a Gulf State on March 28, 2026?Politics | NoResolved | $5 | 4.5¢ | 0.0¢ | -$5 |
Will Truist Financial (TFC) beat quarterly earnings?Finance | NoResolved | $38 | 30¢ | 0.0¢ | -$38 |
Will Israel take military action in Gaza on April 3, 2026?Politics | NoResolved | $69 | 69¢ | 0.0¢ | -$69 |
Will Jay-Z be named in newly released Epstein files by March 31?Politics | NoResolved | $2 | 54¢ | 0.0¢ | -$2 |
Will Luther (Kendrick Lamar and SZA) win Record of the Year at the 68th Annual GRAMMY Awards?Culture | NoResolved | $1 | 44¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
Monza: Raphael Collignon vs Christopher O'ConnellTennis | Christopher OConnellResolved | $0 | 0.1¢ | 0.0¢ | -$0 |
Bank of Japan increases interest rates by 25 bps after the April 2026 meeting?Politics | YesResolved | $62 | 48¢ | 0.0¢ | -$62 |
Will the Silicon Data H100 Index (SDH100RT) hit $2.00 (LOW) by April 30, 2026?Tech | YesResolved | $1 | 7.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
Will Claude 5 be released by March 15, 2026?Tech | YesResolved | $42 | 21¢ | 0.0¢ | -$42 |
Will Russia enter Rai-Oleksandrivka by April 30, 2026?Politics | NoResolved | $36 | 72¢ | 0.0¢ | -$36 |
Will the DHS shutdown last 30 days or more?Politics | NoResolved | $37 | 35¢ | 0.0¢ | -$37 |
Will GERB-UDF (GERB-SDS) finish second in the 2026 Bulgarian parliamentary election?Politics | NoResolved | $6 | 11¢ | 0.0¢ | -$6 |
Will the United States win the most gold medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics?Olympics | YesResolved | $44 | 14¢ | 0.0¢ | -$44 |
Claude 4.7 released by June 30?Tech | NoResolved | $20 | 10.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$20 |
Will Susana Martinez win the 2026 New Mexico Governor Republican primary election?Politics | YesResolved | $2 | 9.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$2 |
Will Luis Antonio Revilla win the 2026 La Paz gubernatorial election?Politics | NoResolved | $0 | 1.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$0 |
US forces in Venezuela again by June 30, 2026?Politics | NoResolved | $124 | 82¢ | 0.0¢ | -$124 |
Tucker Carlson federally charged?Politics | YesResolved | $4 | 7.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$4 |
Will "Ace" be said during the CS IEM Rio 2026 Grand Final?eSports | NoResolved | $1 | 3.5¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
Epstein blackmail evidence released by March 31?Politics | NoResolved | $12 | 3.2¢ | 0.0¢ | -$12 |
Will the Logan Paul 1st Edition Charizard sale price be over 1m?Boxing | YesResolved | $12 | 23¢ | 0.0¢ | -$12 |
Will Moody's (MCO) beat quarterly earnings?Finance | NoResolved | $3 | 6.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$3 |
Kurds declare independence from Iran?Politics | YesResolved | $19 | 10.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$19 |
Will there be exactly 0 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from April 13 - 19?Weather | NoResolved | $2 | 8.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$2 |
Will Natural Gas (NG) hit (LOW) $2.60 in April?Finance | NoResolved | $13 | 38¢ | 0.0¢ | -$13 |
Will Fidesz-KDNP win at least 90 seats?Politics | YesResolved | $56 | 28¢ | 0.0¢ | -$56 |
Will Russia strike on Kyiv municipality on January 28?Politics | YesResolved | $5 | 7.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$5 |
Will Iran strike Al Zour Refinery by April 30?Politics | YesResolved | $5 | 31¢ | 0.0¢ | -$5 |