← Whale Watch

rolller

Predicting since Jan 2026848 markets tradedPolymarket profile ↗

Down $2.2K on Politics markets since Jan 2026.

Right now: $626 riding on Rolex Monte Carlo Masters: Corentin Moutet vs Alexandre Muller.

All-time PnL
+$0
This year
+$0
Last 30 days
+$0
Portfolio value
$0

Deep stats

Bucko Oracle
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Profit over time

What they are betting now

MarketSideStakeEntryNowPnL
Jerome Powell out from Fed Board by May 30?PoliticsNoResolved$14673¢100¢+$54
Masoud Pezeshkian out by June 30?PoliticsNoResolved$14573¢100¢+$54
Will a U.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the United States occur by June 30, 2026?PoliticsYesResolved$7239¢100¢+$112
Another critical Cloudflare incident by April 30, 2026?PoliticsYesResolved$3221¢100¢+$119
Will France, UK, or Germany strike Iran by June 30?PoliticsNoResolved$9595¢100¢+$6
Will Vitality win BLAST Rivals Fort Worth 2026?eSportsYesResolved$6767¢100¢+$33
Will Green Left be part of the next Government of Denmark?PoliticsYesResolved$8080¢100¢+$20
Will Google have the #1 AI model at the end of April 2026 (Style Control On)?TechNoResolved$9696¢100¢+$4
Megaquake by June 30?WeatherNoResolved$6077¢100¢+$18
Will Jeffrey Kessler be the Democratic nominee for Senate in West Virginia?PoliticsNoResolved$2637¢100¢+$45
Will O'Reilly Automotive (ORLY) beat quarterly earnings?FinanceYesResolved$2244¢100¢+$28
Another critical Cloudflare incident by June 30, 2026?PoliticsYesResolved$3366¢100¢+$17
Will Jasmine Clark be the Democratic nominee for GA-13?PoliticsYesResolved$3060¢100¢+$20
Will Gustavo Petro be charged in the US by April 30?PoliticsNoResolved$4895¢100¢+$2
Will Russia capture all of Huliaipole by April 30?PoliticsNoResolved$2143¢100¢+$28
Will the DFM Real Estate Index hit 14,000 in 2026?FinanceNo$1326¢94¢+$34
Will GitLab be acquired before 2027?TechNo$4386¢91¢+$3
Will Nikolai Denkov win the next Bulgarian presidential election?PoliticsNo$3476¢96¢+$9
Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day be the top grossing movie of 2026?CultureYes$3060¢83¢+$11
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $7,000 by end of June?FinanceNoResolved$3896¢100¢+$2
Will the number of Democratic House members who retire in 2026 be between 20 and 23 inclusive?PoliticsNo$4883¢69¢-$8
Will the minimum Arctic sea ice extent this summer be less than 4m square kilometers?WeatherNo$2755¢78¢+$11
OpenAI $1T+ valuation in 2026?TechYes$6969¢36¢-$33
Nothing Ever Happens: MarchPoliticsNothingResolved$2467¢100¢+$12
Will Avengers: Doomsday be the top grossing movie of 2026?CultureNo$2871¢91¢+$8
Anthropic IPO before 2027?TechYes$2652¢68¢+$8
OpenAI IPO closing market cap above $1.2T?TechNo$7886¢37¢-$45
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?PoliticsNo$2855¢67¢+$6
Will Apple release a touchscreen MacBook in 2026?TechYes$3868¢59¢-$5
Will Silver (SI) settle at $100-$115 in June?FinanceNoResolved$2784¢100¢+$5
Will the Democratic Party win the FL-16 House seat?PoliticsNo$3589¢78¢-$4
Will Oprah Winfrey announce a Presidential run before 2027?PoliticsNo$2791¢96¢+$2
Will PayPal be acquired before 2027?TechNo$4284¢42¢-$21
US federally charges ex-Cuba leader Raul Castro?PoliticsYesResolved$630¢100¢+$14
Uber # of trips above 3.6B in Q1?EconomyYesResolved$1785¢100¢+$3
Uber # of trips above 3.4B in Q1?EconomyYesResolved$1994¢100¢+$1
Will MetaMask launch a token by June 30?CryptoNoResolved$1890¢100¢+$2
Ukraine recognizes Russian sovereignty over its territory by December 31, 2026?PoliticsNo$1784¢95¢+$2
Will Iran withdraw from the NPT before 2027?PoliticsYes$66.0¢18¢+$12
Will the Audemars Piguet Index hit $40,250 (LOW) by April 30?EconomyNoResolved$1583¢100¢+$3
Will Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia before 2027?PoliticsNo$1888¢88¢+$0
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?PoliticsYes$2040¢34¢-$3
No listed company closes Warner Bros acquisition by June 30, 2027PoliticsNo$1680¢77¢-$1
Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?PoliticsYes$1744¢38¢-$3
SCOTUS accepts sports event contract case by December 31, 2026?PoliticsYes$1051¢70¢+$4
Will Vicente Ada win the 2026 Guam Governor Republican primary election?PoliticsNo$2649¢23¢-$14
Will Bert Mizusawa be the Republican nominee for Senate in Virginia?PoliticsNo$4182¢23¢-$30
Will Half-Life 3 be announced before 2027?Other sportsNo$860¢80¢+$3
Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day be the top grossing movie of 2026?CultureNo$1835¢18¢-$9
Will the U.S. invade Venezuela by December 31, 2026?PoliticsYes$2013¢4.5¢-$13
Will Chuck Schumer be the next Senate Majority Leader?PoliticsNo$761¢61¢-$0
Jon Favreau as Happy Hogan?CultureYes$1259¢30¢-$6
OpenAI IPO closing market cap above $1.6T?TechYes$631¢19¢-$2
Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel?PoliticsYes$2141¢6.5¢-$17
Will the Democratic Party win the MA-04 House seat?PoliticsNo$36.0¢5.9¢-$0
Deel IPO before 2027?TechYes$1429¢4.5¢-$12
Will Anthropic or OpenAI IPO first?TechOpenAI$733¢11¢-$4
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez announce a Presidential run before 2027?PoliticsYes$313¢9.0¢-$1
Will Chris Coons be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Delaware?PoliticsNo$1126¢3.4¢-$9
FDA approves Retatrutide this year?TechYes$1530¢2.5¢-$14
Will Nicolás Maduro be sentenced to no prison time?PoliticsNo$172¢67¢-$0
Will US withdraw from NATO before 2027?PoliticsYes$411¢3.1¢-$3
Will the number of Republican Senate members who retire in 2026 be less than 5?PoliticsYes$45.0¢1.4¢-$3
Prince Andrew sentenced to prison?PoliticsYes$410.0¢2.6¢-$3
Will Russia enter Dovha Balka by April 30?PoliticsNoResolved$1632¢0.0¢-$16
Nothing Ever Happens: Israel EditionPoliticsYesResolved$2060¢0.0¢-$20
Delcy Rodríguez out as leader of Venezuela by March 31, 2026?PoliticsYesResolved$32.6¢0.0¢-$3
GPT-5.5 released by April 30, 2026?TechNoResolved$3019¢0.0¢-$30
Claude 4.7 released by May 31?TechNoResolved$24.7¢0.0¢-$2
Will S&P 500 (SPX) close at $6,800-$6,900 in January?FinanceYesResolved$00.2¢0.0¢-$0
Will Silver (SI) hit (LOW) $85 by end of February?FinanceNoResolved$3926¢0.0¢-$39
No change in Bank of Japan’s interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?PoliticsNoResolved$3710¢0.0¢-$37
Will Iran take military action against a Gulf State on March 28, 2026?PoliticsNoResolved$54.5¢0.0¢-$5
Will Truist Financial (TFC) beat quarterly earnings?FinanceNoResolved$3830¢0.0¢-$38
Will Israel take military action in Gaza on April 3, 2026?PoliticsNoResolved$6969¢0.0¢-$69
Will Jay-Z be named in newly released Epstein files by March 31?PoliticsNoResolved$254¢0.0¢-$2
Will Luther (Kendrick Lamar and SZA) win Record of the Year at the 68th Annual GRAMMY Awards?CultureNoResolved$144¢0.0¢-$1
Monza: Raphael Collignon vs Christopher O'ConnellTennisChristopher OConnellResolved$00.1¢0.0¢-$0
Bank of Japan increases interest rates by 25 bps after the April 2026 meeting?PoliticsYesResolved$6248¢0.0¢-$62
Will the Silicon Data H100 Index (SDH100RT) hit $2.00 (LOW) by April 30, 2026?TechYesResolved$17.0¢0.0¢-$1
Will Claude 5 be released by March 15, 2026?TechYesResolved$4221¢0.0¢-$42
Will Russia enter Rai-Oleksandrivka by April 30, 2026?PoliticsNoResolved$3672¢0.0¢-$36
Will the DHS shutdown last 30 days or more?PoliticsNoResolved$3735¢0.0¢-$37
Will GERB-UDF (GERB-SDS) finish second in the 2026 Bulgarian parliamentary election?PoliticsNoResolved$611¢0.0¢-$6
Will the United States win the most gold medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics?OlympicsYesResolved$4414¢0.0¢-$44
Claude 4.7 released by June 30?TechNoResolved$2010.0¢0.0¢-$20
Will Susana Martinez win the 2026 New Mexico Governor Republican primary election?PoliticsYesResolved$29.0¢0.0¢-$2
Will Luis Antonio Revilla win the 2026 La Paz gubernatorial election?PoliticsNoResolved$01.0¢0.0¢-$0
US forces in Venezuela again by June 30, 2026?PoliticsNoResolved$12482¢0.0¢-$124
Tucker Carlson federally charged?PoliticsYesResolved$47.0¢0.0¢-$4
Will "Ace" be said during the CS IEM Rio 2026 Grand Final?eSportsNoResolved$13.5¢0.0¢-$1
Epstein blackmail evidence released by March 31?PoliticsNoResolved$123.2¢0.0¢-$12
Will the Logan Paul 1st Edition Charizard sale price be over 1m?BoxingYesResolved$1223¢0.0¢-$12
Will Moody's (MCO) beat quarterly earnings?FinanceNoResolved$36.0¢0.0¢-$3
Kurds declare independence from Iran?PoliticsYesResolved$1910.0¢0.0¢-$19
Will there be exactly 0 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from April 13 - 19?WeatherNoResolved$28.0¢0.0¢-$2
Will Natural Gas (NG) hit (LOW) $2.60 in April?FinanceNoResolved$1338¢0.0¢-$13
Will Fidesz-KDNP win at least 90 seats?PoliticsYesResolved$5628¢0.0¢-$56
Will Russia strike on Kyiv municipality on January 28?PoliticsYesResolved$57.0¢0.0¢-$5
Will Iran strike Al Zour Refinery by April 30?PoliticsYesResolved$531¢0.0¢-$5

Where the money comes from

Realized + open PnL by category

Politics-$2.2K
Tennis-$1.1K
Tech-$867
Other sports-$708
Finance-$385
Weather-$227
Olympics-$128
eSports+$126
Basketball (other)-$80
Crypto-$77
Culture+$51
NHL-$39
Biggest hit
+$775
US strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?
Toughest beat
-$1.1K
Starmer out by February 28, 2026?

Recent moves

  • Bought Yes · Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day be the top grossing movie of 2026?$122mo ago
  • Bought Yes · Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day be the top grossing movie of 2026?$182mo ago
  • Bought No · Will the minimum Arctic sea ice extent this summer be less than 4m square kilometers?$32mo ago
  • Bought No · Will the minimum Arctic sea ice extent this summer be less than 4m square kilometers?$12mo ago
  • Bought No · Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?$282mo ago
  • Bought No · Will the minimum Arctic sea ice extent this summer be less than 4m square kilometers?$12mo ago
  • Bought Yes · Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?$72mo ago
  • Bought Yes · Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?$22mo ago
  • Bought Yes · Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?$02mo ago
  • Bought Yes · Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?$22mo ago
  • Bought Yes · Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?$22mo ago
  • Bought Yes · Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?$32mo ago