Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Politics | Yes | $13 | 5.3¢ | 8.8¢ | +$8 |
Russia strike on Kyiv municipality by December 31?Politics | YesResolved | $3 | 7.2¢ | 0.0¢ | -$3 |
Will Donald Trump be the #1 searched person on Google this year?Tech | YesResolved | $1 | 7.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
Will Gemini 3.0 be released on November 21 2025?Tech | YesResolved | $1 | 1.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
Will the government shutdown last 14 days or more?Politics | YesResolved | $3 | 6.9¢ | 0.0¢ | -$3 |
Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from November 7 to November 14, 2025?Politics | YesResolved | $2 | 24¢ | 0.0¢ | -$2 |
US x Venezuela military engagement by December 15?Politics | YesResolved | $2 | 16¢ | 0.0¢ | -$2 |
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from November 14 to November 21, 2025?Politics | NoResolved | $9 | 32¢ | 0.0¢ | -$9 |
Will the government shutdown last 10 days or more?Politics | YesResolved | $2 | 11¢ | 0.0¢ | -$2 |
Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after January 2026 meeting?Politics | YesResolved | $1 | 0.8¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
Will Powell say "Inflation" 50+ times during December press conference?Mentions | NoResolved | $2 | 46¢ | 0.0¢ | -$2 |
Will NVIDIA (NVDA) beat quarterly earnings?Finance | NoResolved | $1 | 11¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
US strikes Iran by February 22, 2026?Politics | YesResolved | $1 | 8.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
Will Donald Trump say "Nuclear" during Syria President events on November 10?Mentions | YesResolved | $1 | 0.9¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
Will the government shutdown last 6 days or more?Politics | YesResolved | $2 | 20¢ | 0.0¢ | -$2 |
Will the government shutdown last 30 days or more?Politics | YesResolved | $2 | 4.1¢ | 0.0¢ | -$2 |
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from November 11 to November 18, 2025?Politics | YesResolved | $2 | 40¢ | 0.0¢ | -$2 |
Will Powell say "Inflation" 60+ times during December press conference?Mentions | NoResolved | $2 | 74¢ | 0.0¢ | -$2 |
Will Gemini 3.0 be released by November 22?Tech | NoResolved | $3 | 2.5¢ | 0.0¢ | -$3 |
UFC 322: Makhachev vs. Della Maddalena (Welterweight, Main Card)UFC / MMA | Della MaddalenaResolved | $1 | 27¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
Will another person/thing be TIME's Person of the Year for 2025?Culture | NoResolved | $1 | 6.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
Will Pope Francis be TIME's Person of the Year for 2025?Culture | YesResolved | $2 | 0.3¢ | 0.0¢ | -$2 |
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from November 28 to December 5, 2025?Politics | NoResolved | $11 | 82¢ | 0.0¢ | -$11 |
Will Gemini 3.0 be released by November 30?Tech | NoResolved | $2 | 6.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$2 |
Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from November 25 to December 2, 2025?Politics | YesResolved | $1 | 9.3¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from November 18 to November 25, 2025?Politics | NoResolved | $1 | 24¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
Will the government shutdown last 7 days or more?Politics | YesResolved | $2 | 23¢ | 0.0¢ | -$2 |
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the March 2026 meeting?Politics | YesResolved | $1 | 5.3¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from October 28 to November 4, 2025?Politics | YesResolved | $5 | 24¢ | 0.0¢ | -$5 |
NVIDIA (NVDA) Up or Down on November 19?Finance | DownResolved | $1 | 10.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
Will Shayne say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" during 60 Minutes?Mentions | YesResolved | $2 | 78¢ | 0.0¢ | -$2 |
Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from November 11 to November 18, 2025?Politics | YesResolved | $8 | 18¢ | 0.0¢ | -$8 |
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from November 11 to November 18, 2025?Politics | NoResolved | $2 | 57¢ | 0.0¢ | -$2 |
No change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting?Politics | NoResolved | $7 | 19¢ | 0.0¢ | -$7 |
Will Trump say "Polymarket" by December 31?Mentions | YesResolved | $1 | 3.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
Will Netflix (NFLX) beat quarterly earnings?Finance | NoResolved | $2 | 16¢ | 0.0¢ | -$2 |
Will the government shutdown last 5 days or more?Politics | YesResolved | $6 | 31¢ | 0.0¢ | -$6 |
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from November 25 to December 2, 2025?Politics | NoResolved | $1 | 67¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
Will Donald Trump say "ISIS" during Syria President events on November 10?Mentions | YesResolved | $1 | 0.5¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from October 31 to November 7, 2025?Politics | YesResolved | $2 | 24¢ | 0.0¢ | -$2 |
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from October 28 to November 4, 2025?Politics | YesResolved | $4 | 36¢ | 0.0¢ | -$4 |
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after January 2026 meeting?Politics | YesResolved | $4 | 11¢ | 0.0¢ | -$4 |
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from November 25 to December 2, 2025?Politics | YesResolved | $1 | 8.1¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
Will Powell say "Inflation" 40+ times during December press conference?Mentions | NoResolved | $2 | 22¢ | 0.0¢ | -$2 |
Will Artificial Intelligence be TIME's Person of the Year for 2025?Culture | YesResolved | $1 | 6.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |