← Whale Watch

zbetts

Predicting since Mar 20264,725 markets tradedPolymarket profile ↗

Down $3.4K on MLB markets since Mar 2026.

All-time PnL
+$0
This year
+$0
Last 30 days
+$0
Portfolio value
$0

Deep stats

Bucko Oracle
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Profit over time

What they are betting now

MarketSideStakeEntryNowPnL
Will William Lawrence be the Democratic nominee for MI-07?PoliticsYes$12038¢80¢+$132
Will the US announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 31?PoliticsNo$16181¢98¢+$34
Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 31?PoliticsNo$16986¢99¢+$25
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?PoliticsNo$18386¢81¢-$10
US announces end of Iranian blockade by July 31, 2026?PoliticsNo$11979¢76¢-$5
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31?PoliticsYes$4921¢44¢+$53
US charges Hormuz fees by July 31, 2026?PoliticsNo$8886¢100¢+$14
US-Iran 60 day negotiation period extended?PoliticsYes$8854¢59¢+$7
Will Shenna Bellows be the Maine Senate Democratic nominee on July 27?PoliticsNo$6071¢100¢+$24
Will there be between 40 and 60 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on July 31?PoliticsNo$7189¢99¢+$8
Will Nito Abreu win the 2026 São Tomé and Príncipe presidential elections?PoliticsNo$6691¢100¢+$6
Will Carlos Vila Nova win the 2026 São Tomé and Príncipe presidential elections?PoliticsYes$5888¢100¢+$8
Will Anthropic have the best Math AI model at the end of July 2026?TechYes$5288¢95¢+$4
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?PoliticsYes$5785¢80¢-$3
Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 29?PoliticsNo$5990¢81¢-$6
Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 30?PoliticsNo$5990¢80¢-$7
Iran charges Hormuz fees by July 31?PoliticsNo$4383¢96¢+$7
Will fewer than 50 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between July 20-July 26?PoliticsYes$6562¢46¢-$17
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by August 14?PoliticsNo$7865¢39¢-$31
Iran full airspace closure by July 27?PoliticsNo$4186¢97¢+$5
Will Trump meet with Netanyahu by July 31, 2026?PoliticsYes$2559¢98¢+$17
Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 31?PoliticsNo$4388¢85¢-$2
Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 27?PoliticsNo$4189¢86¢-$2
Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 26?PoliticsNo$3588¢96¢+$3
Will Sara Rodriguez win the 2026 Wisconsin Governor Democratic primary election?PoliticsNo$2566¢100¢+$13
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by July 31?PoliticsNo$3592¢99¢+$3
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 15?PoliticsNo$6351¢31¢-$25
Will Haley Stevens win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary?PoliticsNo$4280¢66¢-$7
Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?PoliticsYes$1213¢38¢+$23
Nothing Ever Happens: JulyPoliticsNothing$3377¢80¢+$1
Will Darline Graham Nordone be the new republican nominee for Senate in South Carolina?PoliticsYes$3169¢73¢+$1
Detroit Tigers vs. Cleveland GuardiansMLBDetroit Tigers$2751¢53¢+$1
Will Carnita Atwater win the 2026 Tennessee Governor Democratic primary election?PoliticsNo$2690¢94¢+$1
Will Abdul El-Sayed win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary?PoliticsYes$3281¢66¢-$6
Will 30 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by July 31, 2026?PoliticsYes$7846¢14¢-$55
Will Donald Trump publicly insult Benjamin Netanyahu by July 31, 2026?PoliticsNo$1683¢91¢+$2
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by July 31?PoliticsYes$6845¢11¢-$51
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 25?PoliticsYes$1374¢100¢+$4
FC Midtjylland vs. Beşiktaş JK: O/U 2.5Soccer (other)Under$1744¢44¢-$0
Will Russia enter Myrne by July 31, 2026?PoliticsNo$1486¢92¢+$1
Shanghai Haigang FC vs. Dalian Yingbo FC: Dalian Yingbo FC O/U 0.5Soccer (other)Over$2473¢40¢-$11
Will Lewis Hamilton win the 2026 F1 Hungarian Grand Prix?Formula 1No$1282¢83¢+$0
Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by July 31?PoliticsYes$5635¢7.0¢-$45
US reissues Iran oil sanction relief by July 31?PoliticsNo$978¢89¢+$1
Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by July 31, 2026?PoliticsYes$3250¢14¢-$23
Will fewer than 100 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between July 13-July 19?PoliticsYes$587¢100¢+$1
Will Cori Bush be the Democratic nominee for MO-01?PoliticsYes$557¢59¢+$0
Will Yousef Rabhi be the Democratic nominee for the Ann Arbor Mayoral Election?PoliticsYes$836¢23¢-$3
Will Lisa Demuth win the 2026 Minnesota Governor Republican primary election?PoliticsYes$547¢42¢-$1
US x Cuba diplomatic meeting by July 31?PoliticsYes$735¢22¢-$3
Boston Red Sox vs. New York YankeesMLBNew York Yankees$554¢48¢-$1
Mitch McConnell votes in the Senate by July 31?PoliticsNo$486¢92¢+$0
Will Mandela Barnes win the 2026 Wisconsin Governor Democratic primary election?PoliticsYes$511¢7.0¢-$2
Will Trump praise Allah again by July 31?PoliticsYes$526¢14¢-$2
Mitch McConnell votes in the Senate by July 31?PoliticsYes$515¢8.0¢-$2
Counter-Strike: Voca vs regain (BO3) - BLAST Open North American Qualifier PlayoffseSportsregainResolved$519¢0.0¢-$5
Zug: Alexander Donski vs Max Hans RehbergTennisAlexander DonskiResolved$525¢0.0¢-$5
Will Spain reach the Semifinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?World CupNoResolved$3651¢0.0¢-$36
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Boston Red SoxMLBTampa Bay RaysResolved$2046¢0.0¢-$20
Iasi Open: Mayar Sherif vs Oleksandra OliynykovaTennisOleksandra OliynykovaResolved$1645¢0.0¢-$16
Baltimore Orioles vs. Boston Red SoxMLBBaltimore OriolesResolved$3649¢0.0¢-$36
Zug: Max Alcala Gurri vs Dylan DietrichTennisMax Alcala GurriResolved$545¢0.0¢-$5
Boston Red Sox vs. Chicago White SoxMLBChicago White SoxResolved$1452¢0.0¢-$14
Bastad: Lola Radivojevic vs Yulia PutintsevaTennisLola RadivojevicResolved$535¢0.0¢-$5
Newport: Sachia Vickery vs Reese BrantmeierTennisSachia VickeryResolved$48.0¢0.0¢-$4
Livesport Prague Open, Qualification: Priscilla Hon vs Carol Young Suh LeeTennisPriscilla HonResolved$929¢0.0¢-$9
Argentina vs. Switzerland: Argentina O/U 2.5World CupOverResolved$1722¢0.0¢-$17
Will Graham Platner drop out by July 9?PoliticsNoResolved$22546¢0.0¢-$225
UFC 329: Cory Sandhagen vs. Mario Bautista (Bantamweight, Main Card)UFC / MMACory SandhagenResolved$157¢0.0¢-$1
LoL: Conviction vs Winthrop University (BO3) - North American Challengers League Group StageeSportsConvictionResolved$3382¢0.0¢-$33
Athletics vs. Arizona DiamondbacksMLBAthleticsResolved$11154¢0.0¢-$111
Livesport Prague Open, Qualification: Xinyu Gao vs Linda FruhvirtovaTennisLinda FruhvirtovaResolved$650¢0.0¢-$6
Spain vs. Belgium: O/U 2.5World CupUnderResolved$3946¢0.0¢-$39
Game Handicap: GEN (-1.5) vs T1 (+1.5)eSportsGen.GResolved$2236¢0.0¢-$22
Tampere: Henri Squire vs Mika PetkovicTennisMika PetkovicResolved$541¢0.0¢-$5
LoL: LYON vs Team Secret Whales - Game 1 WinnereSportsTeam Secret WhalesResolved$842¢0.0¢-$8
Generali Open: Kilian Feldbausch vs Ignacio BuseTennisKilian FeldbauschResolved$536¢0.0¢-$5
Valorant: Sentinels vs LOUD (BO3) - VCT Americas Stage 2 Group OmegaeSportsLOUDResolved$3349¢0.0¢-$33
Hamburg European Open: Arantxa Rus vs Elina AvanesyanTennisArantxa RusResolved$529¢0.0¢-$5
Lincoln: Matthew Forbes vs Bernard TomicTennisMatthew ForbesResolved$537¢0.0¢-$5
Braunschweig: Jan Choinski vs Max Hans RehbergTennisMax Hans RehbergResolved$3460¢0.0¢-$34
Athletics vs. Arizona DiamondbacksMLBArizona DiamondbacksResolved$8567¢0.0¢-$85
Colorado Rockies vs. Los Angeles DodgersMLBColorado RockiesResolved$531¢0.0¢-$5
Detroit Tigers vs. Chicago CubsMLBChicago CubsResolved$2053¢0.0¢-$20
LoL: Myth Esports vs Dynasty - Game 1 WinnereSportsMyth EsportsResolved$17247¢0.0¢-$172
Wimbledon ATP: Jannik Sinner vs Alexander ZverevTennisAlexander ZverevResolved$1120¢0.0¢-$11
Argentina vs. Switzerland: O/U 2.5World CupOverResolved$3041¢0.0¢-$30
Wimbledon ATP: Flavio Cobolli vs Arthur FeryTennisFlavio CobolliResolved$11769¢0.0¢-$117
Lamine Yamal: 1+ goalsWorld CupYesResolved$1232¢0.0¢-$12
Livesport Prague Open: Nikola Bartunkova vs Yue YuanTennisYue YuanResolved$531¢0.0¢-$5
T20 Lanka Premier League: Kandy Royals vs Colombo KapsCricketKandy RoyalsResolved$8654¢0.0¢-$86
Will Russia capture all of Rodynske again by July 31?PoliticsNoResolved$5376¢0.0¢-$53
Hamburg European Open: Mayar Sherif vs Elsa JacquemotTennisElsa JacquemotResolved$532¢0.0¢-$5
Athletics vs. Minnesota TwinsMLBMinnesota TwinsResolved$10340¢0.0¢-$103
Will France reach the Semifinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?World CupNoResolved$3851¢0.0¢-$38
Los Cabos Open, Qualification: Luis Carlos Alvarez vs Edward WinterTennisLuis Carlos AlvarezResolved$546¢0.0¢-$5
Philadelphia Phillies vs. Detroit TigersMLBDetroit TigersResolved$3655¢0.0¢-$36
Swiss Open: Stefanos Tsitsipas vs Raphael CollignonTennisRaphael CollignonResolved$545¢0.0¢-$5
US bank failure by July 31?EconomyNoResolved$1683¢0.0¢-$16
Baltimore Orioles vs. Houston AstrosMLBHouston AstrosResolved$3822¢0.0¢-$38

Where the money comes from

Realized + open PnL by category · still crunching older history, totals will deepen

MLB-$3.4K
eSports-$1.6K
Tennis-$1.1K
World Cup-$873
NHL-$728
Other sports-$545
Politics-$376
College Hoops+$293
UFC / MMA-$267
La Liga-$97
Basketball (other)+$79
Soccer (other)-$56
Biggest hit
+$76
Houston Astros vs. Athletics
Toughest beat
-$107
US Men's Clay Court Championships: Alex Bolt vs Yibing Wu

Recent moves

  • Bought Under · FC Midtjylland vs. Beşiktaş JK: O/U 2.5$186h ago
  • Sold Yes · US announces end of Iranian blockade by July 31, 2026?$88h ago
  • Bought No · US announces end of Iranian blockade by July 31, 2026?$1198h ago
  • Bought No · Will Lewis Hamilton win the 2026 F1 Hungarian Grand Prix?$128h ago
  • Bought Nicolas Mejia · Los Cabos Open, Qualification: Nicolas Mejia vs Alex Hernandez$59h ago
  • Cashed out Houston Astros · Houston Astros vs. Chicago White Sox$1519h ago
  • Cashed out Under · CF Montréal vs. Inter Miami CF: O/U 3.5$209h ago
  • Cashed out Minnesota Twins · Athletics vs. Minnesota Twins$2159h ago
  • Cashed out Baltimore Orioles · Atlanta Braves vs. Baltimore Orioles$449h ago
  • Cashed out St. Louis Cardinals · Cincinnati Reds vs. St. Louis Cardinals$689h ago
  • Cashed out No · Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 22?$1010h ago
  • Bought Baltimore Orioles · Atlanta Braves vs. Baltimore Orioles$2910h ago