 Will OpenAI have the best AI Agent at the end of August 2026?Tech | No | $125 | 50¢ | 85¢ | +$86 |
| Will claude-opus-4-6-thinking be the best AI model on August 10, 2026?Tech | Yes | $125 | 50¢ | 78¢ | +$69 |
 Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?Politics | No | $123 | 65¢ | 63¢ | -$5 |
 Will the Fed Pause–Pause–Pause in the next three decisions (Jun–Jul–Sep)?Economy | Yes | $119 | 50¢ | 39¢ | -$27 |
 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?Politics | No | $86 | 43¢ | 42¢ | -$2 |
 Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 31?Politics | No | $78 | 39¢ | 38¢ | -$3 |
| Will claude-opus-4-6-thinking be the best AI model on August 10, 2026?Tech | No | $125 | 50¢ | 23¢ | -$69 |
 Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?Politics | Yes | $54 | 27¢ | 21¢ | -$13 |
| Will OpenAI have the best AI Agent at the end of August 2026?Tech | Yes | $125 | 50¢ | 16¢ | -$86 |
| Will "Choosin' Texas - Ella Langley" be the Billboard Hot 100 #1 song for the week of August 8?Culture | No | $88 | 50¢ | 13¢ | -$66 |
 Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from July 25 to July 27, 2026?Politics | Yes | $28 | 50¢ | 31¢ | -$11 |
 Will Nermin Nikšić be the next Chairman of the Council of Ministers of Bosnia and Herzegovina?Politics | Yes | $38 | 50¢ | 18¢ | -$24 |
| Andrew Tate released from custody by December 31, 2026?Politics | Yes | $6 | 18¢ | 20¢ | +$0 |
| Will Trump say "China" or "Chinese" during Michigan remarks?Mentions | No | $5 | 27¢ | 24¢ | -$1 |
 Will Mallory McMorrow endorse Abdul El-Sayed in the Michigan Senate Democratic primary?Politics | No | $3 | 50¢ | 83¢ | +$2 |
 Will Alibaba have the best Chinese AI model at the end of July 2026?Politics | Yes | $2 | 50¢ | 79¢ | +$1 |
 Will Core CPI YoY be 2.5% in July?Economy | Yes | $5 | 37¢ | 25¢ | -$2 |
| Will the median home value in Los Angeles Metro be between $1,185,000 and $1,201,000 on September 30?Economy | Yes | $7 | 50¢ | 24¢ | -$4 |
| Will claude-opus-4-6-thinking be the best AI model on August 1, 2026?Tech | No | $6 | 28¢ | 17¢ | -$2 |
 Will the July 2026 unemployment rate be 4.2%?Economy | No | $2 | 50¢ | 69¢ | +$1 |
 Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Pakistan by September 30, 2026?Politics | No | $1 | 50¢ | 89¢ | +$1 |
| Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Qatar by September 30, 2026?Politics | Yes | $6 | 50¢ | 17¢ | -$4 |
| Will the July 2026 unemployment rate be 4.3%?Economy | No | $1 | 50¢ | 61¢ | +$0 |
 Will Anthropic have the highest private market valuation on July 31?Tech | No | $21 | 50¢ | 2.6¢ | -$20 |
 Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?Economy | Yes | $1 | 50¢ | 77¢ | +$0 |
| Will Like a Prayer be the first song performed by Madonna at the 2026 FIFA World Cup Final Halftime Show?World Cup | YesResolved | $1 | 50¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
 Will claude-fable-5 be the best AI model on July 11, 2026?Tech | YesResolved | $23 | 50¢ | 0.0¢ | -$23 |
| Will GPT-5.6 be released on July 8, 2026?Tech | YesResolved | $65 | 50¢ | 0.0¢ | -$65 |
| Will Kylian Mbappé win the Golden Ball at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?World Cup | YesResolved | $4 | 50¢ | 0.0¢ | -$4 |
 Will Team Vitality win the EWC Valorant TournamenteSports | YesResolved | $125 | 50¢ | 0.0¢ | -$125 |
| Will Barbara Kirkmeyer win the Colorado Republican Governor primary by 1–2%?Politics | YesResolved | $125 | 50¢ | 0.0¢ | -$125 |
 Will "Young Washington" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 16m and 18m?Culture | YesResolved | $5 | 50¢ | 0.0¢ | -$5 |
 Will "Minions & Monsters" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 68m and 77m?Culture | YesResolved | $125 | 50¢ | 0.0¢ | -$125 |
 Will LeBron James sign his next NBA contract on July 6?NBA | YesResolved | $50 | 50¢ | 0.0¢ | -$50 |
| Will MrBeast's next video get between 58.5 and 59.25 million views in week 1?Culture | NoResolved | $17 | 50¢ | 0.0¢ | -$17 |
 Will "Toy Story 5" 3rd Weekend Box Office be between 39m and 42m?Culture | YesResolved | $65 | 50¢ | 0.0¢ | -$65 |
 Will Lionel Messi be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?World Cup | YesResolved | $125 | 50¢ | 0.0¢ | -$125 |
| Will Jonas Vingegaard win the 2026 Tour De France?Other sports | YesResolved | $82 | 50¢ | 0.0¢ | -$82 |
| Will Emily Hawryschuk record the fastest shot at the 2026 WLL All-Star Skills Competition?Other sports | NoResolved | $87 | 50¢ | 0.0¢ | -$87 |
| Will "Minions & Monsters" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 68m?Culture | NoResolved | $31 | 50¢ | 0.0¢ | -$31 |
| Will LeBron James sign his next NBA contract on July 7 or after?NBA | NoResolved | $80 | 50¢ | 0.0¢ | -$80 |
| Will "Toy Story 5" 3rd Weekend Box Office be less than 39m?Culture | NoResolved | $74 | 50¢ | 0.0¢ | -$74 |
 Will Paper Rex win the EWC Valorant TournamenteSports | YesResolved | $15 | 50¢ | 0.0¢ | -$15 |
| Will Despacito be the first song performed by Justin Bieber at the 2026 FIFA World Cup Final Halftime Show?World Cup | YesResolved | $5 | 26¢ | 0.0¢ | -$5 |
 Will Jennifer Flett win the 2026 Pas-Kameesak Manitoba Legislative Assembly by-election?Politics | NoResolved | $36 | 50¢ | 0.0¢ | -$36 |
 Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 26°C on June 28?Weather | YesResolved | $16 | 49¢ | 0.0¢ | -$16 |
| Will GPT-5.6 be released on July 9, 2026?Tech | NoResolved | $26 | 50¢ | 0.0¢ | -$26 |
| Will Dynamite be the first song performed by BTS at the 2026 FIFA World Cup Final Halftime Show?World Cup | NoResolved | $5 | 50¢ | 0.0¢ | -$5 |
 Will Colin Sutton win the 2026 Norfolk Police and Crime Commissioner by-election?Politics | NoResolved | $12 | 50¢ | 0.0¢ | -$12 |
| Will MrBeast's next video get between 57.75 and 58.5 million views in week 1?Culture | YesResolved | $23 | 50¢ | 0.0¢ | -$23 |
| Will the final be FRA vs ARG at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?World Cup | YesResolved | $125 | 50¢ | 0.0¢ | -$125 |
| Will MrBeast's next video get between 59.25 and 60 million views in week 1?Culture | YesResolved | $24 | 50¢ | 0.0¢ | -$24 |
| Will Daisies be the first song performed by Justin Bieber at the 2026 FIFA World Cup Final Halftime Show?World Cup | YesResolved | $9 | 50¢ | 0.0¢ | -$9 |
 Will Europe (UEFA) win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?World Cup | NoResolved | $121 | 50¢ | 0.0¢ | -$121 |
| Will GPT-5.6 be released on July 7, 2026?Tech | YesResolved | $96 | 50¢ | 0.0¢ | -$96 |
| Will the semifinals be FRA vs ESP and ENG vs ARG at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?World Cup | NoResolved | $1 | 50¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
 Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released on July 17, 2026?Tech | YesResolved | $9 | 50¢ | 0.0¢ | -$9 |
| Will Enterprise Esports Win Emea Challengers StageeSports | NoResolved | $3 | 50¢ | 0.0¢ | -$3 |
 Will Pamela Evette replace Graham as South Carolina Senator?Politics | YesResolved | $125 | 50¢ | 0.0¢ | -$125 |
 Will England score the most goals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?World Cup | NoResolved | $125 | 50¢ | 0.0¢ | -$125 |
| Will Teresa Ruiz be the Arizona Superintendent of Public Instruction Democratic nominee?Politics | NoResolved | $125 | 50¢ | 0.0¢ | -$125 |