 Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?Economy | Yes | $43 | 85¢ | 85¢ | -$0 |
| Will Houthis successfully target shipping on August 16, 2026?Politics | No | $36 | 90¢ | 88¢ | -$1 |
| Will the White House call a full lid by 6:30 PM on July 27?Politics | No | $25 | 90¢ | 90¢ | +$0 |
| Will Trump say "Toyota" during Michigan remarks?Mentions | Yes | $27 | 68¢ | 55¢ | -$5 |
| Will Houthis successfully target shipping on August 24, 2026?Politics | No | $22 | 93¢ | 83¢ | -$2 |
| Will Trump say "Gay" or "Homosexual" during tribute to Lindsey Graham?Mentions | No | $18 | 92¢ | 96¢ | +$1 |
| Will anyone say "Surrender" during House of the Dragon E6 S3?Mentions | Yes | $19 | 94¢ | 92¢ | -$0 |
| Will Houthis successfully target shipping on August 15, 2026?Politics | No | $17 | 83¢ | 90¢ | +$1 |
| Will the total US effective tariff rate for Q2 be at least 9%?Politics | No | $11 | 57¢ | 88¢ | +$6 |
| Will Houthis successfully target shipping on August 11, 2026?Politics | No | $18 | 91¢ | 87¢ | -$1 |
| Will Houthis successfully target shipping on August 27, 2026?Politics | No | $18 | 90¢ | 87¢ | -$1 |
| Will Houthis successfully target shipping on August 5, 2026?Politics | No | $18 | 92¢ | 86¢ | -$1 |
| Will Trump post "Wall Street" on Truth Social this week?Mentions | No | $16 | 93¢ | 97¢ | +$1 |
| Will Houthis successfully target shipping on August 12, 2026?Politics | No | $18 | 91¢ | 85¢ | -$1 |
| Will the highest score achieved by a SpaceXAI Grok model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 55% or higher?Tech | No | $17 | 84¢ | 84¢ | -$0 |
| Will Houthis successfully target shipping on August 8, 2026?Politics | No | $17 | 83¢ | 83¢ | -$0 |
| Will Mike Beltran be the FL-14 Republican nominee?Politics | No | $15 | 76¢ | 83¢ | +$1 |
| Will Trump say "Trump" 5+ times during Michigan remarks?Mentions | Yes | $17 | 86¢ | 82¢ | -$1 |
| Will Trump say "Air Force" or "Space Force" during tribute to Lindsey Graham?Mentions | Yes | $18 | 90¢ | 81¢ | -$2 |
| Will Trump say "Afford" or "Affordable" or "Affordability" during Michigan remarks?Mentions | Yes | $18 | 89¢ | 79¢ | -$2 |
| Next Kimi K model released by December 31, 2026?Tech | Yes | $14 | 70¢ | 79¢ | +$2 |
| Will anyone say "War" 8+ times during House of the Dragon E6 S3?Mentions | No | $15 | 76¢ | 78¢ | +$0 |
| Will Warsh say "Task Force" 20+ times during July Press Conference?Mentions | No | $14 | 72¢ | 77¢ | +$1 |
 Will Hugh Jackman appear on Hall H stage at SDCC 2026?Culture | No | $16 | 82¢ | 76¢ | -$1 |
| Will Trump say "Loan" during Michigan remarks?Mentions | Yes | $15 | 75¢ | 72¢ | -$1 |
 Will Carmela Conroy advance to the general election for WA-05?Politics | Yes | $18 | 88¢ | 68¢ | -$4 |
 Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by September 30, 2026?Politics | Yes | $17 | 34¢ | 27¢ | -$4 |
 Will Nate Powell advance to the general election for WA-05?Politics | No | $18 | 91¢ | 65¢ | -$5 |
| Will the Democratic Party win the ME-02 House seat?Politics | No | $13 | 64¢ | 64¢ | +$0 |
 Iran full airspace closure by August 15?Politics | Yes | $29 | 52¢ | 23¢ | -$17 |
| Will the Republican Party win the ME-02 House seat?Politics | Yes | $13 | 63¢ | 63¢ | +$0 |
| Will Trump say "Percent" 15+ times during Michigan remarks?Mentions | No | $17 | 42¢ | 32¢ | -$4 |
| Will the highest score achieved by a SpaceXAI Grok model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 45% or higher?Tech | Yes | $12 | 60¢ | 63¢ | +$1 |
 Will the Fed Pause–Pause–Pause in the next three decisions (Jun–Jul–Sep)?Economy | No | $13 | 65¢ | 62¢ | -$1 |
| Will Houthis successfully target shipping on August 20, 2026?Politics | No | $12 | 87¢ | 92¢ | +$1 |
| Will the Fed Pause–Pause–Pause in the next three decisions (Apr–Jun–Jul)?Economy | Yes | $11 | 74¢ | 83¢ | +$1 |
 Will Bola Oyebamiji win the 2026 Osun State gubernatorial elections?Politics | No | $15 | 76¢ | 57¢ | -$4 |
| Next Kimi K model released by September 30, 2026?Tech | Yes | $13 | 49¢ | 42¢ | -$2 |
| Will Trump say "Military" during tribute to Lindsey Graham?Mentions | Yes | $18 | 89¢ | 56¢ | -$7 |
| Will Trump say "Supreme Court" during Michigan remarks?Mentions | Yes | $11 | 50¢ | 51¢ | +$0 |
| Will Trump say "Hell" 2+ times during tribute to Lindsey Graham?Mentions | No | $14 | 91¢ | 71¢ | -$3 |
| Will Trump say "Job" 20+ times during Michigan remarks?Mentions | Yes | $17 | 84¢ | 52¢ | -$7 |
 Will Florence Pugh appear on Hall H stage at SDCC 2026?Culture | No | $13 | 66¢ | 51¢ | -$3 |
| Will Houthis successfully target shipping on July 29, 2026?Politics | No | $10 | 86¢ | 81¢ | -$1 |
 Will Wynn Resorts (WYNN) beat quarterly earnings?Finance | Yes | $15 | 75¢ | 48¢ | -$6 |
| Will the total US effective tariff rate for Q2 be at least 10%?Politics | No | $9 | 81¢ | 93¢ | +$1 |
| Will Angela Gonzales-Torres win the CA-34 House seat?Politics | No | $12 | 60¢ | 47¢ | -$3 |
| Will the Republican Party win the ME-02 House seat?Politics | No | $11 | 42¢ | 37¢ | -$1 |
| Will Trump say "Motor City" during Michigan remarks?Mentions | Yes | $12 | 59¢ | 45¢ | -$3 |
| Will Trump say "Supreme Court" during tribute to Lindsey Graham?Mentions | No | $12 | 61¢ | 45¢ | -$3 |
| Will anyone say "Camera" during Big Brother E10?Mentions | Yes | $14 | 70¢ | 44¢ | -$5 |
| Will Trump say "USMCA" or "NAFTA" during Michigan remarks?Mentions | Yes | $14 | 70¢ | 38¢ | -$7 |
| Will Houthis successfully target shipping on August 30, 2026?Politics | No | $8 | 87¢ | 83¢ | -$0 |
| Will Trump say "Security" during tribute to Lindsey Graham?Mentions | No | $16 | 80¢ | 36¢ | -$9 |
| Will Trump say "See You Soon" during tribute to Lindsey Graham?Mentions | Yes | $6 | 32¢ | 33¢ | +$0 |
| Will anyone say "Power" during House of the Dragon E6 S3?Mentions | No | $7 | 33¢ | 33¢ | +$0 |
| Will the highest score achieved by an OpenAI model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 50% or higher?Tech | No | $11 | 57¢ | 33¢ | -$5 |
 Will PH win the 2026 Negeri Sembilan general elections?Politics | No | $5 | 58¢ | 69¢ | +$1 |
| Will Trump say "Transgender" during Michigan remarks?Mentions | Yes | $7 | 66¢ | 63¢ | -$0 |
| Will Trump say "Stock Market" during Michigan remarks?Mentions | No | $7 | 42¢ | 34¢ | -$1 |
| Will Trump say "Air Force" or "Space Force" during tribute to Lindsey Graham?Mentions | No | $5 | 15¢ | 20¢ | +$1 |
| Will Trump say "Hell" 2+ times during tribute to Lindsey Graham?Mentions | Yes | $5 | 25¢ | 29¢ | +$1 |
| Will Trump say "China" or "Chinese" during Michigan remarks?Mentions | No | $7 | 27¢ | 24¢ | -$1 |
 Will Volker Bajus win the next Osnabrück mayoral election?Politics | No | $5 | 83¢ | 90¢ | +$0 |
| Will Trump say "Oil" or "Gas" 10+ times during Michigan remarks?Mentions | No | $5 | 68¢ | 69¢ | +$0 |
| Will Houthis successfully target shipping on August 17, 2026?Politics | Yes | $9 | 22¢ | 14¢ | -$3 |
| Will Trump say "Steel" during Michigan remarks?Mentions | No | $9 | 45¢ | 26¢ | -$4 |
| Will Warsh say "Inflation" 40+ times during July Press Conference?Mentions | Yes | $15 | 75¢ | 26¢ | -$10 |
 Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 24°C on July 26?Weather | Yes | $5 | 98¢ | 100¢ | +$0 |
 Will the highest temperature in London be 27°C on July 26?Weather | Yes | $5 | 97¢ | 100¢ | +$0 |
| Next Kimi K model released by September 30, 2026?Tech | No | $5 | 61¢ | 59¢ | -$0 |
| Will Jimmy Gomez win the CA-34 House seat?Politics | No | $6 | 65¢ | 56¢ | -$1 |
| Will Trump say "Regulation" during Michigan remarks?Mentions | No | $7 | 35¢ | 24¢ | -$2 |
| Will the highest score achieved on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 65% or higher?Tech | Yes | $6 | 28¢ | 24¢ | -$1 |
 Will Katharina Pötter win the next Osnabrück mayoral election?Politics | No | $8 | 40¢ | 24¢ | -$3 |
| Will Warsh say "Good day" during July Press Conference?Mentions | Yes | $5 | 75¢ | 77¢ | +$0 |
| Will Houthis successfully target shipping on August 27, 2026?Politics | Yes | $5 | 15¢ | 13¢ | -$1 |
| Will Warsh say "Good day" during July Press Conference?Mentions | No | $5 | 28¢ | 23¢ | -$1 |
| Next Kimi K model released by December 31, 2026?Tech | No | $10 | 51¢ | 22¢ | -$6 |
| Will Trump say "Forever" during tribute to Lindsey Graham?Mentions | No | $8 | 50¢ | 26¢ | -$4 |
| Will Houthis successfully target shipping on August 9, 2026?Politics | Yes | $1 | 7.0¢ | 40¢ | +$3 |
 Will Warsh say "Predecessor" during July Press Conference?Mentions | Yes | $4 | 25¢ | 27¢ | +$0 |
| Will Warsh say "Groupthink" or "Group think" during July Press Conference?Mentions | No | $4 | 72¢ | 78¢ | +$0 |
| Will Trump say "Hell" 7+ times during Michigan remarks?Mentions | No | $4 | 29¢ | 31¢ | +$0 |
| Will Houthis successfully target shipping on August 17, 2026?Politics | No | $4 | 82¢ | 87¢ | +$0 |
| Will the highest score achieved on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 70% or higher?Tech | Yes | $5 | 22¢ | 18¢ | -$1 |
 Will Booking Holdings (BKNG) beat quarterly earnings?Finance | No | $5 | 24¢ | 19¢ | -$1 |
| Will Houthis successfully target shipping on July 29, 2026?Politics | Yes | $2 | 12¢ | 19¢ | +$1 |
| Will Volker Bajus win the next Osnabrück mayoral election?Politics | Yes | $5 | 14¢ | 10¢ | -$2 |
| Will Trump say "Save America" during Michigan remarks?Mentions | No | $8 | 55¢ | 25¢ | -$4 |
| Will Warsh say "Bet" or "Betting" during July Press Conference?Mentions | Yes | $5 | 64¢ | 48¢ | -$1 |
| Will Trump’s remarks not air?Mentions | No | $4 | 99¢ | 97¢ | -$0 |
| Will the highest score achieved by an Anthropic Claude model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 75% or higher?Tech | No | $3 | 85¢ | 92¢ | +$0 |
| Will Trump say "Military" during tribute to Lindsey Graham?Mentions | No | $3 | 40¢ | 44¢ | +$0 |
| Will Houthis successfully target shipping on August 15, 2026?Politics | Yes | $5 | 15¢ | 11¢ | -$2 |
 Will Israel Katz win the 2026 Likud party primary elections?Politics | Yes | $2 | 10¢ | 16¢ | +$1 |
| Will Houthis successfully target shipping on August 25, 2026?Politics | Yes | $8 | 39¢ | 16¢ | -$5 |
| Will Houthis successfully target shipping on August 3, 2026?Politics | Yes | $11 | 53¢ | 16¢ | -$7 |
| Will anyone say "Energy" during Big Brother E10?Mentions | No | $14 | 69¢ | 16¢ | -$11 |
| Will Houthis successfully target shipping on August 21, 2026?Politics | Yes | $5 | 26¢ | 15¢ | -$2 |
Cashed out Bitcoin Up or Down - July 26, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET$501m ago