← Whale Watch

TonyEsse

Predicting since Aug 20241,241 markets tradedPolymarket profile ↗

Down $8.7K on World Cup markets since Aug 2024.

Right now: $952 riding on Côte d'Ivoire vs. Norway - Total Corners.

All-time PnL
+$0
This year
+$0
Last 30 days
+$0
Portfolio value
$0

Deep stats

Bucko Oracle
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Profit over time

What they are betting now

MarketSideStakeEntryNowPnL
Kylie Jenner and Timothée Chalamet engaged in 2026?CultureNo$51364¢83¢+$148
Katy Perry and Justin Trudeau engaged by end of 2026?CultureNo$40174¢76¢+$14
Will Monero hit $1000 in 2026?CryptoNo$13244¢90¢+$138
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?PoliticsNo$6057¢92¢+$36
US strike on Mexico by December 31?PoliticsNo$7073¢88¢+$14
Kylie Jenner confirmed pregnant in 2026?CultureNo$7278¢86¢+$8
Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?PoliticsYes$7275¢79¢+$3
OKX IPO in 2026?CryptoNo$4657¢91¢+$27
Will Jerri Green win the 2026 Tennessee Governor Democratic primary election?PoliticsYes$5067¢94¢+$20
Will Cardi B and Stefon Diggs get engaged in 2026?NFLNo$7875¢57¢-$18
Trump out as President before 2027?PoliticsYes$10212¢6.5¢-$49
Israel and Syria normalize relations by December 31, 2026?PoliticsNo$4785¢86¢+$0
Will Kanye West and Bianca Censori separate in 2026?CultureYes$258.1¢13¢+$13
MPS x Intesa Sanpaolo merger/acquisition announced in 2026?FinanceNo$3589¢85¢-$2
Insurrection Act invoked by December 31?PoliticsYes$5048¢22¢-$28
Will Republican House incumbents not win in three or fewer nominating elections in the 2026 cycle?PoliticsYes$5050¢13¢-$37
Will September be the best month for Bitcoin in 2026?CryptoYes$56.3¢14¢+$6
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?PoliticsYes$137.4¢5.5¢-$3
Trump eliminates capital gains tax on crypto before 2027?PoliticsYes$178.4¢4.2¢-$8
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31?PoliticsYes$96.0¢5.5¢-$1
Trump out as President by July 31?PoliticsYes$120.7¢0.3¢-$8
Will Jack Doherty be sentenced to less than 2 years in prison?CultureYes$26.1¢15¢+$2
Will the US officially declare war on Iran by December 31, 2026?PoliticsYes$512¢5.5¢-$3
Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?CultureYes$32.8¢1.9¢-$1
MPS x Intesa Sanpaolo merger/acquisition announced in 2026?FinanceYes$649¢15¢-$4
Ethereum Up or Down - February 3, 5PM ETCryptoUpResolved$814¢0.0¢-$8
North Korea missile launch by February 28?PoliticsNoResolved$7550¢0.0¢-$75
Will FC Internazionale Milano win on 2026-01-23?Soccer (other)NoResolved$1532¢0.0¢-$15
Will Rose Byrne win Best Actress at the 98th Academy Awards?CultureYesResolved$22.1¢0.0¢-$2
Exact Score: United States 0 - 3 Belgium?World CupYesResolved$184.3¢0.0¢-$18
Will AC Milan vs. FC Internazionale Milano end in a draw?Soccer (other)YesResolved$3024¢0.0¢-$30
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 19, 7AM ETCryptoDownResolved$1051¢0.0¢-$10
Will Celtic FC win on 2026-01-22?Soccer (other)YesResolved$56.0¢0.0¢-$5
Will NAC Breda vs. FC Volendam end in a draw?Soccer (other)YesResolved$24.0¢0.0¢-$2
Will Procter & Gamble (PG) beat quarterly earnings?FinanceNoResolved$1512¢0.0¢-$15
Will "Frankenstein" win exactly 2 awards at the Oscars?CultureYesResolved$1016¢0.0¢-$10
Will Michael B. Jordan (Sinners) win Best Actor – Drama at the 83rd Golden Globes?CultureYesResolved$1725¢0.0¢-$17
Harry Kane: 3+ shotsWorld CupYesResolved$60065¢0.0¢-$600
Will Trump say "Davos" or "World Economic Forum" during Iowa speech?MentionsYesResolved$1533¢0.0¢-$15
Will Trump say "N Word" in January?MentionsYesResolved$12.5¢0.0¢-$1
Will Leeds United FC vs. Sunderland AFC end in a draw?Premier LeagueYesResolved$4526¢0.0¢-$45
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 33°C on July 13?WeatherYesResolved$3048¢0.0¢-$30
PFK Ludogorets 1945 Razgrad vs. Ferencvárosi TC: O/U 3.5Soccer (other)OverResolved$2025¢0.0¢-$20
Will Fulham FC vs. West Ham United FC end in a draw?Premier LeagueYesResolved$55.0¢0.0¢-$5
Ukraine officially agrees to a US backed ceasefire framework by January 31?PoliticsYesResolved$139.8¢0.0¢-$13
Noni Madueke: 1+ shotsWorld CupYesResolved$3270¢0.0¢-$32
Romelu Lukaku: 2+ goalsWorld CupYesResolved$52.0¢0.0¢-$5
BSC Young Boys vs. Olympique Lyonnais: O/U 1.5Soccer (other)OverResolved$2056¢0.0¢-$20
Will Ghana win on 2026-07-03?World CupYesResolved$163.3¢0.0¢-$16
Will Sunderland AFC vs. Tottenham Hotspur FC end in a draw?Premier LeagueYesResolved$626¢0.0¢-$6
Will "Epstein" be said at the Oscars?MentionsYesResolved$2557¢0.0¢-$25
Norway vs. England: 2nd Half O/U 5.5 Total CornersWorld CupUnderResolved$17064¢0.0¢-$170
Olympique Lyonnais vs. PAOK: O/U 4.5Soccer (other)UnderResolved$5076¢0.0¢-$50
Will AS Omónoia Leukosías win on 2026-02-19?Soccer (other)YesResolved$3042¢0.0¢-$30
Exact Score: Mexico 0 - 2 England?World CupYesResolved$208.0¢0.0¢-$20
Will Neymar play in the World Cup?World CupNoResolved$7070¢0.0¢-$70
Canucks vs. Blue JacketsNHLCanucksResolved$1041¢0.0¢-$10
Spread: France (-1.5)World CupFranceResolved$5030¢0.0¢-$50
Will "Chalamet" be said 5+ times at the Oscars?MentionsYesResolved$5055¢0.0¢-$50
Will Powell say "Probability" during January press conference?MentionsYesResolved$637¢0.0¢-$6
England leading at halftime?World CupYesResolved$102.8¢0.0¢-$10
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-02-14?La LigaNoResolved$3526¢0.0¢-$35
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,800 on July 12?CryptoNoResolved$1937¢0.0¢-$19
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?World CupYesResolved$1514¢0.0¢-$15
Will Sunderland AFC win on 2026-03-03?Premier LeagueNoResolved$2636¢0.0¢-$26
Como 1907 vs. AC Milan: O/U 3.5Soccer (other)UnderResolved$10074¢0.0¢-$100
Will Como 1907 vs. AC Milan end in a draw?Soccer (other)YesResolved$1028¢0.0¢-$10
Casa Pia AC vs. AVS Futebol: O/U 4.5Soccer (other)UnderResolved$1872¢0.0¢-$18
World Cup: Folarin Balogun to Play vs. Belgium?World CupNoResolved$85.0¢0.0¢-$8
Will Ronaldo Cry at the World Cup?World CupNoResolved$230.2¢0.0¢-$23
Germany vs. Paraguay: Team to AdvanceWorld CupGermanyResolved$1312¢0.0¢-$13
Will Trump's approval rating be less than 41.0 on January 9, 2026?PoliticsYesResolved$12.3¢0.0¢-$1
Will Donald Trump publicly insult Benjamin Netanyahu by June 30, 2026?PoliticsNoResolved$10072¢0.0¢-$100
Bologna FC 1909 vs. US Lecce: O/U 1.5Soccer (other)UnderResolved$9974¢0.0¢-$99
Ecuador to score first vs. Mexico?World CupYesResolved$7036¢0.0¢-$70
Will January 2026 be the 2nd hottest on record?WeatherYesResolved$33.4¢0.0¢-$3
Will UD Almería win on 2026-01-17?Soccer (other)YesResolved$2549¢0.0¢-$25
Jacob Elordi and Olivia Jade confirmed relationship by June 30?CultureYesResolved$4037¢0.0¢-$40
Will US Sassuolo Calcio vs. US Cremonese end in a draw?Soccer (other)YesResolved$38.0¢0.0¢-$3
Spread: Japan (-1.5)World CupJapanResolved$1212¢0.0¢-$12
Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 15?PoliticsYesResolved$10484¢0.0¢-$104
Exact Score: Norway 1 - 3 England?World CupYesResolved$1512¢0.0¢-$15
Will Genoa CFC vs. SSC Napoli end in a draw?Soccer (other)YesResolved$26.0¢0.0¢-$2
Exact Score: France 3 - 2 Spain?World CupYesResolved$83.0¢0.0¢-$8
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the March 2026 meeting?PoliticsNoResolved$11.1¢0.0¢-$1
Brian Brobbey: 2+ shotsWorld CupYesResolved$6060¢0.0¢-$60
Will Netflix (NFLX) close at $70-$80 on the final day of trading of the week of Feb 2 – Feb 6?FinanceYesResolved$224¢0.0¢-$2
Brahim Díaz: 2+ shotsWorld CupYesResolved$5034¢0.0¢-$50
Jimmy Lai released by June 30?PoliticsYesResolved$103.8¢0.0¢-$10
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 34°C on July 13?WeatherYesResolved$3020¢0.0¢-$30
Will FC Internazionale Milano vs. FK Bodø/Glimt end in a draw?Champions LeagueYesResolved$1032¢0.0¢-$10
Will Trump say "Million" or "Billion" or "Trillion" 30+ times during Iowa speech?MentionsYesResolved$1559¢0.0¢-$15
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?World CupYesResolved$11311¢0.0¢-$113
SK Brann vs. Bologna FC 1909: O/U 1.5Soccer (other)OverResolved$2056¢0.0¢-$20
US x Iran ceasefire by June 30?PoliticsNoResolved$1234¢0.0¢-$12
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 7, 6:00PM-6:05PM ETCryptoUpResolved$155.3¢0.0¢-$15
Will Crystal Palace FC vs. Burnley FC end in a draw?Premier LeagueYesResolved$39.0¢0.0¢-$3
Everton FC vs. Burnley FC: O/U 2.5Premier LeagueOverResolved$5539¢0.0¢-$55
Will Bologna FC 1909 vs. Udinese Calcio end in a draw?Soccer (other)YesResolved$1017¢0.0¢-$10
Germany vs. Curaçao: O/U 3.5World CupUnderResolved$2036¢0.0¢-$20

Where the money comes from

Realized + open PnL by category · still crunching older history, totals will deepen

World Cup-$8.7K
Soccer (other)+$1.7K
Premier League+$1.0K
Champions League+$879
Tech-$347
Mentions-$342
Politics-$332
Other sports-$241
UFC / MMA-$210
Crypto-$189
Bundesliga+$153
Weather-$96
Biggest hit
+$673
Will the price of Ethereum be less than $2,400 on February 1?
Toughest beat
-$662
Will SS Lazio win on 2026-04-13?

Recent moves

  • Cashed out Yes · Will CZ post 20-39 posts from July 14 to July 21, 2026?$924d ago
  • Cashed out Yes · Will Europe (UEFA) win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$1416d ago
  • Cashed out Yes · Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$946d ago
  • Cashed out Yes · Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 18?$1007d ago
  • Cashed out No · Will Khamenei post 0-4 posts from July 14 to July 21, 2026?$917d ago
  • Bought Yes · Exact Score: France 3 - 0 England?$58d ago
  • Bought France · Spread: France (-1.5)$528d ago
  • Bought France vs. England: England O/U 2.5 AND France vs. England: 1st Half O/U 2.5 AND Will England win on 2026-07-18?$1008d ago
  • Bought France vs. England: O/U 5.5 AND Will England win on 2026-07-18?$6008d ago
  • Cashed out Yes · Will Zelenskyy post 100-119 posts from July 10 to July 17, 2026?$1528d ago
  • Bought Down · Bitcoin Up or Down - July 15, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET$410d ago
  • Bought Up · Bitcoin Up or Down - July 15, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET$410d ago