← Whale Watch

aurelius

Predicting since Sep 2024104 markets tradedPolymarket profile ↗

Up $1.9K on Politics markets since Sep 2024.

Right now: $966 riding on Another US strike on Venezuela by...?.

Biggest hit: +$4.9K on Maduro out by January 31, 2026?.

All-time PnL
+$0
This year
+$0
Last 30 days
+$0
Portfolio value
$0

Deep stats

Bucko Oracle
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Profit over time

What they are betting now

MarketSideStakeEntryNowPnL
Will Laura Virginia Fernández Delgado win the 2026 Costa Rican presidential election?PoliticsNoResolved$30012¢0.0¢-$300
US strikes Iran by January 14, 2026?PoliticsYesResolved$462.8¢0.0¢-$46
Will Trump say "America" or "American" 50+ times during the 2026 State of the Union address?MentionsNoResolved$2526¢0.0¢-$25
Another US strike on Venezuela by January 17?PoliticsYesResolved$96613¢0.0¢-$966
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after January 2026 meeting?PoliticsYesResolved$1400.8¢0.0¢-$140
Spread: Northwestern Wildcats (-8.5)Basketball (other)Northwestern WildcatsResolved$446¢0.0¢-$4
Another US strike on Venezuela on January 5?PoliticsYesResolved$6775.1¢0.0¢-$677
UAB Blazers vs. Temple Owls: O/U 144.5Basketball (other)UnderResolved$1853¢0.0¢-$18
Iona Gaels vs. Niagara Purple Eagles: O/U 132.5Basketball (other)UnderResolved$2059¢0.0¢-$20
US forces in Venezuela again by January 10, 2026?PoliticsYesResolved$35013¢0.0¢-$350
Canisius Golden Griffins vs. Rider BroncsBasketball (other)Rider BroncsResolved$850¢0.0¢-$8
Richmond Spiders vs. Davidson Wildcats: O/U 141.5Basketball (other)OverResolved$451¢0.0¢-$4
Ball State Cardinals vs. Ohio Bobcats: O/U 143.5Basketball (other)OverResolved$356¢0.0¢-$3
North Dakota State Bison vs. South Dakota State Jackrabbits: O/U 144.5Basketball (other)OverResolved$354¢0.0¢-$3
Another US strike on Venezuela on January 7?PoliticsYesResolved$352.1¢0.0¢-$35
Kansas Jayhawks vs. Oklahoma State Cowboys: O/U 156.5Basketball (other)OverResolved$855¢0.0¢-$8
Another US strike on Venezuela on January 8?PoliticsYesResolved$152.1¢0.0¢-$15
Spread: Alabama Crimson Tide (-3.5)Basketball (other)Alabama Crimson TideResolved$2054¢0.0¢-$20
UFC 325: Volkanovski vs. Lopes (Featherweight, Main Card)UFC / MMALopesResolved$206.0¢0.0¢-$20
Spread: Troy Trojans (-15.5)Basketball (other)Troy TrojansResolved$157¢0.0¢-$1
Oklahoma Sooners vs. Tennessee Volunteers: O/U 150.5Basketball (other)UnderResolved$355¢0.0¢-$3
Will a dildo be thrown onto the court at a WNBA game on Tuesday?Other sportsYesResolved$7514¢0.0¢-$75
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 9, 1:45AM-2:00AM ETCryptoDownResolved$13.0¢0.0¢-$1
Another US strike on Venezuela on January 12?PoliticsYesResolved$103.9¢0.0¢-$10
Lehigh Mountain Hawks vs. Navy Midshipmen: O/U 138.5Basketball (other)OverResolved$1354¢0.0¢-$13
Will Justin Gaethje win by KO or TKO?UFC / MMAYesResolved$1023¢0.0¢-$10
Southeastern Louisiana Lions vs. East Texas A&M Lions: O/U 136.5Basketball (other)OverResolved$46756¢0.0¢-$467
US strikes Iran by January 18, 2026?PoliticsYesResolved$14025¢0.0¢-$140
Spread: Saint Mary's Gaels (-10.5)Basketball (other)Saint Marys GaelsResolved$750¢0.0¢-$7
Arkansas Razorbacks vs. Alabama Crimson Tide: O/U 184.5Basketball (other)UnderResolved$549¢0.0¢-$5
St. John's Red Storm vs. Marquette Golden Eagles: O/U 158.5Basketball (other)OverResolved$1151¢0.0¢-$11
Lehigh Mountain Hawks vs. Navy Midshipmen: O/U 139.5Basketball (other)OverResolved$1547¢0.0¢-$15
Seahawks vs. PatriotsNFLPatriotsResolved$2035¢0.0¢-$20
Utah Utes vs. West Virginia Mountaineers: O/U 131.5Basketball (other)OverResolved$452¢0.0¢-$4
Texas Tech Red Raiders vs. Arizona State Sun Devils: O/U 153.5Basketball (other)OverResolved$257¢0.0¢-$2
UFC 324: Allen vs. Silva (Featherweight, Main Card)UFC / MMAAllenResolved$3836¢0.0¢-$38
Kennesaw State Owls vs. Missouri State Bears: O/U 153.5Basketball (other)UnderResolved$453¢0.0¢-$4
St. John's Red Storm vs. Marquette Golden Eagles: O/U 157.5Basketball (other)OverResolved$1455¢0.0¢-$14
Another US strike on Venezuela on January 10?PoliticsYesResolved$102.8¢0.0¢-$10
US strikes Iran by January 15, 2026?PoliticsYesResolved$1008.0¢0.0¢-$100
Spread: Vanderbilt Commodores (-3.5)Basketball (other)Vanderbilt CommodoresResolved$249¢0.0¢-$2
VMI Keydets vs. Wofford Terriers: O/U 154.5Basketball (other)UnderResolved$1350¢0.0¢-$13
Richmond Spiders vs. Davidson Wildcats: O/U 142.5Basketball (other)OverResolved$551¢0.0¢-$5
Spread: St. John's Red Storm (-9.5)Basketball (other)St. Johns Red StormResolved$848¢0.0¢-$8
Spread: Texas A&M Aggies (-9.5)Basketball (other)Texas A&M AggiesResolved$549¢0.0¢-$5
Villanova Wildcats vs. Xavier Musketeers: O/U 151.5Basketball (other)UnderResolved$1037¢0.0¢-$10
Ball State Cardinals vs. Ohio Bobcats: O/U 142.5Basketball (other)OverResolved$1658¢0.0¢-$16
Another US strike on Venezuela on January 11?PoliticsYesResolved$102.4¢0.0¢-$10
Spread: Penn State Nittany Lions (-3.5)Basketball (other)Penn State Nittany LionsResolved$357¢0.0¢-$3
Jacksonville State Gamecocks vs. Louisiana Tech Bulldogs: O/U 132.5Basketball (other)UnderResolved$149¢0.0¢-$1
Villanova Wildcats vs. Xavier Musketeers: O/U 152.5Basketball (other)UnderResolved$4746¢0.0¢-$47
Will João Cotrim de Figueiredo win between 18% and 20% of votes in the first round?PoliticsYesResolved$10.5¢0.0¢-$1
Maduro mugshot released by Monday?PoliticsYesResolved$20039¢0.0¢-$200
Will Trump say "America" or "American" 25+ times during the 2026 State of the Union address?MentionsNoResolved$33.0¢0.0¢-$3
Spread: Fordham Rams (-8.5)Basketball (other)Fordham RamsResolved$850¢0.0¢-$8
Virginia Tech Hokies vs. Miami Hurricanes: O/U 150.5Basketball (other)OverResolved$1544¢0.0¢-$15
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after January 2026 meeting?PoliticsYesResolved$10010.0¢0.0¢-$100
Spread: Northwestern Wildcats (-7.5)Basketball (other)Northwestern WildcatsResolved$653¢0.0¢-$6
Ball State Cardinals vs. Ohio Bobcats: O/U 144.5Basketball (other)OverResolved$1053¢0.0¢-$10
Another US strike on Venezuela on January 9?PoliticsYesResolved$101.8¢0.0¢-$10

Where the money comes from

Realized + open PnL by category

Politics+$1.9K
Basketball (other)-$337
UFC / MMA+$145
Other sports-$75
Mentions-$28
NFL-$20
Crypto-$1
Biggest hit
+$4.9K
Maduro out by January 31, 2026?
Toughest beat
-$2.1K
Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?

Recent moves

  • Sold Yes · Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?$282mo ago
  • Bought Yes · Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?$335mo ago
  • Bought No · Will Trump say "America" or "American" 50+ times during the 2026 State of the Union address?$105mo ago
  • Bought No · Will Trump say "America" or "American" 50+ times during the 2026 State of the Union address?$55mo ago
  • Bought No · Will Trump say "America" or "American" 50+ times during the 2026 State of the Union address?$105mo ago
  • Bought No · Will Trump say "America" or "American" 25+ times during the 2026 State of the Union address?$35mo ago
  • Bought Rider Broncs · Canisius Golden Griffins vs. Rider Broncs$85mo ago
  • Cashed out Over · Virginia Cavaliers vs. Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets: O/U 147.5$75mo ago
  • Cashed out Over · Colorado State Rams vs. UNLV Runnin' Rebels: O/U 149.5$95mo ago
  • Cashed out Kansas Jayhawks · Spread: Kansas Jayhawks (-5.5)$115mo ago
  • Cashed out Over · Northern Iowa Panthers vs. Indiana State Sycamores: O/U 136.5$125mo ago
  • Cashed out Kansas Jayhawks · Spread: Kansas Jayhawks (-6.5)$125mo ago