← Whale Watch

RoyArthur

Predicting since Oct 202589 markets tradedPolymarket profile ↗

Up $15K on Crypto markets since Oct 2025.

Right now: $1.3K riding on Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET.

Biggest hit: +$2.5K on Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET.

All-time PnL
+$0
This year
+$0
Last 30 days
+$0
Portfolio value
$0

Deep stats

Bucko Oracle
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Profit over time

What they are betting now

MarketSideStakeEntryNowPnL
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after December 2025 meeting?PoliticsNoResolved$1198¢100¢+$0
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after January 2026 meeting?PoliticsNoResolved$399¢100¢+$0
US x Venezuela military engagement by October 27?PoliticsNoResolved$296¢100¢+$0
Will global temperature increase by less than 1.10ºC in October 2025?WeatherNoResolved$298¢100¢+$0
Will the Government shutdown end October 31-November 3?PoliticsNoResolved$191¢100¢+$0
Will the Party for Freedom win the most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?PoliticsNoResolved$198¢100¢+$0
Will Gemini 3.0 be released by October 31?TechNoResolved$198¢100¢+$0
Will Russia invade a NATO country in 2025?PoliticsNoResolved$198¢100¢+$0
Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2025?EconomyNoResolved$198¢100¢+$0
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by October 31?PoliticsNoResolved$198¢100¢+$0
Will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in Russia?PoliticsNoResolved$198¢100¢+$0
Will Gemini 3.0 be released by November 15?TechNoResolved$198¢100¢+$0
Will Artificial Intelligence be TIME's Person of the Year for 2025?CultureNoResolved$198¢100¢+$0
Will Trump nominate Stephen Miran as the next Fed chair?PoliticsNoResolved$198¢100¢+$0
Will Kendrick Lamar be the #1 searched person on Google this year?TechNoResolved$198¢100¢+$0
Maduro out by November 30, 2025?PoliticsNoResolved$198¢100¢+$0
Will Larry Ellison be richest person on October 31?TechNoResolved$199¢100¢+$0
Will Anthropic have the best AI model on October 31?TechNoResolved$198¢100¢+$0
US x Venezuela military engagement by December 5?PoliticsNoResolved$198¢100¢+$0
Will Ethereum reach $4,000 in November?CryptoNoResolved$199¢100¢+$0
Will Simone Gbagbo win the 2025 Ivory Coast presidential election?PoliticsNoResolved$199¢100¢+$0
Will Trump release the Epstein files by November 19?PoliticsNoResolved$199¢100¢+$0
Will the Government shutdown end November 16 or later?PoliticsNoResolved$199¢100¢+$0
Will Taylor Swift be the top Spotify artist for 2025?CultureNoResolved$199¢100¢+$0
Will Solana reach $350 in October?CryptoNoResolved$199¢100¢+$0
Will the Government shutdown end November 8-11?PoliticsNoResolved$199¢100¢+$0
Will Ethereum hit $17,000 by December 31?CryptoNoResolved$199¢100¢+$0
Will Trump release the Epstein files by November 30?PoliticsNoResolved$199¢100¢+$0
Will Bitcoin reach $1,000,000 by December 31, 2025?CryptoNoResolved$199¢100¢+$0
Will Trump release the Epstein files by November 21?PoliticsNoResolved$199¢100¢+$0
Will Trump meet with Putin by October 31?PoliticsNoResolved$1100¢100¢+$0
Will Van Epps win TN-07 by 10–15%?PoliticsNoResolved$1100¢100¢+$0
Will between 370 and 379 house members vote “Yea” on an Epstein disclosure resolution/bill?PoliticsNoResolved$1100¢100¢+$0
Will XRP reach $6.00 in October?CryptoNoResolved$1100¢100¢+$0
Will Trump say "Tariff" 15+ times during Pennsylvania events on December 9?MentionsNoResolved$1100¢100¢+$0
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 1:45AM-2:00AM ETCryptoDownResolved$1.3K50¢0.0¢-$1.3K
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 6:30AM-6:45AM ETCryptoUpResolved$1.3K50¢0.0¢-$1.3K
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 2:00AM-2:15AM ETCryptoDownResolved$1.3K50¢0.0¢-$1.3K
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 2:00AM-2:15AM ETCryptoUpResolved$1.3K50¢0.0¢-$1.3K
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 10:45PM-11:00PM ETCryptoUpResolved$1.3K50¢0.0¢-$1.3K
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 3:30AM-3:45AM ETCryptoUpResolved$1.3K50¢0.0¢-$1.3K
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 7:30AM-7:45AM ETCryptoUpResolved$1.3K50¢0.0¢-$1.3K
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 5:45AM-6:00AM ETCryptoUpResolved$1.3K50¢0.0¢-$1.3K
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 2:30AM-2:45AM ETCryptoUpResolved$1.3K50¢0.0¢-$1.3K
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 10:30PM-10:45PM ETCryptoUpResolved$1.3K50¢0.0¢-$1.3K
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 4:15AM-4:30AM ETCryptoDownResolved$1.3K50¢0.0¢-$1.3K
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 1:15AM-1:30AM ETCryptoDownResolved$1.3K50¢0.0¢-$1.3K
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 11:30PM-11:45PM ETCryptoDownResolved$1.3K50¢0.0¢-$1.3K
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 11:15PM-11:30PM ETCryptoDownResolved$1.3K50¢0.0¢-$1.3K
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 11:45PM-12:00AM ETCryptoUpResolved$1.3K50¢0.0¢-$1.3K
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 4:30AM-4:45AM ETCryptoUpResolved$1.3K50¢0.0¢-$1.3K
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 6:45AM-7:00AM ETCryptoDownResolved$1.3K50¢0.0¢-$1.3K

Where the money comes from

Realized + open PnL by category

Crypto+$15K
Politics+$1
Tech+$0
Culture+$0
Weather+$0
Economy+$0
Mentions+$0
Biggest hit
+$2.5K
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET

Recent moves

  • Bought No · Will Trump nominate Stephen Miran as the next Fed chair?$16mo ago
  • Bought No · Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after January 2026 meeting?$16mo ago
  • Bought No · Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after January 2026 meeting?$17mo ago
  • Bought No · Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after January 2026 meeting?$17mo ago
  • Bought No · Will Artificial Intelligence be TIME's Person of the Year for 2025?$17mo ago
  • Bought No · Will Trump say "Tariff" 15+ times during Pennsylvania events on December 9?$17mo ago
  • Bought No · Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after December 2025 meeting?$17mo ago
  • Bought No · Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after December 2025 meeting?$17mo ago
  • Bought No · US x Venezuela military engagement by December 5?$17mo ago
  • Bought No · Will Kendrick Lamar be the #1 searched person on Google this year?$17mo ago
  • Bought No · Will Van Epps win TN-07 by 10–15%?$17mo ago
  • Bought No · Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after December 2025 meeting?$17mo ago