Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?Politics | Yes | $40 | 17¢ | 14¢ | -$9 |
Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?Politics | Yes | $50 | 23¢ | 7.0¢ | -$34 |
Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?Politics | Yes | $20 | 53¢ | 38¢ | -$6 |
US national Bitcoin reserve before 2027?Politics | Yes | $20 | 34¢ | 17¢ | -$10 |
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?Weather | Yes | $5 | 8.6¢ | 3.3¢ | -$3 |
Will "Avatar: Fire and Ash" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 90m?Culture | NoResolved | $40 | 43¢ | 0.0¢ | -$40 |
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-05-05?Champions League | YesResolved | $20 | 18¢ | 0.0¢ | -$20 |
Bitcoin outperforms S&P 500 in December?Crypto | NoResolved | $12 | 60¢ | 0.0¢ | -$12 |
No change in Bank of Japan's interest rates after December 2025 meeting?Politics | YesResolved | $10 | 70¢ | 0.0¢ | -$10 |
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?World Cup | YesResolved | $5 | 18¢ | 0.0¢ | -$5 |
Will Turkiye win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?World Cup | YesResolved | $2 | 0.7¢ | 0.0¢ | -$2 |
Will Novak Djokovic win the 2026 Australian Open?Tennis | YesResolved | $10 | 7.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$10 |
Will Trump release the Epstein files by December 19?Politics | NoResolved | $12 | 0.9¢ | 0.0¢ | -$12 |
Will Trump nominate Kevin Hassett as the next Fed chair?Politics | YesResolved | $10 | 57¢ | 0.0¢ | -$10 |
Will Jannik Sinner win the 2026 Australian Open?Tennis | YesResolved | $30 | 50¢ | 0.0¢ | -$30 |
Will Sam Altman be TIME's Person of the Year for 2025?Culture | YesResolved | $2 | 2.3¢ | 0.0¢ | -$2 |
Will another person/thing be TIME's Person of the Year for 2025?Culture | NoResolved | $5 | 7.7¢ | 0.0¢ | -$5 |
Will Jensen Huang be TIME's Person of the Year for 2025? Culture | YesResolved | $37 | 9.8¢ | 0.0¢ | -$37 |
No change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting?Politics | NoResolved | $20 | 20¢ | 0.0¢ | -$20 |
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after December 2025 meeting?Politics | YesResolved | $40 | 2.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$40 |
Will the government shutdown end November 14?Politics | YesResolved | $3 | 5.7¢ | 0.0¢ | -$3 |
Will Microsoft be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on November 30?Economy | YesResolved | $2 | 14¢ | 0.0¢ | -$2 |
Will SpaceX's public ticker be $STAR?Tech | YesResolved | $30 | 20¢ | 0.0¢ | -$30 |
Will SoFi Technologies (SOFI) be added to the S&P 500 by March 31, 2026?Tech | YesResolved | $40 | 43¢ | 0.0¢ | -$40 |
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after January 2026 meeting?Politics | YesResolved | $20 | 23¢ | 0.0¢ | -$20 |
Will SpaceX's public ticker be $SPAX?Tech | YesResolved | $10 | 23¢ | 0.0¢ | -$10 |
Will Movistar KOI win the LEC 2026 Versus?eSports | YesResolved | $100 | 31¢ | 0.0¢ | -$100 |