Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?Politics | No | $185K | 88¢ | 94¢ | +$12K |
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?Politics | No | $87K | 97¢ | 99¢ | +$1.2K |
Will Xi Jinping visit US before 2027?Politics | Yes | $63K | 92¢ | 98¢ | +$3.8K |
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?Politics | No | $64K | 82¢ | 85¢ | +$2.1K |
NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?Politics | No | $60K | 82¢ | 77¢ | -$3.5K |
Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Politics | No | $50K | 95¢ | 98¢ | +$1.6K |
Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by September 30?Politics | No | $50K | 98¢ | 97¢ | -$155 |
Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before 2027?Politics | No | $49K | 86¢ | 85¢ | -$888 |
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by September 30?Politics | No | $46K | 98¢ | 99¢ | +$405 |
Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Soccer (other) | No | $42K | 92¢ | 90¢ | -$1.1K |
Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by December 31, 2026?Politics | No | $36K | 88¢ | 95¢ | +$2.5K |
Iran leadership change by September 30?Politics | No | $37K | 97¢ | 98¢ | +$114 |
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?Politics | No | $25K | 99¢ | 100¢ | +$148 |
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30?Politics | No | $25K | 96¢ | 93¢ | -$759 |
Will Xi Jinping visit US by September 30?Politics | Yes | $24K | 92¢ | 94¢ | +$598 |
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?Politics | No | $19K | 90¢ | 93¢ | +$432 |
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?Politics | No | $19K | 96¢ | 99¢ | +$661 |
Will Xi Jinping visit US by October 31?Politics | Yes | $19K | 96¢ | 96¢ | +$6 |
Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?Politics | No | $17K | 88¢ | 94¢ | +$1.1K |
Will Rodri win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Soccer (other) | No | $17K | 94¢ | 96¢ | +$192 |
Nicolás Maduro released from custody by December 31, 2026?Politics | No | $15K | 86¢ | 94¢ | +$1.4K |
Will Anthropic IPO by December 31, 2026?Finance | Yes | $17K | 89¢ | 89¢ | -$154 |
Will United Russia win fewer than 280 seats in the next Russian State Duma election?Politics | No | $16K | 96¢ | 97¢ | +$224 |
Will US crude oil reserves fall to 280M by September 25, 2026?Politics | Yes | $17K | 89¢ | 79¢ | -$1.9K |
Will Xavier Becerra win the California Governor Election in 2026?Politics | Yes | $15K | 94¢ | 95¢ | +$75 |
Will Anthropic IPO by September 30, 2026?Finance | No | $12K | 89¢ | 99¢ | +$1.4K |
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva qualify for Brazil's presidential runoff?Politics | Yes | $13K | 97¢ | 98¢ | +$130 |
Netanyahu drops out of Israel election by September 30?Politics | No | $13K | 98¢ | 98¢ | +$9 |
Will Donald Trump visit North Korea in 2026?Politics | No | $13K | 89¢ | 90¢ | +$77 |
NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026?Politics | No | $11K | 85¢ | 93¢ | +$1.0K |
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of September 2026?Tech | Yes | $12K | 92¢ | 88¢ | -$645 |
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?Politics | Yes | $11K | 83¢ | 85¢ | +$236 |
Will Benjamin Netanyahu visit New York City by September 30?Politics | Yes | $11K | 95¢ | 95¢ | -$24 |
Will Flavio Bolsonaro qualify for Brazil's presidential runoff?Politics | Yes | $11K | 96¢ | 97¢ | +$74 |
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by September 30, 2026?Politics | No | $10K | 97¢ | 99¢ | +$268 |
China x Japan military clash before 2027?Politics | No | $10K | 93¢ | 94¢ | +$5 |
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 15?Politics | No | $9.0K | 98¢ | 100¢ | +$129 |
Iran leadership change by December 31?Politics | No | $8.7K | 87¢ | 87¢ | -$10 |
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by September 30, 2026?Politics | No | $8.2K | 91¢ | 94¢ | +$255 |
Will AfD win the most seats in the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern parliamentary elections?Politics | Yes | $8.4K | 88¢ | 84¢ | -$424 |
Will the Republican Party win the GA-11 House seat?Politics | Yes | $7.4K | 93¢ | 97¢ | +$308 |
Trump out as President before 2027?Politics | No | $7.5K | 92¢ | 95¢ | +$202 |
Andrew Tate released from custody by December 31, 2026?Politics | No | $6.3K | 77¢ | 93¢ | +$1.3K |
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through September 30?Politics | Yes | $7.9K | 88¢ | 84¢ | -$385 |
Will GameStop acquire eBay?Finance | No | $7.4K | 93¢ | 93¢ | -$40 |
NBA: Stephen Curry to leave Warriors?NBA | No | $7.2K | 96¢ | 98¢ | +$165 |
US strike on Mexico by December 31?Politics | No | $6.8K | 87¢ | 91¢ | +$254 |
Will the Republican Party win the TX-06 House seat?Politics | Yes | $6.7K | 93¢ | 96¢ | +$158 |
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 15?Politics | No | $6.8K | 98¢ | 99¢ | +$13 |
Will Iran target Ukraine by September 30, 2026?Politics | No | $5.9K | 98¢ | 99¢ | +$39 |
Will Kawhi play for the Toronto Raptors in 2026-27?NBA | Yes | $5.1K | 87¢ | 95¢ | +$480 |
Lee Jae-myung arrested before 2027?Politics | No | $5.4K | 91¢ | 93¢ | +$127 |
Yoon out of custody before 2027?Politics | No | $5.3K | 89¢ | 93¢ | +$210 |
Will Augusto Cury win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Politics | No | $4.9K | 98¢ | 100¢ | +$108 |
Will Apple release a foldable iPhone before 2027?Tech | Yes | $4.7K | 94¢ | 100¢ | +$265 |
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?Politics | No | $4.7K | 93¢ | 94¢ | +$25 |
Fed rate cut by October 2026 meeting?Economy | No | $4.5K | 96¢ | 96¢ | +$28 |
Iran full airspace closure by September 30?Politics | No | $4.5K | 90¢ | 91¢ | +$25 |
Anthropic IPO before 2027?Tech | Yes | $4.6K | 91¢ | 88¢ | -$163 |
Will United Russia win 355 or more seats in the next Russian State Duma election?Politics | No | $4.4K | 93¢ | 90¢ | -$158 |
Will “The Pitt” win Emmys 2026: Outstanding drama series?Culture | Yes | $3.8K | 95¢ | 96¢ | +$38 |
Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by September 30, 2026?Politics | Yes | $3.7K | 92¢ | 93¢ | +$42 |
Sanae Takaichi out as Prime Minister of Japan in 2026?Politics | No | $3.0K | 91¢ | 92¢ | +$31 |
Will the Republican Party win the RI-02 House seat?Politics | No | $3.1K | 96¢ | 96¢ | +$0 |
US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 14, 2026?Politics | No | $2.9K | 95¢ | 98¢ | +$92 |
Will the Philadelphia Phillies clinch a spot in the 2026 MLB Postseason?MLB | Yes | $3.0K | 98¢ | 99¢ | +$40 |
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.5T by December 31?Tech | Yes | $3.0K | 93¢ | 95¢ | +$56 |
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by September 30?Politics | No | $2.9K | 96¢ | 99¢ | +$98 |
Will Renan Santos qualify for Brazil's presidential runoff?Politics | No | $2.7K | 97¢ | 98¢ | +$34 |
Will the Democratic Party win the MA-02 House seat?Politics | Yes | $2.4K | 96¢ | 95¢ | -$36 |
Will Max Martin attend Taylor Swift's wedding?NFL | Yes | $7.3K | 92¢ | 29¢ | -$5.0K |
Iran invades Kuwait by October 31?Politics | No | $2.2K | 95¢ | 99¢ | +$78 |
Will the Boston Red Sox have the longest winning streak during the 2026 MLB regular season?MLB | Yes | $2.1K | 97¢ | 98¢ | +$29 |
Ekrem İmamoğlu released from custody in 2026?Politics | No | $2.0K | 90¢ | 95¢ | +$99 |
Will Abiy Ahmed be the next Prime Minister of Ethiopia?Politics | Yes | $2.0K | 97¢ | 97¢ | +$4 |
Will Frank Scarpitti win the 2026 Markham mayoral election?Politics | Yes | $2.0K | 93¢ | 95¢ | +$29 |
Will Benjamin Netanyahu visit New York City by December 31?Politics | Yes | $1.9K | 97¢ | 97¢ | -$13 |
Will the next Claude Opus model be released by October 31, 2026?Tech | Yes | $1.8K | 91¢ | 98¢ | +$129 |
Will the Republican Party win the MS-01 House seat?Politics | Yes | $1.9K | 95¢ | 95¢ | -$10 |
Will Yegor Kovalchuk win the 2026 Bryansk Oblast gubernatorial elections?Politics | Yes | $1.8K | 93¢ | 96¢ | +$42 |
MLB: 4-homer game in 2026?MLB | No | $1.7K | 87¢ | 88¢ | +$24 |
Will Lamine Yamal finish in the top 5 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Soccer (other) | Yes | $1.6K | 94¢ | 97¢ | +$43 |
Will Noah Wyle – “The Pitt” win Emmys 2026: Outstanding lead actor in a drama series?Culture | Yes | $1.6K | 95¢ | 96¢ | +$14 |
Will the Democratic Party win the TX-06 House seat?Politics | No | $1.6K | 94¢ | 95¢ | +$26 |
Will the next Claude Sonnet model be released by October 31, 2026?Tech | Yes | $1.3K | 73¢ | 90¢ | +$298 |
Will the Republican Party win the GA-10 House seat?Politics | Yes | $1.4K | 92¢ | 96¢ | +$53 |
Will the Democratic Party win the RI-02 House seat?Politics | Yes | $1.4K | 96¢ | 96¢ | -$8 |
Will Jean Smart – “Hacks” win Emmys 2026: Outstanding lead actress in a comedy series?Culture | Yes | $1.3K | 93¢ | 93¢ | +$0 |
Will the Republican Party win the TX-07 House seat?Politics | No | $1.1K | 95¢ | 96¢ | +$6 |
Will the next Claude Opus model be released by September 30, 2026?Tech | Yes | $1.2K | 75¢ | 74¢ | -$31 |
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.75T by December 31?Tech | Yes | $1.1K | 89¢ | 91¢ | +$18 |
Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by September 30, 2026?Politics | No | $963 | 96¢ | 99¢ | +$29 |
Modi out by December 31, 2026?Politics | No | $920 | 92¢ | 94¢ | +$20 |
Will Lisa Kudrow – “The Comeback” win Emmys 2026: Outstanding lead actress in a comedy series?Culture | No | $759 | 95¢ | 95¢ | +$1 |
Anthropic vs OpenAI - higher valuation on December 31?Tech | Anthropic | $728 | 91¢ | 91¢ | +$0 |
Xi meets with Lee Jae-Myung by December 31?Politics | Yes | $653 | 87¢ | 97¢ | +$73 |
Will Anthropic have the #1 AI model at the end of September 2026?Tech | Yes | $731 | 91¢ | 86¢ | -$47 |
Cilia Flores released from custody by December 31, 2026?Politics | No | $1.2K | 87¢ | 48¢ | -$525 |
MLB: 4-homer game in 2026?MLB | Yes | $4.3K | 85¢ | 12¢ | -$3.7K |
Will Donald Trump visit South Korea in 2026?Politics | No | $702 | 88¢ | 78¢ | -$82 |