← Whale Watch

thoodr

Predicting since Apr 2026244 markets tradedPolymarket profile ↗

Up $40K on Politics markets since Apr 2026.

Right now: $210K across 2 Politics markets.

Biggest hit: +$4.7K on Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 17?.

All-time PnL
+$0
This year
+$0
Last 30 days
+$0
Portfolio value
$0

Deep stats

Bucko Oracle
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Profit over time

What they are betting now

MarketSideStakeEntryNowPnL
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?PoliticsNo$210K88¢92¢+$9.4K
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by July 31?PoliticsNo$145K98¢99¢+$2.5K
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?PoliticsNo$73K98¢99¢+$717
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?PoliticsNo$64K82¢80¢-$1.8K
Will Xi Jinping visit US before 2027?PoliticsYes$48K91¢93¢+$1.1K
NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?PoliticsNo$55K82¢73¢-$6.7K
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by July 31?PoliticsNo$33K99¢99¢+$115
Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by December 31, 2026?PoliticsNo$31K88¢91¢+$944
Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?PoliticsNo$27K96¢100¢+$900
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by July 31? PoliticsNo$28K99¢99¢+$166
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?PoliticsNo$25K90¢92¢+$552
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?PoliticsNo$19K96¢97¢+$251
Trump out as President by July 31?PoliticsNo$17K100¢100¢+$44
Nicolás Maduro released from custody by December 31, 2026?PoliticsNo$16K86¢94¢+$1.4K
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by August 31?PoliticsNo$14K92¢95¢+$457
Andrew Tate released from custody by July 31, 2026?PoliticsNo$14K98¢97¢-$91
Israel closes its airspace by July 31?PoliticsNo$11K89¢94¢+$617
Fed rate cut by July 2026 meeting?EconomyNo$11K100¢100¢+$6
Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?PoliticsNo$10K85¢88¢+$253
Romanian PM Bolojan out by July 31?PoliticsNo$10K95¢99¢+$401
Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by July 31?PoliticsNo$10K92¢93¢+$149
Trump out as President before 2027?PoliticsNo$9.2K92¢94¢+$150
Will CDU win the second most seats in the 2026 Sachsen-Anhalt parliamentary elections?PoliticsYes$7.4K93¢94¢+$40
Will Israel launch a ground operation in Iran by July 31, 2026?PoliticsNo$5.9K98¢99¢+$75
Will Kawhi play for the Toronto Raptors in 2026-27?NBAYes$5.1K87¢87¢+$10
Will Trump pardon SBF by July 31?PoliticsNo$5.0K100¢100¢+$7
Will Max Martin attend Taylor Swift's wedding?NFLYes$7.3K92¢51¢-$3.3K
Andrew Tate released from custody by December 31, 2026?PoliticsNo$2.8K71¢81¢+$371
Will Trump meet with Netanyahu by August 31, 2026?PoliticsYes$2.3K78¢98¢+$597
Ekrem İmamoğlu released from custody in 2026?PoliticsNo$2.0K90¢95¢+$99
0 ships transit Hormuz on any date by July 31?PoliticsNo$2.0K86¢89¢+$60
Netanyahu out by July 31?PoliticsNo$1.8K99¢100¢+$22
Yoon out of custody before 2027?PoliticsNo$1.7K88¢89¢+$11
Iran charges Hormuz fees by July 31?PoliticsNo$1.6K92¢96¢+$59
Will Anthropic IPO by July 31, 2026?FinanceNo$1.1K90¢100¢+$118
US x China tariff agreement by July 31?PoliticsNo$1.2K97¢98¢+$23
US x Cuba economic deal by July 31, 2026?PoliticsNo$99099¢98¢-$11
Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 31?PoliticsNo$58197¢99¢+$10
Will Trump meet with Mohammed bin Salman in July 2026?PoliticsNo$53398¢98¢-$3
No change in Bank of England’s interest rates after July 2026 meeting?EconomyYes$48899¢99¢-$2
Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by July 31, 2026?TechYes$9.6K87¢3.3¢-$9.2K
Xi meets with Lee Jae-Myung by December 31?PoliticsYes$34887¢84¢-$12
Xi meets with Lee Jae-Myung by July 31?PoliticsNo$27098¢100¢+$4
Kash Patel out by July 31?PoliticsNo$19598¢100¢+$4
Putin out as President of Russia by August 31, 2026?PoliticsNo$14798¢98¢+$0
Macron out by July 31, 2026?PoliticsNo$12499¢100¢+$1
Will there be no next Google Gemini Pro model release by July 31, 2026?TechNo$2.1K85¢4.3¢-$2.0K
NATO/EU troops fighting in Ukraine by December 31, 2026?PoliticsNo$6288¢91¢+$2
Mike Johnson out as Speaker by July 31?PoliticsNo$4997¢100¢+$1
Will Trump meet with Vladimir Putin in July 2026?PoliticsNo$4495¢100¢+$2
Will Trump meet with Kim Jong Un in July 2026?PoliticsNo$3099¢100¢+$0
Will LeBron's next contract average under $4M per year?NBANo$53798¢2.1¢-$526
Lee Jae-myung out as president of South Korea in 2026?PoliticsNo$689¢90¢+$0
Bank of England decreases interest rates by 25 bps after July 2026 meeting?EconomyNo$599¢100¢+$0
Will Trump announce a Taiwan arms sales halt?PoliticsNoResolved$6.4K95¢0.0¢-$6.4K
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?PoliticsNoResolved$17K95¢0.0¢-$17K
Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by July 17, 2026?TechYesResolved$1068¢0.0¢-$10

Where the money comes from

Realized + open PnL by category

Politics+$40K
Tech-$9.7K
World Cup+$8.6K
NFL+$4.9K
NBA+$2.2K
Culture+$570
Weather-$451
Finance+$354
Economy+$171
Soccer (other)+$0
Biggest hit
+$4.7K
Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 17?
Toughest beat
-$863
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on May 7?

Recent moves

  • Bought No · Israel closes its airspace by July 31?$1.9K14h ago
  • Bought No · Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by July 31?$2.0K14h ago
  • Bought No · Israel closes its airspace by July 31?$94014h ago
  • Cashed out Yes · Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 22?$2.5K18h ago
  • Bought No · Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by July 31?$519h ago
  • Bought No · Israel closes its airspace by July 31?$63719h ago
  • Bought No · Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by July 31?$1920h ago
  • Bought No · Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by July 31?$8222h ago
  • Bought No · Israel closes its airspace by July 31?$4022h ago
  • Bought No · Israel closes its airspace by July 31?$8422h ago
  • Bought No · Israel closes its airspace by July 31?$11323h ago
  • Bought No · Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by July 31?$5.4K23h ago