 Will Hunter Biden win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Politics | Yes | $61 | 0.7¢ | 0.5¢ | -$14 |
 Will Brian Armstrong appear on the UpOnly podcast by December 31?Crypto | No | $35 | 70¢ | 95¢ | +$12 |
 Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31?Politics | Yes | $5 | 66¢ | 29¢ | -$3 |
 US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?Politics | NoResolved | $10 | 70¢ | 0.0¢ | -$10 |
 Will Hamas release any more hostages by October 12?Politics | YesResolved | $1 | 59¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
 Ukraine strikes another tanker in Black Sea by December 31?Politics | NoResolved | $1 | 79¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
 Will ChatGPT be #2 Free App in the US Apple App Store on December 5?Tech | NoResolved | $1 | 18¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
 Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?World Cup | YesResolved | $5 | 13¢ | 0.0¢ | -$5 |
| US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?Politics | NoResolved | $5 | 89¢ | 0.0¢ | -$5 |
 Will Van Epps win TN-07 by 10–15%?Politics | YesResolved | $1 | 1.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
 Will Jason Day win the 2026 Masters tournament?Golf | YesResolved | $1 | 3.9¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
 Ethereum Up or Down - October 10, 2AM ETCrypto | UpResolved | $1 | 51¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
 Will Trump talk to Vladimir Putin in December?Politics | NoResolved | $1 | 65¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
 Will Vance visit the Middle East by April 10?Politics | YesResolved | $5 | 80¢ | 0.0¢ | -$5 |
 Next Thai Prime Minister Chosen by March 31?Politics | NoResolved | $1 | 7.7¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
 Will Trump talk to Zohran Mamdani in November?Politics | NoResolved | $3 | 71¢ | 0.0¢ | -$3 |
 Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 in May?Crypto | YesResolved | $5 | 26¢ | 0.0¢ | -$5 |
 Thailand x Cambodia ceasefire by December 31?Politics | NoResolved | $5 | 67¢ | 0.0¢ | -$5 |
 TikTok sale announced in 2025?Tech | NoResolved | $62 | 20¢ | 0.0¢ | -$62 |
 XRP Up or Down - October 10, 2AM ETCrypto | UpResolved | $1 | 50¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
 Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by May 15, 2026?Politics | NoResolved | $100 | 77¢ | 0.0¢ | -$100 |
 Will the U.S. collect between $200b and $500b in revenue in 2025?Politics | YesResolved | $1 | 31¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
 Will Justin Rose win the 2026 Masters tournament?Golf | YesResolved | $1 | 4.9¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
 Will Israel allow independent journalists into Gaza by December 31?Politics | NoResolved | $1 | 25¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
 Trump declassifies UFO files in 2025?Politics | NoResolved | $4 | 8.6¢ | 0.0¢ | -$4 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in May?Crypto | YesResolved | $5 | 79¢ | 0.0¢ | -$5 |
 Will Israel strike Lebanon on November 4?Politics | YesResolved | $1 | 94¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
 U.S. forces seize another oil tanker by March 7?Politics | YesResolved | $2 | 9.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$2 |
 Will Trump release the Epstein files by December 19?Politics | NoResolved | $3 | 44¢ | 0.0¢ | -$3 |
 QatarEnergy announces/resumes LNG production in Qatar by April 30?Politics | NoResolved | $5 | 0.2¢ | 0.0¢ | -$5 |
 Will a Claude Mythos model be released by June 12 2026?Tech | NoResolved | $5 | 15¢ | 0.0¢ | -$5 |
| Ethereum Up or Down - October 14, 8AM ETCrypto | UpResolved | $1 | 51¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
 Will Israel take military action in Gaza on April 7, 2026?Politics | YesResolved | $1 | 8.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
 Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 30, 2026?Politics | NoResolved | $2 | 30¢ | 0.0¢ | -$2 |
| Will Israel take military action in Gaza on April 5, 2026?Politics | NoResolved | $1 | 7.9¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
 Trump announces new drug boat strike by November 20?Politics | YesResolved | $1 | 37¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
 Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2025?Politics | YesResolved | $1 | 2.9¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
 Lakers vs. Trail BlazersNBA | Trail BlazersResolved | $3 | 76¢ | 0.0¢ | -$3 |
 Will Trump talk to Keir Starmer in November?Politics | NoResolved | $1 | 26¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
 Will Shane Lowry win the 2026 Masters tournament?Golf | YesResolved | $2 | 7.3¢ | 0.0¢ | -$2 |
 Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $140 by March 13?Politics | YesResolved | $5 | 1.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$5 |
 Will Trump speak to Elon Musk in May?Politics | NoResolved | $2 | 8.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$2 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 12, 2:55AM-3:00AM ETCrypto | UpResolved | $1 | 31¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
 Will Ameriprise Financial (AMP) beat quarterly earnings?Economy | NoResolved | $1 | 35¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
| Will Ethereum reach $2,600 in April?Crypto | YesResolved | $3 | 34¢ | 0.0¢ | -$3 |
 Will SpaceX's market cap be between $2.0T and $2.5T at market close on last trading day of IPO month?Tech | NoResolved | $5 | 40¢ | 0.0¢ | -$5 |
 Over $1B committed to the MegaETH public sale?Crypto | NoResolved | $1 | 13¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
 Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?Economy | YesResolved | $10 | 54¢ | 0.0¢ | -$10 |
 Will Russia capture Kupiansk by October 31?Politics | NoResolved | $1 | 40¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
 Will any Louvre heist robbers be arrested by October 24?Culture | YesResolved | $1 | 27¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
 ChatGPT Outage by April 10?Tech | NoResolved | $3 | 85¢ | 0.0¢ | -$3 |
 Will Trump talk to Nicolás Maduro again by December 31?Politics | YesResolved | $1 | 35¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
 Trump agrees to sell F-35 to Saudi Arabia by November 30?Politics | NoResolved | $4 | 82¢ | 0.0¢ | -$4 |
 Will Trump speak to Emmanuel Macron in May?Politics | NoResolved | $5 | 14¢ | 0.0¢ | -$5 |
 Will Jerome Powell depart as Fed Chair between May 15 and May 22?Politics | NoResolved | $2 | 4.5¢ | 0.0¢ | -$2 |
 Will Andrew Cuomo win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?Politics | YesResolved | $1 | 9.2¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
| U.S. forces seize another Venezuela-linked oil ship in 2025?Politics | NoResolved | $1 | 65¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $150k in October?Crypto | YesResolved | $1 | 4.4¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
 Nicolas Sarkozy released from custody by November 30?Politics | NoResolved | $1 | 4.9¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
 Will the government shutdown end November 12?Politics | YesResolved | $1 | 64¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
| Will Israel strike Lebanon on December 7?Politics | YesResolved | $1 | 2.9¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
 Will Russia capture all of Hryshyne by May 31?Politics | NoResolved | $5 | 87¢ | 0.0¢ | -$5 |
| Will Ethereum reach $6000 in October?Crypto | YesResolved | $1 | 5.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
 Israel strikes Gaza by October 17?Politics | NoResolved | $1 | 96¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
 Will OpenAI release a new frontier model by December 13?Tech | NoResolved | $10 | 16¢ | 0.0¢ | -$10 |
 GPT-5.3 released by February 28, 2026?Tech | YesResolved | $1 | 2.9¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down on October 10?Crypto | UpResolved | $1 | 48¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
| Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $180 by end of March?Politics | YesResolved | $1 | 4.1¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
 Israel strike on Yemen by March 31, 2026?Politics | YesResolved | $1 | 13¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
 Starmer out by May 19, 2026?Politics | YesResolved | $10 | 9.3¢ | 0.0¢ | -$10 |
 Will Russia capture all of Pokrovsk by February 28?Politics | NoResolved | $5 | 82¢ | 0.0¢ | -$5 |
 Will Russia enter Verkhnia Tersa by April 30, 2026?Politics | NoResolved | $2 | 10.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$2 |
| Trump announces new drug boat strike by November 16?Politics | NoResolved | $1 | 88¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
 Military action against Iran ends by April 15, 2026?Politics | NoResolved | $8 | 16¢ | 0.0¢ | -$8 |
| Will Trump speak to Elon Musk in June?Politics | YesResolved | $4 | 72¢ | 0.0¢ | -$4 |
 Nothing Ever Happens: US Strike EditionPolitics | YesResolved | $5 | 49¢ | 0.0¢ | -$5 |
 OpenAI browser by October 31?Tech | NoResolved | $1 | 54¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
 Will Artificial Intelligence be TIME's Person of the Year for 2025?Culture | YesResolved | $6 | 61¢ | 0.0¢ | -$6 |
Cashed out Yes · Will Keir Starmer be the next leader out before 2027?$136d ago
Cashed out No · Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 17?$118d ago
Cashed out No · US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 10, 2026?$1115d ago