← Whale Watch

naggingbets

Predicting since Mar 2026285 markets tradedPolymarket profile ↗

Up $1.0K on World Cup markets since Mar 2026.

All-time PnL
+$0
This year
+$0
Last 30 days
+$0
Portfolio value
$0

Deep stats

Bucko Oracle
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Profit over time

What they are betting now

MarketSideStakeEntryNowPnL
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D HousePoliticsYes$30143¢44¢+$3
Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?PoliticsYes$25057¢56¢-$2
Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?PoliticsNo$20352¢63¢+$41
Will Trump meet with Benjamin Netanyahu in July 2026?PoliticsYes$20092¢97¢+$10
Anthropic IPO before 2027?TechNo$11525¢33¢+$37
Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Soccer (other)Yes$11639¢44¢+$15
Netanyahu out by end of 2026?PoliticsNo$13059¢56¢-$6
Will CF Monterrey win on 2026-07-26?Soccer (other)Yes$11546¢47¢+$1
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 31?PoliticsYes$5858¢88¢+$30
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31?PoliticsNo$10085¢51¢-$41
Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?PoliticsYes$5235¢38¢+$5
Will Monterrey win the 2026 Liga MX Apertura?Soccer (other)Yes$5012¢11¢-$6
Iran charges Hormuz fees by August 31?PoliticsYes$4039¢34¢-$5
Will LeBron's next contract average under $4M per year?NBAYes$619¢98¢+$25
Will James Harden play for the Cleveland Cavaliers in 2026-27?NBANo$94.3¢11¢+$12
Will Caleb Wilson win the 2026-27 NBA Rookie of the Year?NBAYes$1416¢20¢+$3
Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of August 2026?TechYes$142.9¢2.7¢-$1
Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by July 31?PoliticsYes$107.0¢7.0¢+$0
Will Tijuana win the 2026 Liga MX Apertura?Soccer (other)Yes$52.4¢4.2¢+$3
Will LeBron James play for the Golden State Warriors in 2026-27?NBAYes$10413¢0.1¢-$103
Spread: England (-1.5)World CupEnglandResolved$4050¢0.0¢-$40
Will Nathalie Sinclair-Desgagné win the by-election for the seat of Terrebone in the House of Commons of Canada?PoliticsYesResolved$10035¢0.0¢-$100
Will Robert Golob be the next Prime Minister of Slovenia?PoliticsYesResolved$16080¢0.0¢-$160
Will Spain win on 2026-07-19?World CupYesResolved$15042¢0.0¢-$150
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?TechNoResolved$10020¢0.0¢-$100
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13?World CupYesResolved$4059¢0.0¢-$40
Spain vs. Belgium: O/U 2.5World CupUnderResolved$8047¢0.0¢-$80
Braunschweig: Jan Choinski vs Max Hans RehbergTennisMax Hans RehbergResolved$1075¢0.0¢-$10
U.S. evacuates Baghdad Embassy by April 30?PoliticsYesResolved$206.0¢0.0¢-$20
Spread: Norway (-1.5)World CupNorwayResolved$209.0¢0.0¢-$20
Argentina vs. Switzerland: O/U 1.5World CupUnderResolved$3731¢0.0¢-$37
Valorant: 2GAME Esports vs INTZ (BO3) - VCL Brazil: Play-IneSports2GAME EsportsResolved$4555¢0.0¢-$45
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by March 31?PoliticsYesResolved$18812¢0.0¢-$188
Spread: Japan (-1.5)World CupJapanResolved$188.8¢0.0¢-$18
Will Belgium win on 2026-07-10?World CupYesResolved$1917¢0.0¢-$19
Spread: Belgium (-2.5)World CupBelgiumResolved$31.6¢0.0¢-$3
Spread: Norway (-1.5)World CupNorwayResolved$5023¢0.0¢-$50
Spread: United States (-2.5)World CupUnited StatesResolved$4524¢0.0¢-$45
Will Praggnanandhaa R win the 2026 FIDE Candidates Tournament?Other sportsYesResolved$2812¢0.0¢-$28
Will Cristiano Ronaldo score 6+ goals during the 2026 FIFA World Cup?World CupYesResolved$63.0¢0.0¢-$6
Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?TechYesResolved$444.3¢0.0¢-$44
Argentina vs. Switzerland: Both Teams to ScoreWorld CupNoResolved$5454¢0.0¢-$54
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?PoliticsYesResolved$27234¢0.0¢-$272
Spread: Mexico (-1.5)World CupMexicoResolved$2024¢0.0¢-$20
Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals?NBANoResolved$10038¢0.0¢-$100
Will Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?World CupYesResolved$402.3¢0.0¢-$40
Will Illinois win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?Basketball (other)YesResolved$5217¢0.0¢-$52
Will Mexico win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?World CupYesResolved$151.3¢0.0¢-$15
Will Giannis Antetokounmpo play for the Milwaukee Bucks in 2026-27?NBAYesResolved$16.2¢0.0¢-$1
Connecticut Huskies vs. Illinois Fighting IlliniCollege HoopsIllinois Fighting IlliniResolved$14355¢0.0¢-$143
UFC Fight Night: Magomed Zaynukov vs. Damian Rzepecki (Lightweight, Main Card)UFC / MMADamian RzepeckiResolved$2626¢0.0¢-$26
Will Keiko Fujimori finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?PoliticsYesResolved$265.1¢0.0¢-$26
Exact Score: Argentina 3 - 0 Egypt?World CupYesResolved$511¢0.0¢-$5
Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?World CupYesResolved$508.6¢0.0¢-$50
Will Ecuador win on 2026-06-14?World CupYesResolved$10038¢0.0¢-$100
LoL: BNK FEARX vs Dplus KIA (BO1) - KeSPA Cup Group StageeSportsDplus KIAResolved$6049¢0.0¢-$60
Rome: Lina Gjorcheska vs Deborah ChiesaTennisLina GjorcheskaResolved$1553¢0.0¢-$15
Spread: Japan (-1.5)World CupJapanResolved$3527¢0.0¢-$35
Spread: Spain (-1.5)World CupSpainResolved$3036¢0.0¢-$30
Japan vs. Sweden: O/U 2.5World CupOverResolved$2053¢0.0¢-$20
Will Shabana Mahmood be the next Chancellor of the Exchequer of the UK in 2026?PoliticsYesResolved$3838¢0.0¢-$38
Will Troels Lund Poulsen be the next prime minister of Denmark after the 2026 parliamentary elections?PoliticsYesResolved$336.7¢0.0¢-$33
Istanbul 2: Zhuoxuan Bai vs Tatiana ProzorovaTennisZhuoxuan BaiResolved$29.0¢0.0¢-$2
Lamine Yamal: 1+ goalsWorld CupYesResolved$2026¢0.0¢-$20
UFC Fight Night: Kamaru Usman vs. Dricus Du Plessis (Middleweight, Main Card)UFC / MMAKamaru UsmanResolved$4032¢0.0¢-$40
Spread: France (-1.5)World CupFranceResolved$12062¢0.0¢-$120
Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?PoliticsYesResolved$101.0¢0.0¢-$10
Spread: Argentina (-1.5)World CupArgentinaResolved$6065¢0.0¢-$60
Will Leavitt say "Death to America" during the next White House Press Briefing?MentionsNoResolved$3819¢0.0¢-$38
Will the Bank of Mexico announce no change at the May meeting?EconomyYesResolved$16176¢0.0¢-$161
Will Mexico win on 2026-07-05?World CupYesResolved$10032¢0.0¢-$100
Will Portugal win on 2026-07-06?World CupYesResolved$3024¢0.0¢-$30
Spread: Mexico (-1.5)World CupMexicoResolved$4612¢0.0¢-$46
Spread: Colombia (-1.5)World CupColombiaResolved$3043¢0.0¢-$30
Spread: Ecuador (-1.5)World CupEcuadorResolved$2017¢0.0¢-$20
Spurs vs. ThunderNBASpursResolved$9039¢0.0¢-$90
Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?World CupYesResolved$604.9¢0.0¢-$60
Will Xi Jinping meet with Cheng Li-wun by June 30?PoliticsNoResolved$5665¢0.0¢-$56
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 17, 11:05PM-11:10PM ETCryptoUpResolved$536¢0.0¢-$5
Set Handicap: Cobolli (-1.5) vs Fery (+1.5)TennisCobolliResolved$8158¢0.0¢-$81
Iasi Open: Nadia Podoroska vs Petra MarcinkoTennisNadia PodoroskaResolved$824¢0.0¢-$8
Will England win on 2026-07-15?World CupYesResolved$22237¢0.0¢-$222
Will Switzerland win on 2026-07-07?World CupYesResolved$827¢0.0¢-$8
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30?PoliticsYesResolved$25534¢0.0¢-$255
DeepSeek V4 released by April 7?PoliticsYesResolved$105.0¢0.0¢-$10
Will the Bank of Mexico announce a decrease at the March meeting?PoliticsNoResolved$49338¢0.0¢-$493
Brazil vs. Japan: Team to AdvanceWorld CupJapanResolved$4027¢0.0¢-$40
Will Ricardo Belmont win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?PoliticsYesResolved$102.7¢0.0¢-$10
US/Israel strike on Fordow nuclear facility by March 31?PoliticsYesResolved$52.0¢0.0¢-$5
Will Croatia win on 2026-06-27?World CupNoResolved$1549¢0.0¢-$15
La Velada del Año 6: Lit Killah vs Kidd KeoBoxingKidd KeoResolved$1547¢0.0¢-$15
LoL: Gen.G vs Hanwha Life Esports (BO1) - KeSPA Cup Group StageeSportsGen.GResolved$107.0¢0.0¢-$10
Spread: Egypt (-1.5)World CupEgyptResolved$517¢0.0¢-$5
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 26?PoliticsYesResolved$10.4¢0.0¢-$1
Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-24?World CupYesResolved$3059¢0.0¢-$30
Switzerland vs. Algeria: Both Teams to ScoreWorld CupYesResolved$1553¢0.0¢-$15
Norway vs. England: Both Teams to ScoreWorld CupNoResolved$3042¢0.0¢-$30
Spread: Switzerland (-1.5)World CupSwitzerlandResolved$2557¢0.0¢-$25
Spread: Belgium (-2.5)World CupNew ZealandResolved$1557¢0.0¢-$15
Spread: England (-2.5)World CupEnglandResolved$1727¢0.0¢-$17

Where the money comes from

Realized + open PnL by category

World Cup+$1.0K
Politics+$501
NBA-$355
Economy-$284
College Hoops+$246
MLB+$99
Tech-$90
eSports-$72
Other+$60
Basketball (other)-$52
Culture-$43
Other sports-$28
Biggest hit
+$801
Miguel Díaz-Canel out as President of Cuba by June 30?
Toughest beat
-$114
Naim Qassem out as Hezbollah’s secretary-general by March 31, 2026?

Recent moves

  • Bought Yes · Will CF Monterrey win on 2026-07-26?$541d ago
  • Sold Yes · Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 31?$91d ago
  • Bought Yes · Will CF Monterrey win on 2026-07-26?$21d ago
  • Bought Yes · Will CF Monterrey win on 2026-07-26?$21d ago
  • Bought Yes · Will CF Monterrey win on 2026-07-26?$21d ago
  • Bought Yes · Will CF Monterrey win on 2026-07-26?$21d ago
  • Bought Yes · Will CF Monterrey win on 2026-07-26?$21d ago
  • Bought No · US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31?$1001d ago
  • Bought Yes · Will CF Monterrey win on 2026-07-26?$21d ago
  • Bought Yes · Will CF Monterrey win on 2026-07-26?$11d ago
  • Bought Yes · Will CF Monterrey win on 2026-07-26?$11d ago
  • Bought Yes · Will CF Monterrey win on 2026-07-26?$11d ago