 AI model scores ≥ 90% on FrontierMath Benchmark before 2027?Tech | Yes | $3 | 13¢ | 85¢ | +$18 |
 China x Philippines military clash before 2027?Politics | YesResolved | $2 | 26¢ | 100¢ | +$6 |
 Will 5-6 SpaceX Starship launches successfully reach Space in 2026?Tech | Yes | $1 | 28¢ | 67¢ | +$2 |
 Will Donald Trump visit China in 2026?Politics | YesResolved | $2 | 94¢ | 100¢ | +$0 |
 Will the Doge-1 Lunar Mission launch by December 31, 2026?Tech | Yes | $1 | 7.0¢ | 12¢ | +$1 |
 China x India military clash by December 31, 2026?Politics | Yes | $2 | 13¢ | 12¢ | -$0 |
 SpaceX Starship fully reusable before 2027?Tech | Yes | $1 | 44¢ | 62¢ | +$0 |
| Will less than 5 SpaceX Starship launches successfully reach Space in 2026?Tech | Yes | $1 | 17¢ | 18¢ | +$0 |
 U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "Taiwan" before 2027?Politics | Yes | $2 | 19¢ | 12¢ | -$1 |
 Will Tesla open orders for the Robovan before 2027?Tech | Yes | $3 | 24¢ | 8.5¢ | -$2 |
 China x Japan military clash before 2027?Politics | Yes | $2 | 13¢ | 7.5¢ | -$1 |
 Lai Ching-te out as President of Taiwan by December 31, 2026?Politics | Yes | $2 | 13¢ | 7.0¢ | -$1 |
 European country agrees to give Ukraine security guarantee by June 30? Politics | YesResolved | $2 | 32¢ | 0.0¢ | -$2 |
 Tariff increase on Canada in effect by June 30?Politics | YesResolved | $1 | 22¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
 Will China invade Taiwan by March 31, 2026?Politics | YesResolved | $1 | 1.6¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
 Will Jia Yueting enter mainland China by June 30?Politics | YesResolved | $1 | 2.9¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
 Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 Superheavy explode?Tech | YesResolved | $1 | 85¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
 Will USD.AI launch a token by March 31?Crypto | YesResolved | $3 | 90¢ | 0.0¢ | -$3 |
| Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?Politics | YesResolved | $1 | 6.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
 Will China join the Board of Peace?Politics | YesResolved | $1 | 3.3¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
 Will GPT-6 be released by June 30, 2026?Tech | YesResolved | $3 | 22¢ | 0.0¢ | -$3 |
 Will Trump visit China by April 30?Politics | YesResolved | $1 | 83¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
 U.S. agrees to give Ukraine security guarantee by June 30? Politics | YesResolved | $2 | 28¢ | 0.0¢ | -$2 |
 Will Tesla launch robotaxis in California by June 30?Tech | YesResolved | $3 | 36¢ | 0.0¢ | -$3 |
 Will China blockade Taiwan by June 30?Politics | YesResolved | $2 | 6.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$2 |
| Will GPT-6 be released by March 31, 2026?Tech | YesResolved | $3 | 6.6¢ | 0.0¢ | -$3 |
| Will Artemis II launch by February 28?Tech | YesResolved | $1 | 1.6¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
| Will Artemis II launch by March 31?Tech | YesResolved | $1 | 42¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
 Taiwanese Premier Cho Jung-tai out by June 30, 2026?Politics | YesResolved | $2 | 26¢ | 0.0¢ | -$2 |
 Will Claude 5 be released by March 31, 2026?Tech | YesResolved | $3 | 37¢ | 0.0¢ | -$3 |
 Will OpenAI launch a new consumer hardware product by March 31, 2026?Tech | YesResolved | $3 | 7.6¢ | 0.0¢ | -$3 |
| Will Trump visit China by March 31?Politics | YesResolved | $1 | 4.3¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
 100% tariff on Canada in effect by June 30?Politics | YesResolved | $1 | 11¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
| Will the Starship for SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 achieve a successful splashdown?Tech | YesResolved | $1 | 73¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |