 Will Alibaba have the best Chinese AI model at the end of September 2026?Politics | Yes | $8 | 58¢ | 89¢ | +$4 |
 Will Anthropic have the best AI Agent at the end of September 2026?Tech | Yes | $8 | 62¢ | 94¢ | +$4 |
| Will Anthropic have the best AI model on LiveBench (Coding) at the end of September 2026?Tech | Yes | $8 | 66¢ | 85¢ | +$2 |
 Will the Democratic Party win the NJ-05 House seat?Politics | Yes | $9 | 88¢ | 95¢ | +$1 |
 Will the Republican Party win the TN-08 House seat?Politics | Yes | $8 | 93¢ | 95¢ | +$0 |
 Will MiniMax have the best Image-to-Video AI at the end of September 2026?Tech | Yes | $7 | 74¢ | 92¢ | +$2 |
 Will the Republican Party win the AL-05 House seat?Politics | Yes | $8 | 92¢ | 95¢ | +$0 |
 Anthropic IPO before 2027?Tech | Yes | $7 | 73¢ | 85¢ | +$1 |
| Will the Republican Party win the TN-04 House seat?Politics | Yes | $8 | 93¢ | 93¢ | -$0 |
| Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of September 2026?Tech | Yes | $6 | 84¢ | 98¢ | +$1 |
 Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?Politics | Yes | $9 | 71¢ | 48¢ | -$3 |
 Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?Politics | Yes | $7 | 50¢ | 42¢ | -$1 |
 Will ChatGPT be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on September 18?Tech | Yes | $6 | 67¢ | 14¢ | -$5 |
 US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 21, 2026?Politics | YesResolved | $2 | 49¢ | 0.0¢ | -$2 |
 Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 13 launch by July 23?Tech | YesResolved | $8 | 75¢ | 0.0¢ | -$8 |
 Will the Reserve Bank of New Zealand make no change to the official cash rate after the July decision?Politics | YesResolved | $7 | 48¢ | 0.0¢ | -$7 |
 Situational Awareness raises new capital by August 31?Tech | YesResolved | $8 | 28¢ | 0.0¢ | -$8 |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 23, 2026?Politics | YesResolved | $7 | 41¢ | 0.0¢ | -$7 |
 Spread: Rockets (-4.5)NBA | RocketsResolved | $5 | 52¢ | 0.0¢ | -$5 |
 Will Figure's F.03 robots push at least 250,000 packages by 10:00 PM on May 21?Tech | YesResolved | $25 | 94¢ | 0.0¢ | -$25 |
 Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in April?Crypto | YesResolved | $5 | 49¢ | 0.0¢ | -$5 |
| Will Alibaba be the second-best AI lab at the end of August 2026?Tech | YesResolved | $7 | 44¢ | 0.0¢ | -$7 |
 Will Amanda De Ryk win the 2026 London Borough of Lewisham mayoral election?Politics | YesResolved | $4 | 21¢ | 0.0¢ | -$4 |
 Next White House Press Secretary announced by September 4, 2026?Politics | YesResolved | $7 | 36¢ | 0.0¢ | -$7 |
 Will OpenAI be the third-best Code Arena | WebDev AI lab at the end of August 2026?Tech | YesResolved | $7 | 59¢ | 0.0¢ | -$7 |
 Will no one dissent the July Fed decision?Economy | YesResolved | $7 | 54¢ | 0.0¢ | -$7 |
 Dota 2: Virtus.pro vs MOUZ (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Group StageeSports | Virtus.proResolved | $3 | 60¢ | 0.0¢ | -$3 |
 Will Adriano Espaillat be the Democratic Nominee for NY-13?Politics | YesResolved | $8 | 58¢ | 0.0¢ | -$8 |
| 76ers vs. Celtics: O/U 217.5NBA | OverResolved | $7 | 61¢ | 0.0¢ | -$7 |
| Spread: Rockets (-5.5)NBA | RocketsResolved | $9 | 47¢ | 0.0¢ | -$9 |
| Trail Blazers vs. Spurs: O/U 220.5NBA | OverResolved | $4 | 50¢ | 0.0¢ | -$4 |
 Madrid Open, Qualification: Rei Sakamoto vs Vilius GaubasTennis | Rei SakamotoResolved | $5 | 37¢ | 0.0¢ | -$5 |
 Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from July 21 to July 28, 2026?Politics | NoResolved | $8 | 68¢ | 0.0¢ | -$8 |
 Will J.D. Vance have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by April 30?Politics | YesResolved | $8 | 58¢ | 0.0¢ | -$8 |
| Spread: Pistons (-8.5)NBA | PistonsResolved | $10 | 36¢ | 0.0¢ | -$10 |
 US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 27?Politics | YesResolved | $12 | 11¢ | 0.0¢ | -$12 |
 Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?Politics | YesResolved | $5 | 74¢ | 0.0¢ | -$5 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 23?Crypto | NoResolved | $12 | 24¢ | 0.0¢ | -$12 |
 Philadelphia Phillies vs. Chicago CubsMLB | Philadelphia PhilliesResolved | $4 | 25¢ | 0.0¢ | -$4 |
 Wild vs. StarsNHL | WildResolved | $4 | 39¢ | 0.0¢ | -$4 |
| Spread: Spurs (-11.5)NBA | SpursResolved | $4 | 47¢ | 0.0¢ | -$4 |
 US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?Politics | YesResolved | $9 | 46¢ | 0.0¢ | -$9 |
 US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 21, 2026?Politics | YesResolved | $12 | 53¢ | 0.0¢ | -$12 |
 Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by July 30, 2026?Tech | YesResolved | $9 | 30¢ | 0.0¢ | -$9 |
 Will the Bank of Korea make no change to the base rate after the July Meeting?Politics | YesResolved | $9 | 12¢ | 0.0¢ | -$9 |
 Will PH win the 2026 Negeri Sembilan general elections?Politics | YesResolved | $8 | 35¢ | 0.0¢ | -$8 |
| Trail Blazers vs. Spurs: O/U 219.5NBA | OverResolved | $4 | 45¢ | 0.0¢ | -$4 |
 Will John Cornyn win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?Politics | YesResolved | $5 | 5.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$5 |
| Detroit Tigers vs. Boston Red SoxMLB | Detroit TigersResolved | $5 | 46¢ | 0.0¢ | -$5 |
| Senators vs. Hurricanes: O/U 5.5NHL | OverResolved | $9 | 50¢ | 0.0¢ | -$9 |
 Will Thomas Massie be the Republican nominee for KY-04?Politics | YesResolved | $12 | 43¢ | 0.0¢ | -$12 |
 Will Odyssey Therapeutics' market cap be between $0.8B and $1.1B at market close on IPO day?Finance | YesResolved | $4 | 43¢ | 0.0¢ | -$4 |
 Will SpaceX have fewer than 13 launches in August 2026?Tech | YesResolved | $5 | 32¢ | 0.0¢ | -$5 |
| Gemini 3.5 released by May 31?Tech | NoResolved | $12 | 19¢ | 0.0¢ | -$12 |
 Will Baidu be the third-best Chinese AI company at the end of August 2026?Politics | YesResolved | $7 | 58¢ | 0.0¢ | -$7 |
| Madrid Open, Qualification: Patrick Kypson vs Nikoloz BasilashviliTennis | Patrick KypsonResolved | $4 | 61¢ | 0.0¢ | -$4 |
 Will Abdul El-Sayed win Genesee County in the Michigan Senate Democratic primary?Politics | YesResolved | $8 | 63¢ | 0.0¢ | -$8 |
| Spread: Knicks (-6.5)NBA | KnicksResolved | $9 | 49¢ | 0.0¢ | -$9 |
| Spread: Knicks (-5.5)NBA | KnicksResolved | $5 | 50¢ | 0.0¢ | -$5 |
| Dota 2: MOUZ vs Tundra Esports - Game 2 WinnereSports | MOUZResolved | $4 | 32¢ | 0.0¢ | -$4 |
 Will Felix Auger Aliassime win the 2026 Men's French Open?Tennis | YesResolved | $10 | 4.1¢ | 0.0¢ | -$10 |
Sold Yes · No change in Bank of England’s interest rates after September 2026 meeting?$161d ago
Bought Yes · Will US crude oil reserves fall to 280M by September 25, 2026?$614d ago
Sold Yes · Will United Russia (ER) win the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?$915d ago
Sold Yes · Will there be at least 2600 measles cases in the U.S. by August 31, 2026?$81mo ago
Sold Yes · Will claude-opus-5-max be the best AI model on August 17, 2026?$121mo ago