derangedCapitalist

Predicting since Oct 2024139 markets tradedPolymarket profile ↗

All-time PnL

+$0

This year

+$0

Last 30 days

+$0

Portfolio value

Deep stats

Bucko Oracle

Loading…

Profit over time

What they are betting now

Market	Side	Stake	Entry	Now	PnL
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?Politics	No	$30	23¢	42¢	+$26
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in July?Finance	No	$24	24¢	53¢	+$29
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?Politics	No	$47	72¢	80¢	+$5
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by August 31?Politics	No	$55	46¢	30¢	-$19
Will Anthropic IPO by December 31, 2026?Finance	No	$35	30¢	29¢	-$1
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.5T by December 31?Tech	No	$31	78¢	81¢	+$1
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.0T by December 31?Tech	No	$32	64¢	63¢	-$1
Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by December 31?Politics	Yes	$22	11¢	14¢	+$5
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31?Politics	No	$42	83¢	46¢	-$19
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?Politics	No	$23	77¢	71¢	-$2
Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by September 30?Politics	Yes	$12	3.7¢	6.3¢	+$8
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by August 14?Politics	No	$26	65¢	38¢	-$11
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30?Politics	Yes	$22	22¢	14¢	-$8
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by December 31?Politics	Yes	$16	32¢	23¢	-$5
Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?Politics	Yes	$13	13¢	9.0¢	-$4
Will 12 or more Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?Economy	Yes	$5	0.4¢	0.5¢	+$1
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?Politics	NoResolved	$65	50¢	0.0¢	-$65
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $85 by end of June?Finance	NoResolved	$29	50¢	0.0¢	-$29
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 17?Politics	NoResolved	$21	52¢	0.0¢	-$21
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $85 in July?Finance	NoResolved	$31	31¢	0.0¢	-$31
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in April?Finance	YesResolved	$46	23¢	0.0¢	-$46
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?Politics	NoResolved	$62	61¢	0.0¢	-$62
Will Israel and Lebanon hold a diplomatic meeting by June 15, 2026?Politics	NoResolved	$5	5.8¢	0.0¢	-$5
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $75 in June?Finance	NoResolved	$9	44¢	0.0¢	-$9
Will Claude Mythos be released on or prior to June 9?Tech	NoResolved	$32	42¢	0.0¢	-$32
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?Politics	NoResolved	$44	63¢	0.0¢	-$44
Will 20-39 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between May 18-May 24?Politics	YesResolved	$16	26¢	0.0¢	-$16
Will Israel and Lebanon hold a diplomatic meeting by June 7, 2026?Politics	NoResolved	$3	10¢	0.0¢	-$3
Will fewer than 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between May 18-May 24?Politics	YesResolved	$9	15¢	0.0¢	-$9
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $80 by end of June?Finance	NoResolved	$63	53¢	0.0¢	-$63
Will Israel and Lebanon hold a diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?Politics	NoResolved	$5	10¢	0.0¢	-$5
Israel announces Lebanon ceasefire extension by June 30?Politics	NoResolved	$22	31¢	0.0¢	-$22
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in June?Finance	NoResolved	$2	11¢	0.0¢	-$2

Where the money comes from

Realized + open PnL by category

Finance-$419

Tech+$278

Politics-$34

Economy+$27

World Cup+$14

Mentions+$11

Cricket+$4

Culture-$3

Biggest hit

+$115

Israel x Hamas ceasefire by August 15?

Toughest beat

-$315

Israel x Hamas ceasefire by October 31?

Recent moves

Bought No · US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by August 31?$1216h ago
Bought No · Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?$142d ago
Bought No · Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.5T by December 31?$312d ago
Sold Yes · Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.15T by July 31?$04d ago
Bought No · Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.0T by December 31?$134d ago
Sold Yes · Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.15T by July 31?$165d ago
Sold Yes · Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.15T by July 31?$05d ago
Sold Yes · Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.15T by July 31?$55d ago
Sold Yes · Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$155d ago
Bought No · Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?$85d ago
Bought No · Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $85 in July?$325d ago
Bought No · Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in July?$255d ago