derangedCapitalist

Predicting since Oct 2024149 markets tradedPolymarket profile ↗

All-time PnL

+$0

This year

+$0

Last 30 days

+$0

Portfolio value

Deep stats

Bucko Oracle

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Profit over time

What they are betting now

Market	Side	Stake	Entry	Now	PnL
Will Anthropic IPO by December 31, 2026?Finance	No	$44	20¢	18¢	-$6
Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by December 31?Politics	Yes	$22	11¢	16¢	+$9
Will Anthropic's market cap be between $2.5T and $2.75T at market close on IPO day?Tech	Yes	$11	12¢	14¢	+$3
Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by September 30?Politics	Yes	$12	3.7¢	1.7¢	-$7
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in September?Finance	Yes	$19	64¢	15¢	-$15
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?Politics	NoResolved	$65	50¢	0.0¢	-$65
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $85 by end of June?Finance	NoResolved	$29	50¢	0.0¢	-$29
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 17?Politics	NoResolved	$21	52¢	0.0¢	-$21
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $85 in July?Finance	NoResolved	$31	31¢	0.0¢	-$31
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in September?Finance	NoResolved	$19	62¢	0.0¢	-$19
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in April?Finance	YesResolved	$51	26¢	0.0¢	-$51
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by August 31?Politics	NoResolved	$55	46¢	0.0¢	-$55
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 15?Politics	NoResolved	$24	35¢	0.0¢	-$24
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?Politics	NoResolved	$62	61¢	0.0¢	-$62
Will Israel and Lebanon hold a diplomatic meeting by June 15, 2026?Politics	NoResolved	$5	5.8¢	0.0¢	-$5
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $75 in June?Finance	NoResolved	$9	44¢	0.0¢	-$9
Will Claude Mythos be released on or prior to June 9?Tech	NoResolved	$32	42¢	0.0¢	-$32
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?Politics	NoResolved	$44	63¢	0.0¢	-$44
Will 20-39 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between May 18-May 24?Politics	YesResolved	$16	26¢	0.0¢	-$16
Will Israel and Lebanon hold a diplomatic meeting by June 7, 2026?Politics	NoResolved	$3	10¢	0.0¢	-$3
Will fewer than 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between May 18-May 24?Politics	YesResolved	$9	15¢	0.0¢	-$9
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by August 14?Politics	NoResolved	$26	65¢	0.0¢	-$26
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $80 by end of June?Finance	NoResolved	$63	53¢	0.0¢	-$63
Will Israel and Lebanon hold a diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?Politics	NoResolved	$5	10¢	0.0¢	-$5
Israel announces Lebanon ceasefire extension by June 30?Politics	NoResolved	$22	31¢	0.0¢	-$22
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $90 in September?Finance	NoResolved	$21	35¢	0.0¢	-$21
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in June?Finance	NoResolved	$2	11¢	0.0¢	-$2

Where the money comes from

Realized + open PnL by category

Finance-$525

Tech+$239

Economy+$21

World Cup+$14

Mentions+$11

Politics-$8

Cricket+$4

Culture-$3

Biggest hit

+$115

Israel x Hamas ceasefire by August 15?

Toughest beat

-$315

Israel x Hamas ceasefire by October 31?

Recent moves

Sold Yes · Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?$722h ago
Sold No · Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.5T by December 31?$255d ago
Sold No · Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.0T by December 31?$85d ago
Sold Yes · Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by December 31?$15d ago
Sold Yes · Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by December 31?$205d ago
Sold Yes · Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30?$95d ago
Sold No · Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?$265d ago
Sold No · Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?$35d ago
Sold No · Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through December 31?$215d ago
Sold Yes · Will Anthropic's market cap be between $2.5T and $2.75T at market close on IPO day?$15d ago
Sold Yes · Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?$1211d ago
Bought Yes · Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in September?$1913d ago