Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by August 31?Politics | No | $546 | 91¢ | 95¢ | +$24 |
Iran full airspace closure by July 31?Politics | No | $370 | 73¢ | 95¢ | +$106 |
Iran full airspace closure by August 15?Politics | No | $345 | 63¢ | 78¢ | +$82 |
Israel closes its airspace by August 15?Politics | No | $295 | 70¢ | 81¢ | +$43 |
Iran full airspace closure by August 31?Politics | No | $310 | 70¢ | 76¢ | +$26 |
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by August 31?Politics | No | $200 | 49¢ | 49¢ | -$2 |
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by September 30?Politics | No | $162 | 27¢ | 23¢ | -$27 |
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?Politics | Yes | $124 | 82¢ | 82¢ | +$0 |
Israel closes its airspace by August 31?Politics | No | $100 | 65¢ | 75¢ | +$15 |
Next Mythos-Class Model released by July 31, 2026?Tech | No | $80 | 80¢ | 99¢ | +$19 |
Israel withdraws from Lebanon by July 31, 2026?Politics | Yes | $10 | 3.6¢ | 0.6¢ | -$8 |
| Will GPT-5.6 be released on July 26, 2026?Tech | YesResolved | $0 | 0.1¢ | 0.0¢ | -$0 |
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:50AM-9:55AM ETCrypto | UpResolved | $15 | 69¢ | 0.0¢ | -$15 |
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:15AM-9:20AM ETCrypto | UpResolved | $25 | 80¢ | 0.0¢ | -$25 |
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:00AM-6:05AM ETCrypto | UpResolved | $25 | 12¢ | 0.0¢ | -$25 |
Will Austria win on 2026-06-17?World Cup | NoResolved | $20 | 29¢ | 0.0¢ | -$20 |
Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 37°C on July 13?Weather | YesResolved | $32 | 16¢ | 0.0¢ | -$32 |
Shanghai Sharks vs. Zhejiang LionsBasketball (other) | Zhejiang LionsResolved | $18 | 28¢ | 0.0¢ | -$18 |
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 3, 6:25AM-6:30AM ETCrypto | DownResolved | $5 | 26¢ | 0.0¢ | -$5 |
Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 24°C on May 15?Weather | NoResolved | $7 | 42¢ | 0.0¢ | -$7 |
Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 39°C on July 20?Weather | YesResolved | $7 | 19¢ | 0.0¢ | -$7 |
Will Microstrategy announce a Bitcoin purchase June 2-8?Crypto | NoResolved | $23 | 4.6¢ | 0.0¢ | -$23 |
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?Politics | NoResolved | $102 | 17¢ | 0.0¢ | -$102 |
Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 36°C on July 1?Weather | YesResolved | $0 | 0.2¢ | 0.0¢ | -$0 |
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?World Cup | YesResolved | $137 | 16¢ | 0.0¢ | -$137 |
Will Donald Trump publicly insult Benjamin Netanyahu by June 30, 2026?Politics | NoResolved | $202 | 77¢ | 0.0¢ | -$202 |
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 31°C on July 9?Weather | YesResolved | $22 | 7.2¢ | 0.0¢ | -$22 |
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 31°C on July 16?Weather | YesResolved | $6 | 10¢ | 0.0¢ | -$6 |
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 25°C on July 9?Weather | YesResolved | $185 | 83¢ | 0.0¢ | -$185 |
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 34°C on July 18?Weather | NoResolved | $64 | 64¢ | 0.0¢ | -$64 |
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 27°C on May 25?Weather | NoResolved | $2 | 1.1¢ | 0.0¢ | -$2 |
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:10AM-9:15AM ETCrypto | DownResolved | $10 | 74¢ | 0.0¢ | -$10 |
Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 38°C on July 6?Weather | YesResolved | $33 | 8.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$33 |
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 20, 2:35PM-2:40PM ETCrypto | UpResolved | $9 | 18¢ | 0.0¢ | -$9 |
| Will GPT-5.6 be released on July 21, 2026?Tech | YesResolved | $0 | 0.1¢ | 0.0¢ | -$0 |
Will France vs. Senegal end in a draw?World Cup | YesResolved | $10 | 28¢ | 0.0¢ | -$10 |
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 3, 2026?Politics | YesResolved | $40 | 23¢ | 0.0¢ | -$40 |
| Will GPT-5.6 be released on July 18, 2026?Tech | YesResolved | $0 | 0.1¢ | 0.0¢ | -$0 |
Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 24°C on June 9?Weather | YesResolved | $23 | 28¢ | 0.0¢ | -$23 |
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 13°C on July 5?Weather | YesResolved | $8 | 16¢ | 0.0¢ | -$8 |
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 38°C on July 23?Weather | NoResolved | $46 | 38¢ | 0.0¢ | -$46 |
Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 20°C on April 13?Weather | YesResolved | $7 | 13¢ | 0.0¢ | -$7 |
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 19°C on April 22?Weather | YesResolved | $3 | 1.7¢ | 0.0¢ | -$3 |
Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 27°C on July 16?Weather | NoResolved | $9 | 52¢ | 0.0¢ | -$9 |
Will Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?World Cup | YesResolved | $171 | 1.8¢ | 0.0¢ | -$171 |
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 38°C on July 14?Weather | NoResolved | $18 | 61¢ | 0.0¢ | -$18 |
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:10PM-12:15PM ETCrypto | DownResolved | $5 | 6.5¢ | 0.0¢ | -$5 |
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 26°C on May 20?Weather | YesResolved | $33 | 7.6¢ | 0.0¢ | -$33 |
Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 25°C on May 29?Weather | YesResolved | $2 | 5.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$2 |
Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 28°C on May 27?Weather | YesResolved | $56 | 13¢ | 0.0¢ | -$56 |
| Will GPT-5.6 be released on July 22, 2026?Tech | YesResolved | $0 | 0.1¢ | 0.0¢ | -$0 |
Will Argentina win on 2026-06-16?World Cup | NoResolved | $15 | 32¢ | 0.0¢ | -$15 |
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?Crypto | YesResolved | $1 | 0.5¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 22°C on May 25?Weather | NoResolved | $1 | 3.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 33°C on July 17?Weather | YesResolved | $1 | 1.9¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 27°C on July 17?Weather | YesResolved | $7 | 17¢ | 0.0¢ | -$7 |
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 33°C on July 16?Weather | NoResolved | $119 | 66¢ | 0.0¢ | -$119 |
Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 23°C on June 11?Weather | YesResolved | $2 | 0.8¢ | 0.0¢ | -$2 |
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 32°C on May 27?Weather | YesResolved | $1 | 3.8¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
Beijing Ducks vs. Guangdong Southern TigersBasketball (other) | Guangdong Southern TigersResolved | $94 | 21¢ | 0.0¢ | -$94 |
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 37°C on July 12?Weather | YesResolved | $19 | 19¢ | 0.0¢ | -$19 |
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:00AM-8:05AM ETCrypto | DownResolved | $50 | 8.7¢ | 0.0¢ | -$50 |
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 84-85°F on July 13?Weather | YesResolved | $1 | 21¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 26°C on July 22?Weather | NoResolved | $56 | 56¢ | 0.0¢ | -$56 |
Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?Mentions | YesResolved | $114 | 1.2¢ | 0.0¢ | -$114 |
Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 29°C on April 18?Weather | YesResolved | $34 | 34¢ | 0.0¢ | -$34 |
Will Miguel Díaz-Canel be the next leader out before 2027?Politics | YesResolved | $1 | 27¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 32°C on June 5?Weather | YesResolved | $37 | 13¢ | 0.0¢ | -$37 |
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:25AM-10:30AM ETCrypto | UpResolved | $5 | 58¢ | 0.0¢ | -$5 |
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:10AM-6:15AM ETCrypto | UpResolved | $25 | 61¢ | 0.0¢ | -$25 |
Will Donald Trump publicly insult Joe Biden by July 31, 2026?Politics | NoResolved | $3 | 0.4¢ | 0.0¢ | -$3 |
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 92-93°F on July 17?Weather | NoResolved | $73 | 73¢ | 0.0¢ | -$73 |
Will the lowest temperature in London be 18°C on July 24?Weather | NoResolved | $12 | 75¢ | 0.0¢ | -$12 |
Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 27°C on May 27?Weather | YesResolved | $12 | 3.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$12 |
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:20AM-10:25AM ETCrypto | UpResolved | $10 | 38¢ | 0.0¢ | -$10 |
Will England win on 2026-07-01?World Cup | NoResolved | $30 | 71¢ | 0.0¢ | -$30 |
Beijing Ducks vs. Shanghai SharksBasketball (other) | Beijing DucksResolved | $10 | 12¢ | 0.0¢ | -$10 |
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 37°C on July 15?Weather | YesResolved | $0 | 23¢ | 0.0¢ | -$0 |
| Will GPT-5.6 be released on July 17, 2026?Tech | YesResolved | $1 | 0.1¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
Shenzhen Leopards vs. Zhejiang LionsBasketball (other) | Shenzhen LeopardsResolved | $30 | 36¢ | 0.0¢ | -$30 |
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 34°C or higher on July 14?Weather | NoResolved | $178 | 89¢ | 0.0¢ | -$178 |
| Will GPT-5.6 be released on July 29, 2026?Tech | YesResolved | $0 | 0.1¢ | 0.0¢ | -$0 |
Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 44°C or higher on July 21?Weather | NoResolved | $18 | 59¢ | 0.0¢ | -$18 |
GPT-5.6 released by July 9, 2026?Tech | NoResolved | $32 | 30¢ | 0.0¢ | -$32 |
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 12:45PM-12:50PM ETCrypto | UpResolved | $45 | 86¢ | 0.0¢ | -$45 |
Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 27°C on July 19?Weather | NoResolved | $54 | 67¢ | 0.0¢ | -$54 |
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 31°C on July 20?Weather | NoResolved | $58 | 72¢ | 0.0¢ | -$58 |
Will Japan win on 2026-06-14?World Cup | YesResolved | $27 | 27¢ | 0.0¢ | -$27 |
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 32°C on July 19?Weather | NoResolved | $67 | 67¢ | 0.0¢ | -$67 |
Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by July 31, 2026?Politics | NoResolved | $75 | 19¢ | 0.0¢ | -$75 |
Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 22°C on May 28?Weather | YesResolved | $4 | 0.4¢ | 0.0¢ | -$4 |
Will Japan reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?World Cup | YesResolved | $22 | 5.5¢ | 0.0¢ | -$22 |
Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 32°C on July 19?Weather | NoResolved | $55 | 55¢ | 0.0¢ | -$55 |
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 36°C on July 15?Weather | NoResolved | $13 | 42¢ | 0.0¢ | -$13 |
Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 29°C on May 29?Weather | YesResolved | $3 | 5.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$3 |
Iran closes its airspace by June 15?Politics | NoResolved | $183 | 86¢ | 0.0¢ | -$183 |
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 36°C on July 19?Weather | NoResolved | $46 | 46¢ | 0.0¢ | -$46 |
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 32°C on July 14?Weather | NoResolved | $85 | 85¢ | 0.0¢ | -$85 |
Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 23°C on July 2?Weather | YesResolved | $9 | 65¢ | 0.0¢ | -$9 |
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:35AM-7:40AM ETCrypto | UpResolved | $35 | 65¢ | 0.0¢ | -$35 |