← Whale Watch

ttwong1

Predicting since Dec 2025261 markets tradedPolymarket profile ↗

Down $228K on Politics markets since Dec 2025.

Right now: $2.3K across 11 Politics markets.

Biggest hit: +$13K on Will LeBron James play for the San Antonio Spurs in 2026-27?.

All-time PnL
+$0
This year
+$0
Last 30 days
+$0
Portfolio value
$0

Deep stats

Bucko Oracle
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Profit over time

What they are betting now

MarketSideStakeEntryNowPnL
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?PoliticsYes$94821¢20¢-$70
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?PoliticsYes$84813¢13¢+$0
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?PoliticsNo$48685¢81¢-$25
Will Rahm Emanuel win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?PoliticsNo$46198¢98¢-$1
Will China blockade Taiwan in 2026?PoliticsNo$46194¢93¢-$6
Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?PoliticsNo$38393¢92¢-$3
Will Base launch a token by December 31, 2027?CryptoYes$34565¢66¢+$5
Will Trump pardon SBF by July 31?PoliticsNo$34799¢100¢+$1
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?PoliticsYes$3454.0¢3.6¢-$28
Iran leadership change by December 31?PoliticsYes$35124¢21¢-$51
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting?PoliticsNo$25599¢99¢-$0
Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027?PoliticsYes$2059.7¢12¢+$37
Will Volodymyr Zelenskyy win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?PoliticsYes$2247.4¢7.2¢-$5
Will Trump pardon Sam Bankman-Fried before 2027?PoliticsYes$2866.6¢5.0¢-$69
Will a Chinese company have the best AI model by December 31?PoliticsNo$21992¢90¢-$5
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?PoliticsYes$2163.0¢2.8¢-$18
Will Mark Kelly win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?PoliticsNo$19698¢98¢-$0
Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?PoliticsNo$19095¢95¢-$1
Will MicroStrategy announce holding 1M+ BTC by December 31, 2026?-bV81CryptoYes$19313¢12¢-$19
Will Elon Musk tweet "Hyperliquid" by December 31, 2026?CryptoYes$17016¢14¢-$22
Will Bitcoin reach $500,000 by December 31, 2026?CryptoYes$1781.7¢1.4¢-$36
Will Gold have the best performance in 2026?CryptoYes$14523¢21¢-$10
Will Relay launch a token by June 30, 2027?CryptoNo$10771¢71¢-$1
Fed rate cut by December 2026 meeting?EconomyYes$11316¢14¢-$17
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?PoliticsYes$9825¢24¢-$4
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $6,000 by end of December?FinanceYes$10011¢9.5¢-$12
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by July 31? PoliticsYes$1120.8¢0.6¢-$33
Will Bitcoin reach $200,000 by December 31, 2026?CryptoYes$812.3¢2.3¢-$3
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?PoliticsYes$1178.4¢5.5¢-$40
Will Tucker Carlson win the 2028 US Presidential Election?PoliticsYes$841.6¢1.5¢-$7
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?WeatherYes$713.1¢3.4¢+$4
Vance announces he won't run for President in 2028 this year?PoliticsYes$11618¢12¢-$41
Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?PoliticsYes$745.1¢5.1¢-$0
AI data center in space by December 31, 2027?WeatherYes$7225¢25¢-$1
Trump out as President before 2027?PoliticsYes$647.1¢7.5¢+$3
Will two SpaceX Starships dock together by December 31, 2026?TechYes$11513¢7.5¢-$51
Will MicroStrategy announce bankruptcy before 2027?CryptoYes$895.5¢3.9¢-$26
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?PoliticsYes$699.8¢8.5¢-$9
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?PoliticsYes$1.8K20¢0.7¢-$1.7K
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?PoliticsYes$584.4¢4.3¢-$0
Russia x Ukraine Peace ParlayOther sportsYes$5813¢13¢-$4
Will OpenAI IPO by September 30 2026?TechYes$895.5¢3.4¢-$35
NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?PoliticsYes$3618¢28¢+$18
Will Bitcoin have the best performance in 2026?CryptoYes$4414¢16¢+$7
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?PoliticsYes$579.4¢8.5¢-$6
Trump meets with Mojtaba Khamenei by December 31?PoliticsYes$595.3¢4.5¢-$9
Will Bitcoin reach $250,000 by December 31, 2026?CryptoYes$832.8¢1.6¢-$35
Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 US Presidential Election?PoliticsYes$452.2¢2.4¢+$2
Will SpaceX be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?EconomyYes$441.6¢1.5¢-$2
NYSE marketwide circuit breaker before 2027?EconomyYes$3814¢16¢+$3
Will 3 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?EconomyYes$521.3¢1.0¢-$11
Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by December 31, 2026?PoliticsYes$399.1¢9.5¢+$2
Fed rate cut by September 2026 meeting?EconomyYes$453.3¢2.5¢-$10
Will Russia capture all of Donetsk Oblast by December 31, 2026?PoliticsYes$404.3¢3.8¢-$5
Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $3.0T by December 31?TechYes$396.3¢5.5¢-$5
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31?PoliticsYes$396.5¢5.5¢-$6
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?PoliticsYes$323.5¢3.5¢-$0
Will Andy Beshear win the 2028 US Presidential Election?PoliticsYes$321.2¢1.1¢-$1
Will Ron DeSantis win the 2028 US Presidential Election?PoliticsYes$281.4¢1.6¢+$3
Will Yulia Navalnaya win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?PoliticsYes$176.2¢11¢+$12
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31?PoliticsYes$2412¢13¢+$1
Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2027?PoliticsYes$269.8¢9.5¢-$1
Will Relay launch a token by December 31, 2026?CryptoYes$2814¢13¢-$3
JD Vance out as VP by December 31?PoliticsYes$287.0¢6.0¢-$4
Tim Walz in jail by December 31?PoliticsYes$246.0¢6.0¢+$0
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?PoliticsYes$820.5¢0.1¢-$58
Will China invade Taiwan by September 30, 2026?PoliticsYes$251.6¢1.5¢-$2
Will Trump be impeached by end of 2026?PoliticsYes$293.3¢2.6¢-$6
Will Base launch a token by September 30, 2026?CryptoYes$222.6¢2.6¢+$1
Will two SpaceX Starships dock together by December 31, 2027?TechNo$3447¢32¢-$11
SBF released from custody in 2026?PoliticsYes$224.9¢5.1¢+$1
Will Jamie Dimon win the 2028 US Presidential Election?PoliticsYes$260.8¢0.7¢-$4
Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 US Presidential Election?PoliticsYes$204.9¢4.9¢-$0
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?PoliticsYes$290.6¢0.4¢-$8
China x Japan military clash before 2027?PoliticsYes$207.6¢7.5¢-$0
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?PoliticsYes$189.0¢9.5¢+$1
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?PoliticsYes$1820¢20¢+$0
Fed rate cut by July 2026 meeting?EconomyYes$240.5¢0.4¢-$5
Will Thomas Massie win the 2028 US Presidential Election?PoliticsYes$191.1¢1.1¢-$1
Will James Talarico win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?PoliticsYes$241.4¢1.1¢-$6
Will China unban Bitcoin by 2027?PoliticsYes$172.6¢2.6¢+$0
Will Ethereum reach $8,000 by December 31, 2026?CryptoYes$212.5¢2.1¢-$4
Will the U.S. invade Venezuela by December 31, 2026?PoliticsYes$195.0¢4.5¢-$2
Will JB Pritzker win the 2028 US Presidential Election?PoliticsYes$220.7¢0.5¢-$6
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $8,000 by end of December?FinanceYes$153.8¢3.8¢-$0
New "Stranger Things" episode released by July 31? CultureYes$280.5¢0.3¢-$14
Trump meets with Mojtaba Khamenei by July 31?PoliticsYes$410.8¢0.3¢-$27
Will J.B. Pritzker win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?PoliticsYes$181.3¢0.9¢-$4
Will 3jane launch a token by December 31, 2026?CryptoYes$1156¢60¢+$1
Will Pete Hegseth sign a U.S. x Iran deal by July 31?PoliticsYes$311.6¢0.7¢-$19
Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026?PoliticsYes$114.6¢4.8¢+$0
Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 US Presidential Election?PoliticsYes$112.6¢2.6¢+$0
Will Mohammed bin Salman cease to be the de facto leader of Saudi Arabia by December 31, 2026?PoliticsNo$1195¢95¢-$0
Will Marco Rubio sign a U.S. x Iran deal by July 31?PoliticsYes$575.2¢0.9¢-$47
AI data center in space by December 31, 2026?WeatherYes$105.0¢4.5¢-$1
Will Andy Beshear win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?PoliticsYes$92.3¢2.4¢+$0
Will Ro Khanna win the 2028 US Presidential Election?PoliticsYes$81.1¢1.1¢+$1
Will Donald Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election?PoliticsYes$71.6¢1.8¢+$1
Will Elon Musk tweet "Hyperliquid" by November 30, 2026?CryptoYes$811¢11¢-$0
Nicolás Maduro released from custody by December 31, 2026?PoliticsYes$87.0¢6.5¢-$1

Where the money comes from

Realized + open PnL by category

Politics-$228K
Economy-$26K
NBA+$13K
Crypto-$12K
Weather-$7.5K
Culture-$5.4K
Finance-$5.0K
Tech-$4.3K
Other sports-$579
NFL-$416
Olympics+$358
Champions League-$155
Biggest hit
+$13K
Will LeBron James play for the San Antonio Spurs in 2026-27?
Toughest beat
-$19K
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?

Recent moves

  • Bought Yes · Will Thomas Massie win the 2028 US Presidential Election?$09m ago
  • Bought Yes · Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?$410m ago
  • Bought Yes · Will Thomas Massie win the 2028 US Presidential Election?$016m ago
  • MERGE Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026?$517m ago
  • Bought No · Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026?$517m ago
  • MERGE Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026?$527m ago
  • Bought No · Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026?$529m ago
  • Bought Yes · Will Ro Khanna win the 2028 US Presidential Election?$034m ago
  • Bought Yes · Will Thomas Massie win the 2028 US Presidential Election?$035m ago
  • MERGE Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026?$538m ago
  • Bought No · Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026?$538m ago
  • Bought Yes · Iran leadership change by December 31?$4241m ago