walt.

Predicting since Jul 202535 markets tradedPolymarket profile ↗

All-time PnL

+$0

This year

+$0

Last 30 days

+$0

Portfolio value

Deep stats

Bucko Oracle

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Market	Side	Stake	Entry	Now	PnL
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?Politics	Yes	$15	75¢	72¢	-$1
Will xAI have the top AI model on December 31?Tech	YesResolved	$3	16¢	0.0¢	-$3
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2025 meeting?Politics	NoResolved	$3	36¢	0.0¢	-$3
AI wins IMO gold medal in 2025?Tech	YesResolved	$2	10.0¢	0.0¢	-$2
No change in Fed interest rates after September 2025 meeting?Politics	YesResolved	$5	61¢	0.0¢	-$5
Will Microsoft be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?Economy	YesResolved	$2	31¢	0.0¢	-$2
Will Tesla (TSLA) beat quarterly earnings?Economy	YesResolved	$5	65¢	0.0¢	-$5
US forces enter Iran by March 31?Politics	YesResolved	$2	29¢	0.0¢	-$2
Will Alphabet be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?Economy	YesResolved	$1	6.6¢	0.0¢	-$1
Will Anthropic have the best AI model for coding on March 31?Tech	YesResolved	$13	22¢	0.0¢	-$13
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the March 2026 meeting?Politics	YesResolved	$1	6.0¢	0.0¢	-$1
Will tariffs generate >$250b in 2025?Politics	YesResolved	$2	18¢	0.0¢	-$2
Will Tesla launch a driverless Robotaxi service by August 31?Tech	YesResolved	$1	7.0¢	0.0¢	-$1
Will the Starship for SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 achieve a successful splashdown?Tech	YesResolved	$1	9.7¢	0.0¢	-$1
No change in Fed interest rates after October 2025 meeting?Politics	YesResolved	$2	18¢	0.0¢	-$2
OpenAI browser by October 31?Tech	NoResolved	$7	58¢	0.0¢	-$7

Realized + open PnL by category

Politics-$10

Tech+$6

Formula 1+$5

Economy-$3

Biggest hit

+$11

Will SpaceX's market cap be greater than $2.0T at market close on IPO day?

Toughest beat

-$3

Grok 5 released by December 31?

Cashed out No · Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?$1026d ago
Cashed out No · Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?$826d ago
Bought Yes · Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?$151mo ago
Cashed out Yes · Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Switzerland?$101mo ago
Bought Yes · Will George Russell be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?$21mo ago
Bought No · Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?$61mo ago
Bought Yes · Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Switzerland?$61mo ago
Bought Yes · Will Abbas Araghchi sign a U.S. x Iran deal by July 31?$101mo ago
Cashed out Yes · Will SpaceX's market cap be greater than $2.0T at market close on IPO day?$211mo ago
Bought Yes · Will the Starship for SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 achieve a successful splashdown?$13mo ago
Bought Yes · Will SpaceX's market cap be greater than $2.0T at market close on IPO day?$103mo ago
Cashed out No · US x Iran ceasefire by March 31?$83mo ago