← Whale Watch

hotpato

Predicting since Oct 20256,973 markets tradedPolymarket profile ↗
All-time PnL
+$0
This year
+$0
Last 30 days
+$0
Portfolio value
$0

Deep stats

Bucko Oracle
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Profit over time

What they are betting now

MarketSideStakeEntryNowPnL
Will another outcome occur in the 2026 KY-04 Republican Primary Election?PoliticsYesResolved$913¢0.0¢-$9
Will Elon Musk post 460-479 tweets from April 14 to April 21, 2026?PoliticsYesResolved-$1-0.1¢0.0¢+$1
Will Malena Adrada be the next mayor of Toulouse following the 2026 Toulouse municipal election?PoliticsYesResolved$00.0¢0.0¢-$0
Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 44°C or higher on April 12?WeatherYesResolved$00.9¢0.0¢-$0
Will Filip Forsberg win the 2025–2026 NHL Art Ross Trophy?NHLYesResolved-$0-0.0¢0.0¢+$0
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 86-87°F on May 21?WeatherYesResolved$19.1¢0.0¢-$1
Will Jesper Bratt win the 2025–2026 NHL Hart Memorial Trophy?NHLYesResolved$00.0¢0.0¢-$0
Will "Ms. Rachel: Season 1" be the top US Netflix show this week?CultureYesResolved-$0-0.0¢0.0¢+$0
Will Elon Musk post 80-99 tweets from April 10 to April 17, 2026?PoliticsYesResolved-$0-0.1¢0.0¢+$0
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be 75°F or below on May 21?WeatherYesResolved$19.1¢0.0¢-$1
Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 33°C on April 30?WeatherYesResolved$19.1¢0.0¢-$1
Will Nicolas Echavarria win the 2026 THE PLAYERS Championship?GolfYesResolved-$0-0.1¢0.0¢+$0
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 12°C on April 18?WeatherYesResolved-$0-0.7¢0.0¢+$0
Will the 2026 Men's NCAA basketball National Champion come from the CAA (Coastal Athletic Association)?Basketball (other)YesResolved-$00.0¢0.0¢+$0
Will Mauricio Cardenas win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?PoliticsYesResolved$133.6¢0.0¢-$13
Will Colombia win Pool A at the 2026 World Baseball Classic?Baseball (other)YesResolved-$0-0.2¢0.0¢+$0
Will the price of XRP be between $1.20 and $1.30 on April 19?CryptoYesResolved-$0-0.0¢0.0¢+$0
Will Elon Musk post 580+ tweets from March 17 to March 24, 2026?PoliticsYesResolved-$0-0.0¢0.0¢+$0
Will Elon Musk post 60-79 tweets from May 29 to June 5, 2026?PoliticsYesResolved$53.8¢0.0¢-$5
Will Michigan State win the 2026 Women's NCAA Tournament?Other sportsYesResolved-$0-0.0¢0.0¢+$0
Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be 47°F or below on April 28?WeatherYesResolved-$0-2.1¢0.0¢+$0
Will TISZA win 42-46% of the national list votes in the 2026 Hungarian Parliamentary election?PoliticsYesResolved$00.0¢0.0¢+$0
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 6°C on March 13?WeatherYesResolved-$0-0.7¢0.0¢+$0
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 15°C on April 11?WeatherYesResolved-$0-3.7¢0.0¢+$0
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 22°C on May 1?WeatherYesResolved$19.1¢0.0¢-$1
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 13°C or below on March 20?WeatherYesResolved-$0-0.5¢0.0¢+$0
Will Lambert Meilhac be the next mayor of Toulouse following the 2026 Toulouse municipal election?PoliticsYesResolved$00.0¢0.0¢-$0
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 60-61°F on April 15?WeatherYesResolved-$0-0.6¢0.0¢+$0
Will Andrew Tate post 250-279 posts from March 10 to March 17, 2026?PoliticsYesResolved-$0-0.0¢0.0¢+$0
Will Carlos Espá win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?PoliticsYesResolved-$00.0¢0.0¢+$0
Will the 2026 Men's NCAA basketball National Champion come from the Missouri Valley conference?Basketball (other)YesResolved-$00.0¢0.0¢+$0
Will Jonathan Marchessault win the 2025–2026 NHL Art Ross Trophy?NHLYesResolved-$0-0.0¢0.0¢+$0
Will Elon Musk post 190-214 tweets from March 23 to March 25, 2026?PoliticsYesResolved$00.1¢0.0¢-$0
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 6°C on March 27?WeatherYesResolved-$0-0.2¢0.0¢+$0
Will Diego Luna win Best Supporting Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?CultureYesResolved-$0-0.0¢0.0¢+$0
Will Elon Musk post 0-19 tweets from March 17 to March 24, 2026?PoliticsYesResolved-$0-0.0¢0.0¢+$0
Will the Bharatiya Janata Party (BJP) win the most seats in the 2026 Tamil Nadu Legislative Assembly election?PoliticsYesResolved-$00.0¢0.0¢+$0
Will Brooks Koepka win the 2026 THE PLAYERS Championship?GolfYesResolved-$0-0.1¢0.0¢+$0
Will Brian Harman win the 2026 Valero Texas Open?GolfYesResolved-$00.0¢0.0¢+$0
Will the price of Ethereum be greater than $2,600 on March 11?CryptoYesResolved-$0-0.1¢0.0¢+$0
Will Christo Lamprecht win the 2026 Valero Texas Open?GolfYesResolved-$00.0¢0.0¢+$0
Will White House post 140-159 posts from March 31 to April 7, 2026?PoliticsYesResolved-$0-0.3¢0.0¢+$0
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 24°C on April 6?WeatherYesResolved-$0-0.9¢0.0¢+$0
Will Germany win on 2026-06-25?World CupYesResolved$4544¢0.0¢-$45
Will Andrew Tate post 310-339 posts from March 6 to March 13, 2026?PoliticsYesResolved-$0-0.1¢0.0¢+$0
Will Syracuse win the 2026 Women's NCAA Tournament?Other sportsYesResolved-$0-0.0¢0.0¢+$0
Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from May 8 to May 15, 2026?PoliticsYesResolved$83.8¢0.0¢-$8
Will Tesla deliver between 475000 and 500000 vehicles in Q1 2026TechYesResolved-$0-0.1¢0.0¢+$0
Will the price of XRP be between $1.50 and $1.60 on March 10?CryptoYesResolved$01.4¢0.0¢-$0
Will F1 win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?CultureYesResolved-$00.0¢0.0¢+$0
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 24°C on May 20?WeatherYesResolved$19.1¢0.0¢-$1
Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 15°C on April 20?WeatherYesResolved-$0-0.2¢0.0¢+$0
Will the total number of TSA passengers for March 17 be greater than 3,400,000?PoliticsYesResolved$01.3¢0.0¢-$0
Will Brandt Snedeker win the 2026 Valero Texas Open?GolfYesResolved-$00.0¢0.0¢+$0
Will Luis Gilberto Murillo win the 1st round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election?PoliticsYesResolved$334.3¢0.0¢-$33
Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from May 29 to June 5, 2026?PoliticsYesResolved$53.8¢0.0¢-$5
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 13°C or below on April 18?WeatherYesResolved-$0-0.5¢0.0¢+$0
Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 78-79°F on April 28?WeatherYesResolved-$0-0.2¢0.0¢+$0
Will Kenrich Williams win the 2026 Western Conference Finals MVP?NBAYesResolved$01.3¢0.0¢-$0
Will Elon Musk post 40-59 tweets in April 2026?PoliticsYesResolved$11.5¢0.0¢-$1
Will Elon Musk post 190-214 tweets from April 20 to April 22, 2026?PoliticsYesResolved-$1-0.2¢0.0¢+$1
Will Ava Cavataio / George Wall win the Veolia Texas Open (Mixed Doubles) tournament?Other sportsYesResolved-$0-0.0¢0.0¢+$0
Will Cal Baptist win the 2026 Women's NCAA Tournament?Other sportsYesResolved-$0-0.0¢0.0¢+$0
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 16°C on April 9?WeatherYesResolved-$0-0.3¢0.0¢+$0
Will Illinois win the 2026 Women's NCAA Tournament?Other sportsYesResolved-$0-0.0¢0.0¢+$0
Will ISM Manufacturing PMI be between 47.0 and 47.9 in May?EconomyYesResolved$110¢0.0¢-$1
Will Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from April 25 to April 27, 2026?PoliticsYesResolved-$2-0.3¢0.0¢+$2
Will Mason Plumlee win the 2026 Western Conference Finals MVP?NBAYesResolved$01.3¢0.0¢-$0
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 14°C on April 28?WeatherYesResolved-$0-0.6¢0.0¢+$0
Will CZ post 20-39 posts from April 3 to April 10, 2026?PoliticsYesResolved$00.1¢0.0¢-$0
Will BetBoom Team win PGL Wallachia Season 7? eSportsYesResolved$00.4¢0.0¢-$0
Will Ludvig Aberg win the 2026 RBC Heritage?GolfYesResolved-$0-0.0¢0.0¢+$0
Will the price of XRP be greater than $1.90 on April 23?CryptoYesResolved-$0-0.7¢0.0¢+$0
Will Owen Tippett win the 2025–2026 NHL Hart Memorial Trophy?NHLYesResolved$00.0¢0.0¢-$0
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 14°C on April 20?WeatherYesResolved$03.0¢0.0¢-$0
Will Jared McCain win the 2026 Western Conference Finals MVP?NBAYesResolved$01.3¢0.0¢-$0
Will Mackenzie Blackwood win the 2025–2026 NHL Hart Memorial Trophy?NHLYesResolved$00.0¢0.0¢-$0
Will Elon Musk post 500+ tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026?PoliticsYesResolved$103.8¢0.0¢-$10
Will the price of Bitcoin be less than $64,000 on April 17?CryptoYesResolved-$2-0.6¢0.0¢+$2
Will Leon Draisaitl win the 2025–2026 NHL Art Ross Trophy?NHLYesResolved-$0-0.0¢0.0¢+$0
Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from May 29 to June 5, 2026?PoliticsYesResolved$53.8¢0.0¢-$5
Will Juan Daniel Oviedo win the 1st round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election?PoliticsYesResolved$334.3¢0.0¢-$33
Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 70-71°F on May 20?WeatherYesResolved$49.1¢0.0¢-$4
Will Sahith Theegala win the 2026 RBC Heritage?GolfYesResolved-$0-0.0¢0.0¢+$0
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 6°C or below on April 22?WeatherYesResolved-$0-0.8¢0.0¢+$0
Will AEK Larnaca win the 2025-26 UEFA Europa Conference League?Soccer (other)YesResolved-$0-0.2¢0.0¢+$0
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be -9°C on March 17?WeatherYesResolved-$0-0.2¢0.0¢+$0
Will Elon Musk post 520-539 tweets from April 14 to April 21, 2026?PoliticsYesResolved-$1-0.1¢0.0¢+$1
Will Rasmus Hojgaard win the 2026 THE PLAYERS Championship?GolfYesResolved-$0-0.1¢0.0¢+$0
Will Nebraska win the 2026 Women's NCAA Tournament?Other sportsYesResolved-$0-0.0¢0.0¢+$0
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 12°C on April 26?WeatherYesResolved-$0-0.2¢0.0¢+$0
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on June 1?WeatherYesResolved$09.1¢0.0¢-$0
Will the 2026 Men's NCAA basketball National Champion come from the Summit League conference?Basketball (other)YesResolved-$00.0¢0.0¢+$0
Will Alliance for Rights and Freedoms (APS) finish third in the 2026 Bulgarian parliamentary election?PoliticsYesResolved-$0-0.0¢0.0¢+$0
Will TISZA win 46-50% of the national list votes in the 2026 Hungarian Parliamentary election?PoliticsYesResolved$00.0¢0.0¢+$0
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 8°C on March 20?WeatherYesResolved-$0-0.3¢0.0¢+$0
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 12°C on April 15?WeatherYesResolved-$0-0.3¢0.0¢+$0
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 8°C on April 4?WeatherYesResolved-$0-0.2¢0.0¢+$0
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 16°C on June 5?WeatherYesResolved$99.1¢0.0¢-$9
Will Marisol Pérez Tello finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?PoliticsYesResolved-$00.0¢0.0¢+$0

Where the money comes from

Realized + open PnL by category · still crunching older history, totals will deepen

Politics-$490
World Cup-$327
Culture-$172
Crypto-$170
Weather-$141
Champions League-$109
La Liga+$87
Premier League+$73
Soccer (other)-$37
Tennis-$32
Mentions-$20
Economy-$16
Biggest hit
+$424
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 4, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET
Toughest beat
-$232
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 15, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET

Recent moves

  • Bought Belgium vs. Senegal: O/U 3.5 AND Will Senegal win on 2026-07-01?$10024d ago
  • Bought No · Will France win on 2026-06-30?$2025d ago
  • Bought Yes · Exact Score: Germany 0 - 1 Paraguay?$326d ago
  • Bought Yes · Exact Score: Germany 0 - 1 Paraguay?$1126d ago
  • Bought Yes · Will Cape Verde win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$529d ago
  • Bought Yes · Will Germany win on 2026-06-25?$461mo ago
  • Cashed out Over · Bosnia-Herzegovina vs. Qatar: Bosnia-Herzegovina O/U 2.5$4181mo ago
  • Bought Over · Bosnia-Herzegovina vs. Qatar: Bosnia-Herzegovina O/U 2.5$3161mo ago
  • Cashed out Yes · Exact Score: Any Other Score?$2501mo ago
  • Bought Yes · Exact Score: Any Other Score?$1821mo ago
  • Bought Yes · Exact Score: Any Other Score?$181mo ago
  • Bought Yes · Exact Score: France 1 - 0 Iraq?$141mo ago