← Whale Watch

0x4207c4f53b785c6dOd48512a497ebd845c29b81b

Predicting since Feb 2025982 markets tradedPolymarket profile ↗

Up $23K on Politics markets since Feb 2025.

Right now: $5.9K across 3 Politics markets.

Biggest hit: +$48K on Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?.

All-time PnL
+$0
This year
+$0
Last 30 days
+$0
Portfolio value
$0

Deep stats

Bucko Oracle
Loading…

Profit over time

What they are betting now

MarketSideStakeEntryNowPnL
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?EconomyYes$17487¢79¢-$17
Will Cloudflare (NET) beat quarterly earnings?FinanceNo$8118¢18¢-$2
Will OpenAI raise between $40B and $50B in its IPO?TechNo$8581¢67¢-$14
Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?EconomyYes$2211¢22¢+$22
Will Jack Grealish join Everton?Soccer (other)Yes$917¢44¢+$15
Will the highest score achieved by an OpenAI model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 60% or higher?TechYes$1717¢19¢+$2
Will the Republican Party win the CA-23 House seat?PoliticsNo$47.8¢11¢+$2
Will Carole Delga be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?PoliticsYes$1211¢4.0¢-$7
Will UMich Consumer Sentiment be between 43.0 and 45.9 in July?EconomyYes$24.0¢3.4¢-$0
Will Pamela Evette be the new Republican nominee for Senate in South Carolina?PoliticsNo$155¢99¢+$1
Will Databricks' valuation hit (LOW) $130B by December 31?TechYes$1918¢1.1¢-$18
Will the lowest temperature in Seoul be 28°C or higher on July 5?WeatherYesResolved$29.1¢0.0¢-$2
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 18?PoliticsYesResolved$479¢0.0¢-$4
Will the lowest temperature in Seoul be 25°C on July 5?WeatherYesResolved$29.1¢0.0¢-$2
Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 38°C on July 6?WeatherYesResolved$10.8¢0.0¢-$1
Will Monica Rodriguez win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?PoliticsYesResolved$1816.7¢0.0¢-$181
Will Eminem perform at the 2026 FIFA World Cup Final halftime show?World CupYesResolved$114.1¢0.0¢-$11
Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 31°C on July 5?WeatherYesResolved$09.1¢0.0¢-$0
US bank failure by July 31?EconomyNoResolved$81.8¢0.0¢-$8
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on July 4?WeatherYesResolved$79.1¢0.0¢-$7
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 22°C on July 4?WeatherYesResolved$19.1¢0.0¢-$1
Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 13 Superheavy explode?TechNoResolved$00.1¢0.0¢-$0
Iran successfully targets shipping by July 12?PoliticsNoResolved$551.1¢0.0¢-$55
Will Austin Beutner win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?PoliticsYesResolved$1816.7¢0.0¢-$181
Will the lowest temperature in Seoul be 19°C on July 5?WeatherYesResolved$19.1¢0.0¢-$1
Will Sam Apuzzo win the Accuracy Challenge at the 2026 WLL All-Star Skills Competition?Other sportsYesResolved$520¢0.0¢-$5
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 21°C on July 4?WeatherYesResolved$19.1¢0.0¢-$1
Over $80M committed to the Credible public sale?CryptoYesResolved$52.4¢0.0¢-$5
Will Fujimori win the 2nd round of the 2026 Peru presidential election by 12%+?PoliticsYesResolved$1111¢0.0¢-$11
Iran successfully targets shipping by July 15?PoliticsNoResolved$34215¢0.0¢-$342
Will Wolfgang Grozo win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?PoliticsYesResolved$2.0K2.0¢0.0¢-$2.0K
Will the lowest temperature in Seoul be 26°C on July 10?WeatherYesResolved$10.1¢0.0¢-$1
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 28°C on July 4?WeatherYesResolved$29.1¢0.0¢-$2
Will the lowest temperature in Seoul be 27°C on July 5?WeatherYesResolved$29.1¢0.0¢-$2
Will Rick Caruso win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?PoliticsYesResolved$1786.7¢0.0¢-$178
Will Trump say "Moon" during Tribute to America Rally?MentionsNoResolved$38252¢0.0¢-$382
Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 27°C on July 5?WeatherNoResolved$6165¢0.0¢-$61
Will Trump say "Epic Fury" during Tribute to America Rally?MentionsYesResolved$2444¢0.0¢-$24
Will Travis Scott perform at the 2026 FIFA World Cup Final halftime show?World CupYesResolved$153.8¢0.0¢-$15
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 24°C on July 4?WeatherYesResolved$79.1¢0.0¢-$7
Will Ariana Grande perform at the 2026 FIFA World Cup Final halftime show?World CupYesResolved$202.6¢0.0¢-$20
Will David Wilkins replace Graham as South Carolina Senator?PoliticsYesResolved$11.1¢0.0¢-$1
Will Cardi B perform at the 2026 FIFA World Cup Final halftime show?World CupYesResolved$212.7¢0.0¢-$21
Netflix (NFLX) Q2 operating margin 32%-34%?FinanceNoResolved$525¢0.0¢-$5
Will Nicki Minaj perform at the 2026 FIFA World Cup Final halftime show?World CupYesResolved$134.1¢0.0¢-$13
Will Ricardo Belmont win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?PoliticsYesResolved$2.0K2.0¢0.0¢-$2.0K
Will the lowest temperature in Seoul be 26°C on July 5?WeatherYesResolved$29.1¢0.0¢-$2
Will the lowest temperature in Seoul be 24°C on July 10?WeatherNoResolved$1224¢0.0¢-$12
Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 34°C on July 6?WeatherYesResolved$35.7¢0.0¢-$3
Will Fujimori win the 2nd round of the 2026 Peru presidential election by 8–12%?PoliticsYesResolved$1111¢0.0¢-$11
Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 33°C or higher on July 5?WeatherYesResolved$19.1¢0.0¢-$1
Will Fujimori win the 2nd round of the 2026 Peru presidential election by 4–8%?PoliticsYesResolved$1111¢0.0¢-$11
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 29°C or higher on July 4?WeatherYesResolved$29.1¢0.0¢-$2
Will Rafael Belaúnde Llosa win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?PoliticsYesResolved$2.0K2.0¢0.0¢-$2.0K
Will the White House call a full lid by 6:30PM on July 4?PoliticsYesResolved$10.1¢0.0¢-$1
Will Trump say "World War" during Tribute to America Rally?MentionsNoResolved$2642¢0.0¢-$26
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 25°C on July 4?WeatherYesResolved$79.1¢0.0¢-$7
Iran successfully targets shipping by July 31?PoliticsNoResolved$524.5¢0.0¢-$52
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 27°C on July 4?WeatherYesResolved$29.1¢0.0¢-$2
Will South America Win the Dota EWC 2026?eSportsYesResolved$00.8¢0.0¢-$0
Will the lowest temperature in Seoul be 20°C on July 5?WeatherYesResolved$29.1¢0.0¢-$2
Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 32°C on July 5?WeatherYesResolved$19.1¢0.0¢-$1
Will the lowest temperature in Seoul be 27°C on July 10?WeatherYesResolved$10.1¢0.0¢-$1
Will there be fewer than 1 North Korea test in July 2026?PoliticsYesResolved$15546¢0.0¢-$155
Will Teresa Ruiz be the Arizona Superintendent of Public Instruction Democratic nominee?PoliticsNoResolved$4311¢0.0¢-$43
Will the lowest temperature in Seoul be 28°C or higher on July 10?WeatherYesResolved$10.1¢0.0¢-$1
Will Harry Styles perform at the 2026 FIFA World Cup Final halftime show?World CupYesResolved$182.5¢0.0¢-$18
Will the lowest temperature in Seoul be 25°C on July 10?WeatherYesResolved$10.1¢0.0¢-$1

Where the money comes from

Realized + open PnL by category · still crunching older history, totals will deepen

Politics+$23K
Finance+$11K
La Liga+$5.0K
Champions League+$2.3K
NBA+$641
Mentions-$433
Other sports+$99
Soccer (other)+$99
Weather-$97
Basketball (other)+$78
Culture+$74
NFL+$61
Biggest hit
+$48K
Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?
Toughest beat
-$5.3K
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?

Recent moves

  • Sold No · Will the highest score achieved by an OpenAI model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 65% or higher?$3317h ago
  • Sold No · Will the highest score achieved by an OpenAI model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 65% or higher?$4719h ago
  • Sold No · Will the highest score achieved by an OpenAI model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 65% or higher?$619h ago
  • Bought No · Will the highest score achieved by an OpenAI model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 65% or higher?$3220h ago
  • Bought No · Will the highest score achieved by an OpenAI model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 65% or higher?$4820h ago
  • Bought Yes · Will the highest score achieved by an OpenAI model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 60% or higher?$1820h ago
  • Bought No · Will Cloudflare (NET) beat quarterly earnings?$841d ago
  • Sold Yes · Will Missy Hughes win the 2026 Wisconsin Governor Democratic primary election?$01d ago
  • Sold Yes · Will Chris Larson win the 2026 Wisconsin Governor Democratic primary election?$01d ago
  • Sold Yes · Will Brett Hulsey win the 2026 Wisconsin Governor Democratic primary election?$01d ago
  • Sold Yes · Will Zachary Roper win the 2026 Wisconsin Governor Democratic primary election?$01d ago
  • Sold Yes · Will Tim Jacobson win the 2026 Wisconsin Governor Democratic primary election?$01d ago