julia-mandelbrot

Predicting since May 2025119 markets tradedPolymarket profile ↗

All-time PnL

+$0

This year

+$0

Last 30 days

+$0

Portfolio value

Deep stats

Bucko Oracle

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Profit over time

What they are betting now

Market	Side	Stake	Entry	Now	PnL
Will OpenAI release a new frontier model on December 11?Tech	NoResolved	$1	20¢	0.0¢	-$1
Will Time 2025 Person of the Year be leaked?Culture	NoResolved	$1	3.7¢	0.0¢	-$1
Will TIME's Person of the Year for 2025 be a human?Culture	NoResolved	$1	2.1¢	0.0¢	-$1
Ethereum Up or Down - December 10, 5:30PM-5:45PM ETCrypto	DownResolved	$1	10.0¢	0.0¢	-$1
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 10, 3PM ETCrypto	UpResolved	$1	8.0¢	0.0¢	-$1
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 10, 6PM ETCrypto	UpResolved	$2	42¢	0.0¢	-$2
Ethereum Up or Down - December 10, 8:00PM-8:15PM ETCrypto	UpResolved	$1	1.0¢	0.0¢	-$1
Ethereum Up or Down - December 10, 6:15PM-6:30PM ETCrypto	UpResolved	$1	42¢	0.0¢	-$1
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 10, 8:30PM-8:45PM ETCrypto	UpResolved	$5	14¢	0.0¢	-$5
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 15, 11:00PM-11:15PM ETCrypto	UpResolved	$5	26¢	0.0¢	-$5
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 11, 7:00AM-7:15AM ETCrypto	UpResolved	$1	50¢	0.0¢	-$1
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 10, 5:45PM-6:00PM ETCrypto	UpResolved	$1	41¢	0.0¢	-$1
Will Dr ‘Aisake Valu Eke be the next Prime Minister of Tonga after the election?Politics	YesResolved	$5	50¢	0.0¢	-$5
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 10, 6:00PM-6:15PM ETCrypto	UpResolved	$2	16¢	0.0¢	-$2
Ethereum Up or Down - December 10, 7:45PM-8:00PM ETCrypto	UpResolved	$7	10¢	0.0¢	-$7
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 10, 5PM ETCrypto	DownResolved	$8	5.8¢	0.0¢	-$8
Ethereum Up or Down - December 10, 5PM ETCrypto	DownResolved	$5	9.0¢	0.0¢	-$5
Will monthly inflation increase by 0.4% in November?Economy	YesResolved	$1	4.0¢	0.0¢	-$1
Will Trump talk to Volodymyr Zelenskyy in December?Politics	NoResolved	$1	49¢	0.0¢	-$1
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 10, 8:45PM-9:00PM ETCrypto	UpResolved	$1	3.0¢	0.0¢	-$1
Will OpenAI release a new frontier model on December 31 or later?Tech	YesResolved	$1	2.9¢	0.0¢	-$1
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 10, 5:30PM-5:45PM ETCrypto	DownResolved	$1	14¢	0.0¢	-$1
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 15, 11:15PM-11:30PM ETCrypto	UpResolved	$2	9.0¢	0.0¢	-$2
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 10, 6:15PM-6:30PM ETCrypto	UpResolved	$5	36¢	0.0¢	-$5
Ethereum Up or Down - December 10, 5:45PM-6:00PM ETCrypto	UpResolved	$2	27¢	0.0¢	-$2
Ethereum Up or Down - December 10, 6PM ETCrypto	UpResolved	$6	37¢	0.0¢	-$6
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 10, 9:00PM-9:15PM ETCrypto	UpResolved	$5	2.4¢	0.0¢	-$5
Ethereum Up or Down - December 10, 6:00PM-6:15PM ETCrypto	UpResolved	$1	35¢	0.0¢	-$1
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 15, 10:45PM-11:00PM ETCrypto	DownResolved	$4	13¢	0.0¢	-$4

Where the money comes from

Realized + open PnL by category

Crypto+$102

Culture+$24

Tech-$12

Politics-$10

NBA-$3

NHL-$2

Economy-$1

Boxing-$0

Other sports-$0

UFC / MMA+$0

Biggest hit

+$75

Bitcoin Up or Down - December 10, 3PM ET

Toughest beat

-$17

Will Pietro Parolin be the next pope?

Recent moves

Sold No · Nothing Ever Happens: AI Edition$07mo ago
Sold No · Will Google have the second best AI model at the end of December 2025?$07mo ago
Sold Yes · Will OpenAI have the second best AI model at the end of December 2025?$07mo ago
Sold Yes · Will Nvidia (NVDA) hit a 52-Week High by December 31?$07mo ago
Sold Yes · Will Amazon (AMZN) hit a 52-Week High by December 31?$07mo ago
Sold No · Will monthly inflation increase by 0.3% in November?$07mo ago
Sold Yes · Will OpenAI have the second-best AI model at the end of January 2026?$07mo ago
Sold No · Will Google have the second-best AI model at the end of January 2026?$07mo ago
Sold Yes · Will Jake Paul vs. Anthony Joshua have no official winner?$07mo ago
Sold Yes · Will Anthropic have the second-best AI model at the end of January 2026?$07mo ago
Sold Yes · Will Trump talk to Nicolás Maduro in December?$17mo ago
Sold Yes · Will Anthropic have the second best AI model at the end of December 2025?$17mo ago