Machiavelli

Predicting since Dec 202376 markets tradedPolymarket profile ↗

All-time PnL

+$0

This year

+$0

Last 30 days

+$0

Portfolio value

Deep stats

Bucko Oracle

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Market	Side	Stake	Entry	Now	PnL
Will Curtis Sliwa win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?Politics	YesResolved	$3	0.5¢	0.0¢	-$3
Tesla launches unsupervised full self driving (FSD) by June 30?Tech	NoResolved	$80	43¢	0.0¢	-$80
Will Trump say "Charlie" or "Kirk" during the UK state banquet on September 17?Mentions	YesResolved	$1	25¢	0.0¢	-$1
No change in Fed interest rates after September 2025 meeting?Politics	YesResolved	$24	2.4¢	0.0¢	-$24
Will the Government shutdown end by December 31?Politics	NoResolved	$11	2.8¢	0.0¢	-$11
Will Tesla launch a driverless Robotaxi service by October 31?Tech	NoResolved	$3	0.2¢	0.0¢	-$3
Will Gemini 3.0 be released on November 19 2025?Tech	YesResolved	$4	15¢	0.0¢	-$4
Will 1. FC Köln win on 2025-09-20?Bundesliga	YesResolved	$2	26¢	0.0¢	-$2
Will AfD win the most seats in the next German election?Politics	YesResolved	$11	4.7¢	0.0¢	-$11
Tyler Robinson charged in Kirk shooting?Politics	NoResolved	$1	2.5¢	0.0¢	-$1
No change in Fed interest rates after December 2025 meeting?Politics	YesResolved	$12	6.0¢	0.0¢	-$12
Will the Government shutdown end by November 30?Politics	NoResolved	$4	16¢	0.0¢	-$4
Will Werder Bremen vs. SC Freiburg end in a draw?Bundesliga	YesResolved	$2	30¢	0.0¢	-$2
No change in Fed interest rates after October 2025 meeting?Politics	YesResolved	$5	15¢	0.0¢	-$5
Will Elon Musk’s $1T Tesla pay deal pass?Finance	NoResolved	$39	4.5¢	0.0¢	-$39
Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after September 2025 meeting?Politics	YesResolved	$1	0.2¢	0.0¢	-$1

Realized + open PnL by category

Politics+$50

Finance-$39

Other+$24

Champions League+$12

Bundesliga-$9

Tech-$7

Other sports-$1

Crypto-$1

Culture-$1

Mentions-$0

Biggest hit

+$110

Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?

Toughest beat

-$23

49ers vs. Lions

Bought No · Tesla launches unsupervised full self driving (FSD) by June 30?$206mo ago
Sold Yes · Elon Musk trillionaire before 2027?$196mo ago
Bought No · Tesla launches unsupervised full self driving (FSD) by June 30?$117mo ago
Sold Yes · Tesla launches unsupervised full self driving (FSD) by June 30?$127mo ago
Bought Yes · Elon Musk trillionaire before 2027?$97mo ago
Bought Yes · Tesla launches unsupervised full self driving (FSD) by June 30?$107mo ago
Bought Yes · No change in Fed interest rates after December 2025 meeting?$127mo ago
Sold Yes · Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2025 meeting?$317mo ago
Bought Yes · Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2025 meeting?$78mo ago
Bought Yes · Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2025 meeting?$88mo ago
Sold Yes · Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?$148mo ago
Bought Yes · Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2025 meeting?$58mo ago