← Whale Watch

avmsh

Predicting since Aug 2025354 markets tradedPolymarket profile ↗
All-time PnL
+$0
This year
+$0
Last 30 days
+$0
Portfolio value
$0

Deep stats

Bucko Oracle
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Profit over time

What they are betting now

MarketSideStakeEntryNowPnL
SBF released from custody in 2026?PoliticsYes$177.4¢5.1¢-$5
Ledger IPO before 2027?TechYes$1215¢8.5¢-$5
US strike on Cuba by December 31?PoliticsYes$737¢33¢-$1
Databricks IPO before 2027?TechYes$1523¢9.0¢-$9
Will OpenAI have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?TechYes$202.5¢0.7¢-$15
Cuban regime falls in 2026?PoliticsYes$522¢18¢-$1
Dan Clancy out as Twitch CEO before 2027?EconomyYes$511¢7.6¢-$1
Trump on $250 bill this year?PoliticsYes$1010¢2.8¢-$7
Will Dune: Messiah have the best domestic opening weekend in 2026?CultureYes$61.9¢0.5¢-$4
Will NVIDIA (NVDA) close above $225 on May 12?FinanceYesResolved$111¢0.0¢-$1
Will "Mortal Kombat II" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 50m?CultureYesResolved$73.6¢0.0¢-$7
Will the highest temperature in London be 16°C on May 3?WeatherYesResolved$22.9¢0.0¢-$2
Will the highest temperature in London be 21°C on May 3?WeatherYesResolved$310¢0.0¢-$3
Will the highest temperature in London be 18°C on April 30?WeatherYesResolved$314¢0.0¢-$3
Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on May 10, 2026?PoliticsNoResolved$213¢0.0¢-$2
Will the highest temperature in London be 22°C on May 2?WeatherYesResolved$225¢0.0¢-$2
Roland Garros ATP: Flavio Cobolli vs Alexander ZverevTennisFlavio CobolliResolved$412¢0.0¢-$4
Will the highest temperature in London be 15°C on May 6?WeatherYesResolved$330¢0.0¢-$3
Will "In the Grey" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 3.5m and 4m?CultureYesResolved$14.6¢0.0¢-$1
Will King Charles say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" during State Opening?MentionsYesResolved$264¢0.0¢-$2
Will "The Devil Wears Prada 2" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 70m and 80m?CultureNoResolved$126.4¢0.0¢-$12
Will "Animal Farm" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 2.5m and 3m?CultureYesResolved$56.8¢0.0¢-$5
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?EconomyNoResolved$04.9¢0.0¢-$0
S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $740 on May 14?FinanceNoResolved$330¢0.0¢-$3
Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 27°C on May 7?WeatherYesResolved$016¢0.0¢-$0
Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on May 17, 2026?PoliticsNoResolved$217¢0.0¢-$2
Will "Backrooms" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 79m?CultureNoResolved$1040¢0.0¢-$10
Will "Backrooms" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 61m?CultureNoResolved$105.0¢0.0¢-$10
Will Amazon (AMZN) close above $270 on May 12?FinanceYesResolved$27.9¢0.0¢-$2
Epstein suicide note released by May 31?PoliticsYesResolved$39.0¢0.0¢-$3
Will Apple (AAPL) close above $300 on May 15?FinanceNoResolved$331¢0.0¢-$3
Will NVIDIA (NVDA) close above $215 on June 4?FinanceNoResolved$15.0¢0.0¢-$1
Will Meta (META) close above $610 on May 15?FinanceNoResolved$320¢0.0¢-$3
Will "Mortal Kombat II" 2nd Weekend Box Office be between 20m and 23m?CultureYesResolved$542¢0.0¢-$5
Will Alphabet be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?EconomyNoResolved$525¢0.0¢-$5
Will King Charles say "Healthcare" during State Opening?MentionsYesResolved$212¢0.0¢-$2
Will Apple (AAPL) close above $310 on June 4?FinanceNoResolved$111¢0.0¢-$1
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by April 30?PoliticsYesResolved$37.5¢0.0¢-$3
Will "Obsession" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 9m?CultureYesResolved$534¢0.0¢-$5
Roland Garros ATP: Quentin Halys vs Alexander ZverevTennisQuentin HalysResolved$37.0¢0.0¢-$3
Roland Garros ATP: Felix Auger-Aliassime vs Brandon NakashimaTennisBrandon NakashimaResolved$314¢0.0¢-$3
Will Amazon (AMZN) close above $260 on May 15?FinanceNoResolved$319¢0.0¢-$3
Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 26°C on May 4?WeatherYesResolved$04.7¢0.0¢-$0
Wimbledon ATP: Jannik Sinner vs Novak DjokovicTennisNovak DjokovicResolved$1512¢0.0¢-$15
Roland Garros ATP: Jesper de Jong vs Alexander ZverevTennisJesper de JongResolved$65.0¢0.0¢-$6
Will the Kharg Island oil terminal be hit by April 30?PoliticsYesResolved$53.8¢0.0¢-$5
Will Amazon (AMZN) close above $275 on May 14?FinanceYesResolved$311¢0.0¢-$3
Roland Garros WTA: Victoria Mboko vs Madison KeysTennisVictoria MbokoResolved$514¢0.0¢-$5
Will "Hokum" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 5m?CultureYesResolved$14.9¢0.0¢-$1
Will the next model released by OpenAI debut at a score of at least 1500?TechYesResolved$314¢0.0¢-$3
Will Amazon (AMZN) close above $260 on June 2?FinanceYesResolved$121¢0.0¢-$1
Will Trump’s approval rating be between 38.0 and 38.4 on May 15, 2026?PoliticsYesResolved$539¢0.0¢-$5
Will Starmer say "Mr. Speaker" 10+ times during the next Prime Minister's Questions event?MentionsNoResolved$522¢0.0¢-$5
Roland Garros ATP: Rafael Jodar vs Pablo Carreno BustaTennisPablo Carreno BustaResolved$627¢0.0¢-$6
No one announced as next James Bond?CultureNoResolved$131¢0.0¢-$1
Roland Garros WTA: Mirra Andreeva vs Jil TeichmannTennisJil TeichmannResolved$111¢0.0¢-$1
Will Z.ai have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?PoliticsYesResolved$1019¢0.0¢-$10
Roland Garros WTA: Maja Chwalinska vs Mirra AndreevaTennisMaja ChwalinskaResolved$611¢0.0¢-$6
Will the highest temperature in London be 18°C on May 4?WeatherYesResolved$09.0¢0.0¢-$0
Will Trump say "Make America Great Again" this week?MentionsYesResolved$152¢0.0¢-$1
Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 26°C on May 6?WeatherYesResolved$124¢0.0¢-$1
Roland Garros WTA: Anastasia Potapova vs Anna KalinskayaTennisAnastasia PotapovaResolved$110¢0.0¢-$1
Will "Hokum" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 5m and 6m?CultureYesResolved$119¢0.0¢-$1
Will the highest temperature in London be 17°C on May 4?WeatherYesResolved$328¢0.0¢-$3
Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?EconomyYesResolved$11.3¢0.0¢-$1
Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 26°C on May 5?WeatherYesResolved$016¢0.0¢-$0
Will Tesla (TSLA) close above $450 on May 14?FinanceYesResolved$246¢0.0¢-$2
Will Meta (META) close above $620 on June 4?FinanceNoResolved$16.8¢0.0¢-$1
Will Trump say "Shanghai" during events with Xi Jinping?MentionsYesResolved$316¢0.0¢-$3
S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $740 on May 12?FinanceYesResolved$119¢0.0¢-$1
Will Trump say "Tough Negotiator" during events with Xi Jinping?MentionsYesResolved$339¢0.0¢-$3
Will Microsoft be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?EconomyYesResolved$55.8¢0.0¢-$5
Will "Animal Farm" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 2m?CultureYesResolved$32.6¢0.0¢-$3
Will the highest temperature in London be 22°C on May 1?WeatherYesResolved$232.4¢0.0¢-$23
DOJ releases Biden ghostwriter tapes by May 31?PoliticsYesResolved$547¢0.0¢-$5
Will "Hokum" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 7m and 8m?CultureYesResolved$226¢0.0¢-$2
Google reports Gemini monthly active users above 900M in Q1?TechYesResolved$1533¢0.0¢-$15
Will "The Super Mario Galaxy Movie" 3rd Weekend Box Office be less than 44m?CultureNoResolved$1515¢0.0¢-$15
Trump renames Strait of Hormuz to "Strait of Trump" by May 31?PoliticsYesResolved$53.3¢0.0¢-$5
Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 23°C on May 5?WeatherYesResolved$213¢0.0¢-$2
Will "Animal Farm" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 3.5m and 4m?CultureYesResolved$03.6¢0.0¢-$0
Will NVIDIA (NVDA) close above $225 on May 14?FinanceNoResolved$226¢0.0¢-$2
Will the highest temperature in London be 20°C on May 2?WeatherYesResolved$54.3¢0.0¢-$5
Will Joao Fonseca win the 2026 Men's French Open?TennisYesResolved$158.1¢0.0¢-$15
Will Google (GOOGL) close above $385 on May 13?FinanceNoResolved$549¢0.0¢-$5
Will Microsoft (MSFT) close above $400 on May 13?FinanceNoResolved$518¢0.0¢-$5
Fetterman leaves the Democrats by June 30?PoliticsYesResolved$75.7¢0.0¢-$7
Will Trump say "Farmer" during events with Xi Jinping?MentionsYesResolved$343¢0.0¢-$3
US Kamikaze Dolphins confirmed by May 31?PoliticsYesResolved$11.8¢0.0¢-$1
Will the highest temperature in London be 15°C on May 5?WeatherYesResolved$316¢0.0¢-$3
Will Trump say "Soybean" during events with Xi Jinping?MentionsYesResolved$355¢0.0¢-$3
Jacob Elordi announced as next James Bond?CultureYesResolved$25.0¢0.0¢-$2
Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on May 16, 2026?PoliticsNoResolved$219¢0.0¢-$2
Roland Garros ATP: Jakub Mensik vs Andrey RublevTennisAndrey RublevResolved$344¢0.0¢-$3
Will Meta (META) close above $600 on May 13?FinanceNoResolved$543¢0.0¢-$5
Will "The Sheep Detectives" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 18m?CultureYesResolved$112¢0.0¢-$1
Will Microsoft (MSFT) close above $440 on June 2?FinanceNoResolved$326¢0.0¢-$3
Will xAI have a #1 AI model by June 30?TechYesResolved$516¢0.0¢-$5
Will Trump restart Project Freedom by May 31?PoliticsYesResolved$139¢0.0¢-$1
Will Tesla (TSLA) close above $430 on May 13?FinanceNoResolved$527¢0.0¢-$5

Where the money comes from

Realized + open PnL by category

Culture-$116
Economy-$77
Tennis-$49
Finance-$45
Weather-$30
Mentions-$28
Politics+$25
Other sports+$15
Tech+$2
Biggest hit
+$71
Will Anthropic have closed its next funding round by June 30, 2026?
Toughest beat
-$18
Will Google have the second highest estimated revenue for May 4–May 10, 2026?

Recent moves

  • Sold Yes · Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day have the best domestic opening weekend in 2026?$85d ago
  • Sold Yes · Will the Communist Party of the Russian Federation (KPRF) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?$305d ago
  • Bought Novak Djokovic · Wimbledon ATP: Jannik Sinner vs Novak Djokovic$1615d ago
  • Bought Yes · Will OpenAI have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?$211mo ago
  • Cashed out No · Will the next Claude Opus 4.8 model added to the Arena Leaderboard debut at a score between 1480 and 1490?$81mo ago
  • Sold Flavio Cobolli · Roland Garros ATP: Flavio Cobolli vs Alexander Zverev$101mo ago
  • Bought Flavio Cobolli · Roland Garros ATP: Flavio Cobolli vs Alexander Zverev$101mo ago
  • Bought Maja Chwalinska · Roland Garros WTA: Maja Chwalinska vs Mirra Andreeva$11mo ago
  • Bought Maja Chwalinska · Roland Garros WTA: Maja Chwalinska vs Mirra Andreeva$51mo ago
  • Bought No · Will Meta (META) close above $620 on June 4?$11mo ago
  • Bought No · Will NVIDIA (NVDA) close above $215 on June 4?$11mo ago
  • Bought Yes · Will Tesla (TSLA) close above $420 on June 4?$11mo ago