carnival

Predicting since Aug 2025160 markets tradedPolymarket profile ↗

All-time PnL

+$0

This year

+$0

Last 30 days

+$0

Portfolio value

Deep stats

Bucko Oracle

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Profit over time

What they are betting now

Market	Side	Stake	Entry	Now	PnL
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?Politics	No	$25	83¢	95¢	+$3
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?Politics	No	$20	82¢	92¢	+$2
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by August 31, 2026?Politics	No	$20	90¢	94¢	+$1
Trump out as President before 2027?Politics	No	$17	92¢	93¢	+$0
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?Politics	Yes	$15	96¢	72¢	-$4
Fed rate cut by July 2026 meeting?Economy	No	$10	94¢	100¢	+$1
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?Politics	No	$10	96¢	97¢	+$0
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting?Politics	No	$10	98¢	98¢	+$0
Will the Iranian regime fall by September 30?Politics	No	$10	97¢	97¢	+$0
Fed rate cut by September 2026 meeting?Economy	No	$10	96¢	96¢	+$0
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $65 in July?Finance	No	$5	93¢	100¢	+$0
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?Politics	No	$5	89¢	88¢	-$0
Netanyahu out by end of 2026?Politics	No	$2	49¢	67¢	+$1
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?Politics	No	$2	92¢	93¢	+$0
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?Economy	Yes	$1	70¢	85¢	+$0
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?Politics	No	$1	77¢	79¢	+$0
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 25, 11AM ETCrypto	DownResolved	$4	95¢	0.0¢	-$4
Will Bitcoin dip to $104k in October?Crypto	NoResolved	$3	93¢	0.0¢	-$3
Will Powell say "Inflation" 50+ times during January press conference?Mentions	YesResolved	$15	57¢	0.0¢	-$15
Thailand x Cambodia ceasefire by December 31?Politics	NoResolved	$3	69¢	0.0¢	-$3
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 19, 8AM ETCrypto	DownResolved	$2	53¢	0.0¢	-$2
Will Bitcoin dip to $116,000 October 6-12?Crypto	NoResolved	$5	92¢	0.0¢	-$5
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 22, 8AM ETCrypto	UpResolved	$1	27¢	0.0¢	-$1
US x Venezuela military engagement by January 15, 2026?Politics	NoResolved	$15	90¢	0.0¢	-$15
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $100,000 and $102,000 on November 6?Crypto	NoResolved	$3	86¢	0.0¢	-$3
Will Powell say "Inflation" 40+ times during January press conference?Mentions	YesResolved	$39	84¢	0.0¢	-$39
Will Powell say "Inflation" 60+ times during January press conference?Mentions	YesResolved	$10	22¢	0.0¢	-$10
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $122,000 on October 7?Crypto	YesResolved	$2	96¢	0.0¢	-$2
Will Powell say "Percent" 25+ times during January press conference?Mentions	YesResolved	$20	62¢	0.0¢	-$20
Will ChatGPT be #1 Free App in Play Store on December 19?Tech	YesResolved	$2	96¢	0.0¢	-$2
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?Politics	NoResolved	$30	86¢	0.0¢	-$30
Maduro out by January 31, 2026?Politics	NoResolved	$14	90¢	0.0¢	-$14
Will Bitcoin dip to $106k in October?Crypto	NoResolved	$4	94¢	0.0¢	-$4

Where the money comes from

Realized + open PnL by category

Politics+$120

Mentions-$69

Crypto-$13

Economy+$8

Tech-$2

Finance+$0

Culture+$0

Biggest hit

+$148

Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?

Toughest beat

-$4

Will Trump meet with Zelenskyy by December 31?

Recent moves

Bought No · Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?$112d ago
Bought No · Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $65 in July?$512d ago
Bought No · Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?$512d ago
Bought Yes · Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?$1512d ago
Bought No · Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by August 31, 2026?$1012d ago
Bought No · Fed rate cut by September 2026 meeting?$1012d ago
Bought No · Trump out as President before 2027?$512d ago
Bought No · Will the Iranian regime fall by September 30?$1012d ago
Bought No · Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?$1012d ago
Bought No · Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by August 31, 2026?$1024d ago
Bought No · Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting?$1024d ago
Bought No · Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?$224d ago