 Will OpenAI’s market cap be between $1.25T and $1.5T at market close on IPO day?Tech | No | $7 | 93¢ | 98¢ | +$0 |
 Fed rate cut by July 2026 meeting?Economy | No | $7 | 95¢ | 100¢ | +$0 |
| Will OpenAI’s market cap be between $500B and $750B at market close on IPO day?Tech | No | $7 | 96¢ | 100¢ | +$0 |
| Will Anthropic's valuation hit (LOW) $1.0T by July 31?Finance | No | $6 | 93¢ | 99¢ | +$0 |
 Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 26?Politics | Yes | $6 | 94¢ | 99¢ | +$0 |
| Will OpenAI’s market cap be $1.5T or greater at market close on IPO day?Tech | No | $6 | 93¢ | 97¢ | +$0 |
 Will Russia enter Ternuvate again by July 31?Politics | No | $6 | 93¢ | 96¢ | +$0 |
 Will Trump meet with Netanyahu by July 28, 2026?Politics | Yes | $6 | 93¢ | 96¢ | +$0 |
 Will there be Houthi military action against Israel by July 31, 2026?Politics | No | $6 | 93¢ | 96¢ | +$0 |
 Will Google have the best Math AI model at the end of July 2026?Tech | No | $6 | 93¢ | 98¢ | +$0 |
 Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by July 31?Politics | No | $6 | 94¢ | 99¢ | +$0 |
 Will Anthropic have the best Math AI model at the end of July 2026?Tech | Yes | $6 | 93¢ | 95¢ | +$0 |
 Iran leadership change by July 31?Politics | No | $6 | 94¢ | 99¢ | +$0 |
 Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from July 21 to July 28, 2026?Politics | No | $6 | 94¢ | 95¢ | +$0 |
| Will OpenAI’s market cap be between $1T and $1.25T at market close on IPO day?Tech | No | $6 | 93¢ | 92¢ | -$0 |
 Moonshot publishes Kimi K3 weights by July 27?Tech | Yes | $6 | 93¢ | 93¢ | -$0 |
 Will Scottie Scheffler win the 2026 3M Open?Golf | No | $6 | 94¢ | 93¢ | -$0 |
 Will Russia enter Serhiivka by July 31?Politics | No | $6 | 94¢ | 95¢ | +$0 |
| Will Core PCE YoY be 3.5% in June?Economy | No | $6 | 94¢ | 94¢ | +$0 |
 Will Russia enter Mykhailivka by July 31?Politics | No | $6 | 94¢ | 95¢ | +$0 |
 Will Coca-Cola (KO) beat quarterly earnings?Finance | Yes | $6 | 94¢ | 93¢ | -$0 |
 US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 31, 2026?Politics | No | $6 | 94¢ | 92¢ | -$0 |
| Will Ben Kohles win the 2026 3M Open?Golf | No | $6 | 94¢ | 89¢ | -$0 |
 Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by July 31?Politics | No | $6 | 94¢ | 88¢ | -$0 |
| Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from July 24 to July 31, 2026?Politics | No | $6 | 93¢ | 95¢ | +$0 |
| Will Anthropic have the third best AI model at the end of July 2026?Tech | Yes | $5 | 94¢ | 99¢ | +$0 |
 Will Solana dip to $60 in July?Crypto | No | $5 | 94¢ | 98¢ | +$0 |
| Will there be Houthi military action against Israel by July 24, 2026?Politics | No | $5 | 95¢ | 99¢ | +$0 |
 Will any FaZe member come out as a furry by July 31?eSports | No | $5 | 94¢ | 98¢ | +$0 |
 Will Israel launch a ground operation in Iran by July 31, 2026?Politics | No | $5 | 96¢ | 99¢ | +$0 |
| Will Anthropic have the #2 AI model at the end of July 2026?Tech | Yes | $5 | 94¢ | 97¢ | +$0 |
| Will Anthropic have the #3 AI model at the end of July 2026?Tech | Yes | $5 | 94¢ | 96¢ | +$0 |
 Bank of England increases interest rates by 25 bps after July 2026 meeting?Economy | No | $5 | 98¢ | 99¢ | +$0 |
 Will Russia capture Verkhnia Tersa by July 31?Politics | No | $5 | 97¢ | 98¢ | +$0 |
| No change in Bank of England’s interest rates after July 2026 meeting?Economy | Yes | $5 | 98¢ | 98¢ | +$0 |
| Will OpenAI’s market cap be between $750B and $1T at market close on IPO day?Tech | No | $5 | 93¢ | 95¢ | +$0 |
 Will the Fed decide differently in the next three decisions (Apr–Jun–Jul)?Economy | No | $5 | 93¢ | 82¢ | -$1 |
 Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?Politics | Yes | $5 | 95¢ | 83¢ | -$1 |
| Will the Fed Pause–Pause–Pause in the next three decisions (Apr–Jun–Jul)?Economy | Yes | $5 | 95¢ | 82¢ | -$1 |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?Politics | No | $5 | 96¢ | 83¢ | -$1 |
 Israeli forces enter Choukine by July 31?Politics | No | $3 | 94¢ | 96¢ | +$0 |
 Will the highest temperature in Paris be 26°C on July 2?Weather | NoResolved | $5 | 95¢ | 0.0¢ | -$5 |
 Will there be exactly 10 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide by June 30?Weather | NoResolved | $7 | 93¢ | 0.0¢ | -$7 |
| Iran successfully targets shipping on July 7?Politics | NoResolved | $5 | 94¢ | 0.0¢ | -$5 |
| Exact Score: Argentina 1 - 1 Cabo Verde?World Cup | NoResolved | $5 | 94¢ | 0.0¢ | -$5 |
 Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C on July 5?Weather | NoResolved | $5 | 94¢ | 0.0¢ | -$5 |
| Iran successfully targets shipping by July 7?Politics | NoResolved | $5 | 94¢ | 0.0¢ | -$5 |
 Will the People Power Party win 4 seats in South Korea’s June 3, 2026 parliamentary by-elections?Politics | NoResolved | $6 | 98¢ | 0.0¢ | -$6 |
 Will Morgan Stanley (MS) Q2 investment banking revenue be above $2.35B?Finance | NoResolved | $5 | 94¢ | 0.0¢ | -$5 |
| Will there be Saudi Arabian military action against Yemen by July 24, 2026?Politics | NoResolved | $6 | 94¢ | 0.0¢ | -$6 |
 Will Hannah Pingree win the 2026 Maine Governor Democratic primary election?Politics | NoResolved | $7 | 93¢ | 0.0¢ | -$7 |
| United Airlines (UAL) Q2 consolidated passenger load factor 83%-84%?Finance | NoResolved | $5 | 94¢ | 0.0¢ | -$5 |
| Will "Toy Story 5" 4th Weekend Box Office be less than 19m?Culture | YesResolved | $5 | 94¢ | 0.0¢ | -$5 |
 Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on July 8?Crypto | YesResolved | $5 | 94¢ | 0.0¢ | -$5 |
 Will Spain vs. Cabo Verde end in a draw?World Cup | NoResolved | $7 | 93¢ | 0.0¢ | -$7 |
| Exact Score: Brazil 1 - 2 Norway?World Cup | NoResolved | $5 | 94¢ | 0.0¢ | -$5 |
 Will the highest temperature in Busan be 28°C on July 4?Weather | NoResolved | $5 | 94¢ | 0.0¢ | -$5 |
 Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 33°C on July 2?Weather | NoResolved | $5 | 94¢ | 0.0¢ | -$5 |
 Will Falcons win IEM Cologne Major 2026?eSports | NoResolved | $7 | 94¢ | 0.0¢ | -$7 |
 Will Linda Nosková be the 2026 Women’s Wimbledon Winner?Tennis | NoResolved | $5 | 94¢ | 0.0¢ | -$5 |
 England-Mexico game rescheduled to different time?World Cup | NoResolved | $5 | 94¢ | 0.0¢ | -$5 |
 Will Alan Wilson win the 2026 South Carolina Governor Republican primary election?Politics | NoResolved | $6 | 93¢ | 0.0¢ | -$6 |
 Will Goldman Sachs (GS) Q2 investment banking fees be above $3.1B?Finance | NoResolved | $5 | 93¢ | 0.0¢ | -$5 |
Cashed out No · Mykhailo Fedorov reinstated as Ukrainian Defense Minister by July 24, 2026?$71d ago
Cashed out No · Israel military action against Greater Beirut by July 21?$51d ago