← Whale Watch

Started-with-20-USD

Predicting since Jan 20262,465 markets tradedPolymarket profile ↗

Up $1.1K on Finance markets since Jan 2026.

Right now: $779 across 5 Formula 1 markets.

All-time PnL
+$0
This year
+$0
Last 30 days
+$0
Portfolio value
$0

Deep stats

Bucko Oracle
Loading…

Profit over time

What they are betting now

MarketSideStakeEntryNowPnL
Will Tarsier Pharma's market cap be between $250M and $300M at market close on IPO day?FinanceNo$44691¢98¢+$35
Will Kimi Antonelli finish on the podium at the 2026 F1 Hungarian Grand Prix?Formula 1Yes$18249¢99¢+$190
Will Apple (AAPL) Q3 Mac revenue be above $9B?FinanceNo$23758¢75¢+$70
Microsoft (MSFT) Q4 Azure revenue growth (constant currency) 42%-44%?FinanceNo$27279¢88¢+$30
Will Neuralink's valuation hit (LOW) $35B by December 31?TechNo$25144¢51¢+$42
Will Apple (AAPL) Q3 Greater China revenue be above $18B?FinanceYes$23962¢76¢+$52
Will the median home value in Los Angeles Metro be between $1,153,000 and $1,169,000 on September 30?EconomyNo$25765¢73¢+$30
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by August 31?PoliticsYes$19553¢74¢+$75
Amphenol (APH) Q2 organic sales growth 32%-36%?FinanceYes$16216¢26¢+$99
Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by December 31?PoliticsNo$20468¢86¢+$52
Will Lambda's valuation hit (HIGH) $9B by July 31?FinanceNo$19375¢98¢+$58
Will Lando Norris finish on the podium at the 2026 F1 Hungarian Grand Prix?Formula 1Yes$12951¢99¢+$120
Will Glean's valuation hit (HIGH) $7.25B by July 31?FinanceNo$12743¢83¢+$118
Will the median home value in NYC be between $609,000 and $636,000 on September 30?EconomyYes$15724¢36¢+$83
Amazon 2026 capex above $180B?TechYes$21991¢98¢+$16
Will Glean's valuation hit (HIGH) $7B by July 31?FinanceNo$25268¢56¢-$43
Will Kimi Antonelli win the 2026 Action of the Year?Other sportsNo$12938¢61¢+$78
Will Natural Gas (NG) hit (HIGH) $3.60 in July?FinanceNo$16581¢99¢+$36
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?PoliticsYes$18994¢83¢-$22
Will Microsoft (MSFT) Q4 total capital expenditures be above $50B?FinanceYes$5414¢43¢+$106
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.15T by July 31?FinanceNo$15079¢84¢+$8
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by August 14?PoliticsNo$20557¢43¢-$50
Will Tarsier Pharma not IPO before September 2026?FinanceYes$4830¢94¢+$101
Will Anduril's valuation hit (LOW) $85B by July 31?FinanceNo$15979¢71¢-$16
Mastercard (MA) Q2 cross-border volume growth (local currency basis) 12.5%+?FinanceNo$7247¢91¢+$67
Will Lambda's valuation hit (LOW) $7.25B by July 31?FinanceNo$10050¢69¢+$38
Will Revolut's valuation hit (HIGH) $100B by July 31?FinanceYes$3520¢74¢+$96
Will Databricks' valuation hit (HIGH) $180B by July 31?FinanceNo$11878¢85¢+$10
Will Microsoft (MSFT) Q4 total capital expenditures be above $44B?FinanceYes$6647¢86¢+$55
Will Microsoft (MSFT) Q4 Cloud revenue be above $58B?FinanceYes$10555¢64¢+$15
Will Anduril's valuation hit (LOW) $90B by July 31?FinanceNo$8053¢80¢+$39
Will Tarsier Pharma's market cap be greater than $450M at market close on IPO day?FinanceNo$8870¢95¢+$31
Amazon 2026 capex above $200B?TechNo$24522¢11¢-$129
Will CXMT’s closing IPO market cap be at least 2.5T yuan?FinanceNo$11731¢31¢-$4
Will no one dissent the July Fed decision?EconomyNo$5738¢73¢+$52
Will Corning (GLW) Q2 Optical Communications sales be above $1.8B?FinanceYes$10386¢91¢+$7
Microsoft (MSFT) Q4 Azure revenue growth (constant currency) 40%-42%?FinanceYes$8240¢54¢+$26
Will the median home value in the Chicago Metro be between $335,000 and $340,000 on September 30?EconomyNo$10059¢64¢+$8
Will Neuralink's valuation hit (LOW) $32.5B by December 31?TechYes$5720¢34¢+$42
Will Chevron (CVX) Q2 oil-equivalent barrels per day net production (koebd) be above 4.1M?FinanceYes$10225¢24¢-$2
Will Natural Gas (NG) hit (HIGH) $3.80 in July?FinanceNo$9191¢99¢+$8
Will Stripe's valuation hit (LOW) $160B by July 31?FinanceNo$8282¢98¢+$16
Will Anduril's valuation hit (HIGH) $110B by July 31?FinanceNo$6461¢93¢+$33
Amazon 2026 capex above $210B?TechYes$8247¢55¢+$13
OpenAI IPO closing market cap above $1.6T?TechNo$5749¢81¢+$38
Will Apple (AAPL) Q3 Greater China revenue be above $20B?FinanceYes$4713¢24¢+$40
CVS Health (CVS) Q2 medical benefit ratio (MBR) <87.5%?FinanceNo$7339¢46¢+$14
Will Databricks' valuation hit (HIGH) $200B by December 31?TechYes$7544¢51¢+$11
Will Safepoint's market cap be between $1.5B and $1.7B at market close on IPO day?FinanceNo$7790¢100¢+$8
Will the median home value in the Chicago Metro be between $330,000 and $335,000 on September 30?EconomyNo$5351¢81¢+$31
Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 29?PoliticsNo$8484¢84¢-$1
Will Apple (AAPL) Q3 iPhone revenue be above $55B?FinanceYes$4831¢54¢+$35
Will Canva's valuation hit (HIGH) $42B by July 31?FinanceNo$6060¢81¢+$21
Will Microsoft (MSFT) Q4 Cloud revenue be above $60B?FinanceYes$3821¢45¢+$42
Will Anduril's valuation hit (HIGH) $125B by December 31?TechNo$7550¢54¢+$6
Will Apple (AAPL) Q3 Mac revenue be above $8.5B?FinanceNo$5626¢36¢+$23
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 31, 2026?PoliticsNo$2126¢92¢+$52
Will Kraken's valuation hit (LOW) $9B by December 31?CryptoYes$5656¢73¢+$16
Will Apple (AAPL) Q3 Greater China revenue be above $19B?FinanceNo$6551¢56¢+$7
Will ByteDance's valuation hit (HIGH) $575B by July 31?FinanceNo$6980¢82¢+$2
Will Microsoft (MSFT) Q4 Cloud revenue be above $59B?FinanceYes$4938¢55¢+$22
Will Lambda's valuation hit (HIGH) $8.25B by July 31?FinanceYes$2720¢50¢+$41
Will Apple (AAPL) Q3 iPhone revenue be above $52B?FinanceNo$11133¢20¢-$43
Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 31?PoliticsNo$6482¢84¢+$2
Will Chevron (CVX) Q2 oil-equivalent barrels per day net production (koebd) be above 4.2M?FinanceNo$5278¢95¢+$11
Will Tarsier Pharma's market cap be between $300M and $350M at market close on IPO day?FinanceNo$5789¢97¢+$5
Will Natural Gas (NG) hit (LOW) $2.60 in July?FinanceYes$1417.8¢3.4¢-$80
Will Apple (AAPL) Q3 iPhone revenue be above $53.5B?FinanceYes$4348¢64¢+$14
Will Corning (GLW) Q2 Optical Communications sales be above $2.1B?FinanceNo$2526¢56¢+$29
Will Neuralink's valuation hit (LOW) $25B by December 31?TechNo$5375¢77¢+$1
OpenAI IPO closing market cap above $1.2T?TechYes$4655¢62¢+$5
Will Max Martin attend Taylor Swift's wedding?NFLYes$3232¢51¢+$19
Will Perplexity's valuation hit (HIGH) $22.5B by December 31?TechYes$3434¢51¢+$16
Will Kraken's valuation hit (LOW) $9B by July 31?FinanceYes$3828¢34¢+$7
Will Stripe's valuation hit (HIGH) $180B by July 31?FinanceNo$3343¢55¢+$10
Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 25?PoliticsNo$3583¢98¢+$7
Will Neuralink's valuation hit (HIGH) $47.5B by July 31?FinanceNo$4080¢78¢-$1
SpaceX IPO: Officially added to S&P 500 in 2026?TechNo$2870¢96¢+$10
Will Perplexity's valuation hit (LOW) $16B by July 31?FinanceNo$2538¢57¢+$13
Will Perplexity's valuation hit (HIGH) $20B by December 31?TechNo$2828¢34¢+$6
Will Databricks' valuation hit (HIGH) $180B by December 31?TechNo$688.9¢4.3¢-$35
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?PoliticsYes$4623¢16¢-$13
Will Perplexity's valuation hit (HIGH) $18B by July 31?FinanceNo$1541¢87¢+$16
Will Apple (AAPL) Q3 Wearables, Home and Accessories revenue be above $8.25B?FinanceNo$3161¢61¢-$0
Will USD/JPY hit 150 (Low) in 2026?FinanceYes$6456¢25¢-$36
Will SpaceX (SPCX) close above $140 end of July?FinanceNo$2175¢96¢+$6
Will Apple (AAPL) Q3 iPhone revenue be above $56.5B?FinanceNo$7674¢26¢-$50
Will Qualcomm (QCOM) Q3 QCT chip revenue be above $8.5B?FinanceYes$1313¢26¢+$13
Will a new country buy Bitcoin by December 31, 2026?PoliticsNo$1761¢71¢+$3
Will Anduril's valuation hit (HIGH) $110B by December 31?TechNo$1824¢25¢+$1
Will Glean's valuation hit (HIGH) $7.5B by July 31?FinanceNo$1156¢93¢+$7
Will Meta (META) Q2 capital expenditures (including principal payments on finance leases) be above $40B?FinanceYes$2626¢18¢-$8
Will Microsoft (MSFT) Q4 Cloud revenue be above $59.5B?FinanceNo$1962¢54¢-$3
Will Apple (AAPL) Q3 Wearables, Home and Accessories revenue be above $8.5B?FinanceYes$86.8¢13¢+$7
Will Safepoint's market cap be between $1.3B and $1.5B at market close on IPO day?FinanceNo$1387¢100¢+$2
Amazon 2026 capex above $190B?TechYes$1182¢97¢+$2
Will Qualcomm (QCOM) Q3 QCT chip revenue be above $8.25B?FinanceYes$624¢53¢+$7
Will the United States send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by July 31, 2026?PoliticsYes$3932¢10¢-$27
Will Charles Leclerc win the 2026 Action of the Year?Other sportsYes$21.8¢13¢+$10
Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by September 30, 2026?PoliticsYes$4221¢5.5¢-$31

Where the money comes from

Realized + open PnL by category · still crunching older history, totals will deepen

Finance+$1.1K
Formula 1-$418
Mentions+$348
Economy+$212
Politics+$164
Other sports+$110
Tech-$67
Soccer (other)+$63
NBA-$55
NFL+$19
Crypto+$15
Champions League+$4
Biggest hit
+$40
Sidemen Charity Match 2026: Winner
Toughest beat
-$27
Who will finish higher: Verstappen or Piastri?

Recent moves

  • Sold Yes · Will Oscar Piastri finish on the podium at the 2026 F1 Hungarian Grand Prix?$62h ago
  • Sold Yes · Will Oscar Piastri finish on the podium at the 2026 F1 Hungarian Grand Prix?$582h ago
  • Sold Yes · Will Oscar Piastri finish on the podium at the 2026 F1 Hungarian Grand Prix?$203h ago
  • Sold Yes · Will Oscar Piastri finish on the podium at the 2026 F1 Hungarian Grand Prix?$03h ago
  • Sold Yes · Will Charles Leclerc finish on the podium at the 2026 F1 Hungarian Grand Prix?$229h ago
  • Sold Yes · Will Charles Leclerc finish on the podium at the 2026 F1 Hungarian Grand Prix?$189h ago
  • Sold Yes · Will Charles Leclerc finish on the podium at the 2026 F1 Hungarian Grand Prix?$549h ago
  • Sold Yes · Will Charles Leclerc finish on the podium at the 2026 F1 Hungarian Grand Prix?$149h ago
  • Sold Yes · Will Charles Leclerc finish on the podium at the 2026 F1 Hungarian Grand Prix?$49h ago
  • Sold Yes · Will Charles Leclerc finish on the podium at the 2026 F1 Hungarian Grand Prix?$109h ago
  • Sold Yes · Will Lando Norris win the 2026 F1 Hungarian Grand Prix?$919h ago
  • Sold Yes · Will Lando Norris win the 2026 F1 Hungarian Grand Prix?$179h ago