← Whale Watch

0x43AB6682572796f6f684970eBB6Cf8C14c92A0eF-1761760556265

Predicting since Oct 2025100 markets tradedPolymarket profile ↗

Up $2.9K on Politics markets since Oct 2025.

Right now: $4.2K riding on Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?.

Biggest hit: +$5.1K on Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?.

All-time PnL
+$0
This year
+$0
Last 30 days
+$0
Portfolio value
$0

Deep stats

Bucko Oracle
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Profit over time

What they are betting now

MarketSideStakeEntryNowPnL
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?PoliticsYes$4.2K60¢58¢-$139
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?PoliticsNo$2.1K81¢92¢+$256
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?PoliticsNo$1.4K89¢92¢+$40
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31?PoliticsNo$90090¢95¢+$45
Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Gaza by December 31?PoliticsNo$57165¢81¢+$144
Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026?PoliticsYes$60059¢67¢+$78
Will the Republicans win the Maine Senate race in 2026?PoliticsNo$59059¢68¢+$85
Will Ro Khanna win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?PoliticsYes$3481.6¢2.1¢+$115
Will Cori Bush be the Democratic nominee for MO-01?PoliticsYes$36651¢61¢+$70
Will Haley Stevens win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary?PoliticsNo$57285¢65¢-$139
Will Wesley Bell be the Democratic nominee for MO-01?PoliticsNo$35058¢60¢+$7
Flávio Bolsonaro charged or arrested by September 30?PoliticsNo$28075¢84¢+$33
Kash Patel out by December 31?PoliticsNo$11632¢68¢+$133
Will Abdul El-Sayed win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary?PoliticsYes$25083¢65¢-$55
Will Dan Bilzerian be the Republican nominee for FL-06?PoliticsYes$1.5K9.7¢1.0¢-$1.4K
Will Debbie Wasserman Schultz be the Democratic nominee for FL-20?PoliticsNo$10251¢35¢-$32
Will Oliver Adams Larkin be the Democratic Nominee for FL-23?PoliticsNo$5495¢98¢+$2
Will Elijah Manley be the Democratic nominee for FL-20?PoliticsYes$5555¢31¢-$24
Will Connie Chan win the CA-11 House seat?PoliticsYes$2828¢22¢-$6
Will Victoria Doyle be the Democratic Nominee for FL-23?PoliticsYes$11.0¢1.8¢+$1
Will Greg Stanton be the AZ-04 Democratic nominee?PoliticsNoResolved$528.8¢0.0¢-$52
Will John Hickenlooper be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Colorado?PoliticsNoResolved$10611¢0.0¢-$106
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:55AM-5:00AM ETCryptoUpResolved$922¢0.0¢-$9
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 22?PoliticsYesResolved$24755¢0.0¢-$247
Israel x Hezbollah Ceasefire extended by April 26, 2026?PoliticsNoResolved$2.7K76¢0.0¢-$2.7K
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 11:15AM-11:20AM ETCryptoDownResolved$12534¢0.0¢-$125
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 10:35AM-10:40AM ETCryptoDownResolved$5016¢0.0¢-$50
Will Kai Newkirk be the AZ-04 Democratic nominee?PoliticsYesResolved$849.8¢0.0¢-$84
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 10:30AM-10:35AM ETCryptoDownResolved$2533¢0.0¢-$25
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 10:05AM-10:10AM ETCryptoDownResolved$251.0¢0.0¢-$25
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:40AM-4:45AM ETCryptoDownResolved$2545¢0.0¢-$25
Will Hamas agree to disarm by June 30?PoliticsYesResolved$5819.8¢0.0¢-$581
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:05AM-5:10AM ETCryptoUpResolved$5019¢0.0¢-$50
Will Julie Gonzales be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Colorado?PoliticsYesResolved$9811¢0.0¢-$98
Iran closes its airspace by June 30?PoliticsNoResolved$1.0K81¢0.0¢-$1.0K
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 11:00AM-11:05AM ETCryptoDownResolved$9847¢0.0¢-$98

Where the money comes from

Realized + open PnL by category

Politics+$2.9K
Crypto+$351
Weather+$109
World Cup+$12
Biggest hit
+$5.1K
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?
Toughest beat
-$1.5K
Will Thomas Massie be the Republican nominee for KY-04?

Recent moves

  • Bought Yes · Will Connie Chan win the CA-11 House seat?$17h ago
  • Bought Yes · Will Connie Chan win the CA-11 House seat?$28h ago
  • Bought Yes · Will Connie Chan win the CA-11 House seat?$61d ago
  • Bought Yes · Will Connie Chan win the CA-11 House seat?$31d ago
  • Bought Yes · Will Connie Chan win the CA-11 House seat?$62d ago
  • Bought Yes · Will Connie Chan win the CA-11 House seat?$122d ago
  • Sold No · Kash Patel out by December 31?$383d ago
  • Sold No · Kash Patel out by December 31?$33d ago
  • Sold No · Kash Patel out by December 31?$333d ago
  • Sold No · Kash Patel out by December 31?$663d ago
  • Sold No · Kash Patel out by December 31?$333d ago
  • Sold No · Kash Patel out by December 31?$683d ago