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Roro22

Predicting since Oct 2024616 markets tradedPolymarket profile ↗

Up $3.2K on Politics markets since Oct 2024.

Right now: $3.8K riding on Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?.

Biggest hit: +$1.6K on Will Europe (UEFA) win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?.

All-time PnL
+$0
This year
+$0
Last 30 days
+$0
Portfolio value
$0

Deep stats

Bucko Oracle
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Profit over time

What they are betting now

MarketSideStakeEntryNowPnL
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?PoliticsNo$3.8K98¢99¢+$38
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?PoliticsYes$95464¢58¢-$84
Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?PoliticsYes$60281¢80¢-$11
Will the US federal government take a stake in Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Company Limited?PoliticsNo$51786¢86¢-$0
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?PoliticsYes$62337¢28¢-$138
Will US GDP growth in Q2 2026 be greater than 3.5%?EconomyNo$45297¢94¢-$14
2k+ container ship transits of Suez Canal in H1 2026?PoliticsNo$42398¢99¢+$3
Will 50 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by July 31, 2026?PoliticsNo$16489¢97¢+$16
Will 30 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by July 31, 2026?PoliticsYes$28197¢14¢-$241
Will UMich Consumer Sentiment be between 43.0 and 45.9 in July?EconomyYes$317.3¢8.2¢+$4
Will US GDP growth in Q2 2026 be between 1.0% and 1.5%?EconomyYes$1514¢9.4¢-$5
Will Elon Musk’s net worth be between $0.80T and $0.90T on July 31?EconomyYes$4141¢10.0¢-$31
Will Elon Musk’s net worth be between $0.90T and $1.00T on July 31?EconomyYes$2626¢3.4¢-$23
Will 60 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by July 31, 2026?PoliticsYes$11657¢1.3¢-$113
Will Norway win on 2026-07-11?World CupYesResolved$1123¢0.0¢-$11
Will there be at least 1950 measles cases in the U.S. by May 31, 2026?WeatherNoResolved$8657¢0.0¢-$86
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?World CupYesResolved$31511¢0.0¢-$315
Will "You, Me & Tuscany" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 8m and 9m?CultureYesResolved$7147¢0.0¢-$71
Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?World CupYesResolved$2115.9¢0.0¢-$211
Portugal vs. Spain: Both Teams to ScoreWorld CupYesResolved$5858¢0.0¢-$58
Will 50-59 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between April 13-April 19?PoliticsYesResolved$3239¢0.0¢-$32
Will 150 or more ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between June 29-July 5?PoliticsNoResolved$77.0¢0.0¢-$7
Will DR Congo win on 2026-07-01?World CupYesResolved$36.0¢0.0¢-$3
Portugal vs. Spain: Team to AdvanceWorld CupPortugalResolved$838¢0.0¢-$8
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in April?FinanceNoResolved$20970¢0.0¢-$209
Will there be at least 1925 measles cases in the U.S. by May 31, 2026?WeatherNoResolved$3020¢0.0¢-$30
Exact Score: Japan 1 - 0 Sweden?World CupYesResolved$310¢0.0¢-$3
Will "Michael" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 75m and 80m?CultureYesResolved$1010.0¢0.0¢-$10
Will USD reach 1.7M Iranian rials by April 30?PoliticsNoResolved$50486¢0.0¢-$504
Steve Bannon exonerated by June 30?PoliticsYesResolved$45671¢0.0¢-$456
Will 60-69 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between April 13-April 19?PoliticsYesResolved$724¢0.0¢-$7
Will Portugal win on 2026-06-27?World CupYesResolved$2130¢0.0¢-$21
Will Australia win Eurovision 2026?CultureYesResolved$3028¢0.0¢-$30
Will 260 to 289 tornadoes occur in the United States in April 2026?WeatherYesResolved$5062¢0.0¢-$50
Will "Project Hail Mary" 4th Weekend Box Office be greater than 22m?CultureNoResolved$1804.6¢0.0¢-$180
Will England be eliminated in the Round of 16 of the World Cup?World CupYesResolved$2049¢0.0¢-$20
France vs. Morocco: Team to AdvanceWorld CupMoroccoResolved$1623¢0.0¢-$16

Where the money comes from

Realized + open PnL by category

Politics+$3.2K
Tech+$2.3K
World Cup+$1.2K
Culture+$769
Weather+$641
Olympics+$634
Economy+$520
NFL+$117
MLB-$100
Finance+$98
Mentions-$87
Other sports+$51
Biggest hit
+$1.6K
Will Europe (UEFA) win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Toughest beat
-$1.0K
Israel x Iran ceasefire before July?

Recent moves

  • Cashed out Yes · Will the U.S. flu hospitalization rate per 100,000 in Week 28 be between 86 and 89?$3.1K1d ago
  • Cashed out No · Will the ECB announce a 25 bps increase at the July 2026 meeting?$2763d ago
  • Bought No · Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?$2.4K6d ago
  • Sold No · Will the US federal government take a stake in Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Company Limited?$3536d ago
  • Cashed out Yes · Will Europe (UEFA) win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$2.0K6d ago
  • Bought Yes · Will the U.S. flu hospitalization rate per 100,000 in Week 28 be between 86 and 89?$3.0K6d ago
  • Sold Yes · Will Europe (UEFA) win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$2.0K6d ago
  • Bought No · Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?$1.4K8d ago
  • Cashed out Yes · Will the U.S. flu hospitalization rate per 100,000 in Week 27 be between 86 and 89?$558d ago
  • Sold No · Will the ECB announce a 25 bps increase at the July 2026 meeting?$8189d ago
  • Sold Yes · Will UMich Consumer Sentiment be between 43.0 and 45.9 in July?$1189d ago
  • Bought Yes · Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?$119d ago