← Whale Watch

gcjames

Predicting since Jan 20261,491 markets tradedPolymarket profile ↗
All-time PnL
+$0
This year
+$0
Last 30 days
+$0
Portfolio value
$0

Deep stats

Bucko Oracle
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Profit over time

What they are betting now

MarketSideStakeEntryNowPnL
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 31?PoliticsYes$17688¢89¢+$1
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 41°C on July 26?WeatherNo$149100¢100¢+$1
Trump on $250 bill this year?PoliticsNo$7898¢97¢-$0
GTA VI released before November 2026?CultureNo$7797¢97¢+$0
Will Anthropic's public ticker be $CLAU?TechNo$7998¢97¢-$1
Will Michelle Bachelet be the next Secretary-General of the United Nations?PoliticsNo$7898¢90¢-$7
UNSC Resolution Endorsing Final U.S.-Iran Deal by December 31?PoliticsNo$7070¢69¢-$1
Will no listed leader be out before 2027?PoliticsNo$6565¢60¢-$6
Will Marcelo Queiroga win the Governor of Paraíba election?PoliticsNo$5598¢98¢+$1
Will María Corina Machado be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?PoliticsNo$4997¢97¢+$0
Will The Odyssey be the top grossing movie of 2026?CultureNo$4997¢97¢+$0
Will the Chicago Cubs have the highest ABS success rate during the 2026 MLB regular season?MLBNo$4998¢99¢+$0
Will the New York Yankees have the highest ABS success rate during the 2026 MLB regular season?MLBNo$4998¢99¢+$0
Will the Colorado Rockies have the highest ABS success rate during the 2026 MLB regular season?MLBNo$4998¢99¢+$0
Will Caitlin Clark have the highest three point percentage in the WNBA 2026 regular season?Basketball (other)No$4897¢98¢+$1
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 29?PoliticsYes$4691¢94¢+$1
Will Trump pardon Ghislaine Maxwell before 2027?PoliticsNo$4996¢93¢-$1
Will Bally Bagayoko be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?PoliticsNo$4895¢93¢-$1
Will A'ja Wilson have the highest three point percentage in the WNBA 2026 regular season?Basketball (other)No$4998¢94¢-$2
Will Cleveland Guardians win the 2026 American League Championship Series?MLBNo$4793¢92¢-$0
Will Trump speak to Xi Jinping in July?PoliticsNo$4895¢92¢-$1
Will Efraim Filho win the Governor of Paraíba election?PoliticsNo$4284¢94¢+$5
Will American Airlines announce bankruptcy by December 31?TechNo$4797¢97¢-$0
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by September 30?PoliticsNo$4792¢91¢-$1
Abbas Araghchi out as Minister of Foreign Affairs of Iran by September 30, 2026?PoliticsNo$4487¢92¢+$2
Will the Texas Rangers have the highest ABS success rate during the 2026 MLB regular season?MLBNo$4598¢99¢+$1
Will the US economy be in stagflation at the end of 2026?EconomyNo$4791¢86¢-$3
Will Jeff Leiper win the 2026 Ottawa mayoral election?PoliticsNo$4690¢85¢-$3
Will Aurelien Tchouameni stay at Real Madrid?Soccer (other)Yes$4691¢85¢-$3
Will AfD win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections?PoliticsNo$3978¢77¢-$1
Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by July 31, 2026?PoliticsNo$3995¢92¢-$1
Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Soccer (other)No$3775¢74¢-$0
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?PoliticsNo$4824¢18¢-$13
Will François Hollande be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?PoliticsNo$3876¢69¢-$4
Will PH win the 2026 Negeri Sembilan general elections?PoliticsNo$3467¢66¢-$1
Will Avengers: Doomsday have the best domestic opening weekend in 2026?CultureYes$3467¢66¢-$1
Will Debbie Wasserman Schultz be the Democratic nominee for FL-20?PoliticsYes$3570¢64¢-$3
Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by August 31, 2026?PoliticsYes$3569¢62¢-$4
Will Congress override any veto in 2026?PoliticsNo$2895¢93¢-$0
Will the next Claude Opus debut at a score of at least 1490 by December 31, 2026?TechYes$3264¢55¢-$5
Reckless Ben in jail by December 31?CultureNo$2685¢85¢-$0
Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?PoliticsNo$2550¢48¢-$1
Will AfD win the most seats in 3 German state elections in September 2026?PoliticsNo$2789¢80¢-$3
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 32°C on July 27?WeatherNo$2582¢80¢-$1
Will "Arirang - BTS" be the top album for 2026?CultureNo$2480¢69¢-$3
Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 41°C on July 26?WeatherNo$1367¢99¢+$6
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026?PoliticsYes$2020¢19¢-$2
Will Rhett Marques be the Republican nominee for AL-01?PoliticsNo$1698¢95¢-$1
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 29°C on July 28?WeatherNo$1472¢72¢+$0
Will the Republicans win the Nebraska Senate race in 2026?PoliticsNo$1427¢28¢+$0
Will Darline Graham Nordone be the new republican nominee for Senate in South Carolina?PoliticsNo$1530¢27¢-$1
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 28°C on July 27?WeatherNo$1367¢68¢+$0
Will the highest temperature in Busan be 37°C on July 28?WeatherNo$1367¢63¢-$1
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva be the next leader out before 2027?PoliticsNo$1398¢97¢-$0
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by September 30?PoliticsNo$1326¢23¢-$2
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 100-101°F on July 27?WeatherNo$1260¢56¢-$1
Will CXMT’s closing IPO market cap be at least 2T yuan?FinanceNo$1313¢10¢-$3
Will Russia capture Novodmytrivka by September 30?PoliticsYes$929¢26¢-$1
Will Bobby Witt Jr. win the 2026 AL Platinum Glove award?MLBNo$1469¢38¢-$6
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?PoliticsYes$73.7¢3.6¢-$0
Will Gérard Larcher be reelected as President of the French Senate?PoliticsYes$892¢84¢-$1
Will Seattle Mariners win the 2026 AL West title?MLBYes$1048¢34¢-$3
US Government removes public access to a major Chinese AI model in 2026?PoliticsYes$1224¢11¢-$7
Will Lovable announce bankruptcy before 2027?CryptoNo$597¢94¢-$0
Will the Lions win the season series against the Packers during the 2026-27 NFL regular season?NFLYes$630¢24¢-$1
Will Donavan McKinney be the Democratic Nominee for MI-13?PoliticsNo$917¢9.0¢-$4
Will $ANSEM dip to $0.08 before 2027?CryptoNo$1019¢6.2¢-$6
Will OpenAI have the best AI Agent at the end of August 2026?TechYes$420¢16¢-$1
Will Russia capture Orikhiv by December 31, 2026?PoliticsYes$515¢10¢-$2
Will Russia enter Sloviansk by December 31, 2026?PoliticsYes$318¢15¢-$1
Will the Fed Pause–Pause–Cut in the next three decisions (Jul–Sep–Oct)?EconomyYes$45.3¢3.3¢-$2
Jimmy Lai released by December 31, 2026?PoliticsYes$44.2¢2.3¢-$2
Ukraine agrees not to join NATO by August 31?PoliticsYes$23.0¢2.8¢-$0
Will Jason De Puy come in second-place on Big Brother season 28?CultureYes$1017¢3.5¢-$8
Will Barack Obama announce a Presidential run before 2027?PoliticsYes$33.9¢2.1¢-$1
Will Nigel Farage win the 2026 Clacton by-election by between 20% and 40%?PoliticsYes$211¢6.9¢-$1
Will Ukraine re-enter Rodynske by September 30, 2026?PoliticsYes$524¢7.1¢-$3
Will Alysa Liu be the #1 searched person on Google this year?TechYes$25.2¢3.4¢-$1
Will Shannon Taylor be the VA-01 Democratic nominee?PoliticsNo$68.0¢1.5¢-$5
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by July 31?PoliticsYes$31.7¢0.5¢-$2
Will Anthropic IPO by September 15, 2026?FinanceYes$11.3¢1.1¢-$0
Will California experience a 7.0 or above magnitude earthquake in 2026?WeatherYes$419¢5.3¢-$3
Will GPT-6 be released by August 14, 2026?TechYes$24.6¢2.6¢-$1
Will CopperTech Metals not IPO before September 2026?TechNo$56.9¢1.5¢-$4
Will Cyndi Munson win the 2026 Oklahoma Governor Democratic primary election?PoliticsNoResolved$99.0¢0.0¢-$9
Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 32°C on July 25?WeatherYesResolved$00.2¢0.0¢-$0
Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 18°C on June 10?WeatherNoResolved$11.0¢0.0¢-$1
US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?PoliticsNoResolved$2646¢0.0¢-$26
Moscow air traffic suspended by July 24?PoliticsNoResolved$526¢0.0¢-$5
Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 31°C on June 26?WeatherYesResolved$640¢0.0¢-$6
Will Ferran Torres Win the 2026 FIFA World Cup Final Player of the Match Award?World CupNoResolved$00.2¢0.0¢-$0
Will Al Carns be the next Defence Secretary of the UK in 2026?PoliticsYesResolved$535¢0.0¢-$5
World Cup Goals H2H: Dembele vs. OliseWorld CupOliseResolved$45.6¢0.0¢-$4
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 27°C on July 1?WeatherYesResolved$13.5¢0.0¢-$1
US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?PoliticsNoResolved$3461¢0.0¢-$34
Will Ben Martin finish in the Top 20 at the 2026 Corales Puntacana Championship?GolfYesResolved$518¢0.0¢-$5
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 31°C on July 24?WeatherNoResolved$6772¢0.0¢-$67
Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 32°C on June 28?WeatherYesResolved$00.7¢0.0¢-$0
Will Rikuya Hoshino finish in the Top 20 at the 2026 Corales Puntacana Championship?GolfYesResolved$00.2¢0.0¢-$0
Will the Ornn H100 Index hit $2.00 (LOW) by May 31, 2026?TechYesResolved$01.0¢0.0¢-$0

Where the money comes from

Realized + open PnL by category · still crunching older history, totals will deepen

Weather-$250
Politics-$191
Crypto-$95
World Cup-$90
MLB-$54
Culture-$46
Economy-$34
Finance-$22
NBA-$18
Golf-$11
Tech+$9
Other sports-$7
Biggest hit
+$55
US strikes Iran by June 30, 2026?
Toughest beat
-$46
Will Karen Bass win the first round of the 2026 Los Angeles Mayoral Election by 5–10%?

Recent moves

  • Sold No · Will the lowest temperature in London be 19°C on July 28?$113m ago
  • Bought No · Will Congress override any veto in 2026?$285m ago
  • Sold No · Will Ken Martin cease to be DNC Chair by July 31, 2026?$3516m ago
  • Bought No · Will Ken Martin cease to be DNC Chair by July 31, 2026?$4717m ago
  • Bought No · Will the lowest temperature in London be 19°C on July 28?$131h ago
  • Sold Yes · Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 27?$502h ago
  • Sold Yes · Will Trump meet with Benjamin Netanyahu in July 2026?$492h ago
  • Bought Yes · US Government removes public access to a major Chinese AI model in 2026?$122h ago
  • Sold No · Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?$72h ago
  • Sold No · Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 19°C on July 27?$132h ago
  • Bought No · Will the highest temperature in Busan be 37°C on July 28?$132h ago
  • Sold No · Will Count Binface get second place in the Clacton by-election?$252h ago