← Whale Watch

aenews2

Predicting since Jan 20243,028 markets tradedPolymarket profile ↗

Up $4.4M on Politics markets since Jan 2024.

Right now: $47K across 2 Politics markets.

Biggest hit: +$12.1M on Will Kim Moon-soo be the People's Power Party candidate for president?.

All-time PnL
+$0
This year
+$0
Last 30 days
+$0
Portfolio value
$0

Deep stats

Bucko Oracle
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Profit over time

What they are betting now

MarketSideStakeEntryNowPnL
Will Dow say "Carbon" 5+ times during earnings call?MentionsNo$32K94¢100¢+$2.0K
NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?PoliticsYes$19K22¢30¢+$6.2K
Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026?PoliticsNo$14K59¢66¢+$1.6K
Will "The Odyssey" 2nd Weekend Box Office be between 86m and 92m?CultureYes$5.2K50¢85¢+$3.6K
Will James Fishback be the Republican nominee for Florida Governor?PoliticsNo$6.1K91¢97¢+$428
Will Paramount close Warner Bros acquisition?PoliticsYes$6.5K82¢67¢-$1.2K
Will Jon Ossoff announce a Presidential run before 2027?PoliticsNo$5.0K95¢97¢+$110
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30?PoliticsYes$6.2K21¢16¢-$1.4K
US strike on Cuba by December 31?PoliticsYes$5.0K40¢33¢-$980
Will Darline Graham Nordone be the new republican nominee for Senate in South Carolina?PoliticsYes$4.3K79¢73¢-$326
Will Nirav Shah be the Maine Senate Democratic nominee on July 27?PoliticsNo$3.3K90¢100¢+$379
Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?PoliticsYes$6.9K24¢13¢-$3.2K
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?PoliticsYes$3.9K19¢17¢-$397
Will Mike Mazzei win the 2026 Oklahoma Governor Republican primary election?PoliticsYes$3.3K86¢81¢-$184
Will LeBron's next contract average under $4M per year?NBAYes$2.3K88¢98¢+$263
Will Byron Donalds be the Republican nominee for Florida Governor?PoliticsYes$2.3K91¢97¢+$157
Will Randy Fine be the Republican nominee for FL-06?PoliticsYes$2.3K95¢96¢+$31
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 31, 2026?PoliticsYes$7.0K26¢6.5¢-$5.3K
Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?PoliticsYes$1.7K38¢38¢+$5
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?PoliticsYes$2.5K39¢24¢-$1.0K
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?PoliticsNo$1.8K22¢18¢-$348
Will New York use a new congressional map for the 2026 United States midterm elections?PoliticsNo$1.4K94¢96¢+$40
Kash Patel out by December 31?PoliticsYes$2.5K57¢32¢-$1.1K
Will Max Martin attend Taylor Swift's wedding?NFLYes$66332¢51¢+$380
Will Jared Moskowitz be the Democratic Nominee for FL-23?PoliticsNo$99095¢100¢+$51
U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "India" before 2027?PoliticsYes$1.8K41¢22¢-$837
Will Janet Mills be the Maine Senate Democratic nominee on July 27?PoliticsNo$85997¢100¢+$26
Will Pete Hegseth leave the Trump administration before 2027?PoliticsYes$1.4K34¢21¢-$559
Will "The Odyssey" 2nd Weekend Box Office be between 92m and 98m?CultureNo$70072¢85¢+$129
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31?PoliticsYes$2.0K67¢27¢-$1.2K
Israel and Lebanon normalize relations before 2027?PoliticsYes$1.3K22¢13¢-$585
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?PoliticsYes$6690.6¢0.7¢+$56
Will there be at least 3500 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?WeatherYes$71365¢66¢+$5
Will there be at least 3000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?WeatherYes$62580¢89¢+$71
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31?PoliticsYes$24920¢50¢+$367
Law banning sports prediction markets enacted in 2026?PoliticsYes$49020¢23¢+$75
Israel withdraws from Lebanon by August 31, 2026?PoliticsYes$2.5K15¢2.9¢-$2.0K
Will Wesley Bell be the Democratic nominee for MO-01?PoliticsNo$48561¢59¢-$15
Will the U.S. invade Greenland in 2026?PoliticsYes$9998.2¢3.4¢-$590
Pedro Sánchez out as PM of Spain by December 31, 2026?PoliticsYes$57131¢21¢-$181
Will Cori Bush be the Democratic nominee for MO-01?PoliticsYes$39761¢59¢-$15
Will a Chinese company have the best AI model by December 31?PoliticsYes$39413¢11¢-$79
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by August 31?PoliticsYes$56613¢6.5¢-$277
Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?PoliticsYes$68918¢7.5¢-$408
Will there be at least 4000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?WeatherYes$27734¢34¢-$3
Will the United States have an Ebola case in 2026?WeatherYes$17326¢28¢+$10
Will Abdul El-Sayed win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary?PoliticsNo$23646¢34¢-$59
Edi Rama out as Albania PM in 2026?PoliticsYes$23429¢21¢-$67
Will a Chinese company have one of the top 5 AI models by December 31?PoliticsYes$22263¢43¢-$72
Will 1 person leave the Trump Cabinet by December 31, 2026?PoliticsNo$18288¢72¢-$34
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31?PoliticsYes$18329¢21¢-$52
Will Moonshot have a #1 AI model by December 31, 2026?TechYes$586.0¢13¢+$68
Will Donald Trump announce a presidential run before 2027?PoliticsYes$18414¢9.3¢-$58
Will Gavin Newsom be arrested before 2027?PoliticsYes$1786.7¢4.5¢-$59
Will the total domestic gross for The Odyssey be at least 350m by August 31?CultureYes$11898¢98¢-$0
Masoud Pezeshkian out by December 31?PoliticsYes$17620¢14¢-$59
Will Jared Golden be the Maine Senate Democratic nominee on July 27?PoliticsNo$11198¢100¢+$2
X banned in any European country by December 31?PoliticsYes$22930¢14¢-$117
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by July 31?PoliticsYes$6.6K51¢0.8¢-$6.5K
Israel withdraws from Lebanon by July 31, 2026?PoliticsYes$1.3K8.0¢0.6¢-$1.2K
Mitch McConnell steps down from Senate before his term ends?PoliticsYes$17670¢38¢-$81
Will Kash Patel leave the Trump administration before 2027?PoliticsYes$16761¢34¢-$75
Will any country expel an Israeli ambassador by December 31?PoliticsYes$11443¢34¢-$23
Will "The Odyssey" 2nd Weekend Box Office be between 74m and 80m?CultureNo$7793¢100¢+$5
Will 0 people leave the Trump Cabinet by December 31, 2026?PoliticsNo$12096¢60¢-$45
Will a Chinese company have one of the top 3 AI models by December 31?PoliticsYes$14743¢21¢-$77
Will the Republicans win the Georgia Senate race in 2026?PoliticsYes$10721¢14¢-$40
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?PoliticsYes$8135¢24¢-$26
Trump suspends U.S. entry for more countries by December 31, 2026?PoliticsYes$6891¢69¢-$17
Will the Nevada abortion protection amendment pass?PoliticsYes$4194¢92¢-$1
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by July 31?PoliticsYes$3369.3¢0.8¢-$309
Will Anthony DiLorenzo be the Republican Nominee for NH-01?PoliticsYes$2376¢87¢+$3
Will a Chinese company have the best AI model by December 31?PoliticsNo$1671¢90¢+$4
Kash Patel out by July 31?PoliticsYes$13511¢1.5¢-$117
U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "European Union" before 2027?PoliticsYes$2415¢8.2¢-$11
Will GameStop acquire eBay?FinanceYes$1515¢13¢-$3
Will Shenna Bellows be the Maine Senate Democratic nominee on July 27?PoliticsYes$1.8K24¢0.1¢-$1.8K
Iran full airspace closure by July 31?PoliticsYes$5234¢6.5¢-$42
Will "The Odyssey" 2nd Weekend Box Office be between 80m and 86m?CultureYes$7411¢1.5¢-$64
Will Graham Platner be the Maine Senate Democratic nominee on July 27?PoliticsYes$3611.9¢0.1¢-$351
Will Iran withdraw from the NPT before 2027?PoliticsYes$614¢18¢+$1
Will James Fishback be the Republican nominee for Florida Governor?PoliticsYes$156.0¢2.6¢-$9
Will LeBron's next contract average under $4M per year?NBANo$83.5¢2.3¢-$3
US grants license for new nuclear reactor in 2026?PoliticsYes$632¢20¢-$2
U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "Canada" before 2027?PoliticsYes$417¢14¢-$1
Will LeBron's next contract average $4M-$10M per year?NBAYes$42.4¢1.8¢-$1
Sudan civil war ceasefire by December 31, 2026?PoliticsYes$218¢23¢+$1
Trump declares election interference national emergency by December 31?PoliticsYes$115¢22¢+$1
Will Zelenskyy talk to Putin by December 31?PoliticsYes$236¢20¢-$1
Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on July 13, 2026?PoliticsNoResolved$207.3¢0.0¢-$20
Will "The Odyssey" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 105m and 115m?CultureYesResolved$11K17¢0.0¢-$11K
Will Hakeem Jeffries win the 2026 New York 8th District Democratic Primary?PoliticsNoResolved$1.7K31¢0.0¢-$1.7K
Will "The Odyssey" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 75m?CultureYesResolved$5.1K17¢0.0¢-$5.1K
Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?PoliticsYesResolved$74610¢0.0¢-$746
Will Spain win on 2026-07-19?World CupYesResolved$98537¢0.0¢-$985
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia by June 30?PoliticsYesResolved$95812¢0.0¢-$958
Will Trump’s approval rating fall to 38.0% by the end of May?PoliticsYesResolved$1261¢0.0¢-$12
Will Donald Trump announce Sean O'Brien as the next United States Labor SecretaryPoliticsYesResolved$1782.9¢0.0¢-$178
Will the No to ten million Switzerland initiative be approved in Switzerland’s June 14, 2026 popular vote?PoliticsYesResolved$3.6K41¢0.0¢-$3.6K
Israel closes its airspace by June 15?PoliticsYesResolved$4066¢0.0¢-$40

Where the money comes from

Realized + open PnL by category

Politics+$4.4M
Culture+$326K
Tech+$243K
World Cup+$182K
Crypto+$160K
Mentions+$150K
Weather+$87K
Economy-$34K
Other-$25K
eSports+$10K
Finance+$8.8K
Boxing+$7.2K
Biggest hit
+$12.1M
Will Kim Moon-soo be the People's Power Party candidate for president?
Toughest beat
-$5.9M
Will Han Duck-soo be the People's Power Party candidate for president?

Recent moves

  • Bought Yes · Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?$2928m ago
  • Bought Yes · Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?$442m ago
  • Bought Yes · Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?$446m ago
  • Bought Yes · Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?$1547m ago
  • Bought Yes · Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?$049m ago
  • Bought Yes · Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?$049m ago
  • Bought Yes · Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?$151m ago
  • Bought Yes · Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?$255m ago
  • Bought Yes · Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?$01h ago
  • Bought Yes · Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?$121h ago
  • Bought Yes · Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?$01h ago
  • Bought Yes · Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?$01h ago