Will Russia announce a new forced mobilization by October 31, 2026?Politics | No | $679 | 81¢ | 85¢ | +$32 |
US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026?Politics | Yes | $708 | 71¢ | 61¢ | -$99 |
Will US unemployment reach at least 5.5% in 2026?Economy | No | $436 | 93¢ | 93¢ | +$1 |
Will US unemployment reach at least 5.0% in 2026?Economy | No | $423 | 90¢ | 93¢ | +$13 |
Will Russia announce a new forced mobilization by September 30, 2026?Politics | No | $372 | 93¢ | 95¢ | +$9 |
Will US GDP growth in Q3 2026 be greater than 3.0%?Economy | Yes | $262 | 33¢ | 46¢ | +$96 |
US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 30, 2026?Politics | No | $342 | 86¢ | 85¢ | -$4 |
Will US unemployment reach at least 6.0% in 2026?Economy | No | $316 | 94¢ | 94¢ | -$2 |
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?Politics | Yes | $280 | 70¢ | 64¢ | -$26 |
Will the AfD be part of a German state government in 2026?Politics | No | $265 | 62¢ | 57¢ | -$20 |
Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by October 31, 2026?Politics | Yes | $248 | 72¢ | 68¢ | -$14 |
Will Russia capture Rai-Oleksandrivka by December 31?Politics | Yes | $450 | 83¢ | 43¢ | -$221 |
Kanye West performs in Russia by October 31?Politics | No | $187 | 70¢ | 81¢ | +$27 |
Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election?Politics | Yes | $207 | 35¢ | 36¢ | +$3 |
Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.2% before 2027?Economy | Yes | $132 | 27¢ | 42¢ | +$72 |
Will the 30-year Treasury yield hit 5.39% in September?Economy | Yes | $170 | 70¢ | 78¢ | +$20 |
Will US unemployment reach at least 7.0% in 2026?Economy | No | $188 | 95¢ | 95¢ | +$0 |
Will Russia enter Dobropillia by December 31?Politics | Yes | $167 | 83¢ | 86¢ | +$5 |
Will Ukraine re-enter Kolodiazi by October 31, 2026?Politics | Yes | $134 | 75¢ | 96¢ | +$38 |
Russia-Ukraine peace talks by October 31, 2026?Politics | Yes | $154 | 48¢ | 53¢ | +$14 |
Will Aleksandar Vučić be the next Prime Minister of Serbia?Politics | Yes | $141 | 51¢ | 54¢ | +$8 |
Will Russia announce a new forced mobilization by December 31, 2026?Politics | No | $136 | 68¢ | 74¢ | +$11 |
Will Ukraine re-enter Kolodiazi by December 31, 2026?Politics | Yes | $111 | 75¢ | 97¢ | +$31 |
Russia strikes another vessel in the Black Sea by August 28, 2026?Politics | Yes | $120 | 81¢ | 92¢ | +$17 |
Russia-Ukraine peace talks by December 31, 2026?Politics | Yes | $138 | 69¢ | 69¢ | -$1 |
Will the 30-year Treasury yield hit 5.50% in September?Economy | Yes | $61 | 8.6¢ | 16¢ | +$53 |
Russia strikes another vessel in the Black Sea by August 21, 2026?Politics | Yes | $56 | 53¢ | 84¢ | +$34 |
Will Russia capture Mala Tokmachka by December 31, 2026?Politics | Yes | $85 | 63¢ | 56¢ | -$10 |
Will Cristiano Ronaldo announce his retirement in 2026?Soccer (other) | Yes | $122 | 24¢ | 15¢ | -$47 |
Will Russia capture Vodianske by December 31?Politics | Yes | $165 | 57¢ | 26¢ | -$92 |
Will US unemployment reach at least 10.0% in 2026?Economy | No | $44 | 96¢ | 96¢ | +$0 |
China ballistic missile launch by December 31?Politics | Yes | $38 | 20¢ | 19¢ | -$4 |
Will the Communist Party of the Russian Federation (KPRF) win the second-most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?Politics | No | $175 | 42¢ | 8.0¢ | -$142 |
Will North and South Korea engage in direct talks by December 31?Politics | Yes | $39 | 26¢ | 21¢ | -$8 |
Will United Russia win between 310 and 324 seats in the next Russian State Duma election?Politics | Yes | $23 | 18¢ | 18¢ | -$0 |
Will Russia enter Mykolaivka by December 31, 2026?Politics | Yes | $18 | 88¢ | 89¢ | +$0 |
Will Core PCE YoY be 3.1% in August?Economy | Yes | $28 | 14¢ | 8.5¢ | -$11 |
Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.5% before 2027?Economy | Yes | $13 | 7.8¢ | 9.5¢ | +$3 |
Will the 30-year Treasury yield hit 5.60% in September?Economy | Yes | $10 | 3.3¢ | 4.7¢ | +$4 |
Will Russia capture Kupiansk-Vuzlovyi by December 31?Politics | Yes | $25 | 51¢ | 23¢ | -$14 |
Will Russia capture all of Ternuvate by December 31, 2026?Politics | Yes | $16 | 15¢ | 10¢ | -$5 |
Ukraine strikes another tanker in the Caspian Sea by September 30, 2026?Politics | Yes | $19 | 29¢ | 9.5¢ | -$13 |
Will the Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?Politics | Yes | $9 | 4.4¢ | 2.9¢ | -$3 |
Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.05% in September?Economy | Yes | $1 | 33¢ | 66¢ | +$1 |
Will annual inflation be 3.6% in July?Economy | YesResolved | $10 | 1.4¢ | 0.0¢ | -$10 |
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?Politics | YesResolved | $62 | 22¢ | 0.0¢ | -$62 |
Will Japan Q2 GDP growth (annualized) be between 0.0% and 0.8%?Economy | YesResolved | $7 | 65¢ | 0.0¢ | -$7 |
Will a dozen eggs cost between $2.00–$2.10 in August?Economy | YesResolved | $2 | 0.5¢ | 0.0¢ | -$2 |
Will PPI YoY be 5.0% in August?Economy | YesResolved | $17 | 3.3¢ | 0.0¢ | -$17 |
Will Core PCE MoM be 0.1% in July?Economy | YesResolved | $7 | 3.3¢ | 0.0¢ | -$7 |
Bank of Japan increases interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?Politics | YesResolved | $10 | 1.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$10 |
Will the Bank of Korea cut by 25 bps at the August 2026 meeting?Politics | YesResolved | $10 | 20¢ | 0.0¢ | -$10 |
Will the Central Bank of Colombia increase the monetary policy interest rate by 25 bps at the July meeting?Economy | YesResolved | $4 | 3.8¢ | 0.0¢ | -$4 |
Will annual inflation be 3.4% in July?Economy | NoResolved | $549 | 55¢ | 0.0¢ | -$549 |
Will gas hit $4.20 (High) by September 30?Politics | NoResolved | $21 | 21¢ | 0.0¢ | -$21 |
Will US crude oil reserves fall to 285M by August 31?Politics | YesResolved | $53 | 30¢ | 0.0¢ | -$53 |
Will the Reserve Bank of New Zealand make no change to the official cash rate after the September decision?Politics | YesResolved | $14 | 1.6¢ | 0.0¢ | -$14 |
Will monthly inflation increase by 0.3% in August?Economy | YesResolved | $30 | 30¢ | 0.0¢ | -$30 |
Will Russia target Kyiv on September 6, 2026?Politics | YesResolved | $5 | 26¢ | 0.0¢ | -$5 |
Will Russia target Kyiv on September 8, 2026?Politics | NoResolved | $19 | 36¢ | 0.0¢ | -$19 |
Will monthly inflation increase by 0.4% in August?Economy | NoResolved | $23 | 45¢ | 0.0¢ | -$23 |
Will a dozen eggs cost between $2.10–$2.20 in August?Economy | YesResolved | $61 | 17¢ | 0.0¢ | -$61 |
Will a dozen eggs cost between $1.90–$2.00 in August?Economy | YesResolved | $0 | 0.3¢ | 0.0¢ | -$0 |
Will annual inflation be 3.7% in July?Economy | YesResolved | $1 | 1.4¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
Will Core CPI YoY be 2.6% in July?Economy | YesResolved | $16 | 3.1¢ | 0.0¢ | -$16 |
Will the Bank of Korea cut by 50 bps or more at the August 2026 meeting?Politics | YesResolved | $10 | 20¢ | 0.0¢ | -$10 |
Will Core CPI MoM be 0.4% in July?Economy | YesResolved | $2 | 0.5¢ | 0.0¢ | -$2 |
Will the Bank of Israel cut by 25 bps at the August 2026 meeting?Economy | NoResolved | $231 | 82¢ | 0.0¢ | -$231 |
Will "Grand Theft Auto VI Extended Look" get less than 10 million views on day 1?Culture | NoResolved | $466 | 79¢ | 0.0¢ | -$466 |
Will Core CPI MoM be 0.2% in July?Economy | NoResolved | $90 | 45¢ | 0.0¢ | -$90 |
Will the Bank of Israel hold at the August 2026 meeting?Economy | YesResolved | $174 | 87¢ | 0.0¢ | -$174 |
Will annual inflation be 3.1% or less in July?Economy | YesResolved | $3 | 1.7¢ | 0.0¢ | -$3 |
Will annual inflation be 3.5% in July?Economy | YesResolved | $19 | 19¢ | 0.0¢ | -$19 |
Will Core CPI MoM be 0.0% or less in July?Economy | YesResolved | $5 | 2.6¢ | 0.0¢ | -$5 |
Will the Reserve Bank of New Zealand increase the official cash rate after the September decision?Politics | NoResolved | $10 | 2.1¢ | 0.0¢ | -$10 |
US-Iran 60 day negotiation period extended?Politics | YesResolved | $616 | 29¢ | 0.0¢ | -$616 |
Will Core CPI MoM be 0.1% in August?Economy | YesResolved | $45 | 11¢ | 0.0¢ | -$45 |
Will annual inflation be 3.2% in July?Economy | YesResolved | $2 | 3.2¢ | 0.0¢ | -$2 |
Will Core PCE YoY be 3.2% in July?Economy | YesResolved | $2 | 21¢ | 0.0¢ | -$2 |