← Whale Watch
0x45a22737a76fAFD5Dd101EB0dC6030986eb13C01-1750068339195
Down $7.4K on Economy markets since Jun 2025.
Right now: $14K riding on Iran leader end of 2026?.
Biggest hit: +$4.6K on Will the government shutdown last 1 day or more?.
All-time PnL
+$0This year
+$0Last 30 days
+$0Portfolio value
$0Deep stats
Bucko OracleLoading…
Profit over time
What they are betting now
| Market | Side | Stake | Entry | Now | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?Politics | Yes | $14K | 81¢ | 85¢ | +$649 |
 Iran leadership change by December 31?Politics | Yes | $3.2K | 19¢ | 16¢ | -$551 |
 Trump meets with Putin by December 31?Politics | Yes | $1.2K | 44¢ | 64¢ | +$528 |
 Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by September 30, 2026?Politics | Yes | $1.3K | 91¢ | 91¢ | +$0 |
 Will Trump and Putin not meet?Politics | Yes | $1.5K | 56¢ | 35¢ | -$570 |
 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?Politics | No | $432 | 76¢ | 83¢ | +$39 |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by September 30, 2026?Politics | Yes | $115 | 8.4¢ | 7.5¢ | -$12 |
 Will Strait of Hormuz traffic not return to normal in 2026?Politics | No | $135 | 24¢ | 17¢ | -$41 |
 US recognizes Russian sovereignty over Ukraine before 2027?Politics | Yes | $10 | 41¢ | 4.0¢ | -$9 |
 Will Strait of Hormuz traffic return to normal in July?Politics | YesResolved | $48 | 1.3¢ | 0.0¢ | -$48 |
Where the money comes from
Realized + open PnL by category
Economy-$7.4K
Politics+$5.9K
Weather+$617
Biggest hit
+$4.6K
Will the government shutdown last 1 day or more?
Toughest beat
-$4.5K
Will the Fed Cut–Pause–Cut in the next three decisions (Dec–Jan–Mar)?
Recent moves
- Bought Yes · Trump meets with Putin by December 31?$161d ago
- Bought Yes · Will Trump and Putin not meet?$91d ago
- Bought Yes · US x Iran diplomatic meeting by September 30, 2026?$01d ago
- Bought Yes · Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by September 30, 2026?$51d ago
- Bought Yes · US x Iran diplomatic meeting by September 30, 2026?$71d ago
- Bought Yes · Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by September 30, 2026?$721d ago
- Bought Yes · Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by September 30, 2026?$3761d ago
- Bought Yes · US x Iran diplomatic meeting by September 30, 2026?$371d ago
- Sold No · Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?$2231d ago
- Sold No · Will Strait of Hormuz traffic not return to normal in 2026?$561d ago
- Sold No · Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?$51d ago
- Sold No · Will Strait of Hormuz traffic not return to normal in 2026?$11d ago